** WTPN31 PGTW 220300 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W (TWENTYSIX) WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 220000Z --- NEAR 6.4N 148.8E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY REPEAT POSIT: 6.4N 148.8E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z --- 6.8N 148.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z --- 7.3N 148.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z --- 7.7N 147.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z --- 8.5N 146.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z --- 10.2N 144.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z --- 12.5N 142.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z --- 15.0N 140.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- REMARKS: 220300Z POSITION NEAR 6.5N 148.8E. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W (TWENTYSIX), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 190 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF CHUUK ISLAND HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 03 KTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVMARFCSTCEN 211051Z NOV 09 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 211100). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220000Z IS 10 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220900Z, 221500Z, 222100Z AND 230300Z.// ** WTPQ31 PGUM 220259 *** TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP262009 200 PM CHST SUN NOV 22 2009 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W FORMS IN CHUUK STATE... NO WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT. AT 100 PM CHST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF NEWLY FORMED TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 6.5 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 148.8 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 45 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF PULUWAT 130 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF SATAWAL 225 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF CHUUK 555 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM AND 630 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SAIPAN. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W IS CURRENTLY DRIFTING NORTHEAST AT 3 MPH. A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 MPH. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AND MAY BECOME A TROPICAL STORM DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. REPEATING THE 100 PM POSITION...LATITUDE 6.5 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 148.8 DEGREES EAST...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 3 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 MPH. THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 800 PM CHST THIS EVENING. $$ MCELROY