** WTIO20 FMEE 181224 *** SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 18/11/2009 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 018/04 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEAS LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: WEDNESDAY 18/11/2009 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 (EX-ANJA) 1003 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 22.9S / 67.1E (TWENTY TWO DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SEVEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-SOUTH-EAST 15 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 500 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. WINDS AT 25 KT NEAR THE CENTER REACHING LOCALLY 30 KT WITHIN THE EASTERN SEMI CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2009/11/19 AT 00 UTC: 26.9S / 71.1E, FILLING UP. 24H, VALID 2009/11/19 AT 12 UTC: 30.4S / 76.1E, DISSIPATING. OTHER INFORMATIONS: ANJA CONTINU TO WEAKEN AND IS EXPECTED TO MERGE WITH THE COLD FRONT LOCATED TO ITS SOUTHWEST WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. LAST WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM UNLESS REINTENSIFICATION.= ** WTIO21 FMEE 181224 *** METEO-FRANCE/CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 18/11/2009 A 1200 UTC. NUMERO: 018/04 (SUD-OUEST DE L'OCEAN INDIEN) VITESSES DU VENT MOYEN SUR 10 MINUTES EN NOEUDS (KT) (LES RAFALES SUR MER PEUVENT EXCEDER D'ENVIRON 40% LA VALEUR DU VENT MOYEN). PRESSION MINIMALE AU NIVEAU DE LA MER EN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (VALEUR INDICATIVE). AVERTISSEMENT DEBUT DE VALIDITE: MERCREDI 18/11/2009 A 1200 UTC. PHENOMENE: PERTURBATION TROPICALE 4 (EX-ANJA) 1003 HPA POSITION: DANS UN RAYON DE 20 MN AUTOUR DU POINT 22.9S / 67.1E (VINGT-DEUX DEGRES NEUF SUD ET SOIXANTE-SEPT DEGRES UN EST) A 1200 UTC DEPLACEMENT: SUD-SUD-EST 15 KT ZONES MENACEES: TEMPS A GRAINS DANS UN RAYON DE 40 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 500 MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD CIRCULATION A 25 KT ET MER FORTE ATTEIGNANT LOCALEMENT 30 KT DANS LE DEMI CERCLE EST. FORTES RAFALES SOUS GRAINS. PREVISIONS: POSITION ET INTENSITE PREVUES: A 12H POUR LE 19/11/2009 A 00 UTC: 26.9S / 71.1E, DEPR. SE COMBLANT. A 24H POUR LE 19/11/2009 A 12 UTC: 30.4S / 76.1E, SE DISSIPANT. INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES: EX-ANJA CONTINUE DE S'AFFAIBLIR ET EST PREVU FUSIONNER AVEC LE FRONT FROID APPROCHANT PAR LE SUD-OUEST AU COURS DES PROCHAINES 24 HEURES. DERNIER BULLETIN SUR CE SYSTEME SAUF REINTENSIFICATION.= ** WTIO20 FMEE 181224 *** SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 18/11/2009 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 018/04 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEAS LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: WEDNESDAY 18/11/2009 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 (EX-ANJA) 1003 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 22.9S / 67.1E (TWENTY TWO DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SEVEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-SOUTH-EAST 15 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 500 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. WINDS AT 25 KT NEAR THE CENTER REACHING LOCALLY 30 KT WITHIN THE EASTERN SEMI CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2009/11/19 AT 00 UTC: 26.9S / 71.1E, FILLING UP. 24H, VALID 2009/11/19 AT 12 UTC: 30.4S / 76.1E, DISSIPATING. OTHER INFORMATIONS: ANJA CONTINU TO WEAKEN AND IS EXPECTED TO MERGE WITH THE COLD FRONT LOCATED TO ITS SOUTHWEST WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. LAST WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM UNLESS REINTENSIFICATION.= ** WTIO30 FMEE 181224 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 18/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 (EX-ANJA) 2.A POSITION 2009/11/18 AT 1200 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 22.9S / 67.1E (TWENTY TWO DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SEVEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-EAST 15 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 1.5/2.0 /W 0.5/6 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1003 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : NIL 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1010 HPA / 600 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/19 00 UTC: 26.9S/71.1E FILLING UP. 24H: 2009/11/19 12 UTC: 30.4S/76.1E DISSIPATING. 36H: 2009/11/20 00 UTC: 33.8S/82.0E DISSIPATED. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=1.5 AND CI=2.0 THE STILL FAIRLY WELL DEFINED LOW LEVEL VORTEX IS NOW SPEEDING UP TOWARDS THE SOUTHSOUTHEAST WITHIN THE NORTHWESTERN FLOW AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT. CONVECTION HAS NOT RESTARTED OVER THE CENTER SINCE MORE THAN 12 HOURS, CONSEQUENTLY SYSTEM IS NOW DOWNGRADED TO THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE STATUS WITH MAX WINDS OF 25 KT. NO MAJOR CHANGE IN THE GENERAL PHILOSOPHY OF THE FORECAST: EX-ANJA SHOULD MERGE WITHIN THE COLD FRONT LOCATED TO ITS SOUTHWEST OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AN INTERESTING POINT TO NOTE IS THAT THIS KIND OF TRACK OF ANJA (PARABOLIC TRACK AND CYCLOLYSIS WITHIN THE EXTRATROPICAL AREA) IS VERY UNUSUAL FOR A NOVEMBER TC IN THE SWIO ... LAST ADVISORY ON THIS SYTEM UNLESS REINTENSIFICATION.= ** WTIO31 FMEE 181224 *** CMRS / CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BULLETIN D'ANALYSE ET DE PREVISION CYCLONIQUE (SUD-OUEST OCEAN INDIEN) 0.A NUMERO DU BULLETIN : 18/4/20092010 1.A PERTURBATION TROPICALE 4 (EX-ANJA) 2.A POSITION A 1200 UTC LE 18/11/2009 : DANS UN RAYON DE 20 MN AUTOUR DU POINT 22.9S / 67.1E (VINGT-DEUX DEGRES NEUF SUD ET SOIXANTE-SEPT DEGRES UN EST) DEPLACEMENT: SUD-SUD-EST 15 KT 3.A ANALYSE DE DVORAK : 1.5/2.0 /W 0.5/6 H 4.A PRESSION AU CENTRE : 1003 HPA 5.A VENT MAX (MOYEN/10 MN) : 25 KT RAYON DES VENTS MAXIMAUX (RVM) : NEANT 6.A EXTENSION DES VENTS PAR QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A COTE/DIAM PREMIERE ISOBARE FERMEE: 1010 HPA / 600 KM 8.A EXTENSION VERTICALE DE LA CIRCULATION CYCLONIQUE: FAIBLE 1.B PREVISIONS: 12H: 19/11/2009 00 UTC: 26.9S/71.1E DEPR. SE COMBLANT. 24H: 19/11/2009 12 UTC: 30.4S/76.1E SE DISSIPANT. 36H: 20/11/2009 00 UTC: 33.8S/82.0E DISSIPE. 2.B COMMENTAIRES: T=1.5 ET CI=2.0 LE VORTEX DE BASSES COUCHES ENCORE ASSEZ BIEN DEFINI EST ENTRAIN D'ACCELERER EN DIRECTION DU SUD-SUD-EST AU SEIN DU FLUX DE NORD-OUEST PRESENT A L'AVANT DU FRONT FROID. LA CONVECTION N'AYANT PAS REPRIS AU-DESSUS DU CENTRE DEPUIS PLUS DE 12 HEURES, L'INTENSITE DU SYSTEME EST MAINTENANT ESTIMEE AU STADE DE PERTURBATION TROPICALE AVEC DES VENTS VENTS MAX A 25 KT. PEU DE CHANGEMENT DANS LA PHILOSOPHIE DE LA PREVISION DE TRAJECTOIRE: LE SYSTEME DEVRAIT FUSIONNER AVEC LE FRONT FROID SITUE DANS SON SUD-OUEST AU COURS DES PROCHAINES 24 HEURES. IL EST A NOTER QUE LA TRAJECTOIRE D'ANJA (TRAJECTOIRE PARABOLIQUE ET CYCLOLYSE EN DOMAINE EXTRATROPICAL) EST UN FAIT TRES INHABITUEL POUR UN CYCLONE DE NOVEMBRE DANS LE SUD-OUEST DE L'OCEAN INDIEN ... DERNIER BULLETIN SUR CE SYSTEME SAUF REINTENSIFICATION.= ** WTIO30 FMEE 181224 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 18/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 (EX-ANJA) 2.A POSITION 2009/11/18 AT 1200 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 22.9S / 67.1E (TWENTY TWO DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SEVEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-EAST 15 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 1.5/2.0 /W 0.5/6 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1003 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : NIL 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1010 HPA / 600 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/19 00 UTC: 26.9S/71.1E FILLING UP. 24H: 2009/11/19 12 UTC: 30.4S/76.1E DISSIPATING. 36H: 2009/11/20 00 UTC: 33.8S/82.0E DISSIPATED. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=1.5 AND CI=2.0 THE STILL FAIRLY WELL DEFINED LOW LEVEL VORTEX IS NOW SPEEDING UP TOWARDS THE SOUTHSOUTHEAST WITHIN THE NORTHWESTERN FLOW AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT. CONVECTION HAS NOT RESTARTED OVER THE CENTER SINCE MORE THAN 12 HOURS, CONSEQUENTLY SYSTEM IS NOW DOWNGRADED TO THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE STATUS WITH MAX WINDS OF 25 KT. NO MAJOR CHANGE IN THE GENERAL PHILOSOPHY OF THE FORECAST: EX-ANJA SHOULD MERGE WITHIN THE COLD FRONT LOCATED TO ITS SOUTHWEST OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AN INTERESTING POINT TO NOTE IS THAT THIS KIND OF TRACK OF ANJA (PARABOLIC TRACK AND CYCLOLYSIS WITHIN THE EXTRATROPICAL AREA) IS VERY UNUSUAL FOR A NOVEMBER TC IN THE SWIO ... LAST ADVISORY ON THIS SYTEM UNLESS REINTENSIFICATION.= ** WTIO20 FMEE 181224 *** SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 18/11/2009 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 018/04 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40? STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEAS LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: WEDNESDAY 18/11/2009 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 (EX-ANJA) 1003 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 22.9S / 67.1E (TWENTY TWO DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SEVEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-SOUTH-EAST 15 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 500 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. WINDS AT 25 KT NEAR THE CENTER REACHING LOCALLY 30 KT WITHIN THE EASTERN SEMI CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2009/11/19 AT 00 UTC: 26.9S / 71.1E, FILLING UP. 24H, VALID 2009/11/19 AT 12 UTC: 30.4S / 76.1E, DISSIPATING. OTHER INFORMATIONS: ANJA CONTINU TO WEAKEN AND IS EXPECTED TO MERGE WITH THE COLD FRONT LOCATED TO ITS SOUTHWEST WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. LAST WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM UNLESS REINTENSIFICATION.= ** WTIO30 FMEE 181224 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 18/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 (EX-ANJA) 2.A POSITION 2009/11/18 AT 1200 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 22.9S / 67.1E (TWENTY TWO DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SEVEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-EAST 15 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 1.5/2.0 /W 0.5/6 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1003 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : NIL 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1010 HPA / 600 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/19 00 UTC: 26.9S/71.1E FILLING UP. 24H: 2009/11/19 12 UTC: 30.4S/76.1E DISSIPATING. 36H: 2009/11/20 00 UTC: 33.8S/82.0E DISSIPATED. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=1.5 AND CI=2.0 THE STILL FAIRLY WELL DEFINED LOW LEVEL VORTEX IS NOW SPEEDING UP TOWARDS THE SOUTHSOUTHEAST WITHIN THE NORTHWESTERN FLOW AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT. CONVECTION HAS NOT RESTARTED OVER THE CENTER SINCE MORE THAN 12 HOURS, CONSEQUENTLY SYSTEM IS NOW DOWNGRADED TO THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE STATUS WITH MAX WINDS OF 25 KT. NO MAJOR CHANGE IN THE GENERAL PHILOSOPHY OF THE FORECAST: EX-ANJA SHOULD MERGE WITHIN THE COLD FRONT LOCATED TO ITS SOUTHWEST OVER THE NEXT END OF PART ONE ** WTIO21 FMEE 181224 *** METEO-FRANCE/CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 18/11/2009 A 1200 UTC. NUMERO: 018/04 (SUD-OUEST DE L'OCEAN INDIEN) VITESSES DU VENT MOYEN SUR 10 MINUTES EN NOEUDS (KT) (LES RAFALES SUR MER PEUVENT EXCEDER D'ENVIRON 40? LA VALEUR DU VENT MOYEN). PRESSION MINIMALE AU NIVEAU DE LA MER EN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (VALEUR INDICATIVE). AVERTISSEMENT DEBUT DE VALIDITE: MERCREDI 18/11/2009 A 1200 UTC. PHENOMENE: PERTURBATION TROPICALE 4 (EX-ANJA) 1003 HPA POSITION: DANS UN RAYON DE 20 MN AUTOUR DU POINT 22.9S / 67.1E (VINGT-DEUX DEGRES NEUF SUD ET SOIXANTE-SEPT DEGRES UN EST) A 1200 UTC DEPLACEMENT: SUD-SUD-EST 15 KT ZONES MENACEES: TEMPS A GRAINS DANS UN RAYON DE 40 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 500 MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD CIRCULATION A 25 KT ET MER FORTE ATTEIGNANT LOCALEMENT 30 KT DANS LE DEMI CERCLE EST. FORTES RAFALES SOUS GRAINS. PREVISIONS: POSITION ET INTENSITE PREVUES: A 12H POUR LE 19/11/2009 A 00 UTC: 26.9S / 71.1E, DEPR. SE COMBLANT. A 24H POUR LE 19/11/2009 A 12 UTC: 30.4S / 76.1E, SE DISSIPANT. INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES: EX-ANJA CONTINUE DE S'AFFAIBLIR ET EST PREVU FUSIONNER AVEC LE FRONT FROID APPROCHANT PAR LE SUD-OUEST AU COURS DES PROCHAINES 24 HEURES. DERNIER BULLETIN SUR CE SYSTEME SAUF REINTENSIFICATION.= ** WTIO31 FMEE 181224 *** CMRS / CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BULLETIN D'ANALYSE ET DE PREVISION CYCLONIQUE (SUD-OUEST OCEAN INDIEN) 0.A NUMERO DU BULLETIN : 18/4/20092010 1.A PERTURBATION TROPICALE 4 (EX-ANJA) 2.A POSITION A 1200 UTC LE 18/11/2009 : DANS UN RAYON DE 20 MN AUTOUR DU POINT 22.9S / 67.1E (VINGT-DEUX DEGRES NEUF SUD ET SOIXANTE-SEPT DEGRES UN EST) DEPLACEMENT: SUD-SUD-EST 15 KT 3.A ANALYSE DE DVORAK : 1.5/2.0 /W 0.5/6 H 4.A PRESSION AU CENTRE : 1003 HPA 5.A VENT MAX (MOYEN/10 MN) : 25 KT RAYON DES VENTS MAXIMAUX (RVM) : NEANT 6.A EXTENSION DES VENTS PAR QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A COTE/DIAM PREMIERE ISOBARE FERMEE: 1010 HPA / 600 KM 8.A EXTENSION VERTICALE DE LA CIRCULATION CYCLONIQUE: FAIBLE 1.B PREVISIONS: 12H: 19/11/2009 00 UTC: 26.9S/71.1E DEPR. SE COMBLANT. 24H: 19/11/2009 12 UTC: 30.4S/76.1E SE DISSIPANT. 36H: 20/11/2009 00 UTC: 33.8S/82.0E DISSIPE. 2.B COMMENTAIRES: T=1.5 ET CI=2.0 LE VORTEX DE BASSES COUCHES ENCORE ASSEZ BIEN DEFINI EST ENTRAIN D'ACCELERER EN DIRECTION DU SUD-SUD-EST AU SEIN DU FLUX DE NORD-OUEST PRESENT A L'AVANT DU FRONT FROID. LA CONVECTION N'AYANT PAS REPRIS AU-DESSUS DU CENTRE DEPUIS PLUS DE 12 HEURES, L'INTENSITE DU SYSTEME EST MAINTENANT ESTIMEE AU STADE DE PERTURBATION TROPICALE AVEC DES VENTS VENTS MAX A 25 KT. PEU DE CHANGEMENT DANS LA PHILOSOPHIE DE LA PREVISION DE TRAJECTOIRE: LE SYSTEME DEVRAIT FUSIONNER AVEC LE FRONT FROID SITUE DANS SON END OF PART ONE ** WTXS31 PGTW 181500 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S (ANJA) WARNING NR 010// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S (ANJA) WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 181200Z --- NEAR 22.9S 67.1E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 150 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL REPEAT POSIT: 22.9S 67.1E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z --- 26.5S 70.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 181500Z POSITION NEAR 23.8S 68.0E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01S (ANJA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 645 NM EAST- SOUTHEAST OF LA REUNION, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. 12 HOURS AGO, ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALED THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) PREVIOUSLY THOUGHT TO BE ACCELERATING SOUTHEASTWARD, WAS ACTUALLY FULLY EXPOSED AND LOCATED FURTHER TO THE WEST. ACCORDINGLY, THE CURRENT FORWARD MOTION OF 14 KNOTS IS SLOWER THAN REPORTED AT 171800Z (REPORTED AS 20 KNOTS DUE TO ERRONEOUSLY CHASING THE SYSTEM'S CONVECTION TO THE SOUTHEAST) THOUGH THE SYSTEM IS NOW ACCELERATING SOUTHEASTWARD AS PREVIOUSLY EXPECTED. ADDITIONALLY, THE CURRENT INTENSITY OF 30 KNOTS (SUPPORTED BY A 180206Z QUIKSCAT PASS DEPICTING 30-KNOT UNFLAGGED WINDS) IS LOWER THAN THE PREVIOUS 181200Z FORECAST INTENSITY OF 40 KNOTS SINCE THE LLCC WAS FOUND TO BE FULLY EXPOSED AND THE DVORAK ESTIMATES INFLATED. TC ANJA IS CURRENTLY SOUTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS AND TRACKING IN AN AREA OF HOSTILE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WITH UNFAVORABLE SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. THE SYSTEM HAS STARTED TO INTERACT WITH THE BAROCLINIC ZONE AND WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK SOUTHEASTWARD AS IT COMPLETES EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION INTO A WEAK BAROCLINIC SYSTEM OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVMARFCSTCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181200Z IS 12 FEET.// ** WTXS51 PGTW 181500 *** WARNING ATCP MIL 01S SIO 091118130148 2009111812 01S ANJA 010 01 150 14 SATL 040 T000 229S 0671E 030 T012 265S 0707E 025 AMP 000HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL 012HR EXTRATROPICAL SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S (ANJA) WARNING NR 010 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S (ANJA) WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 181200Z --- NEAR 22.9S 67.1E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 150 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL REPEAT POSIT: 22.9S 67.1E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z --- 26.5S 70.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 181500Z POSITION NEAR 23.8S 68.0E. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVMARFCSTCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONI- TORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181200Z IS 12 FEET. // 0109111318 114S 715E 30 0109111400 120S 712E 30 0109111406 126S 710E 40 0109111412 127S 709E 45 0109111418 128S 707E 55 0109111418 128S 707E 55 0109111500 130S 705E 90 0109111500 130S 705E 90 0109111500 130S 705E 90 0109111506 131S 703E 100 0109111506 131S 703E 100 0109111506 131S 703E 100 0109111512 132S 699E 105 0109111512 132S 699E 105 0109111512 132S 699E 105 0109111518 132S 695E 105 0109111518 132S 695E 105 0109111518 132S 695E 105 0109111600 135S 692E 105 0109111600 135S 692E 105 0109111600 135S 692E 105 0109111606 140S 689E 105 0109111606 140S 689E 105 0109111606 140S 689E 105 0109111612 147S 683E 105 0109111612 147S 683E 105 0109111612 147S 683E 105 0109111618 155S 679E 105 0109111618 155S 679E 105 0109111618 155S 679E 105 0109111700 165S 674E 105 0109111700 165S 674E 105 0109111700 165S 674E 105 0109111706 173S 670E 90 0109111706 173S 670E 90 0109111706 173S 670E 90 0109111712 184S 667E 75 0109111712 184S 667E 75 0109111712 184S 667E 75 0109111718 197S 668E 65 0109111718 197S 668E 65 0109111800 211S 663E 55 0109111800 211S 663E 55 0109111806 217S 664E 45 0109111812 229S 671E 30