** WTIO20 FMEE 180010 *** SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 18/11/2009 AT 0000 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 016/04 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). STORM WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: WEDNESDAY 18/11/2009 AT 0000 UTC. PHENOMENON: SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 4 (ANJA) 985 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 20.4S / 65.3E (TWENTY DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FIVE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 10 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STORM FORCE WINDS 50 KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 10 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 60 NM IN THE NORTHEASTERN QUADRANT AND UP TO 80 MN IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 80 NM IN THE NORTHEASTERN QUADRANT AND UP TO 120 MN IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2009/11/18 AT 12 UTC: 22.8S / 66.1E, MAX WIND = 35 KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM. 24H, VALID 2009/11/19 AT 00 UTC: 26.8S / 69.4E, MAX WIND = 35 KT, BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL. OTHER INFORMATIONS: ANJA IS WEAKENING RAPIDLY AND IS EXPECTED EVACUATING TOWARDS THE EXTRATROPICAL LATITUDES.= ** WTIO21 FMEE 180010 *** METEO-FRANCE/CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 18/11/2009 A 0000 UTC. NUMERO: 016/04 (SUD-OUEST DE L'OCEAN INDIEN) VITESSES DU VENT MOYEN SUR 10 MINUTES EN NOEUDS (KT) (LES RAFALES SUR MER PEUVENT EXCEDER D'ENVIRON 40% LA VALEUR DU VENT MOYEN). PRESSION MINIMALE AU NIVEAU DE LA MER EN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (VALEUR INDICATIVE). AVIS DE TEMPETE DEBUT DE VALIDITE: MERCREDI 18/11/2009 A 0000 UTC. PHENOMENE: FORTE TEMPETE TROPICALE 4 (ANJA) 985 HPA POSITION: DANS UN RAYON DE 40 MN AUTOUR DU POINT 20.4S / 65.3E (VINGTS DEGRES QUATRE SUD ET SOIXANTE-CINQ DEGRES TROIS EST) A 0000 UTC DEPLACEMENT: SUD-SUD-OUEST 10 KT ZONES MENACEES: TEMPS A GRAINS DANS UN RAYON DE 50 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 250 MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD-EST. TEMPETE 50 KT ET MER GROSSE A TRES GROSSE DANS UN RAYON DE 10 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE. COUP DE VENT 35/45 KT ET MER TRES FORTE A GROSSE DANS UN RAYON DE 20 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 60 MN DANS LE QUADRANT NORD-EST ET JUSQU'A 80 MN DANS LE QUADRANT SUD-EST . GRAND FRAIS 30KT ET MER FORTE A TRES FORTE DANS UN RAYON DE 30 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 80 MN DANS LE QUADRANT NORD-EST ET JUSQU'A 120 MN DANS LE QUADRANT SUD-EST . FORTES RAFALES SOUS GRAINS. PREVISIONS: POSITION ET INTENSITE PREVUES: A 12H POUR LE 18/11/2009 A 12 UTC: 22.8S / 66.1E, VENT MAX = 35 KT, TEMP. TROP. MODEREE. A 24H POUR LE 19/11/2009 A 00 UTC: 26.8S / 69.4E, VENT MAX = 35 KT, DEVENANT EXTRATROPICAL. INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES: ANJA S'AFFAIBLIT RAPIDEMENT ET EST PREVU S'EVACUER RAPIDEMENT VERS LES LATITUDES EXTRATROPICALE.= ** WTIO20 FMEE 180010 *** SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 18/11/2009 AT 0000 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 016/04 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). STORM WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: WEDNESDAY 18/11/2009 AT 0000 UTC. PHENOMENON: SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 4 (ANJA) 985 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 20.4S / 65.3E (TWENTY DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FIVE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 10 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STORM FORCE WINDS 50 KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 10 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 60 NM IN THE NORTHEASTERN QUADRANT AND UP TO 80 MN IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 80 NM IN THE NORTHEASTERN QUADRANT AND UP TO 120 MN IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2009/11/18 AT 12 UTC: 22.8S / 66.1E, MAX WIND = 35 KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM. 24H, VALID 2009/11/19 AT 00 UTC: 26.8S / 69.4E, MAX WIND = 35 KT, BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL. OTHER INFORMATIONS: ANJA IS WEAKENING RAPIDLY AND IS EXPECTED EVACUATING TOWARDS THE EXTRATROPICAL LATITUDES.= ** WTIO31 FMEE 180012 *** CMRS / CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BULLETIN D'ANALYSE ET DE PREVISION CYCLONIQUE (SUD-OUEST OCEAN INDIEN) 0.A NUMERO DU BULLETIN : 16/4/20092010 1.A FORTE TEMPETE TROPICALE 4 (ANJA) 2.A POSITION A 0000 UTC LE 18/11/2009 : DANS UN RAYON DE 40 MN AUTOUR DU POINT 20.4S / 65.3E (VINGTS DEGRES QUATRE SUD ET SOIXANTE-CINQ DEGRES TROIS EST) DEPLACEMENT: SUD-SUD-OUEST 10 KT 3.A ANALYSE DE DVORAK : 2.5/3.5 /W 2.5/24 H 4.A PRESSION AU CENTRE : 985 HPA 5.A VENT MAX (MOYEN/10 MN) : 50 KT RAYON DES VENTS MAXIMAUX (RVM) : 15 KM 6.A EXTENSION DES VENTS PAR QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 140 SE: 210 SO: 050 NO: 050 50 KT NE: 015 SE: 015 SO: 015 NO: 015 7.A COTE/DIAM PREMIERE ISOBARE FERMEE: 1008 HPA / 500 KM 8.A EXTENSION VERTICALE DE LA CIRCULATION CYCLONIQUE: MOYENNE 1.B PREVISIONS: 12H: 18/11/2009 12 UTC: 22.8S/66.1E, VENT MAX=035KT, TEMP. TROP. MODEREE. 24H: 19/11/2009 00 UTC: 26.8S/69.4E, VENT MAX=035KT, DEVENANT EXTRATROPICAL. 36H: 19/11/2009 12 UTC: 30.5S/75.4E, VENT MAX=030KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 48H: 20/11/2009 00 UTC: 35.1S/80.7E, VENT MAX=025KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 60H: 20/11/2009 12 UTC: 37.2S/85.1E, VENT MAX=020KT, SE DISSIPANT. 2.B COMMENTAIRES: T=2.5+ ET CI=3.5 LE RENFORCEMENT DU CISAILLEMENT VERTICAL DE VENT DE NORD-OUEST A TOTALEMENT DESORGANISE LA STRUCTURE CONVECTIVE RESIDUELLE DU SYSTEME. EN L'ABSENCE DE CENTRE CLAIR SUR LES IMAGES SATELLITES RECENTES (MICRO-ONDES OU INFRAROUGES) , LA POSITION DU CENTRE ESTIME EST TRES APPROXIMATIVE ET POURRAIT ETRE RELOCALISEE AU PROCHAIN BULLETIN. LA STRUCTURE DES VENTS EST TRES DISSYMETRIQUE ET LES VENTS LES PLUS FORTS S'ETENDENT PRINCIPALEMENT DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE EST. ANJA EST PREVU PROCHAINEMENT RECOURBER VERS LE SUD PUIS S'EVACUER VERS LE SUD-EST. LE SYSTEME DEVRAIT EFFECTUER SA TRANSITION EXTROPICAL AU SEIN DU TALWEG POLAIRE QUI TRANSITE AU SUD PUIS S'Y DISSIPER D'ICI 48 A 72H.= ** WTIO20 FMEE 180010 *** SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 18/11/2009 AT 0000 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 016/04 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40? STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). STORM WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: WEDNESDAY 18/11/2009 AT 0000 UTC. PHENOMENON: SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 4 (ANJA) 985 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 20.4S / 65.3E (TWENTY DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FIVE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 10 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STORM FORCE WINDS 50 KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 10 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 60 NM IN THE NORTHEASTERN QUADRANT AND UP TO 80 MN IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 80 NM IN THE NORTHEASTERN QUADRANT AND UP TO 120 MN IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2009/11/18 AT 12 UTC: 22.8S / 66.1E, MAX WIND = END OF PART ONE ** WTIO21 FMEE 180010 *** METEO-FRANCE/CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 18/11/2009 A 0000 UTC. NUMERO: 016/04 (SUD-OUEST DE L'OCEAN INDIEN) VITESSES DU VENT MOYEN SUR 10 MINUTES EN NOEUDS (KT) (LES RAFALES SUR MER PEUVENT EXCEDER D'ENVIRON 40? LA VALEUR DU VENT MOYEN). PRESSION MINIMALE AU NIVEAU DE LA MER EN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (VALEUR INDICATIVE). AVIS DE TEMPETE DEBUT DE VALIDITE: MERCREDI 18/11/2009 A 0000 UTC. PHENOMENE: FORTE TEMPETE TROPICALE 4 (ANJA) 985 HPA POSITION: DANS UN RAYON DE 40 MN AUTOUR DU POINT 20.4S / 65.3E (VINGTS DEGRES QUATRE SUD ET SOIXANTE-CINQ DEGRES TROIS EST) A 0000 UTC DEPLACEMENT: SUD-SUD-OUEST 10 KT ZONES MENACEES: TEMPS A GRAINS DANS UN RAYON DE 50 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 250 MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD-EST. TEMPETE 50 KT ET MER GROSSE A TRES GROSSE DANS UN RAYON DE 10 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE. COUP DE VENT 35/45 KT ET MER TRES FORTE A GROSSE DANS UN RAYON DE 20 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 60 MN DANS LE QUADRANT NORD-EST ET JUSQU'A 80 MN DANS LE QUADRANT SUD-EST . GRAND FRAIS 30KT ET MER FORTE A TRES FORTE DANS UN RAYON DE 30 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 80 MN DANS LE QUADRANT NORD-EST ET JUSQU'A 120 MN DANS LE QUADRANT SUD-EST . FORTES RAFALES SOUS GRAINS. PREVISIONS: POSITION ET INTENSITE PREVUES: A 12H POUR LE 18/11/2009 A 12 UTC: 22.8S / 66.1E, VENT MAX = 35 KT, TEMP. TROP. MODEREE. A 24H POUR LE 19/11/2009 A 00 UTC: 26.8S / 69.4E, VENT MAX = END OF PART ONE ** WTIO30 FMEE 180012 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 16/4/20092010 1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 4 (ANJA) 2.A POSITION 2009/11/18 AT 0000 UTC : WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 20.4S / 65.3E (TWENTY DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FIVE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 10 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/3.5 /W 2.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 985 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 50 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 15 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 140 SE: 210 SO: 050 NO: 050 50 KT NE: 015 SE: 015 SO: 015 NO: 015 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 500 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/18 12 UTC: 22.8S/66.1E, MAX WIND=035KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 24H: 2009/11/19 00 UTC: 26.8S/69.4E, MAX WIND=035KT, BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL. 36H: 2009/11/19 12 UTC: 30.5S/75.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 48H: 2009/11/20 00 UTC: 35.1S/80.7E, MAX WIND=025KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 60H: 2009/11/20 12 UTC: 37.2S/85.1E, MAX WIND=020KT, DISSIPATING. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=2.5+ AND CI=3.5 NORTHWESTERLY INCREASING VERTICAL WINDSHEAR HAS TOTALLY DISORGANIZED THE RESIDUAL DEEP CONVECTIVE STRUCTURE. DUE TO LACK OF CLEAR LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER ON RECENT MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY (MICROWAVE OR INFRARED), THE LOCATION OF THE ESTIMATED CENTER IS VERY APPROXIMATELY AND WILL PROBABLY BE RELOCATED ON NEXT ADVISORY. ANJA'S WINDS STUCTURE IS VERY ASSYMETRIC AND STRONGEST WINDS EXTEND MAINLY FAR IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. SYSTEM IS SOON EXPECTED TO RECURVE SOUTHWARDS THEN TO EVACUATE SOUTHEASTWARDS. SYSTEM SHOULD MAKE ITS EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION WITHIN THE POLAR TROUGH TRANSITING IN ITS SOUTH AND THEN DISSIPATE WITHIN TAU 48 TO 72H.= ** WTIO30 FMEE 180012 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 16/4/20092010 1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 4 (ANJA) 2.A POSITION 2009/11/18 AT 0000 UTC : WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 20.4S / 65.3E (TWENTY DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FIVE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 10 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/3.5 /W 2.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 985 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 50 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 15 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 140 SE: 210 SO: 050 NO: 050 50 KT NE: 015 SE: 015 SO: 015 NO: 015 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 500 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/18 12 UTC: 22.8S/66.1E, MAX WIND=035KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 24H: 2009/11/19 00 UTC: 26.8S/69.4E, MAX WIND=035KT, BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL. 36H: 2009/11/19 12 UTC: 30.5S/75.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 48H: 2009/11/20 00 UTC: 35.1S/80.7E, MAX WIND=025KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 60H: 2009/11/20 12 UTC: 37.2S/85.1E, MAX WIND=020KT, DISSIPATING. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=2.5+ AND CI=3.5 NORTHWESTERLY INCREASING VERTICAL WINDSHEAR HAS TOTALLY DISORGANIZED THE RESIDUAL DEEP CONVECTIVE STRUCTURE. DUE TO LACK OF CLEAR LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER ON RECENT END OF PART ONE ** WTIO31 FMEE 180012 *** CMRS / CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BULLETIN D'ANALYSE ET DE PREVISION CYCLONIQUE (SUD-OUEST OCEAN INDIEN) 0.A NUMERO DU BULLETIN : 16/4/20092010 1.A FORTE TEMPETE TROPICALE 4 (ANJA) 2.A POSITION A 0000 UTC LE 18/11/2009 : DANS UN RAYON DE 40 MN AUTOUR DU POINT 20.4S / 65.3E (VINGTS DEGRES QUATRE SUD ET SOIXANTE-CINQ DEGRES TROIS EST) DEPLACEMENT: SUD-SUD-OUEST 10 KT 3.A ANALYSE DE DVORAK : 2.5/3.5 /W 2.5/24 H 4.A PRESSION AU CENTRE : 985 HPA 5.A VENT MAX (MOYEN/10 MN) : 50 KT RAYON DES VENTS MAXIMAUX (RVM) : 15 KM 6.A EXTENSION DES VENTS PAR QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 140 SE: 210 SO: 050 NO: 050 50 KT NE: 015 SE: 015 SO: 015 NO: 015 7.A COTE/DIAM PREMIERE ISOBARE FERMEE: 1008 HPA / 500 KM 8.A EXTENSION VERTICALE DE LA CIRCULATION CYCLONIQUE: MOYENNE 1.B PREVISIONS: 12H: 18/11/2009 12 UTC: 22.8S/66.1E, VENT MAX=035KT, TEMP. TROP. MODEREE. 24H: 19/11/2009 00 UTC: 26.8S/69.4E, VENT MAX=035KT, DEVENANT EXTRATROPICAL. 36H: 19/11/2009 12 UTC: 30.5S/75.4E, VENT MAX=030KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 48H: 20/11/2009 00 UTC: 35.1S/80.7E, VENT MAX=025KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 60H: 20/11/2009 12 UTC: 37.2S/85.1E, VENT MAX=020KT, SE DISSIPANT. 2.B COMMENTAIRES: T=2.5+ ET CI=3.5 LE RENFORCEMENT DU CISAILLEMENT VERTICAL DE VENT DE NORD-OUEST A TOTALEMENT DESORGANISE LA STRUCTURE CONVECTIVE RESIDUELLE DU SYSTEME. EN L'ABSENCE DE CENTRE CLAIR SUR LES IMAGES SATELLITES RECENTES END OF PART ONE ** WTXS31 PGTW 180300 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S (ANJA) WARNING NR 009// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S (ANJA) WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTH IO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 180000Z --- NEAR 21.4S 67.5E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 155 DEGREES AT 20 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 21.4S 67.5E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z --- 25.3S 70.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 26 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z --- 29.2S 74.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 180300Z POSITION NEAR 22.4S 68.1E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01S (ANJA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 560 NM EAST OF PORT LOUIS HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 20 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS BECOME SHEARED AND ELONGATED TOWARDS THE SOUTHEAST. THE CURRENT POSITION WAS DETERMINED FROM THE ABOVE ANIMATION AND AIDED BY A 172059Z AMSU-B MICROWAVE PASS. THE INTENSITY WAS DEDUCED FROM THE DVORAK ESTIMATES OF PGTW, KNES AND FMEE. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES TC 01S HAS RECURVED TO THE SOUTH OF THE RIDGE AXIS IN RESPONSE TO AN APPROACHING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH TO THE WEST. AS A RESULT, THE SYSTEM HAS BEGUN TO ACCELERATE TOWARDS THE BAROCLINIC ZONE AND COMMENCED EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION (ET). ADDITIONALLY, ALONG-TRACK SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE NOW BELOW 26 DEGREES CELSIUS AND DECREASING. TC ANJA WILL CONTINUE ACCELERATING TO THE SOUTHEAST, WEAKEN AND COMPLETE ET BY TAU 24. THE LIMITED AVAILABLE NUMERIC GUIDANCE ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THIS TRACK FORECAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180000Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNING IS AT 181500Z.// ** WTXS51 PGTW 180300 *** WARNING ATCP MIL 01S SIO 091118003640 2009111800 01S ANJA 009 01 155 20 SATL 060 T000 214S 0675E 055 R050 050 NE QD 055 SE QD 045 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 105 SE QD 095 SW QD 080 NW QD T012 253S 0700E 040 R034 080 NE QD 085 SE QD 065 SW QD 055 NW QD T024 292S 0740E 025 AMP 012HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL 024HR EXTRATROPICAL SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S (ANJA) WARNING NR 009 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S (ANJA) WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 180000Z --- NEAR 21.4S 67.5E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 155 DEGREES AT 20 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 21.4S 67.5E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z --- 25.3S 70.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 26 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z --- 29.2S 74.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 180300Z POSITION NEAR 22.4S 68.1E. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180000Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 181500Z. // 0109111318 114S 715E 30 0109111400 120S 712E 30 0109111406 126S 710E 40 0109111412 127S 709E 45 0109111418 128S 707E 55 0109111418 128S 707E 55 0109111500 130S 705E 90 0109111500 130S 705E 90 0109111500 130S 705E 90 0109111506 131S 703E 100 0109111506 131S 703E 100 0109111506 131S 703E 100 0109111512 132S 699E 105 0109111512 132S 699E 105 0109111512 132S 699E 105 0109111518 132S 695E 105 0109111518 132S 695E 105 0109111518 132S 695E 105 0109111600 135S 692E 105 0109111600 135S 692E 105 0109111600 135S 692E 105 0109111606 140S 689E 105 0109111606 140S 689E 105 0109111606 140S 689E 105 0109111612 147S 683E 105 0109111612 147S 683E 105 0109111612 147S 683E 105 0109111618 155S 679E 105 0109111618 155S 679E 105 0109111618 155S 679E 105 0109111700 165S 674E 105 0109111700 165S 674E 105 0109111700 165S 674E 105 0109111706 173S 670E 90 0109111706 173S 670E 90 0109111706 173S 670E 90 0109111712 184S 667E 75 0109111712 184S 667E 75 0109111712 184S 667E 75 0109111718 196S 666E 60 0109111718 196S 666E 60 0109111800 214S 675E 55 0109111800 214S 675E 55