** WTNT80 EGRR 140600 *** MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 14.11.2009 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ANALYSED OR FORECAST TO DEVELOP IN THIS AREA IN THE NEXT THREE DAYS THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 140434 ** WTIO20 FMEE 140629 *** SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 14/11/2009 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 001/04 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SATURDAY 14/11/2009 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 1002 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 150NM RADIUS TO THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 500NM IN THE EASTERN QUADRANT. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 25KT AND ROUGH SEAS. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2009/11/14 AT 18 UTC: 13.5S / 71.4E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H, VALID 2009/11/15 AT 06 UTC: 14.0S / 71.7E, MAX WIND = 40 KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM HAS DEEPEN RAPIDLY DURING THE LAST HOURS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE FAVOURABLE FOR AN INTENSIFICATION. THE DISTURBANCE IS EXPECTED TO TRACK GENERALLY SOUTHWARD WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.= ** WTIO21 FMEE 140629 *** METEO-FRANCE/CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 14/11/2009 A 0600 UTC. NUMERO: 001/04 (SUD-OUEST DE L'OCEAN INDIEN) VITESSES DU VENT MOYEN SUR 10 MINUTES EN NOEUDS (KT) (LES RAFALES SUR MER PEUVENT EXCEDER D'ENVIRON 40% LA VALEUR DU VENT MOYEN). PRESSION MINIMALE AU NIVEAU DE LA MER EN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (VALEUR INDICATIVE). AVERTISSEMENT DEBUT DE VALIDITE: SAMEDI 14/11/2009 A 0600 UTC. PHENOMENE: PERTURBATION TROPICALE 4 1002 HPA POSITION: DANS UN RAYON DE 20 MN AUTOUR DU POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (DOUZE DEGRES HUIT SUD ET SOIXANTE ET ONZE DEGRES TROIS EST) A 0600 UTC DEPLACEMENT: SUD-SUD-OUEST 4 KT ZONES MENACEES: TEMPS A GRAINS DANS UN RAYON DE 150MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 500MN DANS LE SECTEUR EST. CIRCULATION DEPRESSIONNAIRE 25KT ET MER FORTE. FORTES RAFALES SOUS GRAINS. PREVISIONS: POSITION ET INTENSITE PREVUES: A 12H POUR LE 14/11/2009 A 18 UTC: 13.5S / 71.4E, VENT MAX = 30 KT, DEPR. TROPICALE. A 24H POUR LE 15/11/2009 A 06 UTC: 14.0S / 71.7E, VENT MAX = 40 KT, TEMP. TROP. MODEREE. INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES: LE SYSTEME S'EST INTENSIFIE RAPIDEMENT AU COURS DES DERNIERES HEURES. LES CONDITIONS SONT FAVORABLES A UNE INTENSIFICATION. LA PERTURBATION DEVRAIT SE DEPLACER GLOBALEMENT VERS LE SUD DANS LES PROCHAINES 24 HEURES.= ** WTIO20 FMEE 140629 *** SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 14/11/2009 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 001/04 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SATURDAY 14/11/2009 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 1002 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 150NM RADIUS TO THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 500NM IN THE EASTERN QUADRANT. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 25KT AND ROUGH SEAS. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2009/11/14 AT 18 UTC: 13.5S / 71.4E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H, VALID 2009/11/15 AT 06 UTC: 14.0S / 71.7E, MAX WIND = 40 KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM HAS DEEPEN RAPIDLY DURING THE LAST HOURS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE FAVOURABLE FOR AN INTENSIFICATION. THE DISTURBANCE IS EXPECTED TO TRACK GENERALLY SOUTHWARD WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.= ** WTIO20 FMEE 140629 *** SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 14/11/2009 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 001/04 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40? STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SATURDAY 14/11/2009 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 1002 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 150NM RADIUS TO THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 500NM IN THE EASTERN QUADRANT. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 25KT AND ROUGH SEAS. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2009/11/14 AT 18 UTC: 13.5S / 71.4E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H, VALID 2009/11/15 AT 06 UTC: 14.0S / 71.7E, MAX WIND = 40 KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM HAS DEEPEN RAPIDLY DURING THE LAST HOURS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE FAVOURABLE FOR AN INTENSIFICATION. THE DISTURBANCE IS EXPECTED TO TRACK GENERALLY SOUTHWARD WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.= ** WTIO21 FMEE 140629 *** METEO-FRANCE/CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 14/11/2009 A 0600 UTC. NUMERO: 001/04 (SUD-OUEST DE L'OCEAN INDIEN) VITESSES DU VENT MOYEN SUR 10 MINUTES EN NOEUDS (KT) (LES RAFALES SUR MER PEUVENT EXCEDER D'ENVIRON 40? LA VALEUR DU VENT MOYEN). PRESSION MINIMALE AU NIVEAU DE LA MER EN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (VALEUR INDICATIVE). AVERTISSEMENT DEBUT DE VALIDITE: SAMEDI 14/11/2009 A 0600 UTC. PHENOMENE: PERTURBATION TROPICALE 4 1002 HPA POSITION: DANS UN RAYON DE 20 MN AUTOUR DU POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (DOUZE DEGRES HUIT SUD ET SOIXANTE ET ONZE DEGRES TROIS EST) A 0600 UTC DEPLACEMENT: SUD-SUD-OUEST 4 KT ZONES MENACEES: TEMPS A GRAINS DANS UN RAYON DE 150MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 500MN DANS LE SECTEUR EST. CIRCULATION DEPRESSIONNAIRE 25KT ET MER FORTE. FORTES RAFALES SOUS GRAINS. PREVISIONS: POSITION ET INTENSITE PREVUES: A 12H POUR LE 14/11/2009 A 18 UTC: 13.5S / 71.4E, VENT MAX = 30 KT, DEPR. TROPICALE. A 24H POUR LE 15/11/2009 A 06 UTC: 14.0S / 71.7E, VENT MAX = 40 KT, TEMP. TROP. MODEREE. INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES: LE SYSTEME S'EST INTENSIFIE RAPIDEMENT AU COURS DES DERNIERES HEURES. LES CONDITIONS SONT FAVORABLES A UNE INTENSIFICATION. LA PERTURBATION DEVRAIT SE DEPLACER GLOBALEMENT VERS LE SUD DANS LES PROCHAINES 24 HEURES.= ** WTIO30 FMEE 140636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2009/11/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/14 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2009/11/15 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2009/11/15 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2009/11/16 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2009/11/16 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 72H: 2009/11/17 06 UTC: 16.7S/71.3E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0 THE SYSTEM HAS DEEPEN RAPIDLY DURING THE LAST HOURS. IT IS MOVING SLOWLY SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR AN INTENSIFICATION WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS, WITH GOOD LOW LAYERS INFLOWS AND A WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. SST ARE SUPERIOR TO 26 DG NORTH OF 16S.= ** WTIO30 FMEE 140636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2009/11/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/14 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2009/11/15 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2009/11/15 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2009/11/16 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2009/11/16 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 72H: 2009/11/17 06 UTC: 16.7S/71.3E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0 THE SYSTEM HAS DEEPEN RAPIDLY DURING THE LAST HOURS. IT IS MOVING SLOWLY SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR AN INTENSIFICATION WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS, WITH GOOD LOW LAYERS INFLOWS AND A WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. SST ARE SUPERIOR TO 26 DG NORTH OF 16S.= ** WTIO31 FMEE 140636 *** CMRS / CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BULLETIN D'ANALYSE ET DE PREVISION CYCLONIQUE (SUD-OUEST OCEAN INDIEN) 0.A NUMERO DU BULLETIN : 1/4/20092010 1.A PERTURBATION TROPICALE 4 2.A POSITION A 0600 UTC LE 14/11/2009 : DANS UN RAYON DE 20 MN AUTOUR DU POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (DOUZE DEGRES HUIT SUD ET SOIXANTE ET ONZE DEGRES TROIS EST) DEPLACEMENT: SUD-SUD-OUEST 4 KT 3.A ANALYSE DE DVORAK : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A PRESSION AU CENTRE : 1002 HPA 5.A VENT MAX (MOYEN/10 MN) : 25 KT RAYON DES VENTS MAXIMAUX (RVM) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION DES VENTS PAR QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A COTE/DIAM PREMIERE ISOBARE FERMEE: 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A EXTENSION VERTICALE DE LA CIRCULATION CYCLONIQUE: MOYENNE 1.B PREVISIONS: 12H: 14/11/2009 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, VENT MAX=030KT, DEPR. TROPICALE. 24H: 15/11/2009 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, VENT MAX=040KT, TEMP. TROP. MODEREE. 36H: 15/11/2009 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, VENT MAX=050KT, FORTE TEMP. TROP.. 48H: 16/11/2009 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, VENT MAX=050KT, FORTE TEMP. TROP.. 60H: 16/11/2009 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, VENT MAX=040KT, TEMP. TROP. MODEREE. 72H: 17/11/2009 06 UTC: 16.7S/71.3E, VENT MAX=030KT, DEPR. TROPICALE. 2.B COMMENTAIRES: T=CI=2.0 LE SYSTEME S'EST INTENSIFIE RAPIDEMENT AU COURS DES DERNIERES HEURES. IL SE DEPLACE LENTEMENT VERS LE SUD-SUD-OUEST. LES CONDITIONS ENVIRONNEMENTALES DEVRAIENT RESTER FAVORABLES A UNE INTENSIFICATION AU COURS DES PROCHAINES 36 HEURES, AVEC DE BONNES ALIMENTATIONS EN BASSES COUCHES ET UN CISAILLEMENT VERTICAL DE VENT FAIBLE. LES SST SONT SUPERIEURES A 26 DG AU NORD DE 16S.= ** WTIO30 FMEE 140636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2009/11/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/14 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2009/11/15 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2009/11/15 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2009/11/16 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2009/11/16 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM .. 72H: 2009/11/17 06 UTC: 16.7S/71.3E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0 THE SYSTEM HAS DEEPEN RAPIDLY DURING THE LAST HOURS. IT IS MOVING SLOWLY SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR AN INTENSIFICATION WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS, WITH GOOD LOW LAYERS INFLOWS AND A WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. SST ARE SUPERIOR TO 26 DG NORTH OF 16S.= ** WTIO30 FMEE 140636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2009/11/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/14 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2009/11/15 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2009/11/15 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2009/11/16 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2009/11/16 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM ... 72H: 2009/11/17 06 UTC: 16.7S/71.3E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0 THE SYSTEM HAS DEEPEN RAPIDLY DURING THE LAST HOURS. IT IS MOVING SLOWLY SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR AN INTENSIFICATION WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS, WITH GOOD LOW LAYERS INFLOWS AND A WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. SST ARE SUPERIOR TO 26 DG NORTH OF 16S.= ** WTIO30 FMEE 140636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2009/11/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/14 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2009/11/15 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2009/11/15 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2009/11/16 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2009/11/16 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM ..... 72H: 2009/11/17 06 UTC: 16.7S/71.3E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0 THE SYSTEM HAS DEEPEN RAPIDLY DURING THE LAST HOURS. IT IS MOVING SLOWLY SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR AN INTENSIFICATION WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS, WITH GOOD LOW LAYERS INFLOWS AND A WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. SST ARE SUPERIOR TO 26 DG NORTH OF 16S.= ** WTIO30 FMEE 140636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2009/11/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/14 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2009/11/15 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2009/11/15 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2009/11/16 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2009/11/16 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM .... 72H: 2009/11/17 06 UTC: 16.7S/71.3E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0 THE SYSTEM HAS DEEPEN RAPIDLY DURING THE LAST HOURS. IT IS MOVING SLOWLY SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR AN INTENSIFICATION WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS, WITH GOOD LOW LAYERS INFLOWS AND A WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. SST ARE SUPERIOR TO 26 DG NORTH OF 16S.= ** WTIO30 FMEE 140636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2009/11/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/14 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2009/11/15 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2009/11/15 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2009/11/16 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2009/11/16 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM ...... 72H: 2009/11/17 06 UTC: 16.7S/71.3E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0 THE SYSTEM HAS DEEPEN RAPIDLY DURING THE LAST HOURS. IT IS MOVING SLOWLY SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR AN INTENSIFICATION WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS, WITH GOOD LOW LAYERS INFLOWS AND A WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. SST ARE SUPERIOR TO 26 DG NORTH OF 16S.= ** WTIO30 FMEE 140636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2009/11/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/14 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2009/11/15 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2009/11/15 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2009/11/16 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2009/11/16 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM ....... 72H: 2009/11/17 06 UTC: 16.7S/71.3E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0 THE SYSTEM HAS DEEPEN RAPIDLY DURING THE LAST HOURS. IT IS MOVING SLOWLY SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR AN INTENSIFICATION WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS, WITH GOOD LOW LAYERS INFLOWS AND A WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. SST ARE SUPERIOR TO 26 DG NORTH OF 16S.= ** WTIO30 FMEE 140636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2009/11/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/14 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2009/11/15 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2009/11/15 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2009/11/16 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2009/11/16 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM .......... 72H: 2009/11/17 06 UTC: 16.7S/71.3E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0 THE SYSTEM HAS DEEPEN RAPIDLY DURING THE LAST HOURS. IT IS MOVING SLOWLY SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR AN INTENSIFICATION WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS, WITH GOOD LOW LAYERS INFLOWS AND A WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. SST ARE SUPERIOR TO 26 DG NORTH OF 16S.= ** WTIO31 FMEE 140636 *** CMRS / CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BULLETIN D'ANALYSE ET DE PREVISION CYCLONIQUE (SUD-OUEST OCEAN INDIEN) 0.A NUMERO DU BULLETIN : 1/4/20092010 1.A PERTURBATION TROPICALE 4 2.A POSITION A 0600 UTC LE 14/11/2009 : DANS UN RAYON DE 20 MN AUTOUR DU POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (DOUZE DEGRES HUIT SUD ET SOIXANTE ET ONZE DEGRES TROIS EST) DEPLACEMENT: SUD-SUD-OUEST 4 KT 3.A ANALYSE DE DVORAK : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A PRESSION AU CENTRE : 1002 HPA 5.A VENT MAX (MOYEN/10 MN) : 25 KT RAYON DES VENTS MAXIMAUX (RVM) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION DES VENTS PAR QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A COTE/DIAM PREMIERE ISOBARE FERMEE: 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A EXTENSION VERTICALE DE LA CIRCULATION CYCLONIQUE: MOYENNE 1.B PREVISIONS: 12H: 14/11/2009 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, VENT MAX=030KT, DEPR. TROPICALE. 24H: 15/11/2009 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, VENT MAX=040KT, TEMP. TROP. MODEREE. 36H: 15/11/2009 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, VENT MAX=050KT, FORTE TEMP. TROP.. 48H: 16/11/2009 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, VENT MAX=050KT, FORTE TEMP. TROP.. 60H: 16/11/2009 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, VENT MAX=040KT, TEMP. TROP. MODEREE. 72H: 17/11/2009 06 UTC: 16.7S/71.3E, VENT MAX=030KT, DEPR. TROPICALE. 2.B COMMENTAIRES: T=CI=2.0 LE SYSTEME S'EST INTENSIFIE RAPIDEMENT AU COURS DES DERNIERES HEURES. IL SE DEPLACE LENTEMENT VERS LE SUD-SUD-OUEST. LES CONDITIONS ENVIRONNEMENTALES DEVRAIENT RESTER FAVORABLES A UNE END OF PART ONE ** WTIO30 FMEE 140636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2009/11/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/14 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2009/11/15 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2009/11/15 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2009/11/16 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2009/11/16 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM ........ 72H: 2009/11/17 06 UTC: 16.7S/71.3E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0 THE SYSTEM HAS DEEPEN RAPIDLY DURING THE LAST HOURS. IT IS MOVING SLOWLY SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR AN INTENSIFICATION WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS, WITH GOOD LOW LAYERS INFLOWS AND A WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. SST ARE SUPERIOR TO 26 DG NORTH OF 16S.= ** WTIO30 FMEE 140636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2009/11/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/14 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2009/11/15 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2009/11/15 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2009/11/16 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2009/11/16 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM ......... 72H: 2009/11/17 06 UTC: 16.7S/71.3E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0 THE SYSTEM HAS DEEPEN RAPIDLY DURING THE LAST HOURS. IT IS MOVING SLOWLY SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR AN INTENSIFICATION WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS, WITH GOOD LOW LAYERS INFLOWS AND A WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. SST ARE SUPERIOR TO 26 DG NORTH OF 16S.= ** WTIO30 FMEE 140636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2009/11/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/14 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2009/11/15 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2009/11/15 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2009/11/16 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2009/11/16 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM .............. 72H: 2009/11/17 06 UTC: 16.7S/71.3E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0 THE SYSTEM HAS DEEPEN RAPIDLY DURING THE LAST HOURS. IT IS MOVING SLOWLY SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR AN INTENSIFICATION WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS, WITH GOOD LOW LAYERS INFLOWS AND A WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. SST ARE SUPERIOR TO 26 DG NORTH OF 16S.= ** WTIO30 FMEE 140636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2009/11/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/14 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2009/11/15 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2009/11/15 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2009/11/16 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2009/11/16 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM ............ 72H: 2009/11/17 06 UTC: 16.7S/71.3E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0 THE SYSTEM HAS DEEPEN RAPIDLY DURING THE LAST HOURS. IT IS MOVING SLOWLY SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR AN INTENSIFICATION WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS, WITH GOOD LOW LAYERS INFLOWS AND A WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. SST ARE SUPERIOR TO 26 DG NORTH OF 16S.= ** WTIO30 FMEE 140636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2009/11/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/14 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2009/11/15 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2009/11/15 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2009/11/16 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2009/11/16 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM ............. 72H: 2009/11/17 06 UTC: 16.7S/71.3E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0 THE SYSTEM HAS DEEPEN RAPIDLY DURING THE LAST HOURS. IT IS MOVING SLOWLY SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR AN INTENSIFICATION WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS, WITH GOOD LOW LAYERS INFLOWS AND A WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. SST ARE SUPERIOR TO 26 DG NORTH OF 16S.= ** WTIO30 FMEE 140636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2009/11/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/14 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2009/11/15 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2009/11/15 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2009/11/16 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2009/11/16 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM ................. 72H: 2009/11/17 06 UTC: 16.7S/71.3E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0 THE SYSTEM HAS DEEPEN RAPIDLY DURING THE LAST HOURS. IT IS MOVING SLOWLY SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR AN INTENSIFICATION WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS, WITH GOOD LOW LAYERS INFLOWS AND A WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. SST ARE SUPERIOR TO 26 DG NORTH OF 16S.= ** WTIO30 FMEE 140636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2009/11/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/14 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2009/11/15 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2009/11/15 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2009/11/16 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2009/11/16 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM ............... 72H: 2009/11/17 06 UTC: 16.7S/71.3E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0 THE SYSTEM HAS DEEPEN RAPIDLY DURING THE LAST HOURS. IT IS MOVING SLOWLY SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR AN INTENSIFICATION WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS, WITH GOOD LOW LAYERS INFLOWS AND A WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. SST ARE SUPERIOR TO 26 DG NORTH OF 16S.= ** WTIO30 FMEE 140636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2009/11/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/14 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2009/11/15 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2009/11/15 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2009/11/16 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2009/11/16 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM ................ 72H: 2009/11/17 06 UTC: 16.7S/71.3E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0 THE SYSTEM HAS DEEPEN RAPIDLY DURING THE LAST HOURS. IT IS MOVING SLOWLY SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR AN INTENSIFICATION WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS, WITH GOOD LOW LAYERS INFLOWS AND A WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. SST ARE SUPERIOR TO 26 DG NORTH OF 16S.= ** WTIO30 FMEE 140636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2009/11/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/14 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2009/11/15 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2009/11/15 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2009/11/16 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2009/11/16 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM ........... 72H: 2009/11/17 06 UTC: 16.7S/71.3E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0 THE SYSTEM HAS DEEPEN RAPIDLY DURING THE LAST HOURS. IT IS MOVING SLOWLY SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR AN INTENSIFICATION WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS, WITH GOOD LOW LAYERS INFLOWS AND A WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. SST ARE SUPERIOR TO 26 DG NORTH OF 16S.= ** WTIO30 FMEE 140636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2009/11/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/14 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2009/11/15 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2009/11/15 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2009/11/16 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2009/11/16 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM .................. 72H: 2009/11/17 06 UTC: 16.7S/71.3E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0 THE SYSTEM HAS DEEPEN RAPIDLY DURING THE LAST HOURS. IT IS MOVING SLOWLY SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR AN INTENSIFICATION WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS, WITH GOOD LOW LAYERS INFLOWS AND A WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. SST ARE SUPERIOR TO 26 DG NORTH OF 16S.= ** WTIO30 FMEE 140636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2009/11/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/14 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2009/11/15 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2009/11/15 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2009/11/16 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2009/11/16 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM ................... 72H: 2009/11/17 06 UTC: 16.7S/71.3E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0 THE SYSTEM HAS DEEPEN RAPIDLY DURING THE LAST HOURS. IT IS MOVING SLOWLY SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR AN INTENSIFICATION WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS, WITH GOOD LOW LAYERS INFLOWS AND A WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. SST ARE SUPERIOR TO 26 DG NORTH OF 16S.= ** WTIO30 FMEE 140636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2009/11/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/14 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2009/11/15 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2009/11/15 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2009/11/16 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2009/11/16 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM ...................... 72H: 2009/11/17 06 UTC: 16.7S/71.3E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0 THE SYSTEM HAS DEEPEN RAPIDLY DURING THE LAST HOURS. IT IS MOVING SLOWLY SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR AN INTENSIFICATION WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS, WITH GOOD LOW LAYERS INFLOWS AND A WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. SST ARE SUPERIOR TO 26 DG NORTH OF 16S.= ** WTIO30 FMEE 140636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2009/11/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/14 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2009/11/15 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2009/11/15 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2009/11/16 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2009/11/16 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM .................... 72H: 2009/11/17 06 UTC: 16.7S/71.3E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0 THE SYSTEM HAS DEEPEN RAPIDLY DURING THE LAST HOURS. IT IS MOVING SLOWLY SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR AN INTENSIFICATION WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS, WITH GOOD LOW LAYERS INFLOWS AND A WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. SST ARE SUPERIOR TO 26 DG NORTH OF 16S.= ** WTIO30 FMEE 140636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2009/11/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/14 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2009/11/15 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2009/11/15 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2009/11/16 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2009/11/16 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM ..................... 72H: 2009/11/17 06 UTC: 16.7S/71.3E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0 THE SYSTEM HAS DEEPEN RAPIDLY DURING THE LAST HOURS. IT IS MOVING SLOWLY SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR AN INTENSIFICATION WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS, WITH GOOD LOW LAYERS INFLOWS AND A WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. SST ARE SUPERIOR TO 26 DG NORTH OF 16S.= ** WTIO30 FMEE 140636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2009/11/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/14 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2009/11/15 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2009/11/15 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2009/11/16 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2009/11/16 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM ........................ 72H: 2009/11/17 06 UTC: 16.7S/71.3E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0 THE SYSTEM HAS DEEPEN RAPIDLY DURING THE LAST HOURS. IT IS MOVING SLOWLY SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR AN INTENSIFICATION WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS, WITH GOOD LOW LAYERS INFLOWS AND A WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. SST ARE SUPERIOR TO 26 DG NORTH OF 16S.= ** WTIO30 FMEE 140636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2009/11/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/14 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2009/11/15 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2009/11/15 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2009/11/16 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2009/11/16 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM ....................... 72H: 2009/11/17 06 UTC: 16.7S/71.3E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0 THE SYSTEM HAS DEEPEN RAPIDLY DURING THE LAST HOURS. IT IS MOVING SLOWLY SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR AN INTENSIFICATION WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS, WITH GOOD LOW LAYERS INFLOWS AND A WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. SST ARE SUPERIOR TO 26 DG NORTH OF 16S.= ** WTIO30 FMEE 140636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2009/11/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/14 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2009/11/15 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2009/11/15 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2009/11/16 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2009/11/16 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM ......................... 72H: 2009/11/17 06 UTC: 16.7S/71.3E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0 THE SYSTEM HAS DEEPEN RAPIDLY DURING THE LAST HOURS. IT IS MOVING SLOWLY SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR AN INTENSIFICATION WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS, WITH GOOD LOW LAYERS INFLOWS AND A WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. SST ARE SUPERIOR TO 26 DG NORTH OF 16S.= ** WTIO30 FMEE 140636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2009/11/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/14 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2009/11/15 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2009/11/15 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2009/11/16 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2009/11/16 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM ........................... 72H: 2009/11/17 06 UTC: 16.7S/71.3E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0 THE SYSTEM HAS DEEPEN RAPIDLY DURING THE LAST HOURS. IT IS MOVING END OF PART ONE ** WTIO30 FMEE 140636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2009/11/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/14 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2009/11/15 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2009/11/15 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2009/11/16 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2009/11/16 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM ............................ 72H: 2009/11/17 06 UTC: 16.7S/71.3E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0 THE SYSTEM HAS DEEPEN RAPIDLY DURING THE LAST HOURS. IT IS MOVING END OF PART ONE ** WTIO30 FMEE 140636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2009/11/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/14 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2009/11/15 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2009/11/15 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2009/11/16 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2009/11/16 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM .......................... 72H: 2009/11/17 06 UTC: 16.7S/71.3E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0 THE SYSTEM HAS DEEPEN RAPIDLY DURING THE LAST HOURS. IT IS MOVING END OF PART ONE ** WTIO30 FMEE 140636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2009/11/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/14 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2009/11/15 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2009/11/15 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2009/11/16 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2009/11/16 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM .............................. 72H: 2009/11/17 06 UTC: 16.7S/71.3E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0 THE SYSTEM HAS DEEPEN RAPIDLY DURING THE LAST HOURS. IT IS MOVING END OF PART ONE ** WTIO30 FMEE 140636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2009/11/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/14 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2009/11/15 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2009/11/15 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2009/11/16 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2009/11/16 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM ............................. 72H: 2009/11/17 06 UTC: 16.7S/71.3E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0 THE SYSTEM HAS DEEPEN RAPIDLY DURING THE LAST HOURS. IT IS MOVING END OF PART ONE ** WTIO30 FMEE 140636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2009/11/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/14 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2009/11/15 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2009/11/15 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2009/11/16 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2009/11/16 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM ............................... 72H: 2009/11/17 06 UTC: 16.7S/71.3E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0 THE SYSTEM HAS DEEPEN RAPIDLY DURING THE LAST HOURS. IT IS MOVING END OF PART ONE ** WTIO30 FMEE 140636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2009/11/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/14 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2009/11/15 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2009/11/15 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2009/11/16 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2009/11/16 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM ................................. 72H: 2009/11/17 06 UTC: 16.7S/71.3E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0 THE SYSTEM HAS DEEPEN RAPIDLY DURING THE LAST HOURS. IT IS MOVING END OF PART ONE ** WTIO30 FMEE 140636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2009/11/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/14 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2009/11/15 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2009/11/15 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2009/11/16 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2009/11/16 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM .......................................... 72H: 2009/11/17 06 UTC: 16.7S/71.3E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0 THE SYSTEM HAS DEEPEN RAPIDLY DURING THE LAST HOURS. IT IS MOVING END OF PART ONE ** WTIO30 FMEE 140636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2009/11/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/14 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2009/11/15 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2009/11/15 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2009/11/16 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2009/11/16 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM ........................................ 72H: 2009/11/17 06 UTC: 16.7S/71.3E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0 THE SYSTEM HAS DEEPEN RAPIDLY DURING THE LAST HOURS. IT IS MOVING END OF PART ONE ** WTIO30 FMEE 140636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2009/11/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/14 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2009/11/15 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2009/11/15 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2009/11/16 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2009/11/16 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM ..................................... 72H: 2009/11/17 06 UTC: 16.7S/71.3E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0 THE SYSTEM HAS DEEPEN RAPIDLY DURING THE LAST HOURS. IT IS MOVING END OF PART ONE ** WTIO30 FMEE 140636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2009/11/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/14 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2009/11/15 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2009/11/15 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2009/11/16 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2009/11/16 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM .................................... 72H: 2009/11/17 06 UTC: 16.7S/71.3E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0 THE SYSTEM HAS DEEPEN RAPIDLY DURING THE LAST HOURS. IT IS MOVING END OF PART ONE ** WTIO30 FMEE 140636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2009/11/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/14 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2009/11/15 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2009/11/15 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2009/11/16 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2009/11/16 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM ................................... 72H: 2009/11/17 06 UTC: 16.7S/71.3E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0 THE SYSTEM HAS DEEPEN RAPIDLY DURING THE LAST HOURS. IT IS MOVING END OF PART ONE ** WTIO30 FMEE 140636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2009/11/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/14 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2009/11/15 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2009/11/15 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2009/11/16 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2009/11/16 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM ....................................... 72H: 2009/11/17 06 UTC: 16.7S/71.3E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0 THE SYSTEM HAS DEEPEN RAPIDLY DURING THE LAST HOURS. IT IS MOVING END OF PART ONE ** WTIO30 FMEE 140636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2009/11/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/14 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2009/11/15 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2009/11/15 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2009/11/16 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2009/11/16 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM .................................. 72H: 2009/11/17 06 UTC: 16.7S/71.3E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0 THE SYSTEM HAS DEEPEN RAPIDLY DURING THE LAST HOURS. IT IS MOVING END OF PART ONE ** WTIO30 FMEE 140636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2009/11/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/14 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2009/11/15 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2009/11/15 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2009/11/16 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2009/11/16 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM ................................ 72H: 2009/11/17 06 UTC: 16.7S/71.3E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0 THE SYSTEM HAS DEEPEN RAPIDLY DURING THE LAST HOURS. IT IS MOVING END OF PART ONE ** WTIO30 FMEE 140636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2009/11/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/14 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2009/11/15 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2009/11/15 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2009/11/16 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2009/11/16 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM ...................................... 72H: 2009/11/17 06 UTC: 16.7S/71.3E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0 THE SYSTEM HAS DEEPEN RAPIDLY DURING THE LAST HOURS. IT IS MOVING END OF PART ONE ** WTIO30 FMEE 140636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2009/11/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/14 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2009/11/15 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2009/11/15 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2009/11/16 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2009/11/16 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM ......................................... 72H: 2009/11/17 06 UTC: 16.7S/71.3E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0 THE SYSTEM HAS DEEPEN RAPIDLY DURING THE LAST HOURS. IT IS MOVING END OF PART ONE ** WTIO30 FMEE 140636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2009/11/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/14 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2009/11/15 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2009/11/15 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2009/11/16 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2009/11/16 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM ........................................... 72H: 2009/11/17 06 UTC: 16.7S/71.3E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0 THE SYSTEM HAS DEEPEN RAPIDLY DURING THE LAST HOURS. IT IS MOVING END OF PART ONE ** WTIO30 FMEE 140636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2009/11/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/14 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2009/11/15 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2009/11/15 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2009/11/16 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2009/11/16 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM ............................................... 72H: 2009/11/17 06 UTC: 16.7S/71.3E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0 THE SYSTEM HAS DEEPEN RAPIDLY DURING THE LAST HOURS. IT IS MOVING END OF PART ONE ** WTIO30 FMEE 140636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2009/11/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/14 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2009/11/15 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2009/11/15 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2009/11/16 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2009/11/16 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM ............................................. 72H: 2009/11/17 06 UTC: 16.7S/71.3E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0 THE SYSTEM HAS DEEPEN RAPIDLY DURING THE LAST HOURS. IT IS MOVING END OF PART ONE ** WTIO30 FMEE 140636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2009/11/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/14 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2009/11/15 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2009/11/15 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2009/11/16 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2009/11/16 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM .............................................. 72H: 2009/11/17 06 UTC: 16.7S/71.3E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0 THE SYSTEM HAS DEEPEN RAPIDLY DURING THE LAST HOURS. IT IS MOVING END OF PART ONE ** WTIO30 FMEE 140636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2009/11/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/14 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2009/11/15 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2009/11/15 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2009/11/16 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2009/11/16 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM ............................................ 72H: 2009/11/17 06 UTC: 16.7S/71.3E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0 THE SYSTEM HAS DEEPEN RAPIDLY DURING THE LAST HOURS. IT IS MOVING END OF PART ONE ** WTIO30 FMEE 140636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2009/11/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/14 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2009/11/15 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2009/11/15 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2009/11/16 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2009/11/16 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM ................................................. 72H: 2009/11/17 06 UTC: 16.7S/71.3E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0 THE SYSTEM HAS DEEPEN RAPIDLY DURING THE LAST HOURS. IT IS MOVING END OF PART ONE ** WTIO30 FMEE 140636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2009/11/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/14 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2009/11/15 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2009/11/15 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2009/11/16 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2009/11/16 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM ................................................ 72H: 2009/11/17 06 UTC: 16.7S/71.3E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0 THE SYSTEM HAS DEEPEN RAPIDLY DURING THE LAST HOURS. IT IS MOVING END OF PART ONE ** WTIO30 FMEE 140636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2009/11/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/14 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2009/11/15 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2009/11/15 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2009/11/16 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2009/11/16 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM ..................................................... 72H: 2009/11/17 06 UTC: 16.7S/71.3E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0 THE SYSTEM HAS DEEPEN RAPIDLY DURING THE LAST HOURS. IT IS MOVING END OF PART ONE ** WTIO30 FMEE 140636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2009/11/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/14 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2009/11/15 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2009/11/15 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2009/11/16 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2009/11/16 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM .................................................... 72H: 2009/11/17 06 UTC: 16.7S/71.3E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0 THE SYSTEM HAS DEEPEN RAPIDLY DURING THE LAST HOURS. IT IS MOVING END OF PART ONE ** WTIO30 FMEE 140636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2009/11/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/14 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2009/11/15 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2009/11/15 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2009/11/16 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2009/11/16 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM .................................................. 72H: 2009/11/17 06 UTC: 16.7S/71.3E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0 THE SYSTEM HAS DEEPEN RAPIDLY DURING THE LAST HOURS. IT IS MOVING END OF PART ONE ** WTIO30 FMEE 140636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2009/11/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/14 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2009/11/15 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2009/11/15 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2009/11/16 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2009/11/16 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM ................................................... 72H: 2009/11/17 06 UTC: 16.7S/71.3E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0 THE SYSTEM HAS DEEPEN RAPIDLY DURING THE LAST HOURS. IT IS MOVING END OF PART ONE ** WTIO30 FMEE 140636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2009/11/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/14 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2009/11/15 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2009/11/15 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2009/11/16 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2009/11/16 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM ...................................................... 72H: 2009/11/17 06 UTC: 16.7S/71.3E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0 THE SYSTEM HAS DEEPEN RAPIDLY DURING THE LAST HOURS. IT IS MOVING END OF PART ONE ** WTIO30 FMEE 140636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2009/11/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/14 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2009/11/15 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2009/11/15 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2009/11/16 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2009/11/16 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM .......................................................... 72H: 2009/11/17 06 UTC: 16.7S/71.3E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0 THE SYSTEM HAS DEEPEN RAPIDLY DURING THE LAST HOURS. IT IS MOVING END OF PART ONE ** WTIO30 FMEE 140636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2009/11/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/14 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2009/11/15 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2009/11/15 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2009/11/16 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2009/11/16 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM ............................................................ 72H: 2009/11/17 06 UTC: 16.7S/71.3E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0 THE SYSTEM HAS DEEPEN RAPIDLY DURING THE LAST HOURS. IT IS MOVING END OF PART ONE ** WTIO30 FMEE 140636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2009/11/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/14 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2009/11/15 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2009/11/15 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2009/11/16 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2009/11/16 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM ........................................................ 72H: 2009/11/17 06 UTC: 16.7S/71.3E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0 THE SYSTEM HAS DEEPEN RAPIDLY DURING THE LAST HOURS. IT IS MOVING END OF PART ONE ** WTIO30 FMEE 140636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2009/11/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/14 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2009/11/15 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2009/11/15 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2009/11/16 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2009/11/16 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM ......................................................... 72H: 2009/11/17 06 UTC: 16.7S/71.3E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0 THE SYSTEM HAS DEEPEN RAPIDLY DURING THE LAST HOURS. IT IS MOVING END OF PART ONE ** WTIO30 FMEE 140636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2009/11/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/14 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2009/11/15 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2009/11/15 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2009/11/16 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2009/11/16 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM ....................................................... 72H: 2009/11/17 06 UTC: 16.7S/71.3E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0 THE SYSTEM HAS DEEPEN RAPIDLY DURING THE LAST HOURS. IT IS MOVING END OF PART ONE ** WTIO30 FMEE 140636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2009/11/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/14 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2009/11/15 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2009/11/15 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2009/11/16 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2009/11/16 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM ........................................................... 72H: 2009/11/17 06 UTC: 16.7S/71.3E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0 THE SYSTEM HAS DEEPEN RAPIDLY DURING THE LAST HOURS. IT IS MOVING END OF PART ONE ** WTIO30 FMEE 140636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2009/11/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/14 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2009/11/15 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2009/11/15 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2009/11/16 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2009/11/16 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM .............................................................. 72H: 2009/11/17 06 UTC: 16.7S/71.3E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0 THE SYSTEM HAS DEEPEN RAPIDLY DURING THE LAST HOURS. IT IS MOVING END OF PART ONE ** WTIO30 FMEE 140636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2009/11/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/14 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2009/11/15 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2009/11/15 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2009/11/16 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2009/11/16 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM ............................................................... 72H: 2009/11/17 06 UTC: 16.7S/71.3E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0 THE SYSTEM HAS DEEPEN RAPIDLY DURING THE LAST HOURS. IT IS MOVING END OF PART ONE ** WTIO30 FMEE 140636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2009/11/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/14 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2009/11/15 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2009/11/15 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2009/11/16 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2009/11/16 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM ................................................................ 72H: 2009/11/17 06 UTC: 16.7S/71.3E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0 THE SYSTEM HAS DEEPEN RAPIDLY DURING THE LAST HOURS. IT IS MOVING END OF PART ONE ** WTIO30 FMEE 140636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2009/11/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/14 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2009/11/15 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2009/11/15 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2009/11/16 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2009/11/16 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM ............................................................. 72H: 2009/11/17 06 UTC: 16.7S/71.3E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0 THE SYSTEM HAS DEEPEN RAPIDLY DURING THE LAST HOURS. IT IS MOVING END OF PART ONE ** WTIO30 FMEE 140636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2009/11/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/14 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2009/11/15 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2009/11/15 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2009/11/16 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2009/11/16 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM ................................................................. 72H: 2009/11/17 06 UTC: 16.7S/71.3E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0 THE SYSTEM HAS DEEPEN RAPIDLY DURING THE LAST HOURS. IT IS MOVING END OF PART ONE ** WTIO30 FMEE 140636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2009/11/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/14 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2009/11/15 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2009/11/15 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2009/11/16 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2009/11/16 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM .................................................................. 72H: 2009/11/17 06 UTC: 16.7S/71.3E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0 THE SYSTEM HAS DEEPEN RAPIDLY DURING THE LAST HOURS. IT IS MOVING END OF PART ONE ** WTIO30 FMEE 140636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2009/11/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/14 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2009/11/15 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2009/11/15 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2009/11/16 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2009/11/16 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM ...................................................................... .. 72H: 2009/11/17 06 UTC: 16.7S/71.3E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0 THE SYSTEM HAS DEEPEN RAPIDLY DURING THE LAST HOURS. IT IS MOVING END OF PART ONE ** WTIO30 FMEE 140636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2009/11/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/14 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2009/11/15 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2009/11/15 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2009/11/16 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2009/11/16 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM ...................................................................... .. ... 72H: 2009/11/17 06 UTC: 16.7S/71.3E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0 THE SYSTEM HAS DEEPEN RAPIDLY DURING THE LAST HOURS. IT IS MOVING END OF PART ONE ** WTIO30 FMEE 140636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2009/11/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/14 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2009/11/15 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2009/11/15 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2009/11/16 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2009/11/16 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM ..................................................................... 72H: 2009/11/17 06 UTC: 16.7S/71.3E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0 THE SYSTEM HAS DEEPEN RAPIDLY DURING THE LAST HOURS. IT IS MOVING END OF PART ONE ** WTIO30 FMEE 140636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2009/11/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/14 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2009/11/15 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2009/11/15 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2009/11/16 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2009/11/16 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM .................................................................... 72H: 2009/11/17 06 UTC: 16.7S/71.3E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0 THE SYSTEM HAS DEEPEN RAPIDLY DURING THE LAST HOURS. IT IS MOVING END OF PART ONE ** WTIO30 FMEE 140636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2009/11/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/14 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2009/11/15 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2009/11/15 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2009/11/16 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2009/11/16 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM ................................................................... 72H: 2009/11/17 06 UTC: 16.7S/71.3E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0 THE SYSTEM HAS DEEPEN RAPIDLY DURING THE LAST HOURS. IT IS MOVING END OF PART ONE ** WTIO30 FMEE 140636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2009/11/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/14 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2009/11/15 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2009/11/15 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2009/11/16 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2009/11/16 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM ...................................................................... 72H: 2009/11/17 06 UTC: 16.7S/71.3E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0 THE SYSTEM HAS DEEPEN RAPIDLY DURING THE LAST HOURS. IT IS MOVING END OF PART ONE ** WTIO30 FMEE 140636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2009/11/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/14 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2009/11/15 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2009/11/15 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2009/11/16 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2009/11/16 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM ...................................................................... .. ... .... ..... 72H: 2009/11/17 06 UTC: 16.7S/71.3E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0 THE SYSTEM HAS DEEPEN RAPIDLY DURING THE LAST HOURS. IT IS MOVING END OF PART ONE ** WTIO30 FMEE 140636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2009/11/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/14 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2009/11/15 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2009/11/15 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2009/11/16 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2009/11/16 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM ...................................................................... .. ... .... ..... ...... ....... 72H: 2009/11/17 06 UTC: 16.7S/71.3E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0 THE SYSTEM HAS DEEPEN RAPIDLY DURING THE LAST HOURS. IT IS MOVING END OF PART ONE ** WTIO30 FMEE 140636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2009/11/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/14 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2009/11/15 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2009/11/15 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2009/11/16 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2009/11/16 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM ...................................................................... .. ... .... ..... ...... ....... ........ 72H: 2009/11/17 06 UTC: 16.7S/71.3E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0 THE SYSTEM HAS DEEPEN RAPIDLY DURING THE LAST HOURS. IT IS MOVING END OF PART ONE ** WTIO30 FMEE 140636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2009/11/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/14 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2009/11/15 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2009/11/15 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2009/11/16 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2009/11/16 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM ...................................................................... .. ... .... 72H: 2009/11/17 06 UTC: 16.7S/71.3E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0 THE SYSTEM HAS DEEPEN RAPIDLY DURING THE LAST HOURS. IT IS MOVING END OF PART ONE ** WTIO30 FMEE 140636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2009/11/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/14 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2009/11/15 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2009/11/15 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2009/11/16 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2009/11/16 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM ...................................................................... .. ... .... ..... ...... 72H: 2009/11/17 06 UTC: 16.7S/71.3E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0 THE SYSTEM HAS DEEPEN RAPIDLY DURING THE LAST HOURS. IT IS MOVING END OF PART ONE ** WTIO30 FMEE 140636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2009/11/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/14 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2009/11/15 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2009/11/15 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2009/11/16 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2009/11/16 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM ...................................................................... .. ... .... ..... ...... ....... ........ ......... 72H: 2009/11/17 06 UTC: 16.7S/71.3E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0 THE SYSTEM HAS DEEPEN RAPIDLY DURING THE LAST HOURS. IT IS MOVING END OF PART ONE ** WTIO30 FMEE 140636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2009/11/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/14 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2009/11/15 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2009/11/15 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2009/11/16 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2009/11/16 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM ...................................................................... .. ... .... ..... ...... ....... ........ ......... .......... ........... ............ ............. .............. 72H: 2009/11/17 06 UTC: 16.7S/71.3E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0 THE SYSTEM HAS DEEPEN RAPIDLY DURING THE LAST HOURS. IT IS MOVING END OF PART ONE ** WTIO30 FMEE 140636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2009/11/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/14 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2009/11/15 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2009/11/15 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2009/11/16 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2009/11/16 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM ...................................................................... .. ... .... ..... ...... ....... ........ ......... .......... ........... 72H: 2009/11/17 06 UTC: 16.7S/71.3E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0 THE SYSTEM HAS DEEPEN RAPIDLY DURING THE LAST HOURS. IT IS MOVING END OF PART ONE ** WTIO30 FMEE 140636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2009/11/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/14 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2009/11/15 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2009/11/15 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2009/11/16 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2009/11/16 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM ...................................................................... .. ... .... ..... ...... ....... ........ ......... .......... ........... ............ ............. 72H: 2009/11/17 06 UTC: 16.7S/71.3E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0 THE SYSTEM HAS DEEPEN RAPIDLY DURING THE LAST HOURS. IT IS MOVING END OF PART ONE ** WTIO30 FMEE 140636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2009/11/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/14 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2009/11/15 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2009/11/15 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2009/11/16 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2009/11/16 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM ...................................................................... .. ... .... ..... ...... ....... ........ ......... .......... ........... ............ 72H: 2009/11/17 06 UTC: 16.7S/71.3E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0 THE SYSTEM HAS DEEPEN RAPIDLY DURING THE LAST HOURS. IT IS MOVING END OF PART ONE ** WTIO30 FMEE 140636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2009/11/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/14 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2009/11/15 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2009/11/15 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2009/11/16 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2009/11/16 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM ...................................................................... .. ... .... ..... ...... ....... ........ ......... .......... 72H: 2009/11/17 06 UTC: 16.7S/71.3E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0 THE SYSTEM HAS DEEPEN RAPIDLY DURING THE LAST HOURS. IT IS MOVING END OF PART ONE ** WTIO30 FMEE 140636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2009/11/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/14 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2009/11/15 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2009/11/15 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2009/11/16 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2009/11/16 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM ...................................................................... .. ... .... ..... ...... ....... ........ ......... .......... ........... ............ ............. .............. ............... 72H: 2009/11/17 06 UTC: 16.7S/71.3E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0 THE SYSTEM HAS DEEPEN RAPIDLY DURING THE LAST HOURS. IT IS MOVING END OF PART ONE ** WTIO30 FMEE 140636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2009/11/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/14 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2009/11/15 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2009/11/15 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2009/11/16 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2009/11/16 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM ...................................................................... .. ... .... ..... ...... ....... ........ ......... .......... ........... ............ ............. .............. ............... ................ ................. .................. 72H: 2009/11/17 06 UTC: 16.7S/71.3E, MAX WIND= END OF PART ONE ** WTIO30 FMEE 140636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2009/11/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/14 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2009/11/15 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2009/11/15 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2009/11/16 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2009/11/16 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM ...................................................................... .. ... .... ..... ...... ....... ........ ......... .......... ........... ............ ............. .............. ............... ................ ................. 72H: 2009/11/17 06 UTC: 16.7S/71.3E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0 THE SYSTEM HAS DEEPEN RAPIDLY DURING THE LAST HOURS. IT IS MOVING END OF PART ONE ** WTIO30 FMEE 140636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2009/11/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/14 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2009/11/15 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2009/11/15 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2009/11/16 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2009/11/16 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM ...................................................................... .. ... .... ..... ...... ....... ........ ......... .......... ........... ............ ............. .............. ............... ................ ................. .................. ................... 72H: 2009/11/17 06 UTC: 16.7S/71.3E, MAX WIND= END OF PART ONE ** WTIO30 FMEE 140636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2009/11/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/14 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2009/11/15 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2009/11/15 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2009/11/16 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2009/11/16 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM ...................................................................... .. ... .... ..... ...... ....... ........ ......... .......... ........... ............ ............. .............. ............... ................ 72H: 2009/11/17 06 UTC: 16.7S/71.3E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0 THE SYSTEM HAS DEEPEN RAPIDLY DURING THE LAST HOURS. IT IS MOVING END OF PART ONE ** WTIO30 FMEE 140636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2009/11/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/14 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2009/11/15 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2009/11/15 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2009/11/16 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2009/11/16 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM ...................................................................... .. ... .... ..... ...... ....... ........ ......... .......... ........... ............ ............. .............. ............... ................ ................. .................. ................... .................... 72H: 2009/11/17 06 UTC: 16.7S/71.3E, MAX WIND= END OF PART ONE ** WTIO30 FMEE 140636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2009/11/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/14 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2009/11/15 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2009/11/15 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2009/11/16 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2009/11/16 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM ...................................................................... .. ... .... ..... ...... ....... ........ ......... .......... ........... ............ ............. .............. ............... ................ ................. .................. ................... .................... ..................... 72H: 2009/11/17 06 UTC: 16.7S/71.3E, MAX WIND= END OF PART ONE ** WTIO30 FMEE 140636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2009/11/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/14 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2009/11/15 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2009/11/15 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2009/11/16 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2009/11/16 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM ...................................................................... .. ... .... ..... ...... ....... ........ ......... .......... ........... ............ ............. .............. ............... ................ ................. .................. ................... .................... ..................... ...................... 72H: 2009/11/17 06 UTC: 16.7S/71.3E, MAX WIND= END OF PART ONE ** WTIO30 FMEE 140636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2009/11/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/14 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2009/11/15 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2009/11/15 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2009/11/16 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2009/11/16 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM ...................................................................... .. ... .... ..... ...... ....... ........ ......... .......... ........... ............ ............. .............. ............... ................ ................. .................. ................... .................... ..................... ...................... ....................... 72H: 2009/11/17 06 UTC: 16.7S/71.3E, MAX WIND= END OF PART ONE ** WTIO30 FMEE 140636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2009/11/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/14 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2009/11/15 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2009/11/15 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2009/11/16 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2009/11/16 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM ...................................................................... .. ... .... ..... ...... ....... ........ ......... .......... ........... ............ ............. .............. ............... ................ END OF PART ONE ** WTIO30 FMEE 140636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2009/11/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/14 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2009/11/15 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2009/11/15 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2009/11/16 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2009/11/16 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM ...................................................................... .. ... .... ..... ...... ....... ........ ......... .......... ........... ............ ............. .............. ............... ................ ................. .................. END OF PART ONE ** WTIO30 FMEE 140636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2009/11/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/14 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2009/11/15 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2009/11/15 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2009/11/16 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2009/11/16 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM ...................................................................... .. ... .... ..... ...... ....... ........ ......... .......... ........... ............ ............. .............. ............... ................ ................. END OF PART ONE ** WTIO30 FMEE 140636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2009/11/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/14 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2009/11/15 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2009/11/15 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2009/11/16 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2009/11/16 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM ...................................................................... .. ... .... ..... ...... ....... ........ ......... .......... ........... ............ ............. .............. ............... ................ ................. .................. ................... .................... END OF PART ONE ** WTIO30 FMEE 140636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2009/11/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/14 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2009/11/15 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2009/11/15 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2009/11/16 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2009/11/16 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM ...................................................................... .. ... .... ..... ...... ....... ........ ......... .......... ........... ............ ............. .............. ............... ................ ................. .................. ................... .................... ..................... ...................... END OF PART ONE ** WTIO30 FMEE 140636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2009/11/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/14 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2009/11/15 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2009/11/15 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2009/11/16 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2009/11/16 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM ...................................................................... .. ... .... ..... ...... ....... ........ ......... .......... ........... ............ ............. .............. ............... ................ ................. .................. ................... END OF PART ONE ** WTIO30 FMEE 140636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2009/11/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/14 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2009/11/15 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2009/11/15 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2009/11/16 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2009/11/16 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM ...................................................................... .. ... .... ..... ...... ....... ........ ......... .......... ........... ............ ............. .............. ............... ................ ................. .................. ................... .................... ..................... ...................... ....................... ........................ END OF PART ONE ** WTIO30 FMEE 140636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2009/11/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/14 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2009/11/15 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2009/11/15 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2009/11/16 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2009/11/16 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM ...................................................................... .. ... .... ..... ...... ....... ........ ......... .......... ........... ............ ............. .............. ............... ................ ................. .................. ................... .................... ..................... ...................... ....................... END OF PART ONE ** WTIO30 FMEE 140636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2009/11/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/14 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2009/11/15 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2009/11/15 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2009/11/16 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2009/11/16 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM ...................................................................... .. ... .... ..... ...... ....... ........ ......... .......... ........... ............ ............. .............. ............... ................ ................. .................. ................... .................... ..................... END OF PART ONE ** WTIO30 FMEE 140636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20092010 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2009/11/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 71.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 50 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2009/11/14 18 UTC: 13.5S/71.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2009/11/15 06 UTC: 14.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2009/11/15 18 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2009/11/16 06 UTC: 15.2S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2009/11/16 18 UTC: 16.0S/71.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM ...................................................................... .. ... .... ..... ...... ....... ........ ......... .......... ........... ............ ............. .............. ............... END OF PART ONE ** WTIN20 DEMS 140715 *** TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED: 14-11-2009 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 24 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC (.) A LOW PRESSURE AREA LIES OVER COMORIN AREA AND NEIGHBOURHOOD(.) CONVECTIVE CLOUDS ARE SEEN OVER PARTS OF SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA, COMORIN AREA AND SOUTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL(.) RIDGE LINE AT 200 HPA PASSES ALONG LATITUDE 17 DEG N OVER INDIAN REGION .= ** WTXS51 PGTW 140900 *** WARNING ATCP MIL 01S SIO 091114082854 2009111406 01S ONE 001 01 195 07 SATL 060 T000 127S 0710E 035 T012 130S 0708E 040 T024 133S 0705E 045 R034 055 NE QD 055 SE QD 045 SW QD 045 NW QD T036 136S 0701E 050 R034 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD T048 141S 0694E 060 R050 025 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 025 NW QD R034 065 NE QD 065 SE QD 055 SW QD 055 NW QD T072 162S 0673E 065 R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW QD 060 NW QD T096 188S 0669E 070 T120 217S 0695E 055 AMP 120HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S (ONE) WARNING NR 001 REF/A/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/132351Z NOV 09// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S (ONE) WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 140600Z --- NEAR 12.7S 71.0E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 195 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY REPEAT POSIT: 12.7S 71.0E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z --- 13.0S 70.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z --- 13.3S 70.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z --- 13.6S 70.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z --- 14.1S 69.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z --- 16.2S 67.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 07 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z --- 18.8S 66.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z --- 21.7S 69.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 140900Z POSITION NEAR 12.8S 71.0E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01S, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 330NM SOUTH- SOUTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) HAS CONTINUED TO CONSOLIDATE DESPITE THE RECENT DIURNAL WEAKENING OF DEEP CONVECTION. MICROWAVE IMAGERY TO INCLUDE A 140425Z AMSU IMAGE INDICATE IMPROVED ORGANIZATION OF THE LLCC WITH A WEAK, FORMATIVE EYE EVIDENT. A 140509Z ASCAT IMAGE INDICATES 35-KNOT WINDS AND NUMEROUS SHIP OBSERVATIONS, NEAR THE LLCC, SHOWED 20-25 KNOT WINDS WITH SLP NEAR 1004MB. A 14/01Z AMSU CROSS-SECTION DEPICTED A STRENGTHENING WARM CORE WITH A +2C TEMPERATURE ANOMALY. THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON THE ASCAT DATA AND THE SATELLITE SIGNATURE WITH DVORAK ESTIMATES LAGGING A BIT DUE TO THE DIURNAL WANING OF DEEP CONVECTION. TC 01S IS FORECAST TO SLOW AND TO TRACK SOUTHWESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE LOW- TO MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) POSITIONED SOUTH. THE STR IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN WITH THE APPROACH OF A DEEP MIDLATITUDE TROUGH WHICH WILL ALLOW THE SYSTEM TO TURN SOUTHWARD THEN RE-CURVE INTO THE MIDLATITUDE WESTERLIES. THE MODEL GUIDANCE (UKMO, NOGAPS, GFDN, WBAR, GFS AND ECMWF) IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT AND SUPPORTS THIS SCENARIO. TC 01S IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AT A 10-15 KNOT PER DAY RATE WITH FAVORABLE POLEWARD OUTFLOW AND SHOULD PEAK AROUND 70 KNOTS AS IT NEARS THE STR AXIS. THE SYSTEM SHOULD ALSO BEGIN EXTRA-TROPICAL TRANSITION BETWEEN TAU 96 AND TAU 120. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVMARFCSTCEN MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140600Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 142100Z AND 150900Z.// 0109111300 97S 730E 15 0109111306 102S 724E 20 0109111312 108S 719E 25 0109111318 114S 715E 30 0109111400 120S 712E 30 0109111406 127S 710E 35 ** WTXS31 PGTW 140900 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S (ONE) WARNING NR 001// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S (ONE) WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 140600Z --- NEAR 12.7S 71.0E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 195 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY REPEAT POSIT: 12.7S 71.0E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z --- 13.0S 70.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z --- 13.3S 70.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z --- 13.6S 70.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z --- 14.1S 69.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z --- 16.2S 67.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 07 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z --- 18.8S 66.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z --- 21.7S 69.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 140900Z POSITION NEAR 12.8S 71.0E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01S, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 330NM SOUTH- SOUTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) HAS CONTINUED TO CONSOLIDATE DESPITE THE RECENT DIURNAL WEAKENING OF DEEP CONVECTION. MICROWAVE IMAGERY TO INCLUDE A 140425Z AMSU IMAGE INDICATE IMPROVED ORGANIZATION OF THE LLCC WITH A WEAK, FORMATIVE EYE EVIDENT. A 140509Z ASCAT IMAGE INDICATES 35-KNOT WINDS AND NUMEROUS SHIP OBSERVATIONS, NEAR THE LLCC, SHOWED 20-25 KNOT WINDS WITH SLP NEAR 1004MB. A 14/01Z AMSU CROSS-SECTION DEPICTED A STRENGTHENING WARM CORE WITH A +2C TEMPERATURE ANOMALY. THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON THE ASCAT DATA AND THE SATELLITE SIGNATURE WITH DVORAK ESTIMATES LAGGING A BIT DUE TO THE DIURNAL WANING OF DEEP CONVECTION. TC 01S IS FORECAST TO SLOW AND TO TRACK SOUTHWESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE LOW- TO MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) POSITIONED SOUTH. THE STR IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN WITH THE APPROACH OF A DEEP MIDLATITUDE TROUGH WHICH WILL ALLOW THE SYSTEM TO TURN SOUTHWARD THEN RE-CURVE INTO THE MIDLATITUDE WESTERLIES. THE MODEL GUIDANCE (UKMO, NOGAPS, GFDN, WBAR, GFS AND ECMWF) IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT AND SUPPORTS THIS SCENARIO. TC 01S IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AT A 10-15 KNOT PER DAY RATE WITH FAVORABLE POLEWARD OUTFLOW AND SHOULD PEAK AROUND 70 KNOTS AS IT NEARS THE STR AXIS. THE SYSTEM SHOULD ALSO BEGIN EXTRA-TROPICAL TRANSITION BETWEEN TAU 96 AND TAU 120. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVMARFCSTCEN 132351Z NOV 09 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS21 PGTW 140000). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140600Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 142100Z AND 150900Z.//