** WTIO21 FMEE 160613 *** METEO-FRANCE/CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 16/02/2007 A 0600 UTC. NUMERO: 017/09 (SUD-OUEST DE L'OCEAN INDIEN) VITESSES DU VENT MOYEN SUR 10 MINUTES EN NOEUDS (KT) (LES RAFALES SUR MER PEUVENT EXCEDER D'ENVIRON 40% LA VALEUR DU VENT MOYEN). PRESSION MINIMALE AU NIVEAU DE LA MER EN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (VALEUR INDICATIVE). AVIS DE COUP DE VENT DEBUT DE VALIDITE: VENDREDI 16/02/2007 A 0600 UTC. PHENOMENE: TEMPETE TROPICALE MODEREE 9 (FAVIO) 990 HPA POSITION: DANS UN RAYON DE 30 MN AUTOUR DU POINT 22.1S / 59.8E (VINGT-DEUX DEGRES UN SUD ET CINQUANTE-NEUF DEGRES HUIT EST) A 0600 UTC DEPLACEMENT: SUD-OUEST 13 KT ZONES MENACEES: TEMPS A GRAINS DANS UN RAYON DE 60 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 200 MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE EST. COUP DE VENT 35/40KT ET MER TRES FORTE PRES DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 30 MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD-EST. GRAND FRAIS 30KT ET MER FORTE A TRES FORTE DANS UN RAYON DE 30 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 150 MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD-EST. FORTES RAFALES SOUS GRAINS. PREVISIONS: POSITION ET INTENSITE PREVUES: A 12H POUR LE 16/02/2007 A 18 UTC: 23.8S / 57.7E, VENT MAX = 45 KT, TEMP. TROP. MODEREE. A 24H POUR LE 17/02/2007 A 06 UTC: 25.0S / 55.1E, VENT MAX = 50 KT, FORTE TEMP. TROP.. INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES: LE CENTRE DU SYSTEME EST LEGEREMENT RELOCALISE AFIN DE TENIR COMPTE DES DERNIERES INFORMATIONS DISPONIBLES. L'ORGANISATION DE "FAVIO" EST RESTEE FLUCTUANTE, MAIS ELLE SEMBLE SE CONSOLIDER DEPUIS QUELQUES HEURES. LES VENTS LES PLUS FORTS SONT SITUES DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD-EST EN RAISON DE LA VITESSE PROPRE DU SYSTEME ET DU GRADIENT AVEC LA CELLULE DE HAUTES PRESSIONS SUBTROPICALES CENTREE DANS LE SUD-EST QUI DIRIGE SON DEPLACEMENT. "FAVIO" EST PREVU POURSUIVRE SON DEPLACEMENT ASSEZ RAPIDE VERS EN DIRECTION GLOBALE DU SUD-OUEST.= ** WTIO22 FMEE 160613 *** SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 16/02/2007 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 017/09 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: FRIDAY 16/02/2007 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 9 (FAVIO) 990 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 22.1S / 59.8E (TWENTY TWO DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY NINE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 13 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40KT AND VERY ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 20 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2007/02/16 AT 18 UTC: 23.8S / 57.7E, MAX WIND = 45 KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM. 24H, VALID 2007/02/17 AT 06 UTC: 25.0S / 55.1E, MAX WIND = 50 KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE CENTER OF "FAVIO" IS SLIGHTLY RELOCATED IN ORDER TO TAKE ACCOUNT OF THE LATEST AVAILABLE DATA. "FAVIO" ORGANIZATION REMAINED FLUCTUATING BUT A THE LATEST DATA HAS DEPICTED A SLIGHT CONSOLIDATION FOR THE PAST FEW HOURS. THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE LOCATED IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE DUE TO THE THE INNER SPEED OF THE SYSTEM AND TO THE GRADIENT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES ANCHORED IN THE SOUTHEAST, STEERING THE SYSTEM . "FAVIO" IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARDS RATHER QUICKLY.= ** WTIO31 FMEE 160613 *** CMRS / CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BULLETIN DE PREVISION CYCLONIQUE (SUD-OUEST OCEAN INDIEN) 0.A NUMERO DU BULLETIN : 17/9/20062007 1.A TEMPETE TROPICALE MODEREE 9 (FAVIO) 2.A POSITION A 0600 UTC LE 16/02/2007 : DANS UN RAYON DE 30 MN AUTOUR DU POINT 22.1S / 59.8E (VINGT-DEUX DEGRES UN SUD ET CINQUANTE-NEUF DEGRES HUIT EST) 3.A ANALYSE DE DVORAK : 3.0/3.0 /D 0.5/12 H 4.A PRESSION AU CENTRE : 990 HPA 5.A VENT MAX (MOYEN/10 MN) : 40 KT 6.A EXTENSION DES VENTS PAR QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 120 SE: 250 SO: 120 NO: 050 7.A COTE/DIAM PREMIERE ISOBARE FERMEE: 1008 HPA 8.A EXTENSION VERTICALE DE LA CIRCULATION CYCLONIQUE: PROFONDE 1.B PREVISIONS: 12H: 16/02/2007 18 UTC: 23.8S/57.7E, VENT MAX=045KT, TEMP. TROP. MODEREE. 24H: 17/02/2007 06 UTC: 25.0S/55.1E, VENT MAX=050KT, FORTE TEMP. TROP.. 36H: 17/02/2007 18 UTC: 25.4S/52.7E, VENT MAX=045KT, TEMP. TROP. MODEREE. 48H: 18/02/2007 06 UTC: 25.7S/50.4E, VENT MAX=040KT, TEMP. TROP. MODEREE. 60H: 18/02/2007 18 UTC: 25.9S/48.6E, VENT MAX=040KT, TEMP. TROP. MODEREE. 72H: 19/02/2007 06 UTC: 26.1S/47.0E, VENT MAX=040KT, TEMP. TROP. MODEREE. 2.B COMMENTAIRES: T=CI=3.0+ LE CENTRE DU SYSTEME EST LEGEREMENT RELOCALISE AFIN DE TENIR COMPTE DES DERNIERES INFORMATIONS DISPONIBLES. L'ACTIVITE CONVECTIVE AUTOUR DU SYSTEME EST RESTEE RELATIVEMENT FLUCTUANTE PRES DE "FAVIO" AU COURS DES DERNIERES 12 HEURES MAIS LES DERNIERES DONNEES DES SATELLITES MICRO-ONDES CONFIRMENT UNE LEGERE CONSOLIDATION DE LA CONVECTION AUTOUR DU CENTRE DE BASSES COUCHES. LES VENTS LES PLUS FORTS SONT SITUES DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD-EST EN RAISON DE LA VITESSE PROPRE DU SYSTEME ET DU GRADIENT AVEC LA CELLULE DE HAUTES PRESSIONS SUBTROPICALES CENTREE DANS LE SUD-EST QUI DIRIGE SON DEPLACEMENT. "FAVIO" EST PREVU POURSUIVRE SON DEPLACEMENT ASSEZ RAPIDE VERS EN DIRECTION GLOBALE DU SUD-OUEST.= ** WTIO30 FMEE 160613 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 17/9/20062007 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 9 (FAVIO) 2.A POSITION 2007/02/16 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 22.1S / 59.8E (TWENTY TWO DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY NINE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.0/3.0 /D 0.5/12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 990 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 40 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 120 SE: 250 SO: 120 NO: 050 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2007/02/16 18 UTC: 23.8S/57.7E, MAX WIND=045KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 24H: 2007/02/17 06 UTC: 25.0S/55.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 36H: 2007/02/17 18 UTC: 25.4S/52.7E, MAX WIND=045KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 48H: 2007/02/18 06 UTC: 25.7S/50.4E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 60H: 2007/02/18 18 UTC: 25.9S/48.6E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 72H: 2007/02/19 06 UTC: 26.1S/47.0E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=3.0+ THE CENTER OF "FAVIO" IS SLIGHTLY RELOCATED IN ORDER TO TAKE ACCOUNT OF THE LATEST AVAILABLE DATA. THE CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY REMAINED FLUCTUATING NEAR "FAVIO" DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS BUT THE LATEST MICRO-WAVE IMAGERY CONFIRMS A CONSOLIDATING CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY AROUND THE LLCC. THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE LOCATED IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE DUE TO THE THE INNER SPEED OF THE SYSTEM AND TO THE GRADIENT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES ANCHORED IN THE SOUTHEAST, STEERING THE SYSTEM . "FAVIO" IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARDS RATHER QUICKLY.= ** WTIO22 FMEE 160613 *** SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 16/02/2007 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 017/09 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: FRIDAY 16/02/2007 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 9 (FAVIO) 990 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 22.1S / 59.8E (TWENTY TWO DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY NINE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 13 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40KT AND VERY ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 20 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2007/02/16 AT 18 UTC: 23.8S / 57.7E, MAX WIND = 45 KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM. 24H, VALID 2007/02/17 AT 06 UTC: 25.0S / 55.1E, MAX WIND = 50 KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE CENTER OF "FAVIO" IS SLIGHTLY RELOCATED IN ORDER TO TAKE ACCOUNT OF THE LATEST AVAILABLE DATA. "FAVIO" ORGANIZATION REMAINED FLUCTUATING BUT A THE LATEST DATA HAS DEPICTED A SLIGHT CONSOLIDATION FOR THE PAST FEW HOURS. THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE LOCATED IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE DUE TO THE THE INNER SPEED OF THE SYSTEM AND TO THE GRADIENT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES ANCHORED IN THE SOUTHEAST, STEERING THE SYSTEM . "FAVIO" IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARDS RATHER QUICKLY.= ** WTIO30 FMEE 160613 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 17/9/20062007 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 9 (FAVIO) 2.A POSITION 2007/02/16 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 22.1S / 59.8E (TWENTY TWO DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY NINE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.0/3.0 /D 0.5/12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 990 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 40 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 120 SE: 250 SO: 120 NO: 050 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2007/02/16 18 UTC: 23.8S/57.7E, MAX WIND=045KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 24H: 2007/02/17 06 UTC: 25.0S/55.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 36H: 2007/02/17 18 UTC: 25.4S/52.7E, MAX WIND=045KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 48H: 2007/02/18 06 UTC: 25.7S/50.4E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 60H: 2007/02/18 18 UTC: 25.9S/48.6E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 72H: 2007/02/19 06 UTC: 26.1S/47.0E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=3.0+ THE CENTER OF "FAVIO" IS SLIGHTLY RELOCATED IN ORDER TO TAKE ACCOUNT OF THE LATEST AVAILABLE DATA. THE CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY REMAINED FLUCTUATING NEAR "FAVIO" DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS BUT THE LATEST MICRO-WAVE IMAGERY CONFIRMS A CONSOLIDATING CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY AROUND THE LLCC. THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE LOCATED IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE DUE TO THE THE INNER SPEED OF THE SYSTEM AND TO THE GRADIENT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES ANCHORED IN THE SOUTHEAST, STEERING THE SYSTEM . "FAVIO" IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARDS RATHER QUICKLY.= ** WTIO21 FMEE 160613 *** METEO-FRANCE/CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 16/02/2007 A 0600 UTC. NUMERO: 017/09 (SUD-OUEST DE L'OCEAN INDIEN) VITESSES DU VENT MOYEN SUR 10 MINUTES EN NOEUDS (KT) (LES RAFALES SUR MER PEUVENT EXCEDER D'ENVIRON 40% LA VALEUR DU VENT MOYEN). PRESSION MINIMALE AU NIVEAU DE LA MER EN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (VALEUR INDICATIVE). AVIS DE COUP DE VENT DEBUT DE VALIDITE: VENDREDI 16/02/2007 A 0600 UTC. PHENOMENE: TEMPETE TROPICALE MODEREE 9 (FAVIO) 990 HPA POSITION: DANS UN RAYON DE 30 MN AUTOUR DU POINT 22.1S / 59.8E (VINGT-DEUX DEGRES UN SUD ET CINQUANTE-NEUF DEGRES HUIT EST) A 0600 UTC DEPLACEMENT: SUD-OUEST 13 KT ZONES MENACEES: TEMPS A GRAINS DANS UN RAYON DE 60 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 200 MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE EST. COUP DE VENT 35/40KT ET MER TRES FORTE PRES DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 30 MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD-EST. GRAND FRAIS 30KT ET MER FORTE A TRES FORTE DANS UN RAYON DE 30 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 150 MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD-EST. FORTES RAFALES SOUS GRAINS. PREVISIONS: POSITION ET INTENSITE PREVUES: A 12H POUR LE 16/02/2007 A 18 UTC: 23.8S / 57.7E, VENT MAX = 45 KT, TEMP. TROP. MODEREE. A 24H POUR LE 17/02/2007 A 06 UTC: 25.0S / 55.1E, VENT MAX = 50 KT, FORTE TEMP. TROP.. INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES: LE CENTRE DU SYSTEME EST LEGEREMENT RELOCALISE AFIN DE TENIR COMPTE DES DERNIERES INFORMATIONS DISPONIBLES. L'ORGANISATION DE "FAVIO" EST RESTEE FLUCTUANTE, MAIS ELLE SEMBLE SE CONSOLIDER DEPUIS QUELQUES HEURES. LES VENTS LES PLUS FORTS SONT SITUES DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD-EST EN RAISON DE LA VITESSE PROPRE DU SYSTEME ET DU GRADIENT AVEC LA CELLULE DE HAUTES PRESSIONS SUBTROPICALES CENTREE DANS LE SUD-EST QUI DIRIGE SON DEPLACEMENT. "FAVIO" EST PREVU POURSUIVRE SON DEPLACEMENT ASSEZ RAPIDE VERS EN DIRECTION GLOBALE DU SUD-OUEST. . ** WTIO22 FMEE 160613 *** SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 16/02/2007 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 017/09 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: FRIDAY 16/02/2007 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 9 (FAVIO) 990 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 22.1S / 59.8E (TWENTY TWO DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY NINE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 13 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40KT AND VERY ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 20 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2007/02/16 AT 18 UTC: 23.8S / 57.7E, MAX WIND = 45 KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM. 24H, VALID 2007/02/17 AT 06 UTC: 25.0S / 55.1E, MAX WIND = 50 KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE CENTER OF "FAVIO" IS SLIGHTLY RELOCATED IN ORDER TO TAKE ACCOUNT OF THE LATEST AVAILABLE DATA. "FAVIO" ORGANIZATION REMAINED FLUCTUATING BUT A THE LATEST DATA HAS DEPICTED A SLIGHT CONSOLIDATION FOR THE PAST FEW HOURS. THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE LOCATED IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE DUE TO THE THE INNER SPEED OF THE SYSTEM AND TO THE GRADIENT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES ANCHORED IN THE SOUTHEAST, STEERING THE SYSTEM .. "FAVIO" IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARDS RATHER QUICKLY. . ** WTIO30 FMEE 160613 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 17/9/20062007 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 9 (FAVIO) 2.A POSITION 2007/02/16 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 22.1S / 59.8E (TWENTY TWO DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY NINE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.0/3.0 /D 0.5/12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 990 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 40 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 120 SE: 250 SO: 120 NO: 050 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2007/02/16 18 UTC: 23.8S/57.7E, MAX WIND=045KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM .. 24H: 2007/02/17 06 UTC: 25.0S/55.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 36H: 2007/02/17 18 UTC: 25.4S/52.7E, MAX WIND=045KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . ** WTIN20 DEMS 160622 *** TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK ------------------------ DEMS -RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI 16-02-2007(.) TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL AND THE ARABIAN SEA ) VALID FOR NEXT 24 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC (.) CONVECTIVE CLOUDS ARE SEEN OVER PARTS OF EAST CENTRAL AND SOUTH WEST BAY OF BENGAL (.) THE RIDGE LINE PASSES THROUGH 10 DEG. NORTH AT 200 HPA OVER THE INDIAN REGION (.) MSG OVER ????/ ** WTIN20 DEMS 160622 *** TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK ------------------------ DEMS -RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI 16-02-2007(.) TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL AND THE ARABIAN SEA ) VALID FOR NEXT 24 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC (.) CONVECTIVE CLOUDS ARE SEEN OVER PARTS OF EAST CENTRAL AND SOUTH WEST BAY OF BENGAL (.) THE RIDGE LINE PASSES THROUGH 10 DEG. NORTH AT 200 HPA OVER THE INDIAN REGION (.) MSG OVER ????/