** WTIO22 FMEE 230619 *** SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 23/12/2006 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 023/03 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). STORM WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SATURDAY 23/12/2006 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 3 (BONDO) 980 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 11.4S / 49.6E (ELEVEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY NINE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 5 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 110 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE , EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 350 NM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/55 KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO150 NM IN THE WESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 80 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE EXTENDING UP TO 280 NM IN THE WESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/12/23 AT 18 UTC: 11.7S / 49.2E, MAX WIND = 60 KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 24H, VALID 2006/12/24 AT 06 UTC: 12.6S / 48.5E, MAX WIND = 65 KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE. OTHER INFORMATIONS: ACCORDING TO RECENT SATELLITE DATA, NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS EXTENSION IS WIDER IN THE WESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE (QUIKSCAT 0447Z). BONDO TRACKS NOW SLOWLY SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARDS.= ** WTIO22 FMEE 230619 *** SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 23/12/2006 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 023/03 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). STORM WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SATURDAY 23/12/2006 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 3 (BONDO) 980 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 11.4S / 49.6E (ELEVEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY NINE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 5 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 110 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE , EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 350 NM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/55 KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO150 NM IN THE WESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 80 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE EXTENDING UP TO 280 NM IN THE WESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/12/23 AT 18 UTC: 11.7S / 49.2E, MAX WIND = 60 KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 24H, VALID 2006/12/24 AT 06 UTC: 12.6S / 48.5E, MAX WIND = 65 KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE. OTHER INFORMATIONS: ACCORDING TO RECENT SATELLITE DATA, NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS EXTENSION IS WIDER IN THE WESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE (QUIKSCAT 0447Z). BONDO TRACKS NOW SLOWLY SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARDS. . ** WTIO21 FMEE 230619 *** METEO-FRANCE/CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 23/12/2006 A 0600 UTC. NUMERO: 023/03 (SUD-OUEST DE L'OCEAN INDIEN) VITESSES DU VENT MOYEN SUR 10 MINUTES EN NOEUDS (KT) (LES RAFALES SUR MER PEUVENT EXCEDER D'ENVIRON 40% LA VALEUR DU VENT MOYEN). PRESSION MINIMALE AU NIVEAU DE LA MER EN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (VALEUR INDICATIVE). AVIS DE TEMPETE DEBUT DE VALIDITE: SAMEDI 23/12/2006 A 0600 UTC. PHENOMENE: FORTE TEMPETE TROPICALE 3 (BONDO) 980 HPA POSITION: DANS UN RAYON DE 20 MN AUTOUR DU POINT 11.4S / 49.6E (ONZE DEGRES QUATRE SUD ET QUARANTE-NEUF DEGRES SIX EST) A 0600 UTC DEPLACEMENT: SUD-SUD-OUEST 5 KT ZONES MENACEES: TEMPS A GRAINS DANS UN RAYON DE 110 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT LOCALEMENT JUSQU'A 350 MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD-OUEST. TEMPETE 50/55 KT ET MER GROSSE A TRES GROSSE DANS UN RAYON DE 20 MN DU CENTRE. COUP DE VENT 35/45 KT ET MER TRES FORTE A GROSSE DANS UN RAYON DE 40 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQUE 150 MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE OUEST. GRAND FRAIS 30 KT ET MER FORTE A TRES FORTE DANS UN RAYON DE 80 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE S'ETENDANT JUSQUE 280 MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE OUEST. FORTES RAFALES SOUS GRAINS. PREVISIONS: POSITION ET INTENSITE PREVUES: A 12H POUR LE 23/12/2006 A 18 UTC: 11.7S / 49.2E, VENT MAX = 60 KT, FORTE TEMP. TROP.. A 24H POUR LE 24/12/2006 A 06 UTC: 12.6S / 48.5E, VENT MAX = 65 KT, CYCLONE TROPICAL. INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES: L'EXTENSION DU GRAND FRAIS, PLUS IMPORTANTE DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE OUEST EST VALIDEE PAR DES DONNEES SATELLITAIRES RECENTES (QUIKSCAT 0447Z). LE SYSTEME SEMBLE REPRENDRE UN DEPLACEMENT EN DIRECTION DU SUD-SUD-OUEST .. . ** WTIN20 DEMS 230635 *** TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK ------------------------ DEMS -RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI 23 DEC, 2006 (.) TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL AND THE ARABIAN SEA ) VALID FOR NEXT 24 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC (.) CONVECTIVE CLOUDS ARE SEEN OVER SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PARTS OF BAY OF BENGAL,SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA,SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA AND ALSO PARTS OF NORTH INDIAN OCCEAN (.) THE RIDGE LINE AT 200 HPA RUNS ALONG 14 DEG.N OVER THE INDIAN REGION (.) MSG OVER ** WTIO30 FMEE 230634 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 23/3/20062007 1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 3 (BONDO) 2.A POSITION 2006/12/23 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 11.4S / 49.6E (ELEVEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY NINE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 4.0/4.0 /S 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 980 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 55 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 126 SE: 120 SO: 300 NO: 350 50 KT NE: 030 SE: 030 SO: 030 NO: 030 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1006 HPA / 900 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/12/23 18 UTC: 11.7S/49.2E, MAX WIND=060KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 24H: 2006/12/24 06 UTC: 12.6S/48.5E, MAX WIND=065KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE. 36H: 2006/12/24 18 UTC: 13.5S/47.8E, MAX WIND=070KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE. 48H: 2006/12/25 06 UTC: 14.4S/46.7E, MAX WIND=065KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE. 60H: 2006/12/25 18 UTC: 15.7S/45.4E, MAX WIND=060KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 72H: 2006/12/26 06 UTC: 17.2S/43.5E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: VERTICAL WINDSHEAR HAS WEAKENED, AND THE SYSTEM IS INTENSIFYING. IT TRACKS NOW SLOWLY SOUTHWESTWARDS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS BECOME FAVORABLES FOR THE NEXT 36 TO 48 HOURS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK SOUTHWESTSARDS ALONG COASTS OF MADAGASCAR , ACCELERATING.= ** WTIO30 FMEE 230634 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 23/3/20062007 1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 3 (BONDO) 2.A POSITION 2006/12/23 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 11.4S / 49.6E (ELEVEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY NINE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 4.0/4.0 /S 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 980 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 55 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 126 SE: 120 SO: 300 NO: 350 50 KT NE: 030 SE: 030 SO: 030 NO: 030 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1006 HPA / 900 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/12/23 18 UTC: 11.7S/49.2E, MAX WIND=060KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 24H: 2006/12/24 06 UTC: 12.6S/48.5E, MAX WIND=065KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE. 36H: 2006/12/24 18 UTC: 13.5S/47.8E, MAX WIND=070KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE. 48H: 2006/12/25 06 UTC: 14.4S/46.7E, MAX WIND=065KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE. 60H: 2006/12/25 18 UTC: 15.7S/45.4E, MAX WIND=060KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 72H: 2006/12/26 06 UTC: 17.2S/43.5E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: VERTICAL WINDSHEAR HAS WEAKENED, AND THE SYSTEM IS INTENSIFYING. IT TRACKS NOW SLOWLY SOUTHWESTWARDS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS BECOME FAVORABLES FOR THE NEXT 36 TO 48 HOURS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK SOUTHWESTSARDS ALONG COASTS OF MADAGASCAR , ACCELERATING. . ** WTIO30 FMEE 230634 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 23/3/20062007 1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 3 (BONDO) 2.A POSITION 2006/12/23 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 11.4S / 49.6E (ELEVEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY NINE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 4.0/4.0 /S 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 980 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 55 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 126 SE: 120 SO: 300 NO: 350 50 KT NE: 030 SE: 030 SO: 030 NO: 030 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1006 HPA / 900 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/12/23 18 UTC: 11.7S/49.2E, MAX WIND=060KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 24H: 2006/12/24 06 UTC: 12.6S/48.5E, MAX WIND=065KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE. 36H: 2006/12/24 18 UTC: 13.5S/47.8E, MAX WIND=070KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE. 48H: 2006/12/25 06 UTC: 14.4S/46.7E, MAX WIND=065KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE. 60H: 2006/12/25 18 UTC: 15.7S/45.4E, MAX WIND=060KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 72H: 2006/12/26 06 UTC: 17.2S/43.5E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: VERTICAL WINDSHEAR HAS WEAKENED, AND THE SYSTEM IS INTENSIFYING. IT TRACKS NOW SLOWLY SOUTHWESTWARDS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS BECOME FAVORABLES FOR THE NEXT 36 TO 48 HOURS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK SOUTHWESTSARDS ALONG COASTS OF MADAGASCAR , ACCELERATING.= ** WTIO30 FMEE 230634 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 23/3/20062007 1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 3 (BONDO) 2.A POSITION 2006/12/23 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 11.4S / 49.6E (ELEVEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY NINE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 4.0/4.0 /S 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 980 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 55 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 126 SE: 120 SO: 300 NO: 350 50 KT NE: 030 SE: 030 SO: 030 NO: 030 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1006 HPA / 900 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/12/23 18 UTC: 11.7S/49.2E, MAX WIND=060KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 24H: 2006/12/24 06 UTC: 12.6S/48.5E, MAX WIND=065KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE. 36H: 2006/12/24 18 UTC: 13.5S/47.8E, MAX WIND=070KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE. 48H: 2006/12/25 06 UTC: 14.4S/46.7E, MAX WIND=065KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE. 60H: 2006/12/25 18 UTC: 15.7S/45.4E, MAX WIND=060KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 72H: 2006/12/26 06 UTC: 17.2S/43.5E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: VERTICAL WINDSHEAR HAS WEAKENED, AND THE SYSTEM IS INTENSIFYING. IT TRACKS NOW SLOWLY SOUTHWESTWARDS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS BECOME FAVORABLES FOR THE NEXT 36 TO 48 HOURS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK SOUTHWESTSARDS ALONG COASTS OF MADAGASCAR , ACCELERATING. . ** WTIO30 FMEE 230634 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 23/3/20062007 1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 3 (BONDO) 2.A POSITION 2006/12/23 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 11.4S / 49.6E (ELEVEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY NINE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 4.0/4.0 /S 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 980 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 55 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 126 SE: 120 SO: 300 NO: 350 50 KT NE: 030 SE: 030 SO: 030 NO: 030 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1006 HPA / 900 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/12/23 18 UTC: 11.7S/49.2E, MAX WIND=060KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 24H: 2006/12/24 06 UTC: 12.6S/48.5E, MAX WIND=065KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE. 36H: 2006/12/24 18 UTC: 13.5S/47.8E, MAX WIND=070KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE. 48H: 2006/12/25 06 UTC: 14.4S/46.7E, MAX WIND=065KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE. 60H: 2006/12/25 18 UTC: 15.7S/45.4E, MAX WIND=060KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 72H: 2006/12/26 06 UTC: 17.2S/43.5E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: VERTICAL WINDSHEAR HAS WEAKENED, AND THE SYSTEM IS INTENSIFYING. IT TRACKS NOW SLOWLY SOUTHWESTWARDS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS BECOME FAVORABLES FOR THE NEXT 36 TO 48 HOURS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK SOUTHWESTSARDS ALONG COASTS OF MADAGASCAR , ACCELERATING.= ** WTPH RPLL 230851 *** GALE WARNING NO.15 FOR STRONG WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE SURGE OF THE NORTHEAST MONSOON ISSUED AT 5:00 PM TODAY,23 DECEMBER 2006 (VALID UNTIL THE NEXT WARNING TO BE ISSUED AT 5:00 AM TOMORROW) THE SURGE OF STRONG NORTHEASTERLY WNDS IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AFFECTING THE SEABROADS OF LUZON THE NORTHERN AND EASTERN SEABOARDS OF LUZON WILL HAVE MOSTLY CLDY SKIES WITH SCT RASHS WHILE THE WESTERN SEABOARD OF LUZON WILL BE PARTLY CLDY TO AT TIMES CLDY WITH ISOL RASHS.WINDS OF 40 TO 74 KPH (22 TO 40 KNOTS) ARE EXPECTED,SEA CONDITIONS WILL BE ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH WITH WAVE HEIGHTS OF 2.50 TO 6.00 METERS FISHING BOATS AND OTHER SMALL SEA VESSELS ARE ADVISED NOT TO VENTURE OUT INTO THE SEA WHILE BIGGER SEA VESSELS ARE ALERTED AGAINST MODERATE TO HIGH WAVES. WATCH FOR THE NEXT UPDATE TO BE ISSUED AT 5:00 AM TOMORROW.