** WTIO22 FMEE 220613 *** SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 22/12/2006 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 019/03 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). STORM WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: FRIDAY 22/12/2006 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 3 (BONDO) 980 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 10.2S / 50.0E (TEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 3 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXTENDING UP TO 130 NM FROM THE CENTRE MAINLY IN THE NORTHWESTERN SECTOR, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO MORE THAN 250 NM IN THE PERIPHERIC BANDS. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/55 KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE EXTENDING UP TO 80 NM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT AND UP TO 110 NM IN THE NORTHWESTERN QUADRANT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/12/22 AT 18 UTC: 10.8S / 49.4E, MAX WIND = 40 KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM. 24H, VALID 2006/12/23 AT 06 UTC: 11.6S / 48.8E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE LOW LEVEL CENTER IS EXPOSED, SOUTHEAST OF MAIN DEEP THUNDERY CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY. THE SYSTEM HAS SLOWN DOWN AND IS RAPIDLY WEAKENING, AS IT TRACKS MORE TOWARDS NORTH OF MADAGASCAR. SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARDS ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN MALAGASY COASTLINE AND GRADUALLY WEAKENING WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. . ** WTIO21 FMEE 220613 *** METEO-FRANCE/CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 22/12/2006 A 0600 UTC. NUMERO: 019/03 (SUD-OUEST DE L'OCEAN INDIEN) VITESSES DU VENT MOYEN SUR 10 MINUTES EN NOEUDS (KT) (LES RAFALES SUR MER PEUVENT EXCEDER D'ENVIRON 40% LA VALEUR DU VENT MOYEN). PRESSION MINIMALE AU NIVEAU DE LA MER EN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (VALEUR INDICATIVE). AVIS DE TEMPETE DEBUT DE VALIDITE: VENDREDI 22/12/2006 A 0600 UTC. PHENOMENE: FORTE TEMPETE TROPICALE 3 (BONDO) 980 HPA POSITION: DANS UN RAYON DE 20 MN AUTOUR DU POINT 10.2S / 50.0E (DIX DEGRES DEUX SUD ET CINQUANTE DEGRES ZERO EST) A 0600 UTC DEPLACEMENT: OUEST-SUD-OUEST 3 KT ZONES MENACEES: TEMPS A GRAINS S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 130 MN DU CENTRE PRINCIPALEMENT DANS LE SECTEUR NORD-OUEST, POUVANT S'ETENDRE LOCALEMENT JUSQU'A PLUS DE 250MN DANS LES BANDES PERIPHERIQUES. TEMPETE 50/55 KT ET MER GROSSE A TRES GROSSE DANS UN RAYON DE 30 MN DU CENTRE. COUP DE VENT 35/45 KT ET MER TRES FORTE A GROSSE DANS UN RAYON DE 40 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE. GRAND FRAIS 30 KT ET MER FORTE A TRES FORTE DANS UN RAYON DE 60 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE EST S'ETENDANT JUSQUE 80 MN DANS LE QUADRANT SUD-OUEST ET JUSQUE 110 MN DANS LE QUANDRANT NORD-OUEST. FORTES RAFALES SOUS GRAINS. PREVISIONS: POSITION ET INTENSITE PREVUES: A 12H POUR LE 22/12/2006 A 18 UTC: 10.8S / 49.4E, VENT MAX = 40 KT, TEMP. TROP. MODEREE. A 24H POUR LE 23/12/2006 A 06 UTC: 11.6S / 48.8E, VENT MAX = 30 KT, DEPR. TROPICALE. INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES: LE CENTRE DE BASSE COUCHE EST EXPOSE AU SUD-EST DE LA MASSE ACTIVE ORAGEUSE. LE SYSTEME A RALENTI ET FAIBLIT RAPIDEMENT EN SE RAPROCHANT PLUS DU NORD DE MADASCAR. IL EST PREVU LONGER LES COTES NORD-OUEST DE MADAGASCAR EN CONTINUANT DE S 'AFFAIBLIR PROGRESSIVEMENT DURANT LES PROCHAINES 48H. . ** WTIO22 FMEE 220613 *** SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 22/12/2006 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 019/03 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). STORM WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: FRIDAY 22/12/2006 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 3 (BONDO) 980 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 10.2S / 50.0E (TEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 3 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXTENDING UP TO 130 NM FROM THE CENTRE MAINLY IN THE NORTHWESTERN SECTOR, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO MORE THAN 250 NM IN THE PERIPHERIC BANDS. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/55 KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE EXTENDING UP TO 80 NM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT AND UP TO 110 NM IN THE NORTHWESTERN QUADRANT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/12/22 AT 18 UTC: 10.8S / 49.4E, MAX WIND = 40 KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM. 24H, VALID 2006/12/23 AT 06 UTC: 11.6S / 48.8E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE LOW LEVEL CENTER IS EXPOSED, SOUTHEAST OF MAIN DEEP THUNDERY CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY. THE SYSTEM HAS SLOWN DOWN AND IS RAPIDLY WEAKENING, AS IT TRACKS MORE TOWARDS NORTH OF MADAGASCAR. SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARDS ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN MALAGASY COASTLINE AND GRADUALLY WEAKENING WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS.= ** WTIO22 FMEE 220613 *** SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 22/12/2006 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 019/03 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). STORM WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: FRIDAY 22/12/2006 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 3 (BONDO) 980 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 10.2S / 50.0E (TEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 3 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXTENDING UP TO 130 NM FROM THE CENTRE MAINLY IN THE NORTHWESTERN SECTOR, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO MORE THAN 250 NM IN THE PERIPHERIC BANDS. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/55 KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE EXTENDING UP TO 80 NM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT AND UP TO 110 NM IN THE NORTHWESTERN QUADRANT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/12/22 AT 18 UTC: 10.8S / 49.4E, MAX WIND = 40 KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM. 24H, VALID 2006/12/23 AT 06 UTC: 11.6S / 48.8E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE LOW LEVEL CENTER IS EXPOSED, SOUTHEAST OF MAIN DEEP THUNDERY CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY. THE SYSTEM HAS SLOWN DOWN AND IS RAPIDLY WEAKENING, AS IT TRACKS MORE TOWARDS NORTH OF MADAGASCAR. SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARDS ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN MALAGASY COASTLINE AND GRADUALLY WEAKENING WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. . ** WTIO21 FMEE 220613 *** METEO-FRANCE/CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 22/12/2006 A 0600 UTC. NUMERO: 019/03 (SUD-OUEST DE L'OCEAN INDIEN) VITESSES DU VENT MOYEN SUR 10 MINUTES EN NOEUDS (KT) (LES RAFALES SUR MER PEUVENT EXCEDER D'ENVIRON 40% LA VALEUR DU VENT MOYEN). PRESSION MINIMALE AU NIVEAU DE LA MER EN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (VALEUR INDICATIVE). AVIS DE TEMPETE DEBUT DE VALIDITE: VENDREDI 22/12/2006 A 0600 UTC. PHENOMENE: FORTE TEMPETE TROPICALE 3 (BONDO) 980 HPA POSITION: DANS UN RAYON DE 20 MN AUTOUR DU POINT 10.2S / 50.0E (DIX DEGRES DEUX SUD ET CINQUANTE DEGRES ZERO EST) A 0600 UTC DEPLACEMENT: OUEST-SUD-OUEST 3 KT ZONES MENACEES: TEMPS A GRAINS S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 130 MN DU CENTRE PRINCIPALEMENT DANS LE SECTEUR NORD-OUEST, POUVANT S'ETENDRE LOCALEMENT JUSQU'A PLUS DE 250MN DANS LES BANDES PERIPHERIQUES. TEMPETE 50/55 KT ET MER GROSSE A TRES GROSSE DANS UN RAYON DE 30 MN DU CENTRE. COUP DE VENT 35/45 KT ET MER TRES FORTE A GROSSE DANS UN RAYON DE 40 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE. GRAND FRAIS 30 KT ET MER FORTE A TRES FORTE DANS UN RAYON DE 60 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE EST S'ETENDANT JUSQUE 80 MN DANS LE QUADRANT SUD-OUEST ET JUSQUE 110 MN DANS LE QUANDRANT NORD-OUEST. FORTES RAFALES SOUS GRAINS. PREVISIONS: POSITION ET INTENSITE PREVUES: A 12H POUR LE 22/12/2006 A 18 UTC: 10.8S / 49.4E, VENT MAX = 40 KT, TEMP. TROP. MODEREE. A 24H POUR LE 23/12/2006 A 06 UTC: 11.6S / 48.8E, VENT MAX = 30 KT, DEPR. TROPICALE. INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES: LE CENTRE DE BASSE COUCHE EST EXPOSE AU SUD-EST DE LA MASSE ACTIVE ORAGEUSE. LE SYSTEME A RALENTI ET FAIBLIT RAPIDEMENT EN SE RAPROCHANT PLUS DU NORD DE MADASCAR. IL EST PREVU LONGER LES COTES NORD-OUEST DE MADAGASCAR EN CONTINUANT DE S 'AFFAIBLIR PROGRESSIVEMENT DURANT LES PROCHAINES 48H. . ** WTIO30 FMEE 220616 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 19/3/20062007 1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 3 (BONDO) 2.A POSITION 2006/12/22 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 10.2S / 50.0E (TEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.0/4.0 /W 1.0/12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 980 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 55 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 100 SE: 100 SO: 150 NO: 200 50 KT NE: 030 SE: 030 SO: 030 NO: 030 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1006 HPA / 400 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/12/22 18 UTC: 10.8S/49.4E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 24H: 2006/12/23 06 UTC: 11.6S/48.8E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 36H: 2006/12/23 18 UTC: 12.5S/48.1E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 48H: 2006/12/24 06 UTC: 13.3S/47.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 60H: 2006/12/24 18 UTC: 13.9S/46.8E, MAX WIND=035KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 72H: 2006/12/25 06 UTC: 14.7S/45.9E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=3.0- AND CI=4.0- THE SYSTEM IS RAPIDLY WEAKENING IN A STRONGLY SOUTHEASTERLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT. INDOEX IMAGERY SHOWS A LLCC EXPOSED SOUTHEAST OF DEEP CONVECTION. IT HAS SLOWN DOWN AND IS EXEPECTED TO CURVE SOUTHWESTWARDS ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN MALAGASY COASTLINE AND WEAKENING GRADUALLY. NEVERTHELESS, BEYOND 48 HOURS , THE SYSTEM SHOULD BE BACK IN A LESS WINDSHEARED ENVIRONMENT AND OVER THE WARM WATERS OF THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL, A RE-INTENSIFICATION IS POSSIBLE IF THE SYSTEM STILL TRACK SOUTHWESTWARDS AND DOESN'T MAKE LANDFALL.= ** WTIO30 FMEE 220616 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 19/3/20062007 1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 3 (BONDO) 2.A POSITION 2006/12/22 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 10.2S / 50.0E (TEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.0/4.0 /W 1.0/12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 980 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 55 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 100 SE: 100 SO: 150 NO: 200 50 KT NE: 030 SE: 030 SO: 030 NO: 030 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1006 HPA / 400 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/12/22 18 UTC: 10.8S/49.4E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 24H: 2006/12/23 06 UTC: 11.6S/48.8E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 36H: 2006/12/23 18 UTC: 12.5S/48.1E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 48H: 2006/12/24 06 UTC: 13.3S/47.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 60H: 2006/12/24 18 UTC: 13.9S/46.8E, MAX WIND=035KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 72H: 2006/12/25 06 UTC: 14.7S/45.9E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=3.0- AND CI=4.0- THE SYSTEM IS RAPIDLY WEAKENING IN A STRONGLY SOUTHEASTERLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT. INDOEX IMAGERY SHOWS A LLCC EXPOSED SOUTHEAST OF DEEP CONVECTION. IT HAS SLOWN DOWN AND IS EXEPECTED TO CURVE SOUTHWESTWARDS ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN MALAGASY COASTLINE AND WEAKENING GRADUALLY. NEVERTHELESS, BEYOND 48 HOURS , THE SYSTEM SHOULD BE BACK IN A LESS WINDSHEARED ENVIRONMENT AND OVER THE WARM WATERS OF THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL, A RE-INTENSIFICATION IS POSSIBLE IF THE SYSTEM STILL TRACK SOUTHWESTWARDS AND DOESN'T MAKE LANDFALL.= ** WTIO30 FMEE 220616 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 19/3/20062007 1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 3 (BONDO) 2.A POSITION 2006/12/22 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 10.2S / 50.0E (TEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.0/4.0 /W 1.0/12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 980 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 55 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 100 SE: 100 SO: 150 NO: 200 50 KT NE: 030 SE: 030 SO: 030 NO: 030 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1006 HPA / 400 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/12/22 18 UTC: 10.8S/49.4E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM .. 24H: 2006/12/23 06 UTC: 11.6S/48.8E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 36H: 2006/12/23 18 UTC: 12.5S/48.1E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 48H: 2006/12/24 06 UTC: 13.3S/47.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 60H: 2006/12/24 18 UTC: 13.9S/46.8E, MAX WIND=035KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM .. 72H: 2006/12/25 06 UTC: 14.7S/45.9E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM .. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=3.0- AND CI=4.0- THE SYSTEM IS RAPIDLY WEAKENING IN A STRONGLY SOUTHEASTERLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT. INDOEX IMAGERY SHOWS A LLCC EXPOSED SOUTHEAST OF DEEP CONVECTION. IT HAS SLOWN DOWN AND IS EXEPECTED TO CURVE SOUTHWESTWARDS ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN MALAGASY COASTLINE AND WEAKENING GRADUALLY. NEVERTHELESS, BEYOND 48 HOURS , THE SYSTEM SHOULD BE BACK IN A LESS WINDSHEARED ENVIRONMENT AND OVER THE WARM WATERS OF THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL, A RE-INTENSIFICATION IS POSSIBLE IF THE SYSTEM STILL TRACK SOUTHWESTWARDS AND DOESN'T MAKE LANDFALL. .