** WTIO22 FMEE 211807 *** PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 21/12/2006 AT 1800 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 017/03 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). HURRICANE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: THURSDAY 21/12/2006 AT 1800 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL CYCLONE 3 (BONDO) 955 HPA POSITION: 9.9S / 50.5E (NINE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 6 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXTENDING UP TO 120 NM FROM THE CENTRE MAINLY IN THE NORTHWESTERN SECTOR, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 250 NM IN THE WESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65/80 KT AND VERY HIGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN 15 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 25 NM FROM THE CENTER IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 40 NM FROM THE CENTER IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 45 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 70 NM FROM THE CENTER IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/12/22 AT 06 UTC: 10.4S / 49.3E, MAX WIND = 70 KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE. 24H, VALID 2006/12/22 AT 18 UTC: 11.4S / 48.4E, MAX WIND = 60 KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. OTHER INFORMATIONS: BONDO IS RAPIDLY WEAKENING DUE TO UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT IN HIGH LEVEL (SOUTHEAST VERTICAL WINDSHEAR), AND THE LOW LEVEL CENTER IS NOW LOCATED SOUTHEAST OF THE MORE ACTIVE THUNDERY PART. IT HAS SLOWN DOWN, AS IT HAS STARTED TO CURVE SOUTHWESTWARDS, BEGINNING TO TRACK TOWARDS THE NORTH OF THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL, ON A TRACK WHICH SHOULD BRING IT BETWEEN MAYOTTE ISLAND AND THE NORTHWEST COAST OF MADAGASCAR DURING THE NEXT DAYS. THE SYSTEM REMAINS SMALL FOR THE EXTENTION OF WINDS, WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS LOCATED VERY CLOSE TO THE CENTER.= ** WTIO22 FMEE 211807 *** PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 21/12/2006 AT 1800 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 017/03 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). HURRICANE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: THURSDAY 21/12/2006 AT 1800 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL CYCLONE 3 (BONDO) 955 HPA POSITION: 9.9S / 50.5E (NINE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 6 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXTENDING UP TO 120 NM FROM THE CENTRE MAINLY IN THE NORTHWESTERN SECTOR, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 250 NM IN THE WESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65/80 KT AND VERY HIGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN 15 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 25 NM FROM THE CENTER IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 40 NM FROM THE CENTER IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 45 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 70 NM FROM THE CENTER IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/12/22 AT 06 UTC: 10.4S / 49.3E, MAX WIND = 70 KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE. 24H, VALID 2006/12/22 AT 18 UTC: 11.4S / 48.4E, MAX WIND = 60 KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. OTHER INFORMATIONS: BONDO IS RAPIDLY WEAKENING DUE TO UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT IN HIGH LEVEL (SOUTHEAST VERTICAL WINDSHEAR), AND THE LOW LEVEL CENTER IS NOW LOCATED SOUTHEAST OF THE MORE ACTIVE THUNDERY PART. IT HAS SLOWN DOWN, AS IT HAS STARTED TO CURVE SOUTHWESTWARDS, BEGINNING TO TRACK TOWARDS THE NORTH OF THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL, ON A TRACK WHICH SHOULD BRING IT BETWEEN MAYOTTE ISLAND AND THE NORTHWEST COAST OF MADAGASCAR DURING THE NEXT DAYS. THE SYSTEM REMAINS SMALL FOR THE EXTENTION OF WINDS, WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS LOCATED VERY CLOSE TO THE CENTER. . ** WTIO21 FMEE 211807 *** METEO-FRANCE/CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 21/12/2006 A 1800 UTC. NUMERO: 017/03 (SUD-OUEST DE L'OCEAN INDIEN) VITESSES DU VENT MOYEN SUR 10 MINUTES EN NOEUDS (KT) (LES RAFALES SUR MER PEUVENT EXCEDER D'ENVIRON 40% LA VALEUR DU VENT MOYEN). PRESSION MINIMALE AU NIVEAU DE LA MER EN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (VALEUR INDICATIVE). AVIS D'OURAGAN DEBUT DE VALIDITE: JEUDI 21/12/2006 A 1800 UTC. PHENOMENE: CYCLONE TROPICAL 3 (BONDO) 955 HPA POSITION: 9.9S / 50.5E (NEUF DEGRES NEUF SUD ET CINQUANTE DEGRES CINQ EST) A 1800 UTC DEPLACEMENT: SUD-OUEST 6 KT ZONES MENACEES: TEMPS A GRAINS S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 120 MN DU CENTRE PRINCIPALEMENT DANS SECTEUR NORD-OUEST, POUVANT S'ETENDRE LOCALEMENT JUSQU'A 250MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE OUEST. OURAGAN 65/80 KT ET MER TRES GROSSE A ENORME DANS UN RAYON DE 15 MN DU CENTRE. TEMPETE 50/60 KT ET MER GROSSE A TRES GROSSE DANS UN RAYON DE 20 MN DU CENTRE S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 25 MN DU CENTRE DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD. COUP DE VENT 35/45 KT ET MER TRES FORTE A GROSSE DANS UN RAYON DE 30 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 40 MN DU CENTRE DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD. GRAND FRAIS 30 KT ET MER FORTE A TRES FORTE DANS UN RAYON DE 45 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 70 MN DU CENTRE DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD. FORTES RAFALES SOUS GRAINS. PREVISIONS: POSITION ET INTENSITE PREVUES: A 12H POUR LE 22/12/2006 A 06 UTC: 10.4S / 49.3E, VENT MAX = 70 KT, CYCLONE TROPICAL. A 24H POUR LE 22/12/2006 A 18 UTC: 11.4S / 48.4E, VENT MAX = 60 KT, FORTE TEMP. TROP.. INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES: BONDO FAIBLIT RAPIDEMENT EN RAISON DE CONDITIONS DEFAVORABLES EN ALTITUDE (CONTRAINTE DE SUD-EST), ET LE CENTRE DE BASSE-COUCHE SE SITUE DESORMAIS AU SUD-EST DE LA MASSE ORAGEUSE LA PLUS ACTIVE. IL A RALENTI EN BIFURQUANT VERS LE SUD-OUEST, COMMENCANT A DESCENDRE SUR E NORD DU CANAL, ADOPTANT AINSI UNE TRAJECTOIRE QUI DEVRAIT L'AMENER ENTRE MAYOTTE ET LA COTE NORD-OUEST DE MADAGASCAR AU COURS DES PROCHAINS JOURS. LE SYSTEME RESTE DE PETITE TAILLE EN TERME D'EXTENTION DES VENTS, AVEC LES VENTS LES PLUS FORTS CONCENTRES PRES DU CENTRE. . ** WTIO30 FMEE 211827 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 17/3/20062007 1.A TROPICAL CYCLONE 3 (BONDO) 2.A POSITION 2006/12/21 AT 1800 UTC : 9.9S / 50.5E (NINE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 4.0/5.0 /W 1.0/12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 955 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 80 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 080 SE: 120 SO: 120 NO: 080 50 KT NE: 040 SE: 050 SO: 050 NO: 040 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/12/22 06 UTC: 10.4S/49.3E, MAX WIND=070KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE. 24H: 2006/12/22 18 UTC: 11.4S/48.4E, MAX WIND=060KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 36H: 2006/12/23 06 UTC: 12.4S/47.4E, MAX WIND=060KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2006/12/23 18 UTC: 13.4S/46.8E, MAX WIND=060KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2006/12/24 06 UTC: 14.4S/46.1E, MAX WIND=060KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 72H: 2006/12/24 18 UTC: 15.5S/45.5E, MAX WIND=060KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=4.0- ; CI=5.0- THE INCREASING SOUTHEAST VERTICAL WINDSHEAR HAS INDUCED A RAPID WEAKENING OF THE SYSTEM. THE LLCC IS NOW LOACATED SOUTHEAST OF DEAP CONVECTION (SEE SSMI AT 1448Z AND SSMIS AT 1642). IT HAS SLOWN DOWN, AS IT HAS STARTED TO CURVE SOUTHWESTWARDS, BEGINNING TO TRACK TOWARDS THE NORTH OF THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL, ON A TRACK WHICH SHOULD BRING IT BETWEEN MAYOTTE ISLAND AND THE NORTHWEST COAST OF MADAGASCAR DURING THE NEXT DAYS. THE SYSTEM REMAINS SMALL FOR THE EXTENTION OF WINDS, WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS LOCATED VERY CLOSE TO THE CENTER.= ** WTIO30 FMEE 211827 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 17/3/20062007 1.A TROPICAL CYCLONE 3 (BONDO) 2.A POSITION 2006/12/21 AT 1800 UTC : 9.9S / 50.5E (NINE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 4.0/5.0 /W 1.0/12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 955 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 80 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 080 SE: 120 SO: 120 NO: 080 50 KT NE: 040 SE: 050 SO: 050 NO: 040 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/12/22 06 UTC: 10.4S/49.3E, MAX WIND=070KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE. 24H: 2006/12/22 18 UTC: 11.4S/48.4E, MAX WIND=060KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 36H: 2006/12/23 06 UTC: 12.4S/47.4E, MAX WIND=060KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2006/12/23 18 UTC: 13.4S/46.8E, MAX WIND=060KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2006/12/24 06 UTC: 14.4S/46.1E, MAX WIND=060KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 72H: 2006/12/24 18 UTC: 15.5S/45.5E, MAX WIND=060KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=4.0- ; CI=5.0- THE INCREASING SOUTHEAST VERTICAL WINDSHEAR HAS INDUCED A RAPID WEAKENING OF THE SYSTEM. THE LLCC IS NOW LOACATED SOUTHEAST OF DEAP CONVECTION (SEE SSMI AT 1448Z AND SSMIS AT 1642). IT HAS SLOWN DOWN, AS IT HAS STARTED TO CURVE SOUTHWESTWARDS, BEGINNING TO TRACK TOWARDS THE NORTH OF THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL, ON A TRACK WHICH SHOULD BRING IT BETWEEN MAYOTTE ISLAND AND THE NORTHWEST COAST OF MADAGASCAR DURING THE NEXT DAYS. THE SYSTEM REMAINS SMALL FOR THE EXTENTION OF WINDS, WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS LOCATED VERY CLOSE TO THE CENTER. . ** WTIO30 FMEE 211827 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 17/3/20062007 1.A TROPICAL CYCLONE 3 (BONDO) 2.A POSITION 2006/12/21 AT 1800 UTC : 9.9S / 50.5E (NINE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 4.0/5.0 /W 1.0/12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 955 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 80 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 080 SE: 120 SO: 120 NO: 080 50 KT NE: 040 SE: 050 SO: 050 NO: 040 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/12/22 06 UTC: 10.4S/49.3E, MAX WIND=070KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE. 24H: 2006/12/22 18 UTC: 11.4S/48.4E, MAX WIND=060KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 36H: 2006/12/23 06 UTC: 12.4S/47.4E, MAX WIND=060KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2006/12/23 18 UTC: 13.4S/46.8E, MAX WIND=060KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2006/12/24 06 UTC: 14.4S/46.1E, MAX WIND=060KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 72H: 2006/12/24 18 UTC: 15.5S/45.5E, MAX WIND=060KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=4.0- ; CI=5.0- THE INCREASING SOUTHEAST VERTICAL WINDSHEAR HAS INDUCED A RAPID WEAKENING OF THE SYSTEM. THE LLCC IS NOW LOACATED SOUTHEAST OF DEAP CONVECTION (SEE SSMI AT 1448Z AND SSMIS AT 1642). IT HAS SLOWN DOWN, AS IT HAS STARTED TO CURVE SOUTHWESTWARDS, BEGINNING TO TRACK TOWARDS THE NORTH OF THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL, ON A TRACK WHICH SHOULD BRING IT BETWEEN MAYOTTE ISLAND AND THE NORTHWEST COAST OF MADAGASCAR DURING THE NEXT DAYS. THE SYSTEM REMAINS SMALL FOR THE EXTENTION OF WINDS, WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS LOCATED VERY CLOSE TO THE CENTER.=