** WTIO22 FMEE 191816 *** PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 19/12/2006 AT 1800 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 009/03 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). HURRICANE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: TUESDAY 19/12/2006 AT 1800 UTC. PHENOMENON: INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE 3 (BONDO) 925 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 10.7S / 57.4E (TEN DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY SEVEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST 11 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 70 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 230 NM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65/105 KT AND VERY HIGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 45 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 80 NM FROM THE CENTER IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/12/20 AT 06 UTC: 10.7S / 55.3E, MAX WIND = 110 KT, INTENSE TROP. CYCL.. 24H, VALID 2006/12/20 AT 18 UTC: 10.8S / 53.3E, MAX WIND = 110 KT, INTENSE TROP. CYCL.. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE "BONDO" HAS RAPIDLY INTENSIFYED DURING LAST NIGHT AND TODAY MORNING. IT REMAINS WITHIN A FAVOURABLE ENVIRONMENT AND IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON TRACKING GENERALLY WESTWARDS, KEEPING ON INTENSIFYING LIGHTLY. THIS SYSTEM IS CONCENTRATED SO THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE VERY CLOSED TO THE CENTER.= ** WTIO22 FMEE 191816 *** PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 19/12/2006 AT 1800 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 009/03 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). HURRICANE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: TUESDAY 19/12/2006 AT 1800 UTC. PHENOMENON: INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE 3 (BONDO) 925 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 10.7S / 57.4E (TEN DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY SEVEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST 11 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 70 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 230 NM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65/105 KT AND VERY HIGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 45 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 80 NM FROM THE CENTER IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/12/20 AT 06 UTC: 10.7S / 55.3E, MAX WIND = 110 KT, INTENSE TROP. CYCL.. 24H, VALID 2006/12/20 AT 18 UTC: 10.8S / 53.3E, MAX WIND = 110 KT, INTENSE TROP. CYCL.. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE "BONDO" HAS RAPIDLY INTENSIFYED DURING LAST NIGHT AND TODAY MORNING. IT REMAINS WITHIN A FAVOURABLE ENVIRONMENT AND IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON TRACKING GENERALLY WESTWARDS, KEEPING ON INTENSIFYING LIGHTLY. THIS SYSTEM IS CONCENTRATED SO THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE VERY CLOSED TO THE CENTER. . ** WTIO21 FMEE 191816 *** METEO-FRANCE/CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 19/12/2006 A 1800 UTC. NUMERO: 009/03 (SUD-OUEST DE L'OCEAN INDIEN) VITESSES DU VENT MOYEN SUR 10 MINUTES EN NOEUDS (KT) (LES RAFALES SUR MER PEUVENT EXCEDER D'ENVIRON 40% LA VALEUR DU VENT MOYEN). PRESSION MINIMALE AU NIVEAU DE LA MER EN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (VALEUR INDICATIVE). AVIS D'OURAGAN DEBUT DE VALIDITE: MARDI 19/12/2006 A 1800 UTC. PHENOMENE: CYCLONE TROPICAL INTENSE 3 (BONDO) 925 HPA POSITION: DANS UN RAYON DE 20 MN AUTOUR DU POINT 10.7S / 57.4E (DIX DEGRES SEPT SUD ET CINQUANTE-SEPT DEGRES QUATRE EST) A 1800 UTC DEPLACEMENT: OUEST 11 KT ZONES MENACEES: TEMPS A GRAINS DANS UN RAYON DE 70 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 230 MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE EST. OURAGAN 65/105 KT ET MER TRES GROSSE A ENORME DANS UN RAYON DE 20 MN DU CENTRE. TEMPETE 50/60 KT ET MER GROSSE A TRES GROSSE DANS UN RAYON DE 30 MN DU CENTRE. COUP DE VENT 35/45 KT ET MER TRES FORTE A GROSSE DANS UN RAYON DE 40 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE. GRAND FRAIS 30 KT ET MER FORTE A TRES FORTE DANS UN RAYON DE 45 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 80 MN DU CENTRE DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD. FORTES RAFALES SOUS GRAINS. PREVISIONS: POSITION ET INTENSITE PREVUES: A 12H POUR LE 20/12/2006 A 06 UTC: 10.7S / 55.3E, VENT MAX = 110 KT, CYCL. TROP. INTENSE. A 24H POUR LE 20/12/2006 A 18 UTC: 10.8S / 53.3E, VENT MAX = 110 KT, CYCL. TROP. INTENSE. INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES: LE CYCLONE TROPICAL INTENSE "BONDO" S'EST RAPIDEMENT INTENSIFIE EN COURS DE NUIT DERNIERE ET EN COURS DE MATINEE. IL RESTE DANS UN ENVIRONNEMENT FAVORABLE ET DEVRAIT POURSUIVRE UNE TRAJECTOIRE GENERALEMENT VERS L'OUEST EN CONTINUANT DE S'INTENSIFIER ENCORE UN PEU. LE SYSTEME EST ASSEZ CONCENTRE ET LES VENTS LES PLUS FORTS RESTENT ASSEZ PROCHES DU CENTRE. . ** WTIO30 FMEE 191826 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 9/3/20062007 1.A INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE 3 (BONDO) 2.A POSITION 2006/12/19 AT 1800 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 10.7S / 57.4E (TEN DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY SEVEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 6.0/6.0 /D 2.0/12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 925 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 105 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 080 SE: 150 SO: 150 NO: 080 50 KT NE: 040 SE: 060 SO: 060 NO: 040 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1006 HPA / 700 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/12/20 06 UTC: 10.7S/55.3E, MAX WIND=110KT, INTENSE TROP. CYCL.. 24H: 2006/12/20 18 UTC: 10.8S/53.3E, MAX WIND=110KT, INTENSE TROP. CYCL.. 36H: 2006/12/21 06 UTC: 10.9S/51.3E, MAX WIND=110KT, INTENSE TROP. CYCL.. 48H: 2006/12/21 18 UTC: 11.0S/49.6E, MAX WIND=100KT, INTENSE TROP. CYCL.. 60H: 2006/12/22 06 UTC: 11.6S/48.0E, MAX WIND=090KT, INTENSE TROP. CYCL.. 72H: 2006/12/22 18 UTC: 12.7S/46.3E, MAX WIND=080KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=6.0+. THE SYSTEM "BONDO" HAS RAPIDELY INTENSIFYED LAST NIGTH AND TODAY MORNING DUE TO ETABLISHMENT OF A SECOND OUTFLOW CHANEL EQUATORWARDS, AND A MOONSON FLOW BECOMING MORE DIRECT. IT IS A SMALL SIZE SYSTEM WITH STRONGEST WINDS CONCENTRATED VERY CLOSED TO THE CENTER. IT REMAINS WITHIN A FAVOURABLE ENVIRONMENT AND IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON TRACKING GENERALLY WESTWARDS, LIGHTLY INTENSIFYING, THEN SOUTHWESTWARDS AT THE END OF THE FORECAST.= ** WTIO30 FMEE 191826 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 9/3/20062007 1.A INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE 3 (BONDO) 2.A POSITION 2006/12/19 AT 1800 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 10.7S / 57.4E (TEN DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY SEVEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 6.0/6.0 /D 2.0/12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 925 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 105 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 080 SE: 150 SO: 150 NO: 080 50 KT NE: 040 SE: 060 SO: 060 NO: 040 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1006 HPA / 700 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/12/20 06 UTC: 10.7S/55.3E, MAX WIND=110KT, INTENSE TROP. CYCL.. 24H: 2006/12/20 18 UTC: 10.8S/53.3E, MAX WIND=110KT, INTENSE TROP. CYCL.. 36H: 2006/12/21 06 UTC: 10.9S/51.3E, MAX WIND=110KT, INTENSE TROP. CYCL.. 48H: 2006/12/21 18 UTC: 11.0S/49.6E, MAX WIND=100KT, INTENSE TROP. CYCL.. 60H: 2006/12/22 06 UTC: 11.6S/48.0E, MAX WIND=090KT, INTENSE TROP. CYCL.. 72H: 2006/12/22 18 UTC: 12.7S/46.3E, MAX WIND=080KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=6.0+. THE SYSTEM "BONDO" HAS RAPIDELY INTENSIFYED LAST NIGTH AND TODAY MORNING DUE TO ETABLISHMENT OF A SECOND OUTFLOW CHANEL EQUATORWARDS, AND A MOONSON FLOW BECOMING MORE DIRECT. IT IS A SMALL SIZE SYSTEM WITH STRONGEST WINDS CONCENTRATED VERY CLOSED TO THE CENTER. IT REMAINS WITHIN A FAVOURABLE ENVIRONMENT AND IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON TRACKING GENERALLY WESTWARDS, LIGHTLY INTENSIFYING, THEN SOUTHWESTWARDS AT THE END OF THE FORECAST.= ** WTIO30 FMEE 191826 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 9/3/20062007 1.A INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE 3 (BONDO) 2.A POSITION 2006/12/19 AT 1800 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 10.7S / 57.4E (TEN DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY SEVEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 6.0/6.0 /D 2.0/12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 925 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 105 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 080 SE: 150 SO: 150 NO: 080 50 KT NE: 040 SE: 060 SO: 060 NO: 040 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1006 HPA / 700 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/12/20 06 UTC: 10.7S/55.3E, MAX WIND=110KT, INTENSE TROP. CYCL.. 24H: 2006/12/20 18 UTC: 10.8S/53.3E, MAX WIND=110KT, INTENSE TROP. CYCL.. 36H: 2006/12/21 06 UTC: 10.9S/51.3E, MAX WIND=110KT, INTENSE TROP. CYCL.. 48H: 2006/12/21 18 UTC: 11.0S/49.6E, MAX WIND=100KT, INTENSE TROP. CYCL.. 60H: 2006/12/22 06 UTC: 11.6S/48.0E, MAX WIND=090KT, INTENSE TROP. CYCL.. 72H: 2006/12/22 18 UTC: 12.7S/46.3E, MAX WIND=080KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=6.0+. THE SYSTEM "BONDO" HAS RAPIDELY INTENSIFYED LAST NIGTH AND TODAY MORNING DUE TO ETABLISHMENT OF A SECOND OUTFLOW CHANEL EQUATORWARDS, AND A MOONSON FLOW BECOMING MORE DIRECT. IT IS A SMALL SIZE SYSTEM WITH STRONGEST WINDS CONCENTRATED VERY CLOSED TO THE CENTER. IT REMAINS WITHIN A FAVOURABLE ENVIRONMENT AND IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON TRACKING GENERALLY WESTWARDS, LIGHTLY INTENSIFYING, THEN SOUTHWESTWARDS AT THE END OF THE FORECAST. .