** WTIO22 FMEE 190610 *** SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 19/12/2006 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 007/03 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). STORM WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: TUESDAY 19/12/2006 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 3 (BONDO) 976 HPA POSITION: 10.5S / 59.5E (TEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY NINE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST-NORTH-WEST 10 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTEN=DING UP TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/55 KT AND HIGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/12/19 AT 18 UTC: 10.5S / 57.2E, MAX WIND = 65 KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE. 24H, VALID 2006/12/20 AT 06 UTC: 10.3S / 54.8E, MAX WIND = 80 KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM "BONDO" HAS RAPIDELY INTENSIFYED LAST NIGTH, WITH A BIULDING EYE THIS MORNING. IT REMAINS WITHIN A FAVOURABLE ENVIRONMENT AND IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON TRACKING GENERALLY WESTWARDS, INTENSIFYING GRADUALLY.= ** WTIO22 FMEE 190610 *** SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 19/12/2006 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 007/03 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). STORM WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: TUESDAY 19/12/2006 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 3 (BONDO) 976 HPA POSITION: 10.5S / 59.5E (TEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY NINE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST-NORTH-WEST 10 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTEN=DING UP TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/55 KT AND HIGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/12/19 AT 18 UTC: 10.5S / 57.2E, MAX WIND = 65 KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE. 24H, VALID 2006/12/20 AT 06 UTC: 10.3S / 54.8E, MAX WIND = 80 KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM "BONDO" HAS RAPIDELY INTENSIFYED LAST NIGTH, WITH A BIULDING EYE THIS MORNING. IT REMAINS WITHIN A FAVOURABLE ENVIRONMENT AND IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON TRACKING GENERALLY WESTWARDS, INTENSIFYING GRADUALLY. . ** WTIO30 FMEE 190610 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 7/3/20062007 1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 3 (BONDO) 2.A POSITION 2006/12/19 AT 0600 UTC : 10.5S / 59.5E (TEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY NINE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 4.0/4.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 976 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 60 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 100 SE: 130 SO: 130 NO: 100 50 KT NE: 030 SE: 040 SO: 040 NO: 030 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1006 HPA / 700 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/12/19 18 UTC: 10.5S/57.2E, MAX WIND=065KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE. 24H: 2006/12/20 06 UTC: 10.3S/54.8E, MAX WIND=080KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE. 36H: 2006/12/20 18 UTC: 10.0S/52.3E, MAX WIND=090KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE. 48H: 2006/12/21 06 UTC: 10.0S/50.7E, MAX WIND=100KT, INTENSE TROP. CYCL.. 60H: 2006/12/21 18 UTC: 10.5S/49.0E, MAX WIND=110KT, INTENSE TROP. CYCL.. 72H: 2006/12/22 06 UTC: 11.4S/47.2E, MAX WIND=110KT, INTENSE TROP. CYCL.. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM "BONDO" HAS RAPIDELY INTENSIFYED LAST NIGTH, WITH A BIULDING EYE THIS MORNING (CF IMAGE WINDSAT 0154Z). IT REMAINS WITHIN A FAVOURABLE ENVIRONMENT AND IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON TRACKING GENERALLY WESTWARDS, INTENSIFYING.= ** WTIO30 FMEE 190610 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 7/3/20062007 1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 3 (BONDO) 2.A POSITION 2006/12/19 AT 0600 UTC : 10.5S / 59.5E (TEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY NINE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 4.0/4.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 976 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 60 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 100 SE: 130 SO: 130 NO: 100 50 KT NE: 030 SE: 040 SO: 040 NO: 030 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1006 HPA / 700 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/12/19 18 UTC: 10.5S/57.2E, MAX WIND=065KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE. 24H: 2006/12/20 06 UTC: 10.3S/54.8E, MAX WIND=080KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE. 36H: 2006/12/20 18 UTC: 10.0S/52.3E, MAX WIND=090KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE. 48H: 2006/12/21 06 UTC: 10.0S/50.7E, MAX WIND=100KT, INTENSE TROP. CYCL.. 60H: 2006/12/21 18 UTC: 10.5S/49.0E, MAX WIND=110KT, INTENSE TROP. CYCL.. 72H: 2006/12/22 06 UTC: 11.4S/47.2E, MAX WIND=110KT, INTENSE TROP. CYCL.. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM "BONDO" HAS RAPIDELY INTENSIFYED LAST NIGTH, WITH A BIULDING EYE THIS MORNING (CF IMAGE WINDSAT 0154Z). IT REMAINS WITHIN A FAVOURABLE ENVIRONMENT AND IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON TRACKING GENERALLY WESTWARDS, INTENSIFYING. . ** WTIO21 FMEE 190610 *** METEO-FRANCE/CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 19/12/2006 A 0600 UTC. NUMERO: 007/03 (SUD-OUEST DE L'OCEAN INDIEN) VITESSES DU VENT MOYEN SUR 10 MINUTES EN NOEUDS (KT) (LES RAFALES SUR MER PEUVENT EXCEDER D'ENVIRON 40% LA VALEUR DU VENT MOYEN). PRESSION MINIMALE AU NIVEAU DE LA MER EN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (VALEUR INDICATIVE). AVIS DE TEMPETE DEBUT DE VALIDITE: MARDI 19/12/2006 A 0600 UTC. PHENOMENE: FORTE TEMPETE TROPICALE 3 (BONDO) 976 HPA POSITION: 10.5S / 59.5E (DIX DEGRES CINQ SUD ET CINQUANTE-NEUF DEGRES CINQ EST) A 0600 UTC DEPLACEMENT: OUEST-NORD-OUEST 10 KT ZONES MENACEES: TEMPS A GRAINS DANS UN RAYON DE 120 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQU 'A 300 MN DANS LE QUADRANT SUD-EST. AVIS DE TEMPETE 50/55 KT ET MER GROSSE DANS UN RAYON DE 20 MN DU CENTRE. COUP DE VENT 35/45 KT ET MER TRES FORTE A GROSSE DANS UN RAYON DE 40 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE. GRAND FRAIS 30 KT ET MER FORTE A TRES FORTE DANS UN RAYON DE 60 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE. FORTES RAFALES SOUS GRAINS. PREVISIONS: POSITION ET INTENSITE PREVUES: A 12H POUR LE 19/12/2006 A 18 UTC: 10.5S / 57.2E, VENT MAX = 65 KT, CYCLONE TROPICAL. A 24H POUR LE 20/12/2006 A 06 UTC: 10.3S / 54.8E, VENT MAX = 80 KT, CYCLONE TROPICAL. INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES: LE SYSTEME "BONDO" S'EST RAPIDEMMENT INTENSIFIE EN COURS DE NUIT DERNIERE AVEC LA FORMATION D'UN OEIL EN COURS CE MATIN. IL RESTE DANS UN ENVIRONNEMENT FAVORABLE ET DEVRAIT POURSUIVRE UNE TRAJECTOIRE GENERALEMENT VERS L'OUEST EN CONTINUANT DE S'INTENSIFIER. . ** WTIO22 FMEE 190610 *** SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 19/12/2006 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 007/03 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). STORM WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: TUESDAY 19/12/2006 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 3 (BONDO) 976 HPA POSITION: 10.5S / 59.5E (TEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY NINE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST-NORTH-WEST 10 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTEN=DING UP TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/55 KT AND HIGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/12/19 AT 18 UTC: 10.5S / 57.2E, MAX WIND = 65 KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE. 24H, VALID 2006/12/20 AT 06 UTC: 10.3S / 54.8E, MAX WIND = 80 KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM "BONDO" HAS RAPIDELY INTENSIFYED LAST NIGTH, WITH A BIULDING EYE THIS MORNING. IT REMAINS WITHIN A FAVOURABLE ENVIRONMENT AND IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON TRACKING GENERALLY WESTWARDS, INTENSIFYING GRADUALLY.= ** WTIO22 FMEE 190610 *** SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 19/12/2006 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 007/03 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). STORM WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: TUESDAY 19/12/2006 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 3 (BONDO) 976 HPA POSITION: 10.5S / 59.5E (TEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY NINE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST-NORTH-WEST 10 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTEN=DING UP TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/55 KT AND HIGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/12/19 AT 18 UTC: 10.5S / 57.2E, MAX WIND = 65 KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE. 24H, VALID 2006/12/20 AT 06 UTC: 10.3S / 54.8E, MAX WIND = 80 KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM "BONDO" HAS RAPIDELY INTENSIFYED LAST NIGTH, WITH A BIULDING EYE THIS MORNING. IT REMAINS WITHIN A FAVOURABLE ENVIRONMENT AND IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON TRACKING GENERALLY WESTWARDS, INTENSIFYING GRADUALLY. . ** WTIO30 FMEE 190610 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 7/3/20062007 1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 3 (BONDO) 2.A POSITION 2006/12/19 AT 0600 UTC : 10.5S / 59.5E (TEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY NINE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 4.0/4.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 976 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 60 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 100 SE: 130 SO: 130 NO: 100 50 KT NE: 030 SE: 040 SO: 040 NO: 030 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1006 HPA / 700 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/12/19 18 UTC: 10.5S/57.2E, MAX WIND=065KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE. 24H: 2006/12/20 06 UTC: 10.3S/54.8E, MAX WIND=080KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE. 36H: 2006/12/20 18 UTC: 10.0S/52.3E, MAX WIND=090KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE. 48H: 2006/12/21 06 UTC: 10.0S/50.7E, MAX WIND=100KT, INTENSE TROP. CYCL.. 60H: 2006/12/21 18 UTC: 10.5S/49.0E, MAX WIND=110KT, INTENSE TROP. CYCL.. 72H: 2006/12/22 06 UTC: 11.4S/47.2E, MAX WIND=110KT, INTENSE TROP. CYCL.. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM "BONDO" HAS RAPIDELY INTENSIFYED LAST NIGTH, WITH A BIULDING EYE THIS MORNING (CF IMAGE WINDSAT 0154Z). IT REMAINS WITHIN A FAVOURABLE ENVIRONMENT AND IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON TRACKING GENERALLY WESTWARDS, INTENSIFYING.= ** WTIO21 FMEE 190610 *** METEO-FRANCE/CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 19/12/2006 A 0600 UTC. NUMERO: 007/03 (SUD-OUEST DE L'OCEAN INDIEN) VITESSES DU VENT MOYEN SUR 10 MINUTES EN NOEUDS (KT) (LES RAFALES SUR MER PEUVENT EXCEDER D'ENVIRON 40% LA VALEUR DU VENT MOYEN). PRESSION MINIMALE AU NIVEAU DE LA MER EN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (VALEUR INDICATIVE). AVIS DE TEMPETE DEBUT DE VALIDITE: MARDI 19/12/2006 A 0600 UTC. PHENOMENE: FORTE TEMPETE TROPICALE 3 (BONDO) 976 HPA POSITION: 10.5S / 59.5E (DIX DEGRES CINQ SUD ET CINQUANTE-NEUF DEGRES CINQ EST) A 0600 UTC DEPLACEMENT: OUEST-NORD-OUEST 10 KT ZONES MENACEES: TEMPS A GRAINS DANS UN RAYON DE 120 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQU 'A 300 MN DANS LE QUADRANT SUD-EST. AVIS DE TEMPETE 50/55 KT ET MER GROSSE DANS UN RAYON DE 20 MN DU CENTRE. COUP DE VENT 35/45 KT ET MER TRES FORTE A GROSSE DANS UN RAYON DE 40 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE. GRAND FRAIS 30 KT ET MER FORTE A TRES FORTE DANS UN RAYON DE 60 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE. FORTES RAFALES SOUS GRAINS. PREVISIONS: POSITION ET INTENSITE PREVUES: A 12H POUR LE 19/12/2006 A 18 UTC: 10.5S / 57.2E, VENT MAX = 65 KT, CYCLONE TROPICAL. A 24H POUR LE 20/12/2006 A 06 UTC: 10.3S / 54.8E, VENT MAX = 80 KT, CYCLONE TROPICAL. INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES: LE SYSTEME "BONDO" S'EST RAPIDEMMENT INTENSIFIE EN COURS DE NUIT DERNIERE AVEC LA FORMATION D'UN OEIL EN COURS CE MATIN. IL RESTE DANS UN ENVIRONNEMENT FAVORABLE ET DEVRAIT POURSUIVRE UNE TRAJECTOIRE GENERALEMENT VERS L'OUEST EN CONTINUANT DE S'INTENSIFIER. . ** WTIN20 DEMS 190625 *** TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK ------------------------ DEMS- RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI 19-12-2006 (.) TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR THE NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL AND ARABIAN SEA ) VALID FOR NEXT 24 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC (.) CONVECTIVE CLOUDS ARE SEEN OVER SOUTHWEST BAY,PARTS OF SOUTHEAST BAY, ANDAMAN SEA WEST AND EASTCENTRAL BAY AND SOUTHEAST AND SOUTHWEST ARABIAN SEA(.) THE RIDGE LINE AT 200 HPA RUNS ALONG 13.0 DEG N OVER THE INDIAN REGION (.) === ** WTIO22 FMEE 190610 *** SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 19/12/2006 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 007/03 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). STORM WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: TUESDAY 19/12/2006 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 3 (BONDO) 976 HPA POSITION: 10.5S / 59.5E (TEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY NINE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST-NORTH-WEST 10 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTEN=DING UP TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/55 KT AND HIGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/12/19 AT 18 UTC: 10.5S / 57.2E, MAX WIND = 65 KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE. 24H, VALID 2006/12/20 AT 06 UTC: 10.3S / 54.8E, MAX WIND = 80 KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM "BONDO" HAS RAPIDELY INTENSIFYED LAST NIGTH, WITH A BIULDING EYE THIS MORNING. IT REMAINS WITHIN A FAVOURABLE ENVIRONMENT AND IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON TRACKING GENERALLY WESTWARDS, INTENSIFYING GRADUALLY.= ** WTIO22 FMEE 190610 *** SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 19/12/2006 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 007/03 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). STORM WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: TUESDAY 19/12/2006 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 3 (BONDO) 976 HPA POSITION: 10.5S / 59.5E (TEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY NINE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST-NORTH-WEST 10 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTEN=DING UP TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/55 KT AND HIGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/12/19 AT 18 UTC: 10.5S / 57.2E, MAX WIND = 65 KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE. 24H, VALID 2006/12/20 AT 06 UTC: 10.3S / 54.8E, MAX WIND = 80 KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM "BONDO" HAS RAPIDELY INTENSIFYED LAST NIGTH, WITH A BIULDING EYE THIS MORNING. IT REMAINS WITHIN A FAVOURABLE ENVIRONMENT AND IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON TRACKING GENERALLY WESTWARDS, INTENSIFYING GRADUALLY. . ** WTIO21 FMEE 190610 *** METEO-FRANCE/CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 19/12/2006 A 0600 UTC. NUMERO: 007/03 (SUD-OUEST DE L'OCEAN INDIEN) VITESSES DU VENT MOYEN SUR 10 MINUTES EN NOEUDS (KT) (LES RAFALES SUR MER PEUVENT EXCEDER D'ENVIRON 40% LA VALEUR DU VENT MOYEN). PRESSION MINIMALE AU NIVEAU DE LA MER EN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (VALEUR INDICATIVE). AVIS DE TEMPETE DEBUT DE VALIDITE: MARDI 19/12/2006 A 0600 UTC. PHENOMENE: FORTE TEMPETE TROPICALE 3 (BONDO) 976 HPA POSITION: 10.5S / 59.5E (DIX DEGRES CINQ SUD ET CINQUANTE-NEUF DEGRES CINQ EST) A 0600 UTC DEPLACEMENT: OUEST-NORD-OUEST 10 KT ZONES MENACEES: TEMPS A GRAINS DANS UN RAYON DE 120 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQU 'A 300 MN DANS LE QUADRANT SUD-EST. AVIS DE TEMPETE 50/55 KT ET MER GROSSE DANS UN RAYON DE 20 MN DU CENTRE. COUP DE VENT 35/45 KT ET MER TRES FORTE A GROSSE DANS UN RAYON DE 40 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE. GRAND FRAIS 30 KT ET MER FORTE A TRES FORTE DANS UN RAYON DE 60 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE. FORTES RAFALES SOUS GRAINS. PREVISIONS: POSITION ET INTENSITE PREVUES: A 12H POUR LE 19/12/2006 A 18 UTC: 10.5S / 57.2E, VENT MAX = 65 KT, CYCLONE TROPICAL. A 24H POUR LE 20/12/2006 A 06 UTC: 10.3S / 54.8E, VENT MAX = 80 KT, CYCLONE TROPICAL. INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES: LE SYSTEME "BONDO" S'EST RAPIDEMMENT INTENSIFIE EN COURS DE NUIT DERNIERE AVEC LA FORMATION D'UN OEIL EN COURS CE MATIN. IL RESTE DANS UN ENVIRONNEMENT FAVORABLE ET DEVRAIT POURSUIVRE UNE TRAJECTOIRE GENERALEMENT VERS L'OUEST EN CONTINUANT DE S'INTENSIFIER. . ** WTXS31 PGTW 190900 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/180121ZDEC2006// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (BONDO) WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190600Z --- NEAR 10.7S 59.5E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 10.7S 59.5E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z --- 10.9S 57.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z --- 11.1S 54.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z --- 11.3S 51.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z --- 10.8S 49.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 190900Z POSITION NEAR 10.7S 58.9E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 05S (BONDO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 885 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF ANTANANARIVO, MADAGASCAR, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. TC 05S HAS INTENSIFIED AT A GREATER THAN CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS DUE TO GOOD RADIAL OUTFLOW. THROUGH TAU 24, TC 05S WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK WESTWARD ALONG THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) LOCATED SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM. AROUND TAU 36, TC 05S WILL BRIEFLY MOVE POLEWARD TOWARDS A WEAKNESS IN THE STR THAT WILL BE ENHANCED BY A PASSING MIDLATITUDE TROUGH. BY TAU 48, TC 05S WILL RETURN TO A WESWARD TRACK UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A RE-ESTABLISHED STR. TC 05S WILL INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE THROUGH TAU 24 DUE TO GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW. AFTER THAT, THE SYSTEM WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN DUE TO INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND RESTRICTED POLEWARD OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190600Z IS 19 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 192100Z AND 200900Z.//