** WTIO21 FMEE 190008 *** METEO-FRANCE/CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 19/12/2006 A 0000 UTC. NUMERO: 006/03 (SUD-OUEST DE L'OCEAN INDIEN) VITESSES DU VENT MOYEN SUR 10 MINUTES EN NOEUDS (KT) (LES RAFALES SUR MER PEUVENT EXCEDER D'ENVIRON 40% LA VALEUR DU VENT MOYEN). PRESSION MINIMALE AU NIVEAU DE LA MER EN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (VALEUR INDICATIVE). AVIS DE COUP DE VENT DEBUT DE VALIDITE: MARDI 19/12/2006 A 0000 UTC. PHENOMENE: TEMPETE TROPICALE MODEREE 3 (BONDO) 992 HPA POSITION: DANS UN RAYON DE 30 MN AUTOUR DU POINT 11.0S / 60.5E (ONZE DEGRES ZERO SUD ET SOIXANTE DEGRES CINQ EST) A 0000 UTC DEPLACEMENT: OUEST 11 KT ZONES MENACEES: TEMPS A GRAINS DANS UN RAYON DE 200 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE. COUP DE VENT 35/40 KT ET MER TRES FORTE A GROSSE DANS UN RAYON DE 25 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE. GRAND FRAIS 30 KT ET MER FORTE A TRES FORTE DANS UN RAYON DE 50 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE. FORTES RAFALES SOUS GRAINS. PREVISIONS: POSITION ET INTENSITE PREVUES: A 12H POUR LE 19/12/2006 A 12 UTC: 11.2S / 58.4E, VENT MAX = 45 KT, TEMP. TROP. MODEREE. A 24H POUR LE 20/12/2006 A 00 UTC: 11.3S / 56.2E, VENT MAX = 50 KT, FORTE TEMP. TROP.. INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES: LE SYSTEME "BONDO" S'EST BIEN CONSOLIDE AU COURS DES DERNIERES HEURES. IL RESTE DANS UN ENVIRONNEMENT FAVORABLE ET DEVRAIT POURSUIVRE UNE TRAJECTOIRE VERS L'OUEST EN CONTINUANT DE S'INTENSIFIER. . ** WTIO20 FMEE 190008 *** SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 19/12/2006 AT 0000 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 006/03 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: TUESDAY 19/12/2006 AT 0000 UTC. PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 3 (BONDO) 992 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 11.0S / 60.5E (ELEVEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST 11 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 200 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 25 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/12/19 AT 12 UTC: 11.2S / 58.4E, MAX WIND = 45 KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM. 24H, VALID 2006/12/20 AT 00 UTC: 11.3S / 56.2E, MAX WIND = 50 KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM "BONDO" CONSOLIDATED DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS. IT REMAINS WITHIN A FAVOURABLE ENVIRONMENT AND IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON TRACKING WESTWARDS, INTENSIFYING GRADUALLY. . ** WTIO20 FMEE 190008 *** SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 19/12/2006 AT 0000 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 006/03 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: TUESDAY 19/12/2006 AT 0000 UTC. PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 3 (BONDO) 992 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 11.0S / 60.5E (ELEVEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST 11 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 200 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 25 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/12/19 AT 12 UTC: 11.2S / 58.4E, MAX WIND = 45 KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM. 24H, VALID 2006/12/20 AT 00 UTC: 11.3S / 56.2E, MAX WIND = 50 KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM "BONDO" CONSOLIDATED DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS. IT REMAINS WITHIN A FAVOURABLE ENVIRONMENT AND IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON TRACKING WESTWARDS, INTENSIFYING GRADUALLY.= ** WTIO30 FMEE 190009 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 6/3/20062007 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 3 (BONDO) 2.A POSITION 2006/12/19 AT 0000 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 11.0S / 60.5E (ELEVEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.0/3.0 /D 1.0/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 992 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 40 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 060 SE: 080 SO: 080 NO: 060 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1006 HPA / 700 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/12/19 12 UTC: 11.2S/58.4E, MAX WIND=045KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 24H: 2006/12/20 00 UTC: 11.3S/56.2E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 36H: 2006/12/20 12 UTC: 11.4S/53.8E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2006/12/21 00 UTC: 11.5S/52.3E, MAX WIND=055KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2006/12/21 12 UTC: 11.7S/51.1E, MAX WIND=060KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 72H: 2006/12/22 00 UTC: 12.0S/50.2E, MAX WIND=065KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=3.0 THE CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY CONSOLIDATED AROUND THE LOW LEVEL CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION (CF. TRMM 1948Z DATA). THE UPPER LEVEL CONFIGURATION IS FAVOURABLE IN THE VICINITY OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE ALLOWING 2 OUTFLOW CHANNELS (POLEWARD AND EQUATORWARD) ; IN THE LOWER LAYER, THE MONSOON FLOW IS WEAK. THE SYSTEM "BONDO" IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON TRACKING MAINLY WESTWARDS, FOLLOWING A GRADUAL INTENSIFICATION.= ** WTIO30 FMEE 190009 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 6/3/20062007 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 3 (BONDO) 2.A POSITION 2006/12/19 AT 0000 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 11.0S / 60.5E (ELEVEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.0/3.0 /D 1.0/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 992 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 40 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 060 SE: 080 SO: 080 NO: 060 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1006 HPA / 700 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/12/19 12 UTC: 11.2S/58.4E, MAX WIND=045KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM .. 24H: 2006/12/20 00 UTC: 11.3S/56.2E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 36H: 2006/12/20 12 UTC: 11.4S/53.8E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2006/12/21 00 UTC: 11.5S/52.3E, MAX WIND=055KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2006/12/21 12 UTC: 11.7S/51.1E, MAX WIND=060KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 72H: 2006/12/22 00 UTC: 12.0S/50.2E, MAX WIND=065KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=3.0 THE CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY CONSOLIDATED AROUND THE LOW LEVEL CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION (CF. TRMM 1948Z DATA). THE UPPER LEVEL CONFIGURATION IS FAVOURABLE IN THE VICINITY OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE ALLOWING 2 OUTFLOW CHANNELS (POLEWARD AND EQUATORWARD) ; IN THE LOWER LAYER, THE MONSOON FLOW IS WEAK. THE SYSTEM "BONDO" IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON TRACKING MAINLY WESTWARDS, FOLLOWING A GRADUAL INTENSIFICATION. . ** WTIO30 FMEE 190011 CCA *** *************** CORRECTIVE ************** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 6/3/20062007 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 3 (BONDO) 2.A POSITION 2006/12/19 AT 0000 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 11.0S / 60.5E (ELEVEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.0/3.0 /D 1.0/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 992 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 40 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 060 SE: 080 SO: 080 NO: 060 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1006 HPA / 700 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/12/19 12 UTC: 11.2S/58.4E, MAX WIND=045KT , MODERATE TROP. STORM. 24H: 2006/12/20 00 UTC: 11.3S/56.2E, MAX WIND=050KT , SEVERE TROP. STORM. 36H: 2006/12/20 12 UTC: 11.4S/53.8E, MAX WIND=050KT , SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2006/12/21 00 UTC: 11.5S/52.3E, MAX WIND=055KT , SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2006/12/21 12 UTC: 11.7S/51.1E, MAX WIND=060KT , SEVERE TROP. STORM. 72H: 2006/12/22 00 UTC: 12.0S/50.2E, MAX WIND=065KT , TROPICAL CYCLONE. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=3.0 THE CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY CONSOLIDATED AROUND THE LOW LEVEL CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION (CF. TRMM 1948Z DATA). THE UPPER LEVEL CONFIGURATION IS FAVOURABLE IN THE VICINITY OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE ALLOWING 2 OUTFLOW CHANNELS (POLEWARD AND EQUATORWARD) ; IN THE LOWER LAYER, THE MONSOON FLOW IS WEAK. THE SYSTEM "BONDO" IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON TRACKING MAINLY WESTWARDS, FOLLOWING A GRADUAL INTENSIFICATION.= ** WTIO30 FMEE 190011 CCA *** *************** CORRECTIVE ************** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 6/3/20062007 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 3 (BONDO) 2.A POSITION 2006/12/19 AT 0000 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 11.0S / 60.5E (ELEVEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.0/3.0 /D 1.0/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 992 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 40 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 060 SE: 080 SO: 080 NO: 060 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1006 HPA / 700 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/12/19 12 UTC: 11.2S/58.4E, MAX WIND=045KT , MODERATE TROP. STORM. 24H: 2006/12/20 00 UTC: 11.3S/56.2E, MAX WIND=050KT , SEVERE TROP. STORM. 36H: 2006/12/20 12 UTC: 11.4S/53.8E, MAX WIND=050KT , SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2006/12/21 00 UTC: 11.5S/52.3E, MAX WIND=055KT , SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2006/12/21 12 UTC: 11.7S/51.1E, MAX WIND=060KT , SEVERE TROP. STORM. 72H: 2006/12/22 00 UTC: 12.0S/50.2E, MAX WIND=065KT , TROPICAL CYCLONE. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=3.0 THE CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY CONSOLIDATED AROUND THE LOW LEVEL CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION (CF. TRMM 1948Z DATA). THE UPPER LEVEL CONFIGURATION IS FAVOURABLE IN THE VICINITY OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE ALLOWING 2 OUTFLOW CHANNELS (POLEWARD AND EQUATORWARD) ; IN THE LOWER LAYER, THE MONSOON FLOW IS WEAK. THE SYSTEM "BONDO" IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON TRACKING MAINLY WESTWARDS, FOLLOWING A GRADUAL INTENSIFICATION. . ** WTPQ20 RJTD 190000 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TD DOWNGRADED FROM TS 0623 TRAMI (0623) ANALYSIS PSTN 190000UTC 16N 133E MOVE W 20KT PRES 1008HPA = ** WTKO20 RKSL 190000 *** KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 4 NAME TD 0623 TRAMI ANALYSIS POSITION 190000UTC 16.0N 133.0E MOVEMENT W 20KT PRES 1008HPA KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION. ** WTPH20 RPMM 190000 *** T T T WARNING 04 (FINAL) AT 0000 19 DECEMBER TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TRAMI)(0623) DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM WAS ESTIMATED BASED ON SATELLITE AND SURFACE DATA AT ONE SIX POINT SEVEN NORTH ONE THREE FOUR POINT SEVEN EAST FORECAST TO MOVE NORTH AT ZERO TWO METERS PER SECOND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS WITHIN ONE FIVE ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE ONE ZERO ZERO ZERO HECTOPASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS ONE FIVE METER PER SECOND NEAR CENTER FORECAST POSITIONS AT 200000 ONE EIGHT POINT ZERO NORTH ONE THREE FOUR POINT EIGHT WITH THIS DEVELOPMENT THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING FROM WEATHER MANILA PD WEATHER MANILA= ** WTPH RPLL 190000 *** TTT WARNING 04 (FINAL) AT 0000 19 DECEMBER TROPIDAL DEPRESSION (TRAMI) (0623) DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM WAS ESTIMATED ABSED ON SATELLITE AND SURFACE DATA AT ONE SIX POINT SEVEN NORTH ONE THREE FOUR POINT SEVEN EAST FORECAT TO MVOER NORTH AT ZERO TWO METERS PER SECOND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS WITHIN ONE FIVE ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE ONE ZERO ZERO ZERO HECTOPASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS ONE FIVE METERS PER SECOND NEAR CENTER FORECAST POSITIONS AT 200000 ONE EIGHT POINT ZERO NORTH ONE THREE FOUR POINT EIGHT EAST WITH THIS DEVELOP- MENT THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING FROM WEATHER MANILA PD