** WTIO20 FMEE 181214 *** SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 18/12/2006 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 004/03 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY 18/12/2006 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 3 1000 HPA POSITION: 10.8S / 63.1E (TEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY THREE DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST ) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST 6 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 175 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, BUT EXTENDS UP TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SECTOR. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20 TO 25KT, LOCALLY REACHING NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR DUE TO GRADIENT EFFECT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE IN THE SOUTH. MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/12/19 AT 00 UTC: 10.8S / 61.8E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H, VALID 2006/12/19 AT 12 UTC: 10.9S / 59.6E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. OTHER INFORMATIONS: SYSTEM SLOWLY ORGANIZES WITHIN A QUITE FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT, AND SHOULD KEEP ON TRACKING MAINLY WESTWARDS, ACCELERATING.= ** WTIO30 FMEE 181214 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 4/3/20062007 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 3 2.A POSITION 2006/12/18 AT 1200 UTC : 10.8S / 63.1E (TEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY THREE DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST ) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /S 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1000 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/12/19 00 UTC: 10.8S/61.8E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2006/12/19 12 UTC: 10.9S/59.6E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 36H: 2006/12/20 00 UTC: 11.1S/57.6E, MAX WIND=035KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 48H: 2006/12/20 12 UTC: 11.1S/55.5E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 60H: 2006/12/21 00 UTC: 10.9S/53.5E, MAX WIND=045KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 72H: 2006/12/21 12 UTC: 10.8S/51.5E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0+ DESPITE RATHER FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH A SITUATION NEAR THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS, THE SYSTEM ORGANIZES SLOWLY AND SHOWS A CURVED BAND. THE TRACK SHOULD REMAIN WESTWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD WITH A MORE SUSTAINED MOTION.= ** WTIO20 FMEE 181214 *** SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 18/12/2006 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 004/03 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY 18/12/2006 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 3 1000 HPA POSITION: 10.8S / 63.1E (TEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY THREE DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST ) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST 6 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 175 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, BUT EXTENDS UP TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SECTOR. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20 TO 25KT, LOCALLY REACHING NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR DUE TO GRADIENT EFFECT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE IN THE SOUTH. MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/12/19 AT 00 UTC: 10.8S / 61.8E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H, VALID 2006/12/19 AT 12 UTC: 10.9S / 59.6E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. OTHER INFORMATIONS: SYSTEM SLOWLY ORGANIZES WITHIN A QUITE FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT, AND SHOULD KEEP ON TRACKING MAINLY WESTWARDS, ACCELERATING. . ** WTIO30 FMEE 181214 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 4/3/20062007 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 3 2.A POSITION 2006/12/18 AT 1200 UTC : 10.8S / 63.1E (TEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY THREE DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST ) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /S 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1000 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/12/19 00 UTC: 10.8S/61.8E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2006/12/19 12 UTC: 10.9S/59.6E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 36H: 2006/12/20 00 UTC: 11.1S/57.6E, MAX WIND=035KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 48H: 2006/12/20 12 UTC: 11.1S/55.5E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 60H: 2006/12/21 00 UTC: 10.9S/53.5E, MAX WIND=045KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 72H: 2006/12/21 12 UTC: 10.8S/51.5E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0+ DESPITE RATHER FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH A SITUATION NEAR THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS, THE SYSTEM ORGANIZES SLOWLY AND SHOWS A CURVED BAND. THE TRACK SHOULD REMAIN WESTWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD WITH A MORE SUSTAINED MOTION.= ** WTIO21 FMEE 181214 *** METEO-FRANCE/CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 18/12/2006 A 1200 UTC. NUMERO: 004/03 (SUD-OUEST DE L'OCEAN INDIEN) VITESSES DU VENT MOYEN SUR 10 MINUTES EN NOEUDS (KT) (LES RAFALES SUR MER PEUVENT EXCEDER D'ENVIRON 40% LA VALEUR DU VENT MOYEN). PRESSION MINIMALE AU NIVEAU DE LA MER EN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (VALEUR INDICATIVE). AVERTISSEMENT DEBUT DE VALIDITE: LUNDI 18/12/2006 A 1200 UTC. PHENOMENE: PERTURBATION TROPICALE 3 1000 HPA POSITION: 10.8S / 63.1E (DIX DEGRES HUIT SUD ET SOIXANTE-TROIS DEGRES UN EST) A 1200 UTC DEPLACEMENT: OUEST 6 KT ZONES MENACEES: TEMPS A GRAINS DANS UN RAYON DE 175 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQU 'A 300 MN DANS LE SECTEUR SUD-EST. CIRCULATION DEPRESSIONNAIRE 20 A 25KT, ATTEIGNANT LOCALEMENT LE GRAND FRAIS 30 KT DANS LE SECTEUR SUD PAR EFFET DE GRADIENT AVEC LA DORSALE AU SUD. MER AGITEE A LOCALEMENT FORTE. FORTES RAFALES SOUS GRAINS. PREVISIONS: POSITION ET INTENSITE PREVUES: A 12H POUR LE 19/12/2006 A 00 UTC: 10.8S / 61.8E, VENT MAX = 30 KT, DEPR. TROPICALE. A 24H POUR LE 19/12/2006 A 12 UTC: 10.9S / 59.6E, VENT MAX = 30 KT, DEPR. TROPICALE. INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES: LE SYSTEME S'ORGANISE LENTEMENT DANS UN ENVIRONNEMENT RELATIVEMENT FAVORABLE. LA TRAJECTOIRE DEVRAIT SE POURSUIVRE VERS L'OUEST, EN ACCELERANT. . ** WTIO30 FMEE 181214 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 4/3/20062007 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 3 2.A POSITION 2006/12/18 AT 1200 UTC : 10.8S / 63.1E (TEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY THREE DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST ) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /S 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1000 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/12/19 00 UTC: 10.8S/61.8E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2006/12/19 12 UTC: 10.9S/59.6E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 36H: 2006/12/20 00 UTC: 11.1S/57.6E, MAX WIND=035KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM .. 48H: 2006/12/20 12 UTC: 11.1S/55.5E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM .. 60H: 2006/12/21 00 UTC: 10.9S/53.5E, MAX WIND=045KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM .. 72H: 2006/12/21 12 UTC: 10.8S/51.5E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0+ DESPITE RATHER FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH A SITUATION NEAR THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS, THE SYSTEM ORGANIZES SLOWLY AND SHOWS A CURVED BAND. THE TRACK SHOULD REMAIN WESTWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD WITH A MORE SUSTAINED MOTION. . ** WTIO20 FMEE 181214 *** SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 18/12/2006 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 004/03 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY 18/12/2006 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 3 1000 HPA POSITION: 10.8S / 63.1E (TEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY THREE DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST ) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST 6 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 175 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, BUT EXTENDS UP TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SECTOR. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20 TO 25KT, LOCALLY REACHING NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR DUE TO GRADIENT EFFECT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE IN THE SOUTH. MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/12/19 AT 00 UTC: 10.8S / 61.8E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H, VALID 2006/12/19 AT 12 UTC: 10.9S / 59.6E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. OTHER INFORMATIONS: SYSTEM SLOWLY ORGANIZES WITHIN A QUITE FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT, AND SHOULD KEEP ON TRACKING MAINLY WESTWARDS, ACCELERATING. . ** WTIO21 FMEE 181214 *** METEO-FRANCE/CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 18/12/2006 A 1200 UTC. NUMERO: 004/03 (SUD-OUEST DE L'OCEAN INDIEN) VITESSES DU VENT MOYEN SUR 10 MINUTES EN NOEUDS (KT) (LES RAFALES SUR MER PEUVENT EXCEDER D'ENVIRON 40% LA VALEUR DU VENT MOYEN). PRESSION MINIMALE AU NIVEAU DE LA MER EN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (VALEUR INDICATIVE). AVERTISSEMENT DEBUT DE VALIDITE: LUNDI 18/12/2006 A 1200 UTC. PHENOMENE: PERTURBATION TROPICALE 3 1000 HPA POSITION: 10.8S / 63.1E (DIX DEGRES HUIT SUD ET SOIXANTE-TROIS DEGRES UN EST) A 1200 UTC DEPLACEMENT: OUEST 6 KT ZONES MENACEES: TEMPS A GRAINS DANS UN RAYON DE 175 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQU 'A 300 MN DANS LE SECTEUR SUD-EST. CIRCULATION DEPRESSIONNAIRE 20 A 25KT, ATTEIGNANT LOCALEMENT LE GRAND FRAIS 30 KT DANS LE SECTEUR SUD PAR EFFET DE GRADIENT AVEC LA DORSALE AU SUD. MER AGITEE A LOCALEMENT FORTE. FORTES RAFALES SOUS GRAINS. PREVISIONS: POSITION ET INTENSITE PREVUES: A 12H POUR LE 19/12/2006 A 00 UTC: 10.8S / 61.8E, VENT MAX = 30 KT, DEPR. TROPICALE. A 24H POUR LE 19/12/2006 A 12 UTC: 10.9S / 59.6E, VENT MAX = 30 KT, DEPR. TROPICALE. INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES: LE SYSTEME S'ORGANISE LENTEMENT DANS UN ENVIRONNEMENT RELATIVEMENT FAVORABLE. LA TRAJECTOIRE DEVRAIT SE POURSUIVRE VERS L'OUEST, EN ACCELERANT. . ** WTIO30 FMEE 181214 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 4/3/20062007 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 3 2.A POSITION 2006/12/18 AT 1200 UTC : 10.8S / 63.1E (TEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY THREE DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST ) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /S 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1000 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/12/19 00 UTC: 10.8S/61.8E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2006/12/19 12 UTC: 10.9S/59.6E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 36H: 2006/12/20 00 UTC: 11.1S/57.6E, MAX WIND=035KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM .. 48H: 2006/12/20 12 UTC: 11.1S/55.5E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM .. 60H: 2006/12/21 00 UTC: 10.9S/53.5E, MAX WIND=045KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM .. 72H: 2006/12/21 12 UTC: 10.8S/51.5E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0+ DESPITE RATHER FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH A SITUATION NEAR THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS, THE SYSTEM ORGANIZES SLOWLY AND SHOWS A CURVED BAND. THE TRACK SHOULD REMAIN WESTWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD WITH A MORE SUSTAINED MOTION. . ** WTPQ20 BABJ 181200 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS TRAMI 0624 (0623) INITIAL TIME 181200 UTC 00HR 16.5N 134.8E 994HPA 20M/S 30KTS 200KM P12HR WNW 20KM/H P+24HR 18.8N 129.3E 990HPA 23M/S P+48HR 19.6N 125.8E 985HPA 25M/S P+72HR 20.1N 123.2E 985HPA 25M/S= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 181200 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TS 0623 TRAMI (0623) ANALYSIS PSTN 181200UTC 16.1N 134.9E POOR MOVE WNW 08KT PRES 1000HPA MXWD 035KT 30KT 180NM NORTHEAST 100NM SOUTHWEST FORECAST 24HF 191200UTC 16.1N 131.2E 80NM 70% MOVE W 08KT PRES 1000HPA MXWD 035KT 48HF 201200UTC 16.0N 127.6E 150NM 70% MOVE W 08KT PRES 996HPA MXWD 040KT 72HF 211200UTC 16.0N 124.0E 220NM 70% MOVE W 08KT PRES 996HPA MXWD 040KT = ** WTJP21 RJTD 181200 *** WARNING 181200. WARNING VALID 191200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0623 TRAMI (0623) 1000 HPA AT 16.1N 134.9E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 08 KNOTS. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 100 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 191200UTC AT 16.1N 131.2E WITH 80 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 1000 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 201200UTC AT 16.0N 127.6E WITH 150 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 996 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 211200UTC AT 16.0N 124.0E WITH 220 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 996 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTKO20 RKSL 181200 *** KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 3 NAME TS 0623 TRAMI ANALYSIS POSITION 181200UTC 16.1N 134.9E MOVEMENT WNW 8KT PRES/VMAX 1000HPA 35KT FORECAST 24HR POSITION 191200UTC 16.4N 131.4E WITHIN 80NM PRES/VMAX 998HPA 35KT 48HR POSITION 201200UTC 16.4N 127.9E WITHIN 135NM PRES/VMAX 994HPA 41KT 72HR POSITION 211200UTC 16.3N 124.6E WITHIN 215NM PRES/VMAX 994HPA 41KT KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION. ** WTPN31 PGTW 181500 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W (TRAMI) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181200Z --- NEAR 16.5N 134.7E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 16.5N 134.7E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z --- 17.0N 132.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z --- 17.5N 129.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 181500Z POSITION NEAR 16.6N 134.0E. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 26W (TRAMI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 700 NM SOUTHEAST OF NAHA, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 181040Z SSMIS IMAGE DEPICT A BURST OF DEEP CONVECTION LOCATED OVER THE NORTH QUADRANT OF THE SYSTEM AND NO INDICATION OF A SIGNIFICANT LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. A 180922Z QUIKSCAT IMAGE INDICATED AN INVERTED TROUGH SITUATED ALONG 134E WITH STRONG CONVERGENT FLOW NORTH OF 15N, WHICH IS WHERE DEEP CONVECTION IS FLARING. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES 30-40 KNOTS OF VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND STRONG POLEWARD OUTFLOW ASSOCIATED WITH STRONG MIDLATITUDE SOUTH- WESTERLIES IMPINGING ON THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181200Z IS 10 FEET. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// ** WTXS31 PGTW 181500 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/180121ZDEC2006// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181200Z --- NEAR 11.0S 63.2E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 11.0S 63.2E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z --- 11.7S 60.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z --- 12.4S 57.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z --- 13.0S 54.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z --- 13.5S 51.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 181500Z POSITION NEAR 11.2S 62.5E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 05S, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 750 NM NORTH- EAST OF LA REUNION, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. TC 05S WILL TRACK WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD TO WEST- WARD THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE LOW- TO MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE SITUATED POLEWARD OF THE SYSTEM. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS ARE IN GOOD AGREE- MENT WITH THIS FORECAST AND TRACK THE SYSTEM TOWARD NORTHERN MADAGASCAR. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND AN 181123Z AMSU IMAGE DEPICT A SLOWLY CONSOLIDATING SYSTEM WITH DEEP CONVECTION WRAPPING TIGHTLY INTO THE CENTER. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THAT BOTH EQUATORWARD AND POLE- WARD OUTFLOW HAVE IMPROVED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. TC 05S IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AT A LESS THAN CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND AVAILABLE INTENSITY GUIDANCE. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 180121Z DEC 06 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS21 PGTW 180130). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181200Z IS 11 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190300Z AND 191500Z.// ** WTPQ31 PGUM 181532 *** TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION TRAMI (26W) ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 200 AM GUAM LST TUE DEC 19 2006 ...TRAMI WEAKENING... NO WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT. AT 1 AM GUAM LST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TRAMI WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.6 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 134.0 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 560 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF YAP AND 750 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF GUAM. TROPICAL DEPRESSION TRAMI IS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 13 MPH. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO 30 MPH. TROPICAL DEPRESSION TRAMI IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE OVER WATER TUESDAY NIGHT. REPEATING THE 1 AM POSITION...16.6 DEGREES NORTH AND 134.0 DEGREES EAST...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 13 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 MPH. THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION TRAMI. $$ HENDRICKS ** WTPQ20 RJTD 181500 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TS 0623 TRAMI (0623) ANALYSIS PSTN 181500UTC 16.3N 134.9E POOR MOVE NNW SLOWLY PRES 1000HPA MXWD 035KT 30KT 180NM NORTHEAST 100NM SOUTHWEST FORECAST 24HF 191500UTC 16.1N 130.8E 80NM 70% MOVE W 08KT PRES 1000HPA MXWD 035KT 45HF 201200UTC 16.0N 127.6E 150NM 70% MOVE W 08KT PRES 996HPA MXWD 040KT 69HF 211200UTC 16.0N 124.0E 220NM 70% MOVE W 08KT PRES 996HPA MXWD 040KT = ** WTPH RPLL 181200 *** TTT GALE WARNING 02 AT 1200 18 DECEMBER TROPICAL STORM (TRAMI)(0623) WAS ESTIMATED BASED ON SATELLITE AND SURFACE DATA AT 16.2N 134.9E FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWEST AT 04MPS ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITIHN 300 KILOMETER RADIUS NORTHEAS SEMI-CIRCLE 200KILOMETER RADIUS ELSEWHERE ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 HECTOPASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS 18MPS NEAR CENTER 13MPS WITHIN 300 KILOMETER RADIUS NORTHEAST SEMI-CIRCLE 200 KILOMETER RADIUS ELSEWHERE FORECAST POSITIONS AT 191200 18.1N 131.5E AT 201200 21.0N 129.0E AND 211200 25.3N 128.4E ALL SHIPS WITHIN STORM AREA ARE REQUESTED TO SEND THREE HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS TO WEATHER MANILA PD