** WTSR20 WSSS 131800 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTSR20 WSSS 131800 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 140000 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TD UTOR 0623 (0622) INITIAL TIME 140000 UTC 00HR 17.5N 112.1E 1000HPA 16M/S= P12HR N 5KM/H= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 140000 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TS 0622 UTOR (0622) ANALYSIS PSTN 140000UTC 17.6N 112.4E FAIR MOVE NNE SLOWLY PRES 998HPA MXWD 040KT 30KT 140NM NORTH 100NM SOUTH FORECAST 24HF 150000UTC 17.4N 112.4E 80NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION = ** WTJP21 RJTD 140000 *** WARNING 140000. WARNING VALID 150000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0622 UTOR (0622) 998 HPA AT 17.6N 112.4E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST SLOWLY. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 140 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 100 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 141200UTC AT 17.7N 112.7E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 1004 HPA. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. FORECAST POSITION FOR 150000UTC AT 17.4N 112.4E WITH 80 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 1008 HPA. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ30 RJTD 140000 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING REASONING NO.16 FOR TS 0622 UTOR (0622) 1.GENERAL COMMENTS REASONING OF PROGNOSIS THIS TIME IS SIMILAR TO PREVIOUS ONE. POSITION FORECAST IS MAINLY BASED ON NWP AND PERSISTENCY. 2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION NOTHING PARTICULAR TO EXPLAIN. 3.MOTION FORECAST POSITION ACCURACY AT 140000 UTC IS FAIR. TS WILL MOVE EAST-NORTHEAST THEN BE STATIONARY. 4.INTENSITY FORECAST TS WILL BE GRADED DOWN TO TD WITHIN 12 HOURS. TS WILL WEAKEN BECAUSE CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURE NEAR CYCLONE CENTER HAS BECOME WARMER FI-NUMBER WILL BE 1.0 AFTER 24 HOURS. 5.REMARKS GUIDANCE FOR FORECAST BY NUMERICAL MODEL ON TS 0622 UTOR (0622) AT 18 UTC IS VALID TILL 24 HOURS. THIS IS A SPECIAL ISSUE TO REPORT VALID PORTION OF RSMC GUIDANCE FOR FORECAST.= ** WTPN31 PGTW 140300 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 25W (UTOR) WARNING NR 029 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 140000Z --- NEAR 17.6N 112.2E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 17.6N 112.2E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z --- 17.8N 112.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z --- 17.7N 112.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z --- 17.4N 111.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 140300Z POSITION NEAR 17.6N 112.2E. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 25W (UTOR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 175 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HAINAN ISLAND, CHINA, HAS REMAINED QUASI- STATIONARY OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140000Z IS 20 FEET.// ** WTSS20 VHHH 140145 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 140000 UTC, TROPICAL STORM UTOR (0622) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE SEVEN POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (17.5 N) ONE ONE TWO POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (112.4 E) AND IS FORECAST TO BE QUASI-STATIONARY AND WEAKEN FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 35 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES OVER NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 90 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 150000 UTC DISSIPATED OVER SEA. ** WTSS20 VHHH 140145 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 140000 UTC, TROPICAL STORM UTOR (0622) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE SEVEN POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (17.5 N) ONE ONE TWO POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (112.4 E) AND IS FORECAST TO BE QUASI-STATIONARY AND WEAKEN FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 35 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES OVER NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 90 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 150000 UTC DISSIPATED OVER SEA. ** WTPQ20 RJTD 140300 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TS 0622 UTOR (0622) ANALYSIS PSTN 140300UTC 17.8N 112.7E FAIR MOVE NNE SLOWLY PRES 1000HPA MXWD 035KT 30KT 140NM NORTH 100NM SOUTH FORECAST 24HF 150300UTC 16.9N 112.3E 80NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION = ** WTSS20 VHHH 140445 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING TROPICAL STORM UTOR (0622) HAS WEAKENED INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 HECTOPASCALS. AT 140300 UTC, IT WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE SEVEN POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (17.5 N) ONE ONE TWO POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (112.5 E) AND IS FORECAST TO BE QUASI-STATIONARY AND WEAKEN FURTHER FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 30 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 90 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 150300 UTC DISSIPATED OVER SEA. ** WTSS20 VHHH 140445 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING TROPICAL STORM UTOR (0622) HAS WEAKENED INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 HECTOPASCALS. AT 140300 UTC, IT WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE SEVEN POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (17.5 N) ONE ONE TWO POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (112.5 E) AND IS FORECAST TO BE QUASI-STATIONARY AND WEAKEN FURTHER FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 30 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 90 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 150300 UTC DISSIPATED OVER SEA.