** WTPQ20 RJTD 121800 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0622 UTOR (0622) ANALYSIS PSTN 121800UTC 16.0N 113.2E GOOD MOVE WNW 09KT PRES 945HPA MXWD 085KT 50KT 70NM 30KT 200NM NORTH 180NM SOUTH FORECAST 24HF 131800UTC 17.4N 111.9E 80NM 70% MOVE NW SLOWLY PRES 970HPA MXWD 065KT 48HF 141800UTC 17.7N 111.6E 150NM 70% MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY PRES 990HPA MXWD 050KT 72HF 151800UTC 17.1N 110.7E 220NM 70% MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY PRES 998HPA MXWD 035KT = ** WTJP21 RJTD 121800 *** WARNING 121800. WARNING VALID 131800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0622 UTOR (0622) 945 HPA AT 16.0N 113.2E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 09 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 200 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 180 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 131800UTC AT 17.4N 111.9E WITH 80 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 141800UTC AT 17.7N 111.6E WITH 150 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 990 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 151800UTC AT 17.1N 110.7E WITH 220 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 998 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 121800 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST STY UTOR 0623 (0622) INITIAL TIME 121800 UTC 00HR 16.0N 113.0E 950HPA 45M/S 30KTS 380KM 50KTS 130KM P12HR WNW 15KM/H P+24HR 17.4N 110.8E 965HPA 35M/S P+48HR 17.8N 110.2E 985HPA 25M/S P+72HR 17.9N 109.6E 995HPA 18M/S= ** WTKO20 RKSL 121800 *** KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 11 NAME TY 0622 UTOR ANALYSIS POSITION 121800UTC 16.0N 113.2E MOVEMENT WNW 9KT PRES/VMAX 945HPA 84KT FORECAST 24HR POSITION 131800UTC 17.4N 111.5E WITHIN 80NM PRES/VMAX 970HPA 64KT 48HR POSITION 141800UTC 17.7N 111.0E WITHIN 135NM PRES/VMAX 990HPA 49KT 72HR POSITION 151800UTC 17.4N 110.6E WITHIN 215NM PRES/VMAX 998HPA 35KT KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION. ** WTSS20 VHHH 121945 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 121800 UTC, TYPHOON UTOR (0622) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 945 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE FIVE POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (15.9 N) ONE ONE THREE POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (113.1 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 5 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 85 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 210 NAUTICAL MILES OVER NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 120 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 300 NAUTICAL MILES OVER NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 180 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 131800 UTC ONE SIX POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (16.7 N) ONE ONE ONE POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (111.5 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 141800 UTC ONE SEVEN POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (17.0 N) ONE ONE ONE POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (111.2 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 151800 UTC ONE SEVEN POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (17.2 N) ONE ONE ONE POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (111.4 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS. ** WTSS20 VHHH 121945 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 121800 UTC, TYPHOON UTOR (0622) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 945 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE FIVE POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (15.9 N) ONE ONE THREE POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (113.1 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 5 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 85 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 210 NAUTICAL MILES OVER NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 120 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 300 NAUTICAL MILES OVER NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 180 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 131800 UTC ONE SIX POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (16.7 N) ONE ONE ONE POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (111.5 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 141800 UTC ONE SEVEN POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (17.0 N) ONE ONE ONE POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (111.2 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 151800 UTC ONE SEVEN POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (17.2 N) ONE ONE ONE POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (111.4 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS. ** WTPN31 PGTW 122100 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 25W (UTOR) WARNING NR 024 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 121800Z --- NEAR 16.0N 113.0E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.0N 113.0E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z --- 16.8N 111.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z --- 17.3N 111.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z --- 17.6N 111.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 02 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z --- 17.9N 110.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 00 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z --- 17.9N 110.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 01 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z --- 17.7N 110.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 122100Z POSITION NEAR 16.2N 112.7E. TYPHOON (TY) 25W (UTOR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 270 NM SOUTHEAST OF HAINAN ISLAND, CHINA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121800Z IS 34 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 130300Z, 130900Z, 131500Z AND 132100Z.// ** WTPQ20 BABJ 122100 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY UTOR 0623 (0622) INITIAL TIME 122100 UTC 00HR 16.3N 112.8E 955HPA 40M/S 30KTS 380KM 50KTS 120KM P12HR WNW 15KM/H P+24HR 17.8N 111.0E 970HPA 33M/S P+48HR 18.2N 110.3E 990HPA 23M/S P+72HR 18.0N 109.5E 996HPA 18M/S= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 122100 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0622 UTOR (0622) ANALYSIS PSTN 122100UTC 16.3N 112.8E GOOD MOVE WNW 09KT PRES 955HPA MXWD 080KT 50KT 60NM 30KT 200NM NORTH 180NM SOUTH FORECAST 24HF 132100UTC 17.5N 111.8E 80NM 70% MOVE NW SLOWLY PRES 975HPA MXWD 065KT 45HF 141800UTC 17.7N 111.6E 150NM 70% MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY PRES 990HPA MXWD 050KT 69HF 151800UTC 17.1N 110.7E 220NM 70% MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY PRES 998HPA MXWD 035KT = ** WTJP31 RJTD 122100 *** WARNING 122100. WARNING VALID 132100. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0622 UTOR (0622) 955 HPA AT 16.3N 112.8E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 09 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 200 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 180 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 132100UTC AT 17.5N 111.8E WITH 80 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 122200 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY UTOR 0623 (0622) INITIAL TIME 122200 UTC 00HR 16.3N 112.7E 955HPA 40M/S 30KTS 380KM 50KTS 120KM P12HR WNW 15KM/H= ** WTSS20 VHHH 122245 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 122100 UTC, TYPHOON UTOR (0622) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 945 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE SIX POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (16.2 N) ONE ONE TWO POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (112.8 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 5 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 85 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 210 NAUTICAL MILES OVER NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 120 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 300 NAUTICAL MILES OVER NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 180 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 132100 UTC ONE SEVEN POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (17.3 N) ONE ONE ONE POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (111.6 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 142100 UTC ONE SEVEN POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (17.5 N) ONE ONE ONE POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (111.8 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 152100 UTC ONE SEVEN POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (17.5 N) ONE ONE TWO POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (112.0 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS. ** WTSS20 VHHH 122245 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 122100 UTC, TYPHOON UTOR (0622) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 945 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE SIX POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (16.2 N) ONE ONE TWO POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (112.8 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 5 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 85 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 210 NAUTICAL MILES OVER NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 120 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 300 NAUTICAL MILES OVER NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 180 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 132100 UTC ONE SEVEN POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (17.3 N) ONE ONE ONE POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (111.6 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 142100 UTC ONE SEVEN POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (17.5 N) ONE ONE ONE POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (111.8 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 152100 UTC ONE SEVEN POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (17.5 N) ONE ONE TWO POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (112.0 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS. ** WTPQ20 BABJ 122300 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY UTOR 0623 (0622) INITIAL TIME 122300 UTC 00HR 16.3N 112.7E 955HPA 40M/S 30KTS 380KM 50KTS 120KM P12HR WNW 10KM/H=