** WTSR20 WSSS 110600 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 111200 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY UTOR 0623 (0622) INITIAL TIME 111200 UTC 00HR 13.7N 117.3E 970HPA 35M/S 30KTS 380KM 50KTS 100KM P12HR WNW 10KM/H P+24HR 14.7N 114.4E 960HPA 40M/S P+48HR 15.6N 111.9E 965HPA 38M/S P+72HR 17.6N 111.0E 980HPA 30M/S= ** WTJP21 RJTD 111200 *** WARNING 111200. WARNING VALID 121200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0622 UTOR (0622) 965 HPA AT 13.7N 117.3E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST SLOWLY. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 55 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 121200UTC AT 14.5N 114.0E WITH 80 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 131200UTC AT 17.3N 111.3E WITH 150 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 141200UTC AT 19.9N 112.2E WITH 290 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 111200 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0622 UTOR (0622) ANALYSIS PSTN 111200UTC 13.7N 117.3E FAIR MOVE WNW SLOWLY PRES 965HPA MXWD 075KT 50KT 55NM 30KT 180NM NORTH 120NM SOUTH FORECAST 24HF 121200UTC 14.5N 114.0E 80NM 70% MOVE W 08KT PRES 960HPA MXWD 075KT 48HF 131200UTC 17.3N 111.3E 150NM 70% MOVE NW 09KT PRES 965HPA MXWD 070KT 72HF 141200UTC 19.9N 112.2E 290NM 70% MOVE N 06KT PRES 985HPA MXWD 050KT = ** WTSS20 VHHH 111345 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 111200 UTC, TYPHOON UTOR (0622) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE THREE POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (13.7 N) ONE ONE SEVEN POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (117.4 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 9 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 75 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 180 NAUTICAL MILES OVER NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 120 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 270 NAUTICAL MILES OVER NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 180 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 121200 UTC ONE FOUR POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (14.6 N) ONE ONE FOUR POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (114.0 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 70 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 131200 UTC ONE SIX POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (16.1 N) ONE ONE ONE POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (111.8 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 141200 UTC ONE SEVEN POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (17.6 N) ONE ONE ONE POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (111.3 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS. ** WTSS20 VHHH 111345 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 111200 UTC, TYPHOON UTOR (0622) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE THREE POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (13.7 N) ONE ONE SEVEN POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (117.4 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 9 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 75 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 180 NAUTICAL MILES OVER NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 120 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 270 NAUTICAL MILES OVER NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 180 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 121200 UTC ONE FOUR POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (14.6 N) ONE ONE FOUR POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (114.0 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 70 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 131200 UTC ONE SIX POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (16.1 N) ONE ONE ONE POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (111.8 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 141200 UTC ONE SEVEN POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (17.6 N) ONE ONE ONE POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (111.3 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS. ** WTPN31 PGTW 111500 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 25W (UTOR) WARNING NR 019 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 111200Z --- NEAR 13.8N 117.0E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 13.8N 117.0E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z --- 14.3N 115.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z --- 15.0N 113.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z --- 15.7N 112.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z --- 16.4N 111.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z --- 16.9N 111.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 01 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z --- 17.3N 111.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z --- 17.1N 112.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 111500Z POSITION NEAR 13.9N 116.6E. TYPHOON (TY) 25W (UTOR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 480 NM SOUTHEAST OF HAINAN ISLAND, CHINA, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS, TY 25W HAS INTENSIFIED SLIGHTLY. AN 111012Z WINDSAT MICROWAVE IMAGE AND ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT TY 25W HAS CONSOLIDATED AND NOW HAS TIGHTLY CURVED BANDING. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW, ENHANCED BY A MID- LATITUDE TROUGH OVER EASTERN CHINA, AND WEAK EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW (INHIBITED BY AN UPPER LEVEL INVERTED TROUGH IMPINGING ON THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE SYSTEM). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111200Z IS 29 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 112100Z, 120300Z, 120900Z AND 121500Z.// ** WTPH RPLL 111200 *** TTT TYPHOON WARNING 18 AT 1200 11 DECEMBER TYPHOON UTOR (0622)WAS LOCATED BASED ON SATELLITE AND SURFACE DATA AT 13.7N 117.3E FORECAST TO MOVE WEST NORTHWEST AT 03MPS ROUGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 300 KILOMETER RADIUS NORTH SEMI-CERCLE 250 KILOMETER RADIUS ELSEWHERE ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE 976 HECTOPASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS 33MPS NEAR CENTER 25MPS WITHIN 100 KILOMETER RADIUS 13MPS WITHIN 300 KILOMETER RADIUS NORTH SEMI-CERCLE 250 KILOMETER RADIUS ELSEWHERE FORECAST POSITIONS AT 121200 15.4N 114.0E AND AT 131200 17.6N 111.3E ALL SHIPS WITHIN TYPHOON AREA ARE REQUESTED TO SEND THREE HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS TO WEATHER MANILAPD= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 111500 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0622 UTOR (0622) ANALYSIS PSTN 111500UTC 13.8N 117.0E FAIR MOVE WNW SLOWLY PRES 965HPA MXWD 075KT 50KT 55NM 30KT 180NM NORTH 120NM SOUTH FORECAST 24HF 121500UTC 14.8N 113.8E 80NM 70% MOVE W 08KT PRES 960HPA MXWD 075KT 45HF 131200UTC 17.3N 111.3E 150NM 70% MOVE NW 09KT PRES 965HPA MXWD 070KT 69HF 141200UTC 19.9N 112.2E 290NM 70% MOVE N 06KT PRES 985HPA MXWD 050KT = ** WTJP31 RJTD 111500 *** WARNING 111500. WARNING VALID 121500. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0622 UTOR (0622) 965 HPA AT 13.8N 117.0E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST SLOWLY. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 55 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 121500UTC AT 14.8N 113.8E WITH 80 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTNT80 EGRR 111655 *** MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 11.12.2006 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ANALYSED OR FORECAST TO DEVELOP IN THIS AREA IN THE NEXT THREE DAYS THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 111655 ** WTSS20 VHHH 111645 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 111500 UTC, TYPHOON UTOR (0622) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE THREE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (13.8 N) ONE ONE SEVEN POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (117.1 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 9 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 75 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 180 NAUTICAL MILES OVER NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 120 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 270 NAUTICAL MILES OVER NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 180 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 121500 UTC ONE FIVE POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (15.0 N) ONE ONE THREE POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (113.8 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 70 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 131500 UTC ONE SIX POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (16.3 N) ONE ONE ONE POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (111.7 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 141500 UTC ONE SEVEN POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (17.8 N) ONE ONE ONE POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (111.3 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS. ** WTSS20 VHHH 111645 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 111500 UTC, TYPHOON UTOR (0622) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE THREE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (13.8 N) ONE ONE SEVEN POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (117.1 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 9 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 75 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 180 NAUTICAL MILES OVER NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 120 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 270 NAUTICAL MILES OVER NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 180 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 121500 UTC ONE FIVE POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (15.0 N) ONE ONE THREE POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (113.8 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 70 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 131500 UTC ONE SIX POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (16.3 N) ONE ONE ONE POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (111.7 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 141500 UTC ONE SEVEN POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (17.8 N) ONE ONE ONE POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (111.3 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.