** WTSR20 WSSS 100600 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 101200 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY UTOR 0623 (0622) INITIAL TIME 101200 UTC 00HR 13.0N 119.7E 970HPA 35M/S 30KTS 400KM 50KTS 100KM P12HR WNW 20KM/H P+24HR 14.0N 116.0E 960HPA 40M/S P+48HR 14.8N 112.9E 960HPA 40M/S P+72HR 15.6N 110.8E 970HPA 35M/S= ** WTJP21 RJTD 101200 *** WARNING 101200. WARNING VALID 111200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0622 UTOR (0622) 965 HPA AT 12.9N 119.5E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 10 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 55 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 200 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 111200UTC AT 13.4N 116.4E WITH 80 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 121200UTC AT 14.8N 112.7E WITH 150 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 131200UTC AT 15.4N 110.3E WITH 220 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 101200 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0622 UTOR (0622) ANALYSIS PSTN 101200UTC 12.9N 119.5E GOOD MOVE WNW 10KT PRES 965HPA MXWD 070KT 50KT 55NM 30KT 200NM NORTH 150NM SOUTH FORECAST 24HF 111200UTC 13.4N 116.4E 80NM 70% MOVE W 07KT PRES 950HPA MXWD 080KT 48HF 121200UTC 14.8N 112.7E 150NM 70% MOVE WNW 09KT PRES 950HPA MXWD 080KT 72HF 131200UTC 15.4N 110.3E 220NM 70% MOVE W SLOWLY PRES 960HPA MXWD 075KT = ** WTSS20 VHHH 101345 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 101200 UTC, TYPHOON UTOR (0622) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE TWO POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (12.8 N) ONE ONE NINE POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (119.3 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 75 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 180 NAUTICAL MILES OVER NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 120 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 240 NAUTICAL MILES OVER NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 180 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 111200 UTC ONE THREE POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (13.7 N) ONE ONE FIVE POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (115.6 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 75 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 121200 UTC ONE FOUR POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (14.5 N) ONE ONE TWO POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (112.8 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 75 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 131200 UTC ONE FIVE POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (15.4 N) ONE ONE ZERO POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (110.9 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS. ** WTSS20 VHHH 101345 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 101200 UTC, TYPHOON UTOR (0622) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE TWO POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (12.8 N) ONE ONE NINE POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (119.3 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 75 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 180 NAUTICAL MILES OVER NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 120 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 240 NAUTICAL MILES OVER NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 180 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 111200 UTC ONE THREE POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (13.7 N) ONE ONE FIVE POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (115.6 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 75 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 121200 UTC ONE FOUR POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (14.5 N) ONE ONE TWO POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (112.8 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 75 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 131200 UTC ONE FIVE POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (15.4 N) ONE ONE ZERO POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (110.9 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS. ** WTSS20 VHHH 101345 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 101200 UTC, TYPHOON UTOR (0622) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE TWO POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (12.8 N) ONE ONE NINE POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (119.3 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 75 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 180 NAUTICAL MILES OVER NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 120 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 240 NAUTICAL MILES OVER NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 180 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 111200 UTC ONE THREE POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (13.7 N) ONE ONE FIVE POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (115.6 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 75 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 121200 UTC ONE FOUR POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (14.5 N) ONE ONE TWO POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (112.8 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 75 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 131200 UTC ONE FIVE POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (15.4 N) ONE ONE ZERO POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (110.9 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS. ** WTPN31 PGTW 101500 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 25W (UTOR) WARNING NR 015 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 101200Z --- NEAR 12.9N 119.3E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 12.9N 119.3E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z --- 13.5N 117.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z --- 14.0N 116.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z --- 14.5N 114.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z --- 15.2N 112.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z --- 16.6N 111.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 03 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z --- 17.7N 110.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z --- 18.4N 111.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT --- REMARKS: 101500Z POSITION NEAR 13.1N 118.9E. TYPHOON (TY) 25W (UTOR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 145 NM SOUTHWEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS, TY 25W HAS WEAKENED SIGNIFICANTLY DUE TO INTERACTION WITH 7500 FOOT MOUNTAINS ON THE ISLAND OF MINDORO. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 101221Z SSMIS IMAGE INDICATE RAPIDLY WEAKENING DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE EAST- ERN SEMI-CIRCLE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101200Z IS 24 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 102100Z, 110300Z, 110900Z AND 111500Z.// BT #0001 ** WTPH RPLL 101200 *** TTT TYPHOON WARNING 14 AT 1200 10 DECEMBER TYPHOON UTOR (0622) WAS LOCATED BASED ON SATELLITE AND SURFACE DATA AT 12.9N 119.6E FORECAST TO MOVE WEST NORTHWEST AT 04MPS ROUGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 300 KILOMETER RADIUS NORTH SEMI-CERCLE 250KILOMETER RADIUS ELSEWHERE ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE 976 HECTOPASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS 33MPS NEAR CENTER 25MPS WITHIN 100 KILOMETER RADIUS 13MPS WITHIN 300 KILOMETER RADIUS NORTH SEMI-CERCLE 250 KILOMETER RADIUS ELSEWHERE FORECAST POSITIONS AT 111200 13.9N 16.3E AND AT 121200 14.8N 113.0E ALL SHIPS WITHIN TYPHOON AREA ARE REQUESTED TO SEND THREE HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS TO WEATHER MANILA PD= ** WTJP31 RJTD 101500 *** WARNING 101500. WARNING VALID 111500. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0622 UTOR (0622) 965 HPA AT 13.0N 119.1E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 07 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 55 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 200 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 111500UTC AT 13.5N 116.1E WITH 80 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 101500 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0622 UTOR (0622) ANALYSIS PSTN 101500UTC 13.0N 119.1E GOOD MOVE WNW 07KT PRES 965HPA MXWD 070KT 50KT 55NM 30KT 200NM NORTH 150NM SOUTH FORECAST 24HF 111500UTC 13.5N 116.1E 80NM 70% MOVE W 07KT PRES 950HPA MXWD 080KT 45HF 121200UTC 14.8N 112.7E 150NM 70% MOVE WNW 09KT PRES 950HPA MXWD 080KT 69HF 131200UTC 15.4N 110.3E 220NM 70% MOVE W SLOWLY PRES 960HPA MXWD 075KT = ** WTPH20 RPMM 101200 *** T T T TYPHOON WARNING 14 AT 1200 10 DECEMBER TYPHOON UTOR (0622) WAS LOCATED BASED ON SATELLITE AND SURFACE DATA AT ONE TWO POINT NINE NORTH ONE ONE NINE POINT SIX EAST FORECAST TO MOVE WEST NORTHWEST AT ZERO FOUR METERS PER SECOND ROUGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN THREE ZERO ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS NORTH SEMI-CIRCLE TWO FIVE ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS ELSEWHERE ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE NINE SEVEN SIX HECTOPASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS THREE THREE METERS PER SECOND NEAR CENTER TWO FIVE METERS PER SECOND WITHIN ONE ZERO ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS ONE THREE METERS PER SECOND WITHIN THREE ZERO ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS NORTH SEMI-CIRCLE TWO FIVE ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS ELSEWHERE FORECAST POSITIONS AT 111200 ONE THREE POINT NINE NORTH ONE ONE SIX POINT THREE EAST AND AT 121200 ONE FOUR POINT EIGHT NORTH ONE ONE THREE POINT ZERO EAST ALL SHIPS WITHIN TYPHOON AREA ARE REQUESTED TO SEND THREE HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS TO WEATHER MANILA PD WEATHER MANILA= ** WTNT80 EGRR 101659 *** MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 10.12.2006 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ANALYSED OR FORECAST TO DEVELOP IN THIS AREA IN THE NEXT THREE DAYS THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 101659 ** WTSS20 VHHH 101645 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 101500 UTC, TYPHOON UTOR (0622) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE TWO POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (12.9 N) ONE ONE NINE POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (119.0 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 75 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 180 NAUTICAL MILES OVER NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 120 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 240 NAUTICAL MILES OVER NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 180 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 111500 UTC ONE THREE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (13.8 N) ONE ONE FIVE POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (115.2 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 75 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 121500 UTC ONE FOUR POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (14.6 N) ONE ONE TWO POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (112.5 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 75 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 131500 UTC ONE FIVE POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (15.5 N) ONE ONE ZERO POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (110.7 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS. ** WTSS20 VHHH 101645 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 101500 UTC, TYPHOON UTOR (0622) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE TWO POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (12.9 N) ONE ONE NINE POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (119.0 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 75 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 180 NAUTICAL MILES OVER NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 120 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 240 NAUTICAL MILES OVER NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 180 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 111500 UTC ONE THREE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (13.8 N) ONE ONE FIVE POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (115.2 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 75 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 121500 UTC ONE FOUR POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (14.6 N) ONE ONE TWO POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (112.5 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 75 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 131500 UTC ONE FIVE POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (15.5 N) ONE ONE ZERO POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (110.7 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS.