** WTSR20 WSSS 080600 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 081200 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS UTOR 0623 (0622) INITIAL TIME 081200 UTC 00HR 11.1N 129.4E 988HPA 23M/S 30KTS 260KM P12HR WNW 20KM/H P+24HR 12.3N 124.1E 975HPA 30M/S P+48HR 13.2N 120.0E 965HPA 35M/S P+72HR 14.4N 117.5E 955HPA 40M/S= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 081200 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME STS 0622 UTOR (0622) UPGRADED FROM TS ANALYSIS PSTN 081200UTC 10.6N 129.2E FAIR MOVE W 13KT PRES 980HPA MXWD 060KT 50KT 50NM 30KT 160NM NORTH 130NM SOUTH FORECAST 24HF 091200UTC 11.0N 123.5E 80NM 70% MOVE W 14KT PRES 975HPA MXWD 060KT 48HF 101200UTC 11.3N 119.3E 150NM 70% MOVE W 10KT PRES 980HPA MXWD 055KT 72HF 111200UTC 11.4N 116.9E 220NM 70% MOVE W SLOWLY PRES 980HPA MXWD 055KT = ** WTJP21 RJTD 081200 *** WARNING 081200. WARNING VALID 091200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0622 UTOR (0622) UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 980 HPA AT 10.6N 129.2E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WEST 13 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 160 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 130 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 090000UTC AT 10.8N 126.4E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 091200UTC AT 11.0N 123.5E WITH 80 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 101200UTC AT 11.3N 119.3E WITH 150 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 111200UTC AT 11.4N 116.9E WITH 220 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPN31 PGTW 081500 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 25W (UTOR) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 081200Z --- NEAR 11.1N 129.1E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 11.1N 129.1E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z --- 11.5N 126.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z --- 12.0N 123.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z --- 12.5N 121.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z --- 13.1N 119.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z --- 14.3N 116.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z --- 14.9N 113.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z --- 14.1N 111.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT --- REMARKS: 081500Z POSITION NEAR 11.2N 128.4E. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 25W (UTOR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 520 NM EAST- SOUTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081200Z IS 19 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 082100Z, 090300Z, 090900Z AND 091500Z.// ** WTPH RPLL 081200 *** T T T STORM WARNING 06 AT 1200 08 DECEMBER SEVERE TROPICAL STORM UTOR (0622) WAS ESTIMATED BASED ON SAT AND SURFACE DATA AT 10.8N 129.2E FORECAST TO MOVE WEST AT 06MPS ROUGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 300KMS RADIUS FROM CENTER ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 HECTOPASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS 31MPS NEAR CENTER 25MPS WITHIN 100KMS RADIUS FROM CENTER FORECAST POSITIONS AT 091200 11.2N 123.7E AT 101200 11.4N 119.5E AND AT 111200 11.5N 116.2E ALL SHIPS WITHIN STORM AREA ARE REQUESTED TO SEND THREE HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS TO WEATHER MANILA PD ** WTPQ20 RJTD 081500 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME STS 0622 UTOR (0622) ANALYSIS PSTN 081500UTC 10.7N 128.7E FAIR MOVE W 07KT PRES 975HPA MXWD 060KT 50KT 50NM 30KT 160NM NORTH 130NM SOUTH FORECAST 24HF 091500UTC 11.0N 123.2E 80NM 70% MOVE W 14KT PRES 975HPA MXWD 060KT 45HF 101200UTC 11.3N 119.3E 150NM 70% MOVE W 10KT PRES 980HPA MXWD 055KT 69HF 111200UTC 11.4N 116.9E 220NM 70% MOVE W SLOWLY PRES 980HPA MXWD 055KT = ** WTJP31 RJTD 081500 *** WARNING 081500. WARNING VALID 091500. TYPHOON WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0622 UTOR (0622) 975 HPA AT 10.7N 128.7E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WEST 07 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 160 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 130 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 090300UTC AT 10.8N 126.1E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 091500UTC AT 11.0N 123.2E WITH 80 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPH20 RPMM 081200 *** TTT STORM WARNING 06 AT 1200 08 DECEMBER SEVERE TROPICAL STORM (UTOR)(0622) WAS ESTIMATED BASED ON SATELLITE AND SURFACE DATA AT ONE ZERO POINT EIGHT NORTH ONE TWO NINE POINT TWO EAST FORECAST TO MOVE WEST AT ZERO SIX METERS PER SECOND ROUGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN THREE ZERO ZERO KILOMETERS RADIUS FROM CENTER ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE NINE EIGHT ZERO HECTOPASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS THREE ONE METERS PER SECOND NEAR CENTER TWO FIVE METERS PER SECOND WITHIN ONE ZERO ZERO KILOMETERS RADIUS ONE THREE METERS PER SECOND WITHIN THREE ZERO ZERO KILOMETERS RADIUS FROM CENTER FORECAST POSITIONS AT 091200 ONE ONE POINT TWO NORTH ONE TWO THREE POINT SEVEN EAST AT 101200 ONE ONE POINT FOUR NORTH ONE ONE NINE POINT FIVE EAST AND AT 111200 ONE ONE POINT FIVE NORTH ONE ONE SIX POINT TWO EAST ALL SHIPS WITHIN STORM AREA ARE REQUESTED TO SEND THREE HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS TO WEATHER MANILA PD WEATHER MANILA= ** WTPH20 RPMM 081200 *** TTT STORM WARNING 06 AT 1200 08 DECEMBER SEVERE TROPICAL STORM (UTOR)(0622) WAS ESTIMATED BASED ON SATELLITE AND SURFACE DATA AT ONE ZERO POINT EIGHT NORTH ONE TWO NINE POINT TWO EAST FORECAST TO MOVE WEST AT ZERO SIX METERS PER SECOND ROUGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN THREE ZERO ZERO KILOMETERS RADIUS FROM CENTER ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE NINE EIGHT ZERO HECTOPASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS THREE ONE METERS PER SECOND NEAR CENTER TWO FIVE METERS PER SECOND WITHIN ONE ZERO ZERO KILOMETERS RADIUS ONE THREE METERS PER SECOND WITHIN THREE ZERO ZERO KILOMETERS RADIUS FROM CENTER FORECAST POSITIONS AT 091200 ONE ONE POINT TWO NORTH ONE TWO THREE POINT SEVEN EAST AT 101200 ONE ONE POINT FOUR NORTH ONE ONE NINE POINT FIVE EAST AND AT 111200 ONE ONE POINT FIVE NORTH ONE ONE SIX POINT TWO EAST ALL SHIPS WITHIN STORM AREA ARE REQUESTED TO SEND THREE HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS TO WEATHER MANILA PD WEATHER MANILA=