** WTIN20 DEMS 050642 ***

            TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
    ------------------------
DEMS - RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI 05-11-2006     (.) 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR THE NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF 
BENGAL AND ARABIAN SEA ) VALID FOR NEXT 24 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600
UTC (.)

CONVECTIVE CLOUDS ARE SEEN OVER PARTS OF SOUTH EAST ARABIAN SEA (.)

THE RIDGE LINE AT 200 HPA RUNS ALONG 14.0 DEG N OVER THE 
 INDIAN REGION (.)



** WTJP21 RJTD 050600 ***
WARNING 050600.
WARNING VALID 060600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 0621 DURIAN (0621) DOWNGRADED FROM SEVERE TROPICAL
STORM 1000 HPA
AT 09.3N 105.5E VIETNAM MOVING WESTSOUTHWEST 16 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 100 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 80
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 060600UTC AT 08.7N 099.5E WITH 80 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1004 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


** WTPQ20 RJTD 050600 ***
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME  TS 0621 DURIAN (0621) DOWNGRADED FROM STS
ANALYSIS
PSTN  050600UTC 09.3N 105.5E FAIR
MOVE  WSW 16KT
PRES  1000HPA
MXWD  040KT
30KT  100NM SOUTHEAST 80NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF  060600UTC 08.7N 099.5E 80NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


** WTKO20 RKSL 050600 ***
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 19
NAME TS 0621 DURIAN
ANALYSIS
POSITION 050600UTC 9.3N 105.5E
MOVEMENT WSW 16KT
PRES/VMAX 1000HPA 41KT
FORECAST
24HR
POSITION 060600UTC 8.5N 99.8E WITHIN 0NM
PRES 1002HPA
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.


** WTPQ30 RJTD 050600 ***

RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.20 FOR TS 0621 DURIAN (0621)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
  REASONING OF PROGNOSIS THIS TIME IS SIMILAR TO PREVIOUS ONE.
  POSITION FORECAST IS MAINLY BASED ON NWP AND PERSISTENCY.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
  NOTHING PARTICULAR TO EXPLAIN.
3.MOTION FORECAST
  POSITION ACCURACY AT 050600 UTC IS FAIR.
  TS WILL MOVE AT THE SAME SPEED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
  TS WILL MOVE WEST-SOUTHWEST FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
  TS WILL BE GRADED DOWN TO TD WITHIN 24 HOURS.
  TS WILL WEAKEN BECAUSE CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURE NEAR CYCLONE CENTER HAS BECOME WARMER
 AND CDO BECAME INDISTINCT.
  FI-NUMBER WILL BE 1.0 AFTER 24 HOURS.=


** WTPQ20 RJTD 050900 ***
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME  TS 0621 DURIAN (0621)
ANALYSIS
PSTN  050900UTC 08.8N 104.9E FAIR
MOVE  WSW 15KT
PRES  1002HPA
MXWD  035KT
30KT  80NM
FORECAST
24HF  060900UTC 08.7N 099.0E 80NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =