** WTSR20 WSSS 030600 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 031200 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY DURIAN 0622 (0621) INITIAL TIME 031200 UTC 00HR 13.7N 112.7E 960HPA 40M/S 30KTS 350KM 50KTS 120KM P12HR W 10KM/H P+24HR 12.8N 109.4E 960HPA 40M/S P+48HR 11.9N 106.2E 985HPA 25M/S P+72HR 11.3N 102.2E 1000HPA 15M/S= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 031200 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0621 DURIAN (0621) ANALYSIS PSTN 031200UTC 13.5N 112.9E GOOD MOVE WSW SLOWLY PRES 955HPA MXWD 075KT 50KT 60NM 30KT 180NM NORTHWEST 140NM SOUTHEAST FORECAST 24HF 041200UTC 11.5N 109.3E 80NM 70% MOVE WSW 10KT PRES 965HPA MXWD 070KT 48HF 051200UTC 11.6N 104.9E 150NM 70% MOVE W 10KT PRES 998HPA MXWD 035KT 72HF 061200UTC 12.2N 101.1E 220NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION = ** WTJP21 RJTD 031200 *** WARNING 031200. WARNING VALID 041200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0621 DURIAN (0621) 955 HPA AT 13.5N 112.9E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WESTSOUTHWEST SLOWLY. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 140 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 041200UTC AT 11.5N 109.3E WITH 80 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 051200UTC AT 11.6N 104.9E WITH 150 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 998 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 061200UTC AT 12.2N 101.1E WITH 220 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 1004 HPA. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTSS20 VHHH 031345 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 031200 UTC, TYPHOON DURIAN (0621) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 955 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE THREE POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (13.5 N) ONE ONE TWO POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (112.8 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-SOUTHWEST AT ABOUT 11 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 80 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 180 NAUTICAL MILES OVER NORTHWEST QUADRANT, 120 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 250 NAUTICAL MILES OVER NORTHWEST QUADRANT, 180 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 041200 UTC ONE ONE POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (11.5 N) ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (108.5 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 051200 UTC ONE ZERO POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (10.1 N) ONE ZERO THREE POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (103.8 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 061200 UTC DISSIPATED OVER SEA. ** WTSS20 VHHH 031345 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 031200 UTC, TYPHOON DURIAN (0621) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 955 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE THREE POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (13.5 N) ONE ONE TWO POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (112.8 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-SOUTHWEST AT ABOUT 11 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 80 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 180 NAUTICAL MILES OVER NORTHWEST QUADRANT, 120 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 250 NAUTICAL MILES OVER NORTHWEST QUADRANT, 180 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 041200 UTC ONE ONE POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (11.5 N) ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (108.5 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 051200 UTC ONE ZERO POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (10.1 N) ONE ZERO THREE POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (103.8 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 061200 UTC DISSIPATED OVER SEA. ** WTPN31 PGTW 031500 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 24W (DURIAN) WARNING NR 032 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 031200Z --- NEAR 13.5N 112.7E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 13.5N 112.7E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z --- 12.9N 111.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z --- 12.3N 109.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z --- 11.6N 108.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z --- 11.3N 106.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z --- 11.0N 104.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 031500Z POSITION NEAR 13.3N 112.3E. TYPHOON (TY) 24W (DURIAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 215 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF NHA TRANG, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031200Z IS 32 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 032100Z, 040300Z, 040900Z AND 041500Z.// BT #0001 ** WTJP31 RJTD 031500 *** WARNING 031500. WARNING VALID 041500. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0621 DURIAN (0621) 955 HPA AT 13.3N 112.4E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WESTSOUTHWEST 07 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 140 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 041500UTC AT 11.3N 109.1E WITH 80 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 031500 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0621 DURIAN (0621) ANALYSIS PSTN 031500UTC 13.3N 112.4E GOOD MOVE WSW 07KT PRES 955HPA MXWD 075KT 50KT 60NM 30KT 180NM NORTHWEST 140NM SOUTHEAST FORECAST 24HF 041500UTC 11.3N 109.1E 80NM 70% MOVE WSW 09KT PRES 965HPA MXWD 070KT 45HF 051200UTC 11.6N 104.9E 150NM 70% MOVE W 10KT PRES 998HPA MXWD 035KT 69HF 061200UTC 12.2N 101.1E 220NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION = ** WTSS20 VHHH 031645 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 031500 UTC, TYPHOON DURIAN (0621) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 955 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE THREE POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (13.3 N) ONE ONE TWO POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (112.4 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-SOUTHWEST AT ABOUT 12 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 80 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 180 NAUTICAL MILES OVER NORTHWEST QUADRANT, 120 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 240 NAUTICAL MILES OVER NORTHWEST QUADRANT, 180 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 041500 UTC ONE ONE POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (11.3 N) ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (108.0 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 051500 UTC ONE ZERO POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (10.0 N) ONE ZERO THREE POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (103.0 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 061500 UTC DISSIPATED OVER SEA. ** WTSS20 VHHH 031645 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 031500 UTC, TYPHOON DURIAN (0621) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 955 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE THREE POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (13.3 N) ONE ONE TWO POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (112.4 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-SOUTHWEST AT ABOUT 12 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 80 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 180 NAUTICAL MILES OVER NORTHWEST QUADRANT, 120 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 240 NAUTICAL MILES OVER NORTHWEST QUADRANT, 180 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 041500 UTC ONE ONE POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (11.3 N) ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (108.0 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 051500 UTC ONE ZERO POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (10.0 N) ONE ZERO THREE POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (103.0 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 061500 UTC DISSIPATED OVER SEA.