** WTIO30 FMEE 030602 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 24/2/20062007 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 2 (EX-ANITA) 2.A POSITION 2006/12/03 AT 0600 UTC : 18.1S / 41.5E (EIGHTEEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY ONE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : /W 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1004 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 20 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1010 HPA / 600 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/12/03 18 UTC: 19.0S/40.5E, MAX WIND=020KT, DISSIPATING. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE ASSOCIATED CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IS VERY WEAK, DUE TO STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA, THE SYSTEME IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE GRADUALLY. LAST WARNING ABOUT THIS SYSTEME UNLESS REGENERATION.= ** WTIO30 FMEE 030602 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 24/2/20062007 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 2 (EX-ANITA) 2.A POSITION 2006/12/03 AT 0600 UTC : 18.1S / 41.5E (EIGHTEEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY ONE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : /W 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1004 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 20 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1010 HPA / 600 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/12/03 18 UTC: 19.0S/40.5E, MAX WIND=020KT, DISSIPATING. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE ASSOCIATED CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IS VERY WEAK, DUE TO STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA, THE SYSTEME IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE GRADUALLY. LAST WARNING ABOUT THIS SYSTEME UNLESS REGENERATION. . ** WTIO24 FMEE 030602 *** SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 03/12/2006 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 024/02 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SUNDAY 03/12/2006 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 2 (EX-ANITA) 1004 HPA POSITION: 18.1S / 41.5E (EIGHTEEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY ONE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 5 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS LOCALLY WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 15/20KT AND MODERATE TO ROUFG SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, LOCALLY REACHING 25/30KT IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/12/03 AT 18 UTC: 19.0S / 40.5E, MAX WIND = 20 KT, DISSIPATING. 24H, VALID 2006/12/04 AT 06 UTC: .. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE ASSOCIATED CONVECTIVE (THUNDERY) ACTIVITY IS VERY WEAK , THE SYSTEME IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE GRADUALLY. LAST WARNING ABOUT THIS SYSTEME UNLESS REGENERATION . ** WTIO21 FMEE 030602 *** METEO-FRANCE/CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 03/12/2006 A 0600 UTC. NUMERO: 024/02 (SUD-OUEST DE L'OCEAN INDIEN) VITESSES DU VENT MOYEN SUR 10 MINUTES EN NOEUDS (KT) (LES RAFALES SUR MER PEUVENT EXCEDER D'ENVIRON 40% LA VALEUR DU VENT MOYEN). PRESSION MINIMALE AU NIVEAU DE LA MER EN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (VALEUR INDICATIVE). AVERTISSEMENT DEBUT DE VALIDITE: DIMANCHE 03/12/2006 A 0600 UTC. PHENOMENE: PERTURBATION TROPICALE 2 (EX-ANITA) 1004 HPA POSITION: 18.1S / 41.5E (DIX-HUIT DEGRES UN SUD ET QUARANTE ET UN DEGRES CINQ EST) A 0600 UTC DEPLACEMENT: OUEST-SUD-OUEST 5 KT ZONES MENACEES: TEMPS A GRAINS LOCALEMENT DANS UN RAYON DE 60 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE. CIRCULATION DEPRESSIONNAIRE 15/20KT ET MER AGITEE A FORTE DANS UN RAYON DE 60 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, ATTEIGNANT LOCALEMENT 25/30 KT DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD. FORTES RAFALES SOUS GRAINS. PREVISIONS: POSITION ET INTENSITE PREVUES: A 12H POUR LE 03/12/2006 A 18 UTC: 19.0S / 40.5E, VENT MAX = 20 KT, SE DISSIPANT. A 24H POUR LE 04/12/2006 A 06 UTC: .. INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES: L'ACTIVITE CONVECTIVE (ORAGEUSE) EST TRES FAIBLE, LE SYSTEME EST PREVU SE DISSIPER PROGRESSIVEMENT. DERNIER BULLETIN SUR CE SYSTEME SAUF REINTENSIFICATION. . ** WTIN20 DEMS 030630 *** TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK ------------------------ DEMS - RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI 03-12-2006 (.) TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR THE NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL AND ARABIAN SEA ) VALID FOR NEXT 24 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC (.) CONVECTIVE CLOUDS ARE SEEN OVER SOUTH BAY OF BENGAL, COMORIN AREA,PARTS OF SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA AND SOUTH WEST ARABIAN SEA (.) THE RIDGE LINE AT 200 HPA RUNS ALONG 14.5 DEG.N OVER THE INDIAN REGION (.) MSG OVER ??????/ ** WTPQ20 BABJ 030600 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY DURIAN 0622 (0621) INITIAL TIME 030600 UTC 00HR 13.7N 113.2E 960HPA 40M/S 30KTS 350KM 50KTS 120KM P12HR W 15KM/H P+24HR 13.0N 109.9E 960HPA 40M/S P+48HR 11.9N 106.5E 985HPA 25M/S P+72HR 11.4N 102.4E 1000HPA 15M/S= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 030600 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0621 DURIAN (0621) ANALYSIS PSTN 030600UTC 13.8N 113.3E GOOD MOVE W 06KT PRES 955HPA MXWD 075KT 50KT 60NM 30KT 180NM NORTHWEST 140NM SOUTHEAST FORECAST 24HF 040600UTC 12.4N 110.1E 80NM 70% MOVE WSW 08KT PRES 960HPA MXWD 075KT 48HF 050600UTC 11.5N 105.8E 150NM 70% MOVE WSW 10KT PRES 994HPA MXWD 040KT 72HF 060600UTC 11.8N 101.3E 220NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION = ** WTJP21 RJTD 030600 *** WARNING 030600. WARNING VALID 040600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0621 DURIAN (0621) 955 HPA AT 13.8N 113.3E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 06 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 140 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 040600UTC AT 12.4N 110.1E WITH 80 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 050600UTC AT 11.5N 105.8E WITH 150 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 994 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 060600UTC AT 11.8N 101.3E WITH 220 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 998 HPA. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTKO20 RKSL 030600 *** KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 15 NAME TY 0621 DURIAN ANALYSIS POSITION 030600UTC 13.8N 113.3E MOVEMENT W 6KT PRES/VMAX 955HPA 76KT FORECAST 24HR POSITION 040600UTC 12.6N 110.1E WITHIN 80NM PRES/VMAX 965HPA 68KT 48HR POSITION 050600UTC 11.7N 106.5E WITHIN 135NM PRES/VMAX 994HPA 41KT 72HR POSITION 060600UTC 11.5N 103.5E WITHIN 0NM PRES 1000HPA KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION. ** WTPQ30 RJTD 030600 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING REASONING NO.16 FOR TY 0621 DURIAN (0621) 1.GENERAL COMMENTS REASONING OF PROGNOSIS THIS TIME IS SIMILAR TO PREVIOUS ONE. POSITION FORECAST IS MAINLY BASED ON NWP AND PERSISTENCY. 2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION NOTHING PARTICULAR TO EXPLAIN. 3.MOTION FORECAST POSITION ACCURACY AT 030600 UTC IS GOOD. TY WILL MOVE AT THE SAME SPEED FOR THE NEXT 72 HOURS. TY WILL MOVE WEST-SOUTHWEST FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS THEN MOVE GRADUALLY TO WEST. 4.INTENSITY FORECAST TY WILL KEEP PRESENT INTENSITY FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FI-NUMBER WILL BE 5.0 AFTER 24 HOURS.= ** WTSS20 VHHH 030745 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 030600 UTC, TYPHOON DURIAN (0621) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 955 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE THREE POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (13.7 N) ONE ONE THREE POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (113.3 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR WEST AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 80 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 180 NAUTICAL MILES OVER NORTHWEST QUADRANT, 120 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 250 NAUTICAL MILES OVER NORTHWEST QUADRANT, 180 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 040600 UTC ONE ONE POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (11.9 N) ONE ZERO NINE POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (109.7 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 75 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 050600 UTC ONE ZERO POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (10.3 N) ONE ZERO FOUR POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (104.6 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 060600 UTC DISSIPATED OVER SEA. ** WTSS20 VHHH 030745 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 030600 UTC, TYPHOON DURIAN (0621) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 955 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE THREE POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (13.7 N) ONE ONE THREE POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (113.3 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR WEST AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 80 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 180 NAUTICAL MILES OVER NORTHWEST QUADRANT, 120 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 250 NAUTICAL MILES OVER NORTHWEST QUADRANT, 180 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 040600 UTC ONE ONE POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (11.9 N) ONE ZERO NINE POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (109.7 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 75 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 050600 UTC ONE ZERO POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (10.3 N) ONE ZERO FOUR POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (104.6 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 060600 UTC DISSIPATED OVER SEA. ** WTPN31 PGTW 030900 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 24W (DURIAN) WARNING NR 031 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 030600Z --- NEAR 13.7N 113.2E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 13.7N 113.2E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z --- 13.2N 111.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z --- 12.7N 110.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z --- 11.9N 109.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z --- 11.4N 107.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z --- 11.1N 104.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 030900Z POSITION NEAR 13.6N 112.8E. TYPHOON (TY) 24W (DURIAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 245 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF NHA TRANG, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030600Z IS 30 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 031500Z, 032100Z, 040300Z AND 040900Z.// BT #0001 ** WTPQ20 RJTD 030900 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0621 DURIAN (0621) ANALYSIS PSTN 030900UTC 13.7N 113.0E GOOD MOVE WSW 07KT PRES 955HPA MXWD 075KT 50KT 60NM 30KT 180NM NORTHWEST 140NM SOUTHEAST FORECAST 24HF 040900UTC 12.0N 109.6E 80NM 70% MOVE WSW 09KT PRES 960HPA MXWD 075KT 45HF 050600UTC 11.5N 105.8E 150NM 70% MOVE WSW 10KT PRES 994HPA MXWD 040KT 69HF 060600UTC 11.8N 101.3E 220NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION = ** WTJP31 RJTD 030900 *** WARNING 030900. WARNING VALID 040900. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0621 DURIAN (0621) 955 HPA AT 13.7N 113.0E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WESTSOUTHWEST 07 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 140 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 040900UTC AT 12.0N 109.6E WITH 80 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTSS20 VHHH 031045 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 030900 UTC, TYPHOON DURIAN (0621) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 955 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE THREE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (13.6 N) ONE ONE THREE POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (113.0 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR WEST AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 80 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 180 NAUTICAL MILES OVER NORTHWEST QUADRANT, 120 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 250 NAUTICAL MILES OVER NORTHWEST QUADRANT, 180 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 040900 UTC ONE ONE POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (11.7 N) ONE ZERO NINE POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (109.1 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 70 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 050900 UTC ONE ZERO POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (10.2 N) ONE ZERO FOUR POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (104.2 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 060900 UTC DISSIPATED OVER SEA. ** WTSS20 VHHH 031045 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 030900 UTC, TYPHOON DURIAN (0621) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 955 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE THREE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (13.6 N) ONE ONE THREE POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (113.0 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR WEST AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 80 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 180 NAUTICAL MILES OVER NORTHWEST QUADRANT, 120 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 250 NAUTICAL MILES OVER NORTHWEST QUADRANT, 180 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 040900 UTC ONE ONE POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (11.7 N) ONE ZERO NINE POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (109.1 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 70 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 050900 UTC ONE ZERO POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (10.2 N) ONE ZERO FOUR POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (104.2 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 060900 UTC DISSIPATED OVER SEA.