** WTSR20 WSSS 021800 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTIO24 FMEE 030005 *** SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 03/12/2006 AT 0000 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 023/02 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SUNDAY 03/12/2006 AT 0000 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 2 (EX-ANITA) 1002 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 18.1S / 41.9E (EIGHTEEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY ONE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 6 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25KT AND MODERATE TO ROUFG SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, LOCALLY REACHING 30KT IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE .. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/12/03 AT 12 UTC: 18.9S / 41.6E, MAX WIND = 20 KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. 24H, VALID 2006/12/04 AT 00 UTC: 19.7S / 41.2E, MAX WIND = 20 KT, DISSIPATING. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE ASSOCIATED CONVECTIVE (THUNDERY) ACTIVITY IS VERY WEAK , THE SYSTEME IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE GRADUALLY. . ** WTIO21 FMEE 030005 *** METEO-FRANCE/CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 03/12/2006 A 0000 UTC. NUMERO: 023/02 (SUD-OUEST DE L'OCEAN INDIEN) VITESSES DU VENT MOYEN SUR 10 MINUTES EN NOEUDS (KT) (LES RAFALES SUR MER PEUVENT EXCEDER D'ENVIRON 40% LA VALEUR DU VENT MOYEN). PRESSION MINIMALE AU NIVEAU DE LA MER EN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (VALEUR INDICATIVE). AVERTISSEMENT DEBUT DE VALIDITE: DIMANCHE 03/12/2006 A 0000 UTC. PHENOMENE: PERTURBATION TROPICALE 2 (EX-ANITA) 1002 HPA POSITION: DANS UN RAYON DE 30 MN AUTOUR DU POINT 18.1S / 41.9E (DIX-HUIT DEGRES UN SUD ET QUARANTE ET UN DEGRES NEUF EST) A 0000 UTC DEPLACEMENT: SUD-SUD-OUEST 6 KT ZONES MENACEES: TEMPS A GRAINS DANS UN RAYON DE 60 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE. CIRCULATION DEPRESSIONNAIRE 20/25KT ET MER AGITEE A FORTE DANS UN RAYON DE 60 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, ATTEIGNANT LOCALEMENT 30 KT DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD. FORTES RAFALES SOUS GRAINS. PREVISIONS: POSITION ET INTENSITE PREVUES: A 12H POUR LE 03/12/2006 A 12 UTC: 18.9S / 41.6E, VENT MAX = 20 KT, PERTURB. TROPICALE. A 24H POUR LE 04/12/2006 A 00 UTC: 19.7S / 41.2E, VENT MAX = 20 KT, SE DISSIPANT. INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES: L'ACTIVITE CONVECTIVE (ORAGEUSE) EST TRES FAIBLE, LE SYSTEME EST PREVU SE DISSIPER PROGRESSIVEMENT. . ** WTIO30 FMEE 030008 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 23/2/20062007 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 2 (EX-ANITA) 2.A POSITION 2006/12/03 AT 0000 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 18.1S / 41.9E (EIGHTEEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY ONE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 1.5/2.0 /W 0.5/12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1010 HPA / 500 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/12/03 12 UTC: 18.9S/41.6E, MAX WIND=020KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. 24H: 2006/12/04 00 UTC: 19.7S/41.2E, MAX WIND=020KT, DISSIPATING. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE ASSOCIATED CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IS VERY WEAK , THE SYSTEME IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE GRADUALLY WITHIN A VERY UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT.= ** WTIO30 FMEE 030008 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 23/2/20062007 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 2 (EX-ANITA) 2.A POSITION 2006/12/03 AT 0000 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 18.1S / 41.9E (EIGHTEEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY ONE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 1.5/2.0 /W 0.5/12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1010 HPA / 500 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/12/03 12 UTC: 18.9S/41.6E, MAX WIND=020KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. 24H: 2006/12/04 00 UTC: 19.7S/41.2E, MAX WIND=020KT, DISSIPATING. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE ASSOCIATED CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IS VERY WEAK , THE SYSTEME IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE GRADUALLY WITHIN A VERY UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT. . ** WTPQ20 BABJ 030000 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY DURIAN 0622 (0621) INITIAL TIME 030000 UTC 00HR 13.8N 114.0E 960HPA 40M/S 30KTS 350KM 50KTS 120KM P12HR W 15KM/H P+24HR 13.2N 111.2E 960HPA 40M/S P+48HR 11.7N 108.2E 980HPA 30M/S P+72HR 10.6N 104.7E 995HPA 18M/S= ** WTJP21 RJTD 030000 *** WARNING 030000. WARNING VALID 040000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0621 DURIAN (0621) 955 HPA AT 13.9N 114.0E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 06 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 140 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 040000UTC AT 12.9N 110.5E WITH 80 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 050000UTC AT 11.6N 106.7E WITH 150 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 060000UTC AT 10.9N 101.8E WITH 220 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 996 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 030000 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0621 DURIAN (0621) ANALYSIS PSTN 030000UTC 13.9N 114.0E GOOD MOVE W 06KT PRES 955HPA MXWD 075KT 50KT 60NM 30KT 180NM NORTHWEST 140NM SOUTHEAST FORECAST 24HF 040000UTC 12.9N 110.5E 80NM 70% MOVE WSW 08KT PRES 960HPA MXWD 075KT 48HF 050000UTC 11.6N 106.7E 150NM 70% MOVE WSW 09KT PRES 980HPA MXWD 055KT 72HF 060000UTC 10.9N 101.8E 220NM 70% MOVE W 12KT PRES 996HPA MXWD 035KT = ** WTPQ30 RJTD 030000 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING REASONING NO.15 FOR TY 0621 DURIAN (0621) 1.GENERAL COMMENTS REASONING OF PROGNOSIS THIS TIME IS SIMILAR TO PREVIOUS ONE. POSITION FORECAST IS MAINLY BASED ON NWP AND PERSISTENCY. 2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION NOTHING PARTICULAR TO EXPLAIN. 3.MOTION FORECAST POSITION ACCURACY AT 030000 UTC IS GOOD. TY WILL MOVE AT THE SAME SPEED FOR THE NEXT 72 HOURS. TY WILL MOVE WEST-SOUTHWEST FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS THEN MOVE GRADUALLY TO WEST. 4.INTENSITY FORECAST TY WILL KEEP PRESENT INTENSITY FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FI-NUMBER WILL BE 5.0 AFTER 24 HOURS.= ** WTPN31 PGTW 030300 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 24W (DURIAN) WARNING NR 030 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 030000Z --- NEAR 13.8N 113.9E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 13.8N 113.9E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z --- 13.5N 112.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z --- 12.9N 110.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z --- 12.3N 109.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z --- 11.8N 108.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z --- 11.2N 105.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 030300Z POSITION NEAR 13.7N 113.5E. TYPHOON (TY) 24W (DURIAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 290 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF NHA TRANG, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030000Z IS 30 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 030900Z, 031500Z, 032100Z AND 040300Z.// ** WTSS20 VHHH 030145 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 030000 UTC, TYPHOON DURIAN (0621) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 955 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE THREE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (13.8 N) ONE ONE FOUR POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (114.0 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST OR WEST-SOUTHWEST AT ABOUT 9 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 80 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 210 NAUTICAL MILES OVER NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 150 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 45 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 270 NAUTICAL MILES OVER NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 210 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 040000 UTC ONE TWO POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (12.0 N) ONE ONE ZERO POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (110.9 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 75 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 050000 UTC ONE ZERO POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (10.2 N) ONE ZERO SIX POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (106.5 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 060000 UTC ONE ZERO POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (10.0 N) ONE ZERO TWO POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (102.5 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS. ** WTSS20 VHHH 030145 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 030000 UTC, TYPHOON DURIAN (0621) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 955 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE THREE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (13.8 N) ONE ONE FOUR POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (114.0 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST OR WEST-SOUTHWEST AT ABOUT 9 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 80 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 210 NAUTICAL MILES OVER NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 150 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 45 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 270 NAUTICAL MILES OVER NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 210 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 040000 UTC ONE TWO POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (12.0 N) ONE ONE ZERO POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (110.9 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 75 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 050000 UTC ONE ZERO POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (10.2 N) ONE ZERO SIX POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (106.5 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 060000 UTC ONE ZERO POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (10.0 N) ONE ZERO TWO POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (102.5 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS. ** WTPQ20 RJTD 030300 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0621 DURIAN (0621) ANALYSIS PSTN 030300UTC 13.9N 113.7E GOOD MOVE W 06KT PRES 955HPA MXWD 075KT 50KT 60NM 30KT 180NM NORTHWEST 140NM SOUTHEAST FORECAST 24HF 040300UTC 12.7N 110.2E 80NM 70% MOVE WSW 09KT PRES 960HPA MXWD 075KT 45HF 050000UTC 11.6N 106.7E 150NM 70% MOVE WSW 09KT PRES 980HPA MXWD 055KT 69HF 060000UTC 10.9N 101.8E 220NM 70% MOVE W 12KT PRES 996HPA MXWD 035KT = ** WTJP31 RJTD 030300 *** WARNING 030300. WARNING VALID 040300. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0621 DURIAN (0621) 955 HPA AT 13.9N 113.7E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 06 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 140 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 040300UTC AT 12.7N 110.2E WITH 80 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTSS20 VHHH 030445 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 030300 UTC, TYPHOON DURIAN (0621) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 955 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE THREE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (13.8 N) ONE ONE THREE POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (113.7 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST OR WEST-SOUTHWEST AT ABOUT 8 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 80 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 210 NAUTICAL MILES OVER NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 150 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 45 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 270 NAUTICAL MILES OVER NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 210 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 040300 UTC ONE TWO POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (12.1 N) ONE ONE ZERO POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (110.8 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 75 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 050300 UTC ONE ZERO POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (10.2 N) ONE ZERO FIVE POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (105.8 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 060300 UTC ONE ZERO POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (10.0 N) ONE ZERO TWO POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (102.1 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS. ** WTSS20 VHHH 030445 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 030300 UTC, TYPHOON DURIAN (0621) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 955 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE THREE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (13.8 N) ONE ONE THREE POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (113.7 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST OR WEST-SOUTHWEST AT ABOUT 8 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 80 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 210 NAUTICAL MILES OVER NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 150 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 45 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 270 NAUTICAL MILES OVER NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 210 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 040300 UTC ONE TWO POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (12.1 N) ONE ONE ZERO POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (110.8 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 75 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 050300 UTC ONE ZERO POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (10.2 N) ONE ZERO FIVE POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (105.8 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 060300 UTC ONE ZERO POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (10.0 N) ONE ZERO TWO POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (102.1 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS.