** WTIO21 FMEE 021802 *** METEO-FRANCE/CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 02/12/2006 A 1800 UTC. NUMERO: 022/02 (SUD-OUEST DE L'OCEAN INDIEN) VITESSES DU VENT MOYEN SUR 10 MINUTES EN NOEUDS (KT) (LES RAFALES SUR MER PEUVENT EXCEDER D'ENVIRON 40% LA VALEUR DU VENT MOYEN). PRESSION MINIMALE AU NIVEAU DE LA MER EN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (VALEUR INDICATIVE). AVERTISSEMENT DEBUT DE VALIDITE: SAMEDI 02/12/2006 A 1800 UTC. PHENOMENE: PERTURBATION TROPICALE 2 (EX-ANITA) 1000 HPA POSITION: DANS UN RAYON DE 30 MN AUTOUR DU POINT 17.8S / 41.8E (DIX-SEPT DEGRES HUIT SUD ET QUARANTE ET UN DEGRES HUIT EST) A 1800 UTC DEPLACEMENT: SUD-OUEST 7 KT ZONES MENACEES: TEMPS A GRAINS DANS UN RAYON DE 60 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 150 MN DANS LE SECTEUR SUD-EST. CIRCULATION DEPRESSIONNAIRE 20/25KT ET MER AGITEE A FORTE DANS UN RAYON DE 80 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, ATTEIGNANT LOCALEMENT 30 KT DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD. FORTES RAFALES SOUS GRAINS. PREVISIONS: POSITION ET INTENSITE PREVUES: A 12H POUR LE 03/12/2006 A 06 UTC: 18.5S / 41.3E, VENT MAX = 20 KT, PERTURB. TROPICALE. A 24H POUR LE 03/12/2006 A 18 UTC: 19.2S / 41.0E, VENT MAX = 20 KT, PERTURB. TROPICALE. INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES: L'ACTIVITE CONVECTIVE (ORAGEUSE) ASSOCIEE REDEVIENT TRES FLUCTUANTE , LE SYSTEME EST PREVU SE DISSIPER PROGRESSIVEMENT. . ** WTIO24 FMEE 021802 *** SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 02/12/2006 AT 1800 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 022/02 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SATURDAY 02/12/2006 AT 1800 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 2 (EX-ANITA) 1000 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 17.8S / 41.8E (SEVENTEEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY ONE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 7 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SECTOR. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25KT AND MODERATE TO ROUFG SEAS WITHIN 80 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, LOCALLY REACHING 30KT IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE .. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/12/03 AT 06 UTC: 18.5S / 41.3E, MAX WIND = 20 KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. 24H, VALID 2006/12/03 AT 18 UTC: 19.2S / 41.0E, MAX WIND = 20 KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE ASSOCIATED CONVECTIVE (THUNDERY) ACTIVITY BECOMES VERY FLUCTUATING AGAIN , THE SYSTEME IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE GRADUALLY. . ** WTIO30 FMEE 021807 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 22/2/20062007 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 2 (EX-ANITA) 2.A POSITION 2006/12/02 AT 1800 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 17.8S / 41.8E (SEVENTEEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY ONE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 1.5/2.0 /W 1.0/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1000 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1010 HPA / 600 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/12/03 06 UTC: 18.5S/41.3E, MAX WIND=020KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. 24H: 2006/12/03 18 UTC: 19.2S/41.0E, MAX WIND=020KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. 36H: 2006/12/04 06 UTC: 19.9S/40.5E, MAX WIND=015KT, DISSIPATING. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=1.5 AND CI=2.0- THE ASSOCIATED CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY BECOMES VERY FLUCTUATING AGAIN , THE SYSTEME IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE GRADUALLY WITHIN A VERY UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT.= ** WTIO30 FMEE 021807 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 22/2/20062007 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 2 (EX-ANITA) 2.A POSITION 2006/12/02 AT 1800 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 17.8S / 41.8E (SEVENTEEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY ONE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 1.5/2.0 /W 1.0/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1000 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1010 HPA / 600 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/12/03 06 UTC: 18.5S/41.3E, MAX WIND=020KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. 24H: 2006/12/03 18 UTC: 19.2S/41.0E, MAX WIND=020KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. 36H: 2006/12/04 06 UTC: 19.9S/40.5E, MAX WIND=015KT, DISSIPATING. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=1.5 AND CI=2.0- THE ASSOCIATED CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY BECOMES VERY FLUCTUATING AGAIN , THE SYSTEME IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE GRADUALLY WITHIN A VERY UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT. . ** WTJP21 RJTD 021800 *** WARNING 021800. WARNING VALID 031800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0621 DURIAN (0621) 960 HPA AT 13.9N 114.7E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 08 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 160 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 031800UTC AT 13.3N 111.5E WITH 80 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 041800UTC AT 11.7N 107.9E WITH 150 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 051800UTC AT 11.1N 103.2E WITH 220 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 994 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 021800 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0621 DURIAN (0621) ANALYSIS PSTN 021800UTC 13.9N 114.7E FAIR MOVE W 08KT PRES 960HPA MXWD 075KT 50KT 60NM 30KT 180NM NORTH 160NM SOUTH FORECAST 24HF 031800UTC 13.3N 111.5E 80NM 70% MOVE WSW 07KT PRES 960HPA MXWD 075KT 48HF 041800UTC 11.7N 107.9E 150NM 70% MOVE WSW 09KT PRES 975HPA MXWD 060KT 72HF 051800UTC 11.1N 103.2E 220NM 70% MOVE W 11KT PRES 994HPA MXWD 040KT = ** WTPQ20 BABJ 021800 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY DURIAN 0622 (0621) INITIAL TIME 021800 UTC 00HR 14.0N 114.6E 960HPA 40M/S 30KTS 350KM 50KTS 120KM P12HR W 15KM/H P+24HR 13.1N 111.3E 960HPA 40M/S P+48HR 11.7N 108.3E 980HPA 30M/S P+72HR 10.8N 105.0E 990HPA 20M/S= ** WTKO20 RKSL 021800 *** KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 14 NAME TY 0621 DURIAN ANALYSIS POSITION 021800UTC 13.9N 114.7E MOVEMENT W 8KT PRES/VMAX 960HPA 74KT FORECAST 24HR POSITION 031800UTC 13.4N 111.8E WITHIN 80NM PRES/VMAX 965HPA 70KT 48HR POSITION 041800UTC 12.3N 108.6E WITHIN 135NM PRES/VMAX 980HPA 58KT 72HR POSITION 051800UTC 11.3N 105.5E WITHIN 215NM PRES/VMAX 995HPA 47KT KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION. ** WTSS20 VHHH 021945 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 021800 UTC, TYPHOON DURIAN (0621) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 965 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE THREE POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (13.9 N) ONE ONE FOUR POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (114.6 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST OR WEST-SOUTHWEST AT ABOUT 9 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 70 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 240 NAUTICAL MILES OVER NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 180 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 45 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 300 NAUTICAL MILES OVER NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 240 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 031800 UTC ONE TWO POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (12.6 N) ONE ONE ONE POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (111.4 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 041800 UTC ONE ZERO POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (10.3 N) ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (107.4 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 051800 UTC NINE POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (9.2 N) ONE ZERO TWO POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (102.9 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS. ** WTSS20 VHHH 021945 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 021800 UTC, TYPHOON DURIAN (0621) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 965 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE THREE POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (13.9 N) ONE ONE FOUR POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (114.6 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST OR WEST-SOUTHWEST AT ABOUT 9 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 70 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 240 NAUTICAL MILES OVER NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 180 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 45 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 300 NAUTICAL MILES OVER NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 240 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 031800 UTC ONE TWO POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (12.6 N) ONE ONE ONE POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (111.4 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 041800 UTC ONE ZERO POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (10.3 N) ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (107.4 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 051800 UTC NINE POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (9.2 N) ONE ZERO TWO POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (102.9 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS. ** WTPN31 PGTW 022100 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 24W (DURIAN) WARNING NR 029 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 021800Z --- NEAR 13.9N 114.7E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 13.9N 114.7E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z --- 13.8N 113.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z --- 13.4N 111.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z --- 12.8N 110.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z --- 12.3N 109.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z --- 11.4N 106.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 022100Z POSITION NEAR 13.9N 114.3E. TYPHOON (TY) 24W (DURIAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 335 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF NHA TRANG, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE SYSTEM HAS IN- TENSIFIED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS DUE TO INCREASED POLEWARD OUTFLOW. AS THE MID-LEVEL TROUGHING TO THE NORTH MOVES FARTHER EAST OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS, OUTFLOW WILL DECREASE AND TY 24W WILL BEGIN TO SLOWLY WEAKEN AS IT TRACKS WESTWARD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 021800Z IS 24 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 030300Z, 030900Z, 031500Z AND 032100Z.// ** WTJP31 RJTD 022100 *** WARNING 022100. WARNING VALID 032100. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0621 DURIAN (0621) 955 HPA AT 13.9N 114.4E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 07 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 160 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 032100UTC AT 13.1N 111.2E WITH 80 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 955 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 022100 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0621 DURIAN (0621) ANALYSIS PSTN 022100UTC 13.9N 114.4E GOOD MOVE W 07KT PRES 955HPA MXWD 075KT 50KT 60NM 30KT 180NM NORTH 160NM SOUTH FORECAST 24HF 032100UTC 13.1N 111.2E 80NM 70% MOVE WSW 08KT PRES 955HPA MXWD 075KT 45HF 041800UTC 11.7N 107.9E 150NM 70% MOVE WSW 09KT PRES 975HPA MXWD 060KT 69HF 051800UTC 11.1N 103.2E 220NM 70% MOVE W 11KT PRES 994HPA MXWD 040KT = ** WTPH20 RPMM 021800 *** TTT TYPHOON WARNING 20 (FINAL) AT 1800 DECEMBER 02 TYPHOON (DURIAN)(0621) WAS LOCATED BY SATELLITE AND SATELLITE AND SURFACE DATA AT ONE THREE POINT NINE NORTH ONE ONE FOUR POINT SIX EAST FORECAST TO MOVE WEST AT ZERO FOUR METERS PER SECOND ROUGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN THREE ZERO ZERO KILOMETERS RADIUS NORTH SEMI-CIRCLE TWO FIVE ZERO KILOMETERS RADIUS ELSE- WHERE ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE NINE SIX THREE HECTO- PASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS FOUR ONE METERS PER SECOND NEAR CENTER THREE THREE METERS PER SECOND WITHIN ONE TWO FIVE KILOMETERS RADIUS ONE THREE METERS PER SECOND WITHIN THREE ZERO ZERO KILOMETERS RADIUS NORTH SEMI-CIRCLE TWO FIVE ZERO KILOMETERS RADIUS ELSEWHERE FORECAST POSITIONS AT 031800 ONE THREE POINT THREE NORTH ONE ONE ONE POINT ONE EAST WITH THIS DEVELOPMENT THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS WEATHER DISTURBANCE PD WEATHER MANILA= ** WTSS20 VHHH 022245 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 022100 UTC, TYPHOON DURIAN (0621) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE THREE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (13.8 N) ONE ONE FOUR POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (114.3 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST OR WEST-SOUTHWEST AT ABOUT 9 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 75 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 240 NAUTICAL MILES OVER NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 180 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 45 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 300 NAUTICAL MILES OVER NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 240 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 032100 UTC ONE TWO POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (12.4 N) ONE ONE ONE POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (111.1 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 70 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 042100 UTC ONE ZERO POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (10.4 N) ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (107.2 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 052100 UTC ONE ZERO POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (10.3 N) ONE ZERO TWO POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (102.4 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS. ** WTSS20 VHHH 022245 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 022100 UTC, TYPHOON DURIAN (0621) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE THREE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (13.8 N) ONE ONE FOUR POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (114.3 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST OR WEST-SOUTHWEST AT ABOUT 9 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 75 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 240 NAUTICAL MILES OVER NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 180 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 45 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 300 NAUTICAL MILES OVER NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 240 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 032100 UTC ONE TWO POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (12.4 N) ONE ONE ONE POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (111.1 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 70 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 042100 UTC ONE ZERO POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (10.4 N) ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (107.2 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 052100 UTC ONE ZERO POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (10.3 N) ONE ZERO TWO POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (102.4 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS.