** WTSR20 WSSS 020600 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 021200 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY DURIAN 0622 (0621) INITIAL TIME 021200 UTC 00HR 14.0N 115.6E 975HPA 33M/S 30KTS 300KM 50KTS 100KM P12HR W 15KM/H P+24HR 13.7N 112.6E 975HPA 33M/S P+48HR 12.9N 109.6E 985HPA 27M/S P+72HR 12.1N 106.0E 1000HPA 15M/S= ** WTIO30 FMEE 021215 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 21/2/20062007 1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 2 (EX-ANITA) 2.A POSITION 2006/12/02 AT 1200 UTC : 17.0S / 42.3E (SEVENTEEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY TWO DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.5 /D 0.5/6 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 998 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 070 SE: 090 SO: 090 NO: 050 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1010 HPA / 1000 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/12/03 00 UTC: 17.7S/42.1E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2006/12/03 12 UTC: 18.5S/42.0E, MAX WIND=025KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. 36H: 2006/12/04 00 UTC: 19.1S/41.8E DISSIPATING. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: CONVECTION HAS REBUILT CLOSE TO THE CENTRE OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS. HOWEVER WESTERLY WINDSHEAR MAINTAINS, AND THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE GRADUALLY WITHIN A VERY UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT.= ** WTIO30 FMEE 021215 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 21/2/20062007 1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 2 (EX-ANITA) 2.A POSITION 2006/12/02 AT 1200 UTC : 17.0S / 42.3E (SEVENTEEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY TWO DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.5 /D 0.5/6 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 998 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 070 SE: 090 SO: 090 NO: 050 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1010 HPA / 1000 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/12/03 00 UTC: 17.7S/42.1E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2006/12/03 12 UTC: 18.5S/42.0E, MAX WIND=025KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. 36H: 2006/12/04 00 UTC: 19.1S/41.8E DISSIPATING. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: CONVECTION HAS REBUILT CLOSE TO THE CENTRE OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS. HOWEVER WESTERLY WINDSHEAR MAINTAINS, AND THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE GRADUALLY WITHIN A VERY UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT.= ** WTIO21 FMEE 021213 *** METEO-FRANCE/CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 02/12/2006 A 1200 UTC. NUMERO: 021/02 (SUD-OUEST DE L'OCEAN INDIEN) VITESSES DU VENT MOYEN SUR 10 MINUTES EN NOEUDS (KT) (LES RAFALES SUR MER PEUVENT EXCEDER D'ENVIRON 40% LA VALEUR DU VENT MOYEN). PRESSION MINIMALE AU NIVEAU DE LA MER EN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (VALEUR INDICATIVE). AVIS DE GRAND FRAIS DEBUT DE VALIDITE: SAMEDI 02/12/2006 A 1200 UTC. PHENOMENE: DEPRESSION TROPICALE 2 (EX-ANITA) 998 HPA POSITION: 17.0S / 42.3E (DIX-SEPT DEGRES ZERO SUD ET QUARANTE-DEUX DEGRES TROIS EST) A 1200 UTC DEPLACEMENT: SUD 4 KT ZONES MENACEES: TEMPS A GRAINS DANS UN RAYON DE 60 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 1550 MN DANS LE SECTEUR SUD-EST. GRAND FRAIS 30 KT ET MER FORTE DANS UN RAYON DE 30 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 60 MN DU CENTRE DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD. FORTES RAFALES SOUS GRAINS. PREVISIONS: POSITION ET INTENSITE PREVUES: A 12H POUR LE 03/12/2006 A 00 UTC: 17.7S / 42.1E, VENT MAX = 30 KT, DEPR. TROPICALE. A 24H POUR LE 03/12/2006 A 12 UTC: 18.5S / 42.0E, VENT MAX = 25 KT, PERTURB. TROPICALE. INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES: L'ACTIVITE CONVECTIVE (ORAGEUSE) A REPRIS PRES DU CENTRE AU COURS DES 6 DERNIERES HEURES. TOUTEFOIS LE SYSTEME SUBIT TOUJOURS UN VENT D'ALTITUDE D'OUEST DEFAVORABLE ET EST PREVU SE DISSIPER DANS LES 24 A 36 HEURES. . ** WTIO24 FMEE 021213 *** SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 02/12/2006 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 021/02 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). NEAR GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SATURDAY 02/12/2006 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 2 (EX-ANITA) 998 HPA POSITION: 17.0S / 42.3E (SEVENTEEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY TWO DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH 4 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SECTOR. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 40 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE .. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/12/03 AT 00 UTC: 17.7S / 42.1E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H, VALID 2006/12/03 AT 12 UTC: 18.5S / 42.0E, MAX WIND = 25 KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE ASSOCIATED CONVECTIVE (THUNDERY) ACTIVITYHAS REBUILT NEAR THE CENTRE OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS. HOWEVER THE SYSTEM STILL UNDERGOES UNFAVORABLE NORTHWESTERLY UPPER LEVEL WIND AND IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. . ** WTIO30 FMEE 021215 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 21/2/20062007 1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 2 (EX-ANITA) 2.A POSITION 2006/12/02 AT 1200 UTC : 17.0S / 42.3E (SEVENTEEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY TWO DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.5 /D 0.5/6 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 998 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 070 SE: 090 SO: 090 NO: 050 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1010 HPA / 1000 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/12/03 00 UTC: 17.7S/42.1E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2006/12/03 12 UTC: 18.5S/42.0E, MAX WIND=025KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. 36H: 2006/12/04 00 UTC: 19.1S/41.8E DISSIPATING. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: CONVECTION HAS REBUILT CLOSE TO THE CENTRE OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS. HOWEVER WESTERLY WINDSHEAR MAINTAINS, AND THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE GRADUALLY WITHIN A VERY UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT. . ** WTJP21 RJTD 021200 *** WARNING 021200. WARNING VALID 031200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0621 DURIAN (0621) 965 HPA AT 13.9N 115.6E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 08 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 55 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 160 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 031200UTC AT 13.7N 112.4E WITH 80 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 041200UTC AT 12.6N 109.8E WITH 150 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 051200UTC AT 11.4N 104.3E WITH 220 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 021200 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0621 DURIAN (0621) ANALYSIS PSTN 021200UTC 13.9N 115.6E FAIR MOVE W 08KT PRES 965HPA MXWD 070KT 50KT 55NM 30KT 180NM NORTH 160NM SOUTH FORECAST 24HF 031200UTC 13.7N 112.4E 80NM 70% MOVE W 07KT PRES 960HPA MXWD 075KT 48HF 041200UTC 12.6N 109.8E 150NM 70% MOVE WSW 06KT PRES 960HPA MXWD 075KT 72HF 051200UTC 11.4N 104.3E 220NM 70% MOVE WSW 13KT PRES 990HPA MXWD 045KT = ** WTSS20 VHHH 021345 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 021200 UTC, TYPHOON DURIAN (0621) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE THREE POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (13.7 N) ONE ONE FIVE POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (115.6 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST OR WEST-SOUTHWEST AT ABOUT 8 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 65 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 180 NAUTICAL MILES OVER NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 120 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 240 NAUTICAL MILES OVER NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 180 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 031200 UTC ONE TWO POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (12.6 N) ONE ONE TWO POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (112.5 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 041200 UTC ONE ZERO POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (10.3 N) ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (107.9 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 051200 UTC NINE POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (9.2 N) ONE ZERO THREE POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (103.4 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS. ** WTSS20 VHHH 021345 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 021200 UTC, TYPHOON DURIAN (0621) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE THREE POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (13.7 N) ONE ONE FIVE POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (115.6 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST OR WEST-SOUTHWEST AT ABOUT 8 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 65 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 180 NAUTICAL MILES OVER NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 120 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 240 NAUTICAL MILES OVER NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 180 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 031200 UTC ONE TWO POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (12.6 N) ONE ONE TWO POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (112.5 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 041200 UTC ONE ZERO POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (10.3 N) ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (107.9 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 051200 UTC NINE POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (9.2 N) ONE ZERO THREE POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (103.4 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS. ** WTPH20 RPMM 021200 *** TTT TYPHOON WARNING 19 AT 1200 DECEMBER 02 TYPHOON (DURIAN)(0621)WS LOCATED BY SATELLITE AND SURFACE DATA AT ONE THREE POINT NINE NORTH ONE ONE FIVE POINT SEVEN EAST FORECAST TO MOVE WEST AT ZERO FOUR METERS PER SECOND ROUGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN THREE ZERO ZERO KILOMETERS RADIUS NORTH SEMI-CIRCLE TWO FIVE ZERO KILOMETERS RADIUS ELSEWHERE ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE NINE SIX SEVEN HECTOPASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS THREE NINE METERS PER SECOND NEAR CENTER TWO FIVE METERS PER SECOND WITHIN ONE TWO FIVE KILOMETERS RADIUS ONE THREE METERS PER SECOND WITHIN THREE ZERO ZERO KILOMETERS RADIUS NORTH SEMI-CIRCLE TWO FIVE ZERO KILOMETERS RADIUS ELSEWHERE FORECAST POSITIONS AT 031200 ONE THREE POINT FIVE NORTH ONE ONE TWO POINT THREE EAST ALL SHIPS WITHIN TYPHOON AREA ARE REQUESTED TO SEND THREE HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS TO WEATHER MANILA PD WEATHER MANILA= ** WTPH RPLL 021200 *** TTT TYPHOON WARNING 19 AT 1200 DECEMBER 02 TYPHOON (DURIAN)(0621) WAS LOCATED BY SATELLITE AND SURFACE DATA AT 13.9 NORTH 115.7 EAST FORECAST TO MOVE WEST AT 04 MPS ROUGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS WIHTIN 300 KMS RADIUS NORTH SEMI- CIRCLE 250 KMS RADIUS ELSEWHERE ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE 967 HECTO- PASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS 39 MPS NEAR CENTER 25 MPS WITHIN 125 KMS RADIUS 13 MPS WITHIN 300 KMS RADIUS NORTH SEMI-CIRCLE 250 KMS RADIUS ELSEWHERE FORECAST POSITION AT 031200 13.5 NORTH 112.3 EAST ALL SHIPS WITHIN TYPHOON AREA ARE REQUESTED TO SEND THREE HRLY WEATHER REPORTS TO WEATHER MANILA PD WEATHER MANILA= ** WTJP31 RJTD 021500 *** WARNING 021500. WARNING VALID 031500. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0621 DURIAN (0621) 965 HPA AT 14.0N 115.2E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 08 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 55 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 160 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 031500UTC AT 13.6N 112.1E WITH 80 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 021500 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0621 DURIAN (0621) ANALYSIS PSTN 021500UTC 14.0N 115.2E FAIR MOVE W 08KT PRES 965HPA MXWD 070KT 50KT 55NM 30KT 180NM NORTH 160NM SOUTH FORECAST 24HF 031500UTC 13.6N 112.1E 80NM 70% MOVE W 07KT PRES 960HPA MXWD 075KT 45HF 041200UTC 12.6N 109.8E 150NM 70% MOVE WSW 06KT PRES 960HPA MXWD 075KT 69HF 051200UTC 11.4N 104.3E 220NM 70% MOVE WSW 13KT PRES 990HPA MXWD 045KT = ** WTSS20 VHHH 021645 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 021500 UTC, TYPHOON DURIAN (0621) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE THREE POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (13.9 N) ONE ONE FIVE POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (115.2 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST OR WEST-SOUTHWEST AT ABOUT 9 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 65 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 210 NAUTICAL MILES OVER NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 120 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 270 NAUTICAL MILES OVER NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 210 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 031500 UTC ONE TWO POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (12.7 N) ONE ONE ONE POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (111.9 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 041500 UTC ONE ZERO POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (10.6 N) ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (107.9 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 051500 UTC NINE POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (9.2 N) ONE ZERO THREE POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (103.4 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS. ** WTSS20 VHHH 021645 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 021500 UTC, TYPHOON DURIAN (0621) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE THREE POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (13.9 N) ONE ONE FIVE POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (115.2 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST OR WEST-SOUTHWEST AT ABOUT 9 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 65 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 210 NAUTICAL MILES OVER NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 120 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 270 NAUTICAL MILES OVER NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 210 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 031500 UTC ONE TWO POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (12.7 N) ONE ONE ONE POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (111.9 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 041500 UTC ONE ZERO POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (10.6 N) ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (107.9 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 051500 UTC NINE POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (9.2 N) ONE ZERO THREE POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (103.4 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.