** WTSR20 WSSS 301800 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTIO22 FMEE 010017 *** SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 01/12/2006 AT 0000 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 015/02 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: FRIDAY 01/12/2006 AT 0000 UTC. PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 2 (ANITA) 995 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 14.4S / 42.6E (FOURTEEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY TWO DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-SOUTH-EAST 8 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. GALE FORCE WINDS 35KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 20NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, AND IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE WITHIN 90 NM FROM THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/12/01 AT 12 UTC: 16.1S / 42.7E, MAX WIND = 35 KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM. 24H, VALID 2006/12/02 AT 00 UTC: 17.9S / 43.0E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. OTHER INFORMATIONS: JUST NAMED ANITA AT THE STAGHE OF TROPICAL STORM, THE SYSTEM SHOULD HAVE REACHED ITS MAXIMUM INTENSITY, WITH A CONVECTIVE (THUDERY) ACTIVITY WHICH AS GATHERED ABOVE THE LOW LEVEL CENTER. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON TRACKING GLOBALLY SOUTHSOUTHEASTWARDS AND TO WEAKEN DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.= ** WTIO22 FMEE 010017 *** SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 01/12/2006 AT 0000 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 015/02 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: FRIDAY 01/12/2006 AT 0000 UTC. PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 2 (ANITA) 995 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 14.4S / 42.6E (FOURTEEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY TWO DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-SOUTH-EAST 8 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. GALE FORCE WINDS 35KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 20NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, AND IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE WITHIN 90 NM FROM THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/12/01 AT 12 UTC: 16.1S / 42.7E, MAX WIND = 35 KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM. 24H, VALID 2006/12/02 AT 00 UTC: 17.9S / 43.0E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. OTHER INFORMATIONS: JUST NAMED ANITA AT THE STAGHE OF TROPICAL STORM, THE SYSTEM SHOULD HAVE REACHED ITS MAXIMUM INTENSITY, WITH A CONVECTIVE (THUDERY) ACTIVITY WHICH AS GATHERED ABOVE THE LOW LEVEL CENTER. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON TRACKING GLOBALLY SOUTHSOUTHEASTWARDS AND TO WEAKEN DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. . ** WTIO21 FMEE 010017 *** METEO-FRANCE/CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 01/12/2006 A 0000 UTC. NUMERO: 015/02 (SUD-OUEST DE L'OCEAN INDIEN) VITESSES DU VENT MOYEN SUR 10 MINUTES EN NOEUDS (KT) (LES RAFALES SUR MER PEUVENT EXCEDER D'ENVIRON 40% LA VALEUR DU VENT MOYEN). PRESSION MINIMALE AU NIVEAU DE LA MER EN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (VALEUR INDICATIVE). AVIS DE COUP DE VENT DEBUT DE VALIDITE: VENDREDI 01/12/2006 A 0000 UTC. PHENOMENE: TEMPETE TROPICALE MODEREE 2 (ANITA) 995 HPA POSITION: DANS UN RAYON DE 30 MN AUTOUR DU POINT 14.4S / 42.6E (QUATORZE DEGRES QUATRE SUD ET QUARANTE-DEUX DEGRES SIX EST) A 0000 UTC DEPLACEMENT: SUD-SUD-EST 8 KT ZONES MENACEES: TEMPS A GRAINS DANS UN RAYON DE 100 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQU 'A 150 MN DANS LE QUADRANT SUD-EST. COUP DE VENT 35KT ET MER TRES FORTE A GROSSE DANS UN RAYON DE 20MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE. GRAND FRAIS 30 KT ET MER FORTE A TRES FORTE DANS UN RAYON DE 30 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE ET DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD JUSQU'A 90 MN DU CENTRE. FORTES RAFALES SOUS GRAINS. PREVISIONS: POSITION ET INTENSITE PREVUES: A 12H POUR LE 01/12/2006 A 12 UTC: 16.1S / 42.7E, VENT MAX = 35 KT, TEMP. TROP. MODEREE. A 24H POUR LE 02/12/2006 A 00 UTC: 17.9S / 43.0E, VENT MAX = 30 KT, DEPR. TROPICALE. INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES: TOUT JUSTE TEMPETE, DENOMMEE ANITA, LE SYSTEME DEVRAIT AVOIR ATTEINT SON MAXIMUM D'INTENSITE, AVEC UNE ACTIVITE CONVECTIVE (ORAGEUSE) QUI S'EST REGROUPE AU DESSUS DU CENTRE. IL EST PREVU POURSUIVRE EN DIRECTION DU SUD ET S'AFFAIBLIR DANS UN ENVIRONNEMENT MOINS FAVORABLE D'ICI 24 HEURES. . ** WTIO22 FMEE 010017 *** SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 01/12/2006 AT 0000 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 015/02 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: FRIDAY 01/12/2006 AT 0000 UTC. PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 2 (ANITA) 995 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 14.4S / 42.6E (FOURTEEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY TWO DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-SOUTH-EAST 8 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. GALE FORCE WINDS 35KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 20NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, AND IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE WITHIN 90 NM FROM THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/12/01 AT 12 UTC: 16.1S / 42.7E, MAX WIND = 35 KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM. 24H, VALID 2006/12/02 AT 00 UTC: 17.9S / 43.0E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. OTHER INFORMATIONS: JUST NAMED ANITA AT THE STAGHE OF TROPICAL STORM, THE SYSTEM SHOULD HAVE REACHED ITS MAXIMUM INTENSITY, WITH A CONVECTIVE (THUDERY) ACTIVITY WHICH AS GATHERED ABOVE THE LOW LEVEL CENTER. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON TRACKING GLOBALLY SOUTHSOUTHEASTWARDS AND TO WEAKEN DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.= ** WTIO22 FMEE 010017 *** SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 01/12/2006 AT 0000 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 015/02 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: FRIDAY 01/12/2006 AT 0000 UTC. PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 2 (ANITA) 995 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 14.4S / 42.6E (FOURTEEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY TWO DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-SOUTH-EAST 8 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. GALE FORCE WINDS 35KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 20NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, AND IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE WITHIN 90 NM FROM THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/12/01 AT 12 UTC: 16.1S / 42.7E, MAX WIND = 35 KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM. 24H, VALID 2006/12/02 AT 00 UTC: 17.9S / 43.0E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. OTHER INFORMATIONS: JUST NAMED ANITA AT THE STAGHE OF TROPICAL STORM, THE SYSTEM SHOULD HAVE REACHED ITS MAXIMUM INTENSITY, WITH A CONVECTIVE (THUDERY) ACTIVITY WHICH AS GATHERED ABOVE THE LOW LEVEL CENTER. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON TRACKING GLOBALLY SOUTHSOUTHEASTWARDS AND TO WEAKEN DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. . ** WTIO21 FMEE 010017 *** METEO-FRANCE/CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 01/12/2006 A 0000 UTC. NUMERO: 015/02 (SUD-OUEST DE L'OCEAN INDIEN) VITESSES DU VENT MOYEN SUR 10 MINUTES EN NOEUDS (KT) (LES RAFALES SUR MER PEUVENT EXCEDER D'ENVIRON 40% LA VALEUR DU VENT MOYEN). PRESSION MINIMALE AU NIVEAU DE LA MER EN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (VALEUR INDICATIVE). AVIS DE COUP DE VENT DEBUT DE VALIDITE: VENDREDI 01/12/2006 A 0000 UTC. PHENOMENE: TEMPETE TROPICALE MODEREE 2 (ANITA) 995 HPA POSITION: DANS UN RAYON DE 30 MN AUTOUR DU POINT 14.4S / 42.6E (QUATORZE DEGRES QUATRE SUD ET QUARANTE-DEUX DEGRES SIX EST) A 0000 UTC DEPLACEMENT: SUD-SUD-EST 8 KT ZONES MENACEES: TEMPS A GRAINS DANS UN RAYON DE 100 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQU 'A 150 MN DANS LE QUADRANT SUD-EST. COUP DE VENT 35KT ET MER TRES FORTE A GROSSE DANS UN RAYON DE 20MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE. GRAND FRAIS 30 KT ET MER FORTE A TRES FORTE DANS UN RAYON DE 30 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE ET DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD JUSQU'A 90 MN DU CENTRE. FORTES RAFALES SOUS GRAINS. PREVISIONS: POSITION ET INTENSITE PREVUES: A 12H POUR LE 01/12/2006 A 12 UTC: 16.1S / 42.7E, VENT MAX = 35 KT, TEMP. TROP. MODEREE. A 24H POUR LE 02/12/2006 A 00 UTC: 17.9S / 43.0E, VENT MAX = 30 KT, DEPR. TROPICALE. INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES: TOUT JUSTE TEMPETE, DENOMMEE ANITA, LE SYSTEME DEVRAIT AVOIR ATTEINT SON MAXIMUM D'INTENSITE, AVEC UNE ACTIVITE CONVECTIVE (ORAGEUSE) QUI S'EST REGROUPE AU DESSUS DU CENTRE. IL EST PREVU POURSUIVRE EN DIRECTION DU SUD ET S'AFFAIBLIR DANS UN ENVIRONNEMENT MOINS FAVORABLE D'ICI 24 HEURES. . ** WTIO22 FMEE 010017 *** SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 01/12/2006 AT 0000 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 015/02 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: FRIDAY 01/12/2006 AT 0000 UTC. PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 2 (ANITA) 995 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 14.4S / 42.6E (FOURTEEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY TWO DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-SOUTH-EAST 8 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. GALE FORCE WINDS 35KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 20NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, AND IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE WITHIN 90 NM FROM THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/12/01 AT 12 UTC: 16.1S / 42.7E, MAX WIND = 35 KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM. 24H, VALID 2006/12/02 AT 00 UTC: 17.9S / 43.0E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. OTHER INFORMATIONS: JUST NAMED ANITA AT THE STAGHE OF TROPICAL STORM, THE SYSTEM SHOULD HAVE REACHED ITS MAXIMUM INTENSITY, WITH A CONVECTIVE (THUDERY) ACTIVITY WHICH AS GATHERED ABOVE THE LOW LEVEL CENTER. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON TRACKING GLOBALLY SOUTHSOUTHEASTWARDS AND TO WEAKEN DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.= ** WTIO30 FMEE 010035 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 15/2/20062007 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 2 (ANITA) 2.A POSITION 2006/12/01 AT 0000 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 14.4S / 42.6E (FOURTEEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY TWO DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.0/3.0 MOINS /D 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 995 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 35 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 050 SE: 150 SO: 150 NO: 050 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 500 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/12/01 12 UTC: 16.1S/42.7E, MAX WIND=035KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 24H: 2006/12/02 00 UTC: 17.9S/43.0E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 36H: 2006/12/02 12 UTC: 19.5S/43.3E, MAX WIND=025KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. 48H: 2006/12/03 00 UTC: 20.9S/43.2E, MAX WIND=025KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. 60H: 2006/12/03 12 UTC: 22.1S/43.0E, MAX WIND=025KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. 72H: 2006/12/04 00 UTC: 23.4S/42.6E, MAX WIND=025KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=3.0- THE INTENSIFICATION IS RATIFIED WITH THE MAINTAIN OF THE CDO ABOVE THE LOW LEVEL CENTER, WICH STILL A GOOD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW. NEVERTHELESS, ANITA IS TRACKING SOUTHSOUTHEASTWARDS AND THE VERTICAL WINDSHEAR SHOULD RAPIDLY BECOME MORE IMPORTANT, MAKING IT WEAKEN WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.= ** WTIO30 FMEE 010035 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 15/2/20062007 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 2 (ANITA) 2.A POSITION 2006/12/01 AT 0000 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 14.4S / 42.6E (FOURTEEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY TWO DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.0/3.0 MOINS /D 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 995 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 35 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 050 SE: 150 SO: 150 NO: 050 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 500 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/12/01 12 UTC: 16.1S/42.7E, MAX WIND=035KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM .. 24H: 2006/12/02 00 UTC: 17.9S/43.0E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 36H: 2006/12/02 12 UTC: 19.5S/43.3E, MAX WIND=025KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. 48H: 2006/12/03 00 UTC: 20.9S/43.2E, MAX WIND=025KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. 60H: 2006/12/03 12 UTC: 22.1S/43.0E, MAX WIND=025KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. 72H: 2006/12/04 00 UTC: 23.4S/42.6E, MAX WIND=025KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=3.0- THE INTENSIFICATION IS RATIFIED WITH THE MAINTAIN OF THE CDO ABOVE THE LOW LEVEL CENTER, WICH STILL A GOOD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW. NEVERTHELESS, ANITA IS TRACKING SOUTHSOUTHEASTWARDS AND THE VERTICAL WINDSHEAR SHOULD RAPIDLY BECOME MORE IMPORTANT, MAKING IT WEAKEN WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. . ** WTPQ20 BABJ 010000 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST STY DURIAN 0622 (0621) INITIAL TIME 010000 UTC 00HR 13.6N 120.0E 960HPA 40M/S 30KTS 350KM 50KTS 100KM P12HR W 15KM/H P+24HR 14.1N 117.0E 970HPA 35M/S P+48HR 14.0N 114.7E 980HPA 30M/S P+72HR 13.6N 112.8E 990HPA 23M/S= ** WTJP21 RJTD 010000 *** WARNING 010000. WARNING VALID 020000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0621 DURIAN (0621) 960 HPA AT 13.6N 120.0E PHILIPPINES MOVING WEST 11 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 160 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 020000UTC AT 13.6N 117.0E WITH 80 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 030000UTC AT 13.6N 114.4E WITH 150 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 040000UTC AT 13.5N 112.8E WITH 220 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 010000 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0621 DURIAN (0621) ANALYSIS PSTN 010000UTC 13.6N 120.0E GOOD MOVE W 11KT PRES 960HPA MXWD 075KT 50KT 60NM 30KT 180NM NORTH 160NM SOUTH FORECAST 24HF 020000UTC 13.6N 117.0E 80NM 70% MOVE W 07KT PRES 950HPA MXWD 080KT 48HF 030000UTC 13.6N 114.4E 150NM 70% MOVE W 06KT PRES 950HPA MXWD 080KT 72HF 040000UTC 13.5N 112.8E 220NM 70% MOVE W SLOWLY PRES 960HPA MXWD 075KT = ** WTPQ20 BABJ 010000 CCA *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY DURIAN 0622 (0621) INITIAL TIME 010000 UTC 00HR 13.6N 120.0E 960HPA 40M/S 30KTS 350KM 50KTS 100KM P12HR W 15KM/H P+24HR 14.1N 117.0E 970HPA 35M/S P+48HR 14.0N 114.7E 980HPA 30M/S P+72HR 13.6N 112.8E 990HPA 23M/S= ** WTPS11 NFFN 010000 *** Tropical Disturbance Advisory Number A4 issued from RSMC NADI Dec 01/0144 UTC 2006 UTC. Tropical Depression 05F [999hPa] centre was located near 10.7S 163.8E at Dec 010000 UTC. Position poor based on HRES MTSAT EIR/VIS imagery with animation. Depression moving southwards about 07 knots. Maximum 10-minute average winds estimated at 30 knots within 100 miles of centre in the sectors from northwest through east to southwest and within 60 miles of centre elsewhere and may still possibly increase to 35 knots in the next 24 hours. Organisation steady past 6 hours. Tops have significantly warmed past 6 hours. Curvature of primary band to east decreasing. Low-level cloud lines exposed to west of main band in latest MTSAT VIS imageries. Outflow good to south but restricted elsewhere. Dvorak based on curved band wrap of 0.3 on log10 spiral with DT=2.0. MET and PAT agree at 2.0. Final T=2.0, thus T2.0/2.5/W1.0/24hrs. 05F moving into strengthening shear. Depression currently lies just south of a 250hPa ridge axis. SST around 29 to 30 degrees Celsius. 05F expected to be steered initially southward and then towards the west under a weak northeast steering field. Global models that have captured the system generally move the system initially south then west with little development. Potential for TD05F to develop into a tropical cyclone in the next in the next 24 hours is low to moderate. This will be the final Tropical Disturbance Advisory on TD 05F unless it re-intensifies. Further information on 05F can be contained from the twice-daily Tropical Disturbance Summaries with the next issue around 01/0900 UTC. ** WTPS11 NFFN 010000 *** Tropical Disturbance Advisory Number A4 issued from RSMC NADI Dec 01/0144 UTC 2006 UTC. Tropical Depression 05F [999hPa] centre was located near 10.7S 163.8E at Dec 010000 UTC. Position poor based on HRES MTSAT EIR/VIS imagery with animation. Depression moving southwards about 07 knots. Maximum 10-minute average winds estimated at 30 knots within 100 miles of centre in the sectors from northwest through east to southwest and within 60 miles of centre elsewhere and may still possibly increase to 35 knots in the next 24 hours. Organisation steady past 6 hours. Tops have significantly warmed past 6 hours. Curvature of primary band to east decreasing. Low-level cloud lines exposed to west of main band in latest MTSAT VIS imageries. Outflow good to south but restricted elsewhere. Dvorak based on curved band wrap of 0.3 on log10 spiral with DT=2.0. MET and PAT agree at 2.0. Final T=2.0, thus T2.0/2.5/W1.0/24hrs. 05F moving into strengthening shear. Depression currently lies just south of a 250hPa ridge axis. SST around 29 to 30 degrees Celsius. 05F expected to be steered initially southward and then towards the west under a weak northeast steering field. Global models that have captured the system generally move the system initially south then west with little development. Potential for TD05F to develop into a tropical cyclone in the next in the next 24 hours is low to moderate. This will be the final Tropical Disturbance Advisory on TD 05F unless it re-intensifies. Further information on 05F can be contained from the twice-daily Tropical Disturbance Summaries with the next issue around 01/0900 UTC. ** WTPS11 NFFN 010000 CCA *** Tropical Disturbance Advisory Number A4 issued from RSMC NADI Dec 01/0148 UTC 2006 UTC. COR....Syntax Tropical Depression 05F [999hPa] centre was located near 10.7S 163.8E at Dec 010000 UTC. Position poor based on HRES MTSAT EIR/VIS imagery with animation. Depression moving southwards about 07 knots. Maximum 10-minute average winds estimated at 30 knots within 100 miles of centre in the sectors from northwest through east to southwest and within 60 miles of centre elsewhere and may still possibly increase to 35 knots in the next 24 hours. Organisation steady past 6 hours. Tops have significantly warmed past 6 hours. Curvature of primary band to east decreasing. Low-level cloud lines exposed to west of main band in latest MTSAT VIS imageries. Outflow good to south but restricted elsewhere. Dvorak based on curved band wrap of 0.3 on log10 spiral with DT=2.0. MET and PAT agree at 2.0. Final T=2.0, thus T2.0/2.5/W1.0/24hrs. 05F moving into strengthening shear. Depression currently lies just south of a 250hPa ridge axis. SST around 29 to 30 degrees Celsius. 05F expected to be steered initially southward and then towards the west under a weak northeast steering field. Global models that have captured the system generally move the system initially south then west with little development. Potential for TD05F to develop into a tropical cyclone in the next in the next 24 hours is low to moderate. This will be the final Tropical Disturbance Advisory on TD 05F unless it re-intensifies. Further information on 05F can be obtained from the twice-daily Tropical Disturbance Summaries with the next issue around 01/0900 UTC. ** WTPS11 NFFN 010000 CCA *** Tropical Disturbance Advisory Number A4 issued from RSMC NADI Dec 01/0148 UTC 2006 UTC. COR....Syntax Tropical Depression 05F [999hPa] centre was located near 10.7S 163.8E at Dec 010000 UTC. Position poor based on HRES MTSAT EIR/VIS imagery with animation. Depression moving southwards about 07 knots. Maximum 10-minute average winds estimated at 30 knots within 100 miles of centre in the sectors from northwest through east to southwest and within 60 miles of centre elsewhere and may still possibly increase to 35 knots in the next 24 hours. Organisation steady past 6 hours. Tops have significantly warmed past 6 hours. Curvature of primary band to east decreasing. Low-level cloud lines exposed to west of main band in latest MTSAT VIS imageries. Outflow good to south but restricted elsewhere. Dvorak based on curved band wrap of 0.3 on log10 spiral with DT=2.0. MET and PAT agree at 2.0. Final T=2.0, thus T2.0/2.5/W1.0/24hrs. 05F moving into strengthening shear. Depression currently lies just south of a 250hPa ridge axis. SST around 29 to 30 degrees Celsius. 05F expected to be steered initially southward and then towards the west under a weak northeast steering field. Global models that have captured the system generally move the system initially south then west with little development. Potential for TD05F to develop into a tropical cyclone in the next in the next 24 hours is low to moderate. This will be the final Tropical Disturbance Advisory on TD 05F unless it re-intensifies. Further information on 05F can be obtained from the twice-daily Tropical Disturbance Summaries with the next issue around 01/0900 UTC. ** WTXS31 PGTW 010300 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/212351Z NOV 06// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S (ANITA) WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 010000Z --- NEAR 14.2S 42.7E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 155 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 14.2S 42.7E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z --- 15.7S 43.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 175 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z --- 17.2S 43.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 010300Z POSITION NEAR 14.6S 42.8E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 03S, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 380 NM NORTHWEST OF ANTANANARIVO, MADAGASCAR, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. TC 03S WILL CONTINUE TRACKING SLOWLY SOUTHWARD ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED EAST OF MADAGASCAR. RECENT SATELLITE AND MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT TC 03S IS STARTING TO DECOUPLE FROM THE DEEP CONVECTION AND IS LOCATED ON THE NORTHERN EDGE OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS THAT THE SYSTEM IS UNDER MODERATE TO HIGH NORTHERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THEREFORE, TC 03S WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AND IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE BY TAU 24. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 010000Z IS 17 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 011500Z.// BT #0001 ** WTSS20 VHHH 010145 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 010000 UTC, TYPHOON DURIAN (0621) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 955 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE THREE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (13.6 N) ONE TWO ZERO POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (120.0 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 7 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 80 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 240 NAUTICAL MILES OVER NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 180 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 020000 UTC ONE THREE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (13.6 N) ONE ONE SEVEN POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (117.3 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 85 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 030000 UTC ONE THREE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (13.8 N) ONE ONE FIVE POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (115.3 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 80 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 040000 UTC ONE THREE POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (13.7 N) ONE ONE THREE POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (113.2 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 75 KNOTS. ** WTSS20 VHHH 010145 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 010000 UTC, TYPHOON DURIAN (0621) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 955 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE THREE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (13.6 N) ONE TWO ZERO POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (120.0 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 7 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 80 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 240 NAUTICAL MILES OVER NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 180 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 020000 UTC ONE THREE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (13.6 N) ONE ONE SEVEN POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (117.3 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 85 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 030000 UTC ONE THREE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (13.8 N) ONE ONE FIVE POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (115.3 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 80 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 040000 UTC ONE THREE POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (13.7 N) ONE ONE THREE POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (113.2 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 75 KNOTS. ** WTPN31 PGTW 010300 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 24W (DURIAN) WARNING NR 022 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 010000Z --- NEAR 13.3N 119.9E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 13.3N 119.9E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z --- 13.4N 118.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z --- 13.6N 116.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z --- 13.7N 114.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z --- 13.7N 113.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z --- 13.6N 111.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 05 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z --- 12.9N 109.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 010300Z POSITION NEAR 13.3N 119.4E. TYPHOON (TY) 24W (DURIAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 100 NM SOUTH- WEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 010000Z IS 27 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 010900Z, 011500Z, 012100Z AND 020300Z.// ** WTPQ30 RJTD 010000 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING REASONING NO.11 FOR TY 0621 DURIAN (0621) 1.GENERAL COMMENTS REASONING OF PROGNOSIS THIS TIME IS SIMILAR TO PREVIOUS ONE. POSITION FORECAST IS MAINLY BASED ON NWP AND PERSISTENCY. 2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION NOTHING PARTICULAR TO EXPLAIN. 3.MOTION FORECAST POSITION ACCURACY AT 010000 UTC IS GOOD. TY WILL MOVE AT THE SAME SPEED FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS THEN DECELERATE. TY WILL MOVE WEST FOR THE NEXT 72 HOURS. 4.INTENSITY FORECAST TY WILL KEEP PRESENT INTENSITY FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FI-NUMBER WILL BE 5.5 AFTER 24 HOURS.= ** WTJP31 RJTD 010300 *** WARNING 010300. WARNING VALID 020300. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0621 DURIAN (0621) 960 HPA AT 13.6N 119.4E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 11 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 160 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 020300UTC AT 13.6N 116.6E WITH 80 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 010300 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0621 DURIAN (0621) ANALYSIS PSTN 010300UTC 13.6N 119.4E GOOD MOVE W 11KT PRES 960HPA MXWD 075KT 50KT 60NM 30KT 180NM NORTH 160NM SOUTH FORECAST 24HF 020300UTC 13.6N 116.6E 80NM 70% MOVE W 06KT PRES 950HPA MXWD 080KT 45HF 030000UTC 13.6N 114.4E 150NM 70% MOVE W 06KT PRES 950HPA MXWD 080KT 69HF 040000UTC 13.5N 112.8E 220NM 70% MOVE W SLOWLY PRES 960HPA MXWD 075KT = ** WTSS20 VHHH 010445 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 010300 UTC, TYPHOON DURIAN (0621) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 955 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE THREE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (13.6 N) ONE ONE NINE POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (119.4 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 7 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 80 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 120 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 240 NAUTICAL MILES OVER NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 180 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 020300 UTC ONE THREE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (13.6 N) ONE ONE SIX POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (116.7 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 75 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 030300 UTC ONE THREE POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (13.9 N) ONE ONE FOUR POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (114.8 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 70 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 040300 UTC ONE THREE POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (13.4 N) ONE ONE TWO POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (112.8 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS. ** WTSS20 VHHH 010445 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 010300 UTC, TYPHOON DURIAN (0621) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 955 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE THREE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (13.6 N) ONE ONE NINE POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (119.4 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 7 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 80 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 120 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 240 NAUTICAL MILES OVER NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 180 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 020300 UTC ONE THREE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (13.6 N) ONE ONE SIX POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (116.7 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 75 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 030300 UTC ONE THREE POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (13.9 N) ONE ONE FOUR POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (114.8 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 70 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 040300 UTC ONE THREE POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (13.4 N) ONE ONE TWO POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (112.8 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS. ** WTNT80 EGRR 010517 *** MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 01.12.2006 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ANALYSED OR FORECAST TO DEVELOP IN THIS AREA IN THE NEXT THREE DAYS THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 010517