** WTSR20 WSSS 261800 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTIO22 FMEE 270020 *** SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 27/11/2006 AT 0000 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 001/02 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY 27/11/2006 AT 0000 UTC. PHENOMENON: ZONE OF DISTURBED WEATHER 2 1005 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 6.6S / 46.8E (SIX DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY SIX DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 5 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 350 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 15/20 KT AND MODERATE SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, LOCALLY REACHING 25 KT IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/11/27 AT 12 UTC: 7.2S / 45.9E, MAX WIND = 20 KT. 24H, VALID 2006/11/28 AT 00 UTC: 8.2S / 44.6E, MAX WIND = 20 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE LOW LEVEL CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION IS SLOWLY IMPROVING AND ASSOCIATED CONVECTION REMAINS RATHER FLUCTUATING. NEVERTHELESS, CONVECTION REMAINS SIGNIFICANT IN THE PERIPHERY OF THIS ZONE OF DISTURBED WEATHER, FROM NORTHERN MADAGASCAR TO COMOROS AND AFRICAN COASTLINE. THE INTENSITY OF THE SYSTEM DOES NOT REQUIRE ISSUANCE OF REGULAR WARNINGS .= ** WTIO30 FMEE 270021 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/2/20062007 1.A ZONE OF DISTURBED WEATHER 2 2.A POSITION 2006/11/27 AT 0000 UTC : WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 6.6S / 46.8E (SIX DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY SIX DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 1.5/1.5 / 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1005 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 20 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/11/27 12 UTC: 07.2S/45.9E, MAX WIND=020KT. 24H: 2006/11/28 00 UTC: 08.2S/44.6E, MAX WIND=020KT. 36H: 2006/11/28 12 UTC: 09.2S/43.6E, MAX WIND=025KT. 48H: 2006/11/29 00 UTC: 10.1S/42.7E, MAX WIND=025KT. 60H: 2006/11/29 12 UTC: 11.0S/42.0E, MAX WIND=025KT. 72H: 2006/11/30 00 UTC: 11.7S/41.3E, MAX WIND=030KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE LOW LEVEL CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION IS SLOWLY IMPROVING BUT LOWER LAYER CONVERGENCE REMAINS POOR WHILE THERE IS NOT A SIGNIFICANT MONSOON FLOW. THE ASSOCIATED CONVECTION IS FLUCTUATING, FOLLOWING THE DIURNAL CYCLE. ; UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE IS GOOD BUT THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR REMAINS MODERATE TO RATH ER STRONG. NEVERTHELESS, CONVECTION REMAINS SIGNIFICANT IN THE PERIPHERY OF THIS ZONE OF DISTURBED WEATHER, FROM NORTHERN MADAGASCAR TO COMOROS AND AFRICAN COASTLINE. THE INTENSITY OF THE SYSTEM DOES NOT REQUIRE ISSUANCE OF REGULAR WARNINGS .= ** WTIO22 FMEE 270020 *** SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 27/11/2006 AT 0000 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 001/02 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY 27/11/2006 AT 0000 UTC. PHENOMENON: ZONE OF DISTURBED WEATHER 2 1005 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 6.6S / 46.8E (SIX DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY SIX DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 5 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 350 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 15/20 KT AND MODERATE SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, LOCALLY REACHING 25 KT IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/11/27 AT 12 UTC: 7.2S / 45.9E, MAX WIND = 20 KT. 24H, VALID 2006/11/28 AT 00 UTC: 8.2S / 44.6E, MAX WIND = 20 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE LOW LEVEL CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION IS SLOWLY IMPROVING AND ASSOCIATED CONVECTION REMAINS RATHER FLUCTUATING. NEVERTHELESS, CONVECTION REMAINS SIGNIFICANT IN THE PERIPHERY OF THIS ZONE OF DISTURBED WEATHER, FROM NORTHERN MADAGASCAR TO COMOROS AND AFRICAN COASTLINE. THE INTENSITY OF THE SYSTEM DOES NOT REQUIRE ISSUANCE OF REGULAR WARNINGS .. . ** WTIO21 FMEE 270020 *** METEO-FRANCE/CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 27/11/2006 A 0000 UTC. NUMERO: 001/02 (SUD-OUEST DE L'OCEAN INDIEN) VITESSES DU VENT MOYEN SUR 10 MINUTES EN NOEUDS (KT) (LES RAFALES SUR MER PEUVENT EXCEDER D'ENVIRON 40% LA VALEUR DU VENT MOYEN). PRESSION MINIMALE AU NIVEAU DE LA MER EN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (VALEUR INDICATIVE). AVERTISSEMENT DEBUT DE VALIDITE: LUNDI 27/11/2006 A 0000 UTC. PHENOMENE: ZONE PERTURBEE 2 1005 HPA POSITION: DANS UN RAYON DE 40 MN AUTOUR DU POINT 6.6S / 46.8E (SIX DEGRES SIX SUD ET QUARANTE-SIX DEGRES HUIT EST) A 0000 UTC DEPLACEMENT: SUD-OUEST 5 KT ZONES MENACEES: TEMPS A GRAINS DANS UN RAYON DE 100 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE S'ETENDANT LOCALEMENT JUSQU'A 350 MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD. CIRCULATION DEPRESSIONNAIRE 15/20 KT ET MER AGITEE DANS UN RAYON DE 60 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, ATTEIGNANT LOCALEMENT 25 KT DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD-EST. PREVISIONS: POSITION ET INTENSITE PREVUES: A 12H POUR LE 27/11/2006 A 12 UTC: 7.2S / 45.9E, VENT MAX = 20 KT. A 24H POUR LE 28/11/2006 A 00 UTC: 8.2S / 44.6E, VENT MAX = 20 KT. INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES: LA CIRCULATION DEPRESSIONNAIRE S'ORGANISE LENTEMENT ET LA CONVECTION ASSOCIEE RESTE ASSEZ FLUCTUANTE. NEANMOINS, L'ACTIVITE ORAGEUSE EST IMPORTANTE EN PERIPHERIE DE CETTE ZONE PERTURBEE, DU NORD DE MADAGASCAR AUX COMORES ET A LA COTE AFRICAINE. L'INTENSITE DE CE SYSTEME NE JUSTIFIE PAS L'EMISSION DE BULLETINS REGULIERS. . ** WTIO30 FMEE 270021 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/2/20062007 1.A ZONE OF DISTURBED WEATHER 2 2.A POSITION 2006/11/27 AT 0000 UTC : WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 6.6S / 46.8E (SIX DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY SIX DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 1.5/1.5 / 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1005 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 20 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/11/27 12 UTC: 07.2S/45.9E, MAX WIND=020KT. 24H: 2006/11/28 00 UTC: 08.2S/44.6E, MAX WIND=020KT. 36H: 2006/11/28 12 UTC: 09.2S/43.6E, MAX WIND=025KT. 48H: 2006/11/29 00 UTC: 10.1S/42.7E, MAX WIND=025KT. 60H: 2006/11/29 12 UTC: 11.0S/42.0E, MAX WIND=025KT. 72H: 2006/11/30 00 UTC: 11.7S/41.3E, MAX WIND=030KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE LOW LEVEL CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION IS SLOWLY IMPROVING BUT LOWER LAYER CONVERGENCE REMAINS POOR WHILE THERE IS NOT A SIGNIFICANT MONSOON FLOW. THE ASSOCIATED CONVECTION IS FLUCTUATING, FOLLOWING THE DIURNAL CYCLE. ; UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE IS GOOD BUT THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR REMAINS MODERATE TO RATH ER STRONG. NEVERTHELESS, CONVECTION REMAINS SIGNIFICANT IN THE PERIPHERY OF THIS ZONE OF DISTURBED WEATHER, FROM NORTHERN MADAGASCAR TO COMOROS AND AFRICAN COASTLINE. THE INTENSITY OF THE SYSTEM DOES NOT REQUIRE ISSUANCE OF REGULAR WARNINGS .. . ** WTJP21 RJTD 270000 *** WARNING 270000. WARNING VALID 280000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0621 DURIAN (0621) 994 HPA AT 10.1N 140.6E MARIANAS MOVING WEST 06 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 100 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 280000UTC AT 10.1N 136.5E WITH 80 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 290000UTC AT 11.6N 130.4E WITH 150 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 300000UTC AT 12.4N 125.5E WITH 220 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 270000 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TS 0621 DURIAN (0621) ANALYSIS PSTN 270000UTC 10.1N 140.6E FAIR MOVE W 06KT PRES 994HPA MXWD 040KT 30KT 100NM FORECAST 24HF 280000UTC 10.1N 136.5E 80NM 70% MOVE W 10KT PRES 985HPA MXWD 050KT 48HF 290000UTC 11.6N 130.4E 150NM 70% MOVE W 15KT PRES 975HPA MXWD 060KT 72HF 300000UTC 12.4N 125.5E 220NM 70% MOVE W 12KT PRES 975HPA MXWD 060KT = ** WTPQ20 BABJ 270000 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS DURIAN 0622 (0621) INITIAL TIME 270000 UTC 00HR 10.6N 139.7E 990HPA 23M/S 30KTS 160KM P12HR W 25KM/H P+24HR 11.7N 134.1E 980HPA 30M/S P+48HR 13.0N 128.3E 960HPA 40M/S P+72HR 14.6N 122.6E 940HPA 50M/S= ** WTPQ30 RJTD 270000 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING REASONING NO. 3 FOR TS 0621 DURIAN (0621) 1.GENERAL COMMENTS REASONING OF PROGNOSIS THIS TIME IS SIMILAR TO PREVIOUS ONE. POSITION FORECAST IS MAINLY BASED ON NWP AND PERSISTENCY. 2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION NOTHING PARTICULAR TO EXPLAIN. 3.MOTION FORECAST POSITION ACCURACY AT 270000 UTC IS FAIR. TS WILL MOVE AT THE SAME SPEED FOR THE NEXT 72 HOURS THEN ACCELERATE. TS WILL MOVE WEST FOR THE NEXT 72 HOURS. 4.INTENSITY FORECAST TS WILL BE GRADED UP TO STS WITHIN 18 HOURS. TS WILL DEVELOP BECAUSE CYCLONE WILL STAY IN HIGH SST AREA. FI-NUMBER WILL BE 3.0 AFTER 24 HOURS.= ** WTPN31 PGTW 270300 *** SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 24W (DURIAN) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 270000Z --- NEAR 10.8N 139.4E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 10.8N 139.4E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z --- 11.3N 136.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z --- 11.8N 134.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z --- 12.3N 131.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z --- 12.9N 128.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z --- 14.3N 124.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z --- 15.4N 121.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z --- 16.6N 118.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT --- REMARKS: 270300Z POSITION NEAR 10.9N 138.8E. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 24W (DURIAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 100 NM NORTHEAST OF YAP, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270000Z IS 22 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 270900Z, 271500Z, 272100Z AND 280300Z.// BT #0001 ** WTJP31 RJTD 270300 *** WARNING 270300. WARNING VALID 280300. STORM WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0621 DURIAN (0621) 994 HPA AT 10.1N 140.0E MARIANAS MOVING WEST 10 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 100 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 280300UTC AT 10.5N 135.0E WITH 80 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 270300 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TS 0621 DURIAN (0621) ANALYSIS PSTN 270300UTC 10.1N 140.0E FAIR MOVE W 10KT PRES 994HPA MXWD 040KT 30KT 100NM FORECAST 24HF 280300UTC 10.5N 135.0E 80NM 70% MOVE W 12KT PRES 985HPA MXWD 050KT 45HF 290000UTC 11.6N 130.4E 150NM 70% MOVE W 15KT PRES 975HPA MXWD 060KT 69HF 300000UTC 12.4N 125.5E 220NM 70% MOVE W 12KT PRES 975HPA MXWD 060KT = ** WTPQ31 PGUM 270350 *** TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM DURIAN (24W) ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 200 PM GUAM LST MON NOV 27 2006 ...TROPICAL STORM DURIAN (24W) PASSING NORTH-NORTHEAST OF YAP... NO WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT. AT 1 PM GUAM LST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DURIAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.9 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 138.8 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 90 MILES NORTHWEST OF ULITHI 110 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF YAP 140 MILES NORTHWEST OF FAIS 200 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF NGULU 340 MILES NORTHEAST OF KAYANGEL TROPICAL STORM DURIAN IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 13 MPH. DURIAN WILL CONTINUE MOVING IN THIS GENERAL DIRECTION WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 50 MPH. DURIAN IS EXPECTED TO INTENSITY DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUT AS FAR AS 45 MILES FROM THE CENTER...PRIMARILY IN THE NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE. REPEATING THE 1 PM POSITION...10.9 DEGREES NORTH AND 138.8 DEGREES EAST...MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 13 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 50 MPH. THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 8 PM GUAM LST. $$ EDSON/CHIN ** WTNT80 EGRR 270519 *** MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ANALYSED OR FORECAST TO DEVELOP IN THIS AREA IN THE NEXT THREE DAYS THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 270519