** WTSR20 WSSS 251800 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 260000 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TD ANALYSIS PSTN 260000UTC 10.0N 144.0E POOR MOVE W 08KT PRES 1000HPA MXWD 030KT FORECAST 24HF 270000UTC 11.0N 139.5E 150NM 70% MOVE W 11KT PRES 994HPA MXWD 040KT = ** WTPQ31 PGUM 260116 *** TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 11 AM GUAM LST SUN NOV 26 2006 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W MOVING TOWARDS YAP STATE... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR YAP...NGULU...ULITHI AND FAIS IN YAP STATE. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...INCLUDING TROPICAL STORM-FORCE WINDS OF 39 MPH OR MORE...ARE OCCURRING OR ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AT 10 AM GUAM LST...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 9.2 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 144.4 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 465 MILES EAST OF YAP 475 MILES EAST OF NGULU 330 MILES EAST OF ULITHI 265 MILES EAST OF FAIS 295 MILES SOUTH OF GUAM 420 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SAIPAN. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 9 MPH. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS FORECAST TRACK WOULD TAKE TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W VERY NEAR ULITHI EARLY MONDAY MORNING...AND ABOUT 40 MILES NORTH OF YAP LATE MONDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 MPH. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AND MAY BECOME A TROPICAL STORM AS EARLY AS THIS AFTERNOON. REPEATING THE 10 AM POSITION...9.2 DEGREES NORTH AND 144.4 DEGREES EAST...MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 9 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 35 MPH. THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 2 PM GUAM LST...FOLLOWED BY AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY AT 5 PM GUAM LST. $$ ZIOBRO ** WTPQ81 PGUM 260205 AAA *** HLSPQ1 PMZ171-260500- TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W LOCAL STATEMENT...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 900 AM GUAM LST SUN NOV 26 2006 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W MOVING TOWARDS YAP STATE... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS OF YAP... NGULU...ULITHI AND FAIS. ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR YAP...NGULU...ULITHI AND FAIS IN YAP STATE. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...INCLUDING TROPICAL STORM-FORCE WINDS OF 39 MPH OR MORE...ARE OCCURRING OR ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 10 AM GUAM LST...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 9.2 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 144.4 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 465 MILES EAST OF YAP 475 MILES EAST OF NGULU 330 MILES EAST OF ULITHI 265 MILES EAST OF FAIS 295 MILES SOUTH OF GUAM 420 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SAIPAN. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 9 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 35 MPH. ...YAP AND NGULU... REVIEW YOUR DISASTER PREPAREDNESS PLAN AND CHECK YOUR EMERGENCY SUPPLIES OF FOOD AND WATER. SECURE OUTSIDE FURNITURE AND OTHER LOOSE OBJECTS ON YOUR PROPERTY. GATHER CONTAINERS FOR DRINKING WATER STORAGE. MOVE SMALL BOATS TO SAFE HAVEN. ...WIND INFORMATION... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED MONDAY MORNING. REST OF TODAY...NORTHEAST WIND 15 KTS. NORTH WIND 15 TO 20 KT TONIGHT SHIFTING NORTHWEST AND INCREASING TO 20 TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS MONDAY. WEST WINDS 25 TO 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT IN THE MORNING...SHIFTING SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. MONDAY NIGHT...SOUTH WIND 20 TO 25 KT...DECREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. ...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION... SURF WILL BE HAZARDOUS AT 11 TO 13 FEET...AND CONTINUE AT HAZARDOUS LEVELS THROUGH AT LEAST MONDAY. ...OTHER STORM EFFECTS... RAINFALL OF 4 TO 6 INCHES OR MORE IS POSSIBLE THROUGH MONDAY...RESULTING IN LOCAL FLOODING. ...ULITHI AND FAIS... REVIEW YOUR DISASTER PREPAREDNESS PLAN AND CHECK YOUR EMERGENCY SUPPLIES OF FOOD AND WATER. SECURE OUTSIDE FURNITURE AND OTHER LOOSE OBJECTS ON YOUR PROPERTY. GATHER CONTAINERS FOR DRINKING WATER STORAGE. MOVE SMALL BOATS TO SAFE HAVEN. ...WIND INFORMATION... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT. NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 KTS WITH GUSTS TO 25 KTS THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY TONIGHT. NORTH-NORTHEAST WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH LATE TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. WINDS BECOMING SOUTH EARLY MONDAY MORNING AT 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH...DECREASING TO 15 TO 20 KTS WITH GUSTS TO 25 KTS MONDAY AFTERNOON. ...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION... SURF WILL BE HAZARDOUS AT 12 TO 14 FEET...AND CONTINUE AT HAZARDOUS LEVELS THROUGH AT LEAST MONDAY. ...OTHER STORM EFFECTS... RAINFALL OF 4 TO 6 INCHES OR MORE IS POSSIBLE THROUGH MONDAY...RESULTING IN LOCAL FLOODING. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AT 3 PM GUAM LST OR SOONER IF NEEDED. $$ ZIOBRO ** WTPQ81 PGUM 260208 AAA *** HLSPQ1 PMZ171-260500- TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W LOCAL STATEMENT...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 900 AM GUAM LST SUN NOV 26 2006 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W MOVING TOWARDS YAP STATE... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS OF YAP... NGULU...ULITHI AND FAIS. ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR YAP...NGULU...ULITHI AND FAIS IN YAP STATE. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...INCLUDING TROPICAL STORM-FORCE WINDS OF 39 MPH OR MORE...ARE OCCURRING OR ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 10 AM GUAM LST...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 9.2 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 144.4 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 465 MILES EAST OF YAP 475 MILES EAST OF NGULU 330 MILES EAST OF ULITHI 265 MILES EAST OF FAIS 295 MILES SOUTH OF GUAM 420 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SAIPAN. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 9 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 35 MPH. ...YAP AND NGULU... REVIEW YOUR DISASTER PREPAREDNESS PLAN AND CHECK YOUR EMERGENCY SUPPLIES OF FOOD AND WATER. SECURE OUTSIDE FURNITURE AND OTHER LOOSE OBJECTS ON YOUR PROPERTY. GATHER CONTAINERS FOR DRINKING WATER STORAGE. MOVE SMALL BOATS TO SAFE HAVEN. ...WIND INFORMATION... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED MONDAY MORNING. REST OF TODAY...NORTHEAST WIND 15 KTS. NORTH WIND 15 TO 20 KT TONIGHT SHIFTING NORTHWEST AND INCREASING TO 20 TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS MONDAY. WEST WINDS 25 TO 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT IN THE MORNING...SHIFTING SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. MONDAY NIGHT...SOUTH WIND 20 TO 25 KT...DECREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. ...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION... SURF WILL BE HAZARDOUS AT 11 TO 13 FEET...AND CONTINUE AT HAZARDOUS LEVELS THROUGH AT LEAST MONDAY. ...OTHER STORM EFFECTS... RAINFALL OF 4 TO 6 INCHES OR MORE IS POSSIBLE THROUGH MONDAY...RESULTING IN LOCAL FLOODING. ...ULITHI AND FAIS... REVIEW YOUR DISASTER PREPAREDNESS PLAN AND CHECK YOUR EMERGENCY SUPPLIES OF FOOD AND WATER. SECURE OUTSIDE FURNITURE AND OTHER LOOSE OBJECTS ON YOUR PROPERTY. GATHER CONTAINERS FOR DRINKING WATER STORAGE. MOVE SMALL BOATS TO SAFE HAVEN. ...WIND INFORMATION... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT. NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 KTS WITH GUSTS TO 25 KTS THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY TONIGHT. NORTH-NORTHEAST WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH LATE TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. WINDS BECOMING SOUTH EARLY MONDAY MORNING AT 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH...DECREASING TO 15 TO 20 KTS WITH GUSTS TO 25 KTS MONDAY AFTERNOON. ...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION... SURF WILL BE HAZARDOUS AT 12 TO 14 FEET...AND CONTINUE AT HAZARDOUS LEVELS THROUGH AT LEAST MONDAY. ...OTHER STORM EFFECTS... RAINFALL OF 4 TO 6 INCHES OR MORE IS POSSIBLE THROUGH MONDAY...RESULTING IN LOCAL FLOODING. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AT 3 PM GUAM LST OR SOONER IF NEEDED. $$ ZIOBRO ** WTPN31 PGTW 260300 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ TROPICAL STORM 24W WARNING NR 002 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 260000Z --- NEAR 9.2N 144.4E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 9.2N 144.4E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z --- 10.0N 142.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z --- 10.8N 140.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z --- 11.7N 138.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z --- 12.5N 135.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z --- 14.0N 130.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z --- 15.0N 126.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z --- 15.7N 122.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT --- REMARKS: 260300Z POSITION NEAR 9.4N 143.9E. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 24W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 370 NM EAST OF YAP (AND 240 NM SOUTH OF GUAM), HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM HAS CONSOLIDATED QUICKLY OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. A 252324Z TRMM MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICTS IMPROVED DEEP CONVECTIVE BANDING OVER THE NORTHERN AND EASTERN SEMICIRCLES AND BETTER ORGANIZATION OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260000Z IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 260900Z, 261500Z, 262100Z AND 270300Z.// ** WTPQ81 PGUM 260223 CCA *** HLSPQ1 PMZ171-260500- TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W LOCAL STATEMENT...CORRECTION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 1200 PM GUAM LST SUN NOV 26 2006 CORRECTION TO TIME ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W MOVING TOWARDS YAP STATE... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS OF YAP... NGULU...ULITHI AND FAIS. ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR YAP...NGULU...ULITHI AND FAIS IN YAP STATE. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...INCLUDING TROPICAL STORM-FORCE WINDS OF 39 MPH OR MORE...ARE OCCURRING OR ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 10 AM GUAM LST...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 9.2 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 144.4 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 465 MILES EAST OF YAP 475 MILES EAST OF NGULU 330 MILES EAST OF ULITHI 265 MILES EAST OF FAIS 295 MILES SOUTH OF GUAM 420 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SAIPAN. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 9 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 35 MPH. ...YAP AND NGULU... REVIEW YOUR DISASTER PREPAREDNESS PLAN AND CHECK YOUR EMERGENCY SUPPLIES OF FOOD AND WATER. SECURE OUTSIDE FURNITURE AND OTHER LOOSE OBJECTS ON YOUR PROPERTY. GATHER CONTAINERS FOR DRINKING WATER STORAGE. MOVE SMALL BOATS TO SAFE HAVEN. ...WIND INFORMATION... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED MONDAY MORNING. REST OF TODAY...NORTHEAST WIND 15 KTS. NORTH WIND 15 TO 20 KT TONIGHT SHIFTING NORTHWEST AND INCREASING TO 20 TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS MONDAY. WEST WINDS 25 TO 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT IN THE MORNING...SHIFTING SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. MONDAY NIGHT...SOUTH WIND 20 TO 25 KT...DECREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. ...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION... SURF WILL BE HAZARDOUS AT 11 TO 13 FEET...AND CONTINUE AT HAZARDOUS LEVELS THROUGH AT LEAST MONDAY. ...OTHER STORM EFFECTS... RAINFALL OF 4 TO 6 INCHES OR MORE IS POSSIBLE THROUGH MONDAY...RESULTING IN LOCAL FLOODING. ...ULITHI AND FAIS... REVIEW YOUR DISASTER PREPAREDNESS PLAN AND CHECK YOUR EMERGENCY SUPPLIES OF FOOD AND WATER. SECURE OUTSIDE FURNITURE AND OTHER LOOSE OBJECTS ON YOUR PROPERTY. GATHER CONTAINERS FOR DRINKING WATER STORAGE. MOVE SMALL BOATS TO SAFE HAVEN. ...WIND INFORMATION... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT. NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 KTS WITH GUSTS TO 25 KTS THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY TONIGHT. NORTH-NORTHEAST WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH LATE TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. WINDS BECOMING SOUTH EARLY MONDAY MORNING AT 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH...DECREASING TO 15 TO 20 KTS WITH GUSTS TO 25 KTS MONDAY AFTERNOON. ...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION... SURF WILL BE HAZARDOUS AT 12 TO 14 FEET...AND CONTINUE AT HAZARDOUS LEVELS THROUGH AT LEAST MONDAY. ...OTHER STORM EFFECTS... RAINFALL OF 4 TO 6 INCHES OR MORE IS POSSIBLE THROUGH MONDAY...RESULTING IN LOCAL FLOODING. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AT 3 PM GUAM LST OR SOONER IF NEEDED. $$ ZIOBRO ** WTPQ30 RJTD 260000 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING REASONING NO. 1 FOR TD LOCATED AT 10.0N 144.0E 1.GENERAL COMMENTS POSITION FORECAST IS MAINLY BASED ON NWP AND PERSISTENCY. 2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION NOTHING PARTICULAR TO EXPLAIN. 3.MOTION FORECAST POSITION ACCURACY AT 260000 UTC IS POOR. TD WILL MOVE AT THE SAME SPEED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS DECELERATE. TD WILL MOVE WEST FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. 4.INTENSITY FORECAST TD WILL BE GRADED UP TO TS WITHIN 12 HOURS. TD WILL DEVELOP BECAUSE CLOUD FEATURES OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW HAVE BECOME DISTINCT AND CYCLONE WILL STAY IN HIGH SST AREA. FI-NUMBER WILL BE 3.0 AFTER 24 HOURS.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 260300 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TD ANALYSIS PSTN 260300UTC 10.1N 143.6E POOR MOVE W 08KT PRES 1000HPA MXWD 030KT FORECAST 24HF 270300UTC 11.2N 139.3E 150NM 70% MOVE W 10KT PRES 994HPA MXWD 040KT = ** WTPQ31 PGUM 260401 *** TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM 24W ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 2 PM GUAM LST SUN NOV 26 2006 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W BECOMES A TROPICAL STORM... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR YAP...NGULU...ULITHI AND FAIS IN YAP STATE. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...INCLUDING TROPICAL STORM-FORCE WINDS OF 39 MPH OR MORE...ARE OCCURRING OR ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AT 1 PM GUAM LST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM 24W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 9.4 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 143.9 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 395 MILES EAST OF YAP 445 MILES EAST OF NGULU 295 MILES EAST OF ULITHI 230 MILES EAST OF FAIS 285 MILES SOUTH OF GUAM 415 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SAIPAN. TROPICAL STORM 24W IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 13 MPH. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS FORECAST TRACK WOULD TAKE TROPICAL STORM 24W VERY NEAR ULITHI MONDAY MORNING...AND NORTH OF YAP MONDAY NIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 40 MPH. TROPICAL STORM 24W IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS. REPEATING THE 1 PM POSITION...9.4 DEGREES NORTH AND 143.9 DEGREES EAST...MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 13 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 MPH. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 5 PM GUAM LST...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY AT 8 PM. $$ ZIOBRO ** WTPQ81 PGUM 260504 *** HLSPQ1 PMZ171-261100- TROPICAL STORM 24W LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 3 PM GUAM LST SUN NOV 26 2006 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W BECOMES A TROPICAL STORM... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS OF YAP... NGULU...ULITHI AND FAIS. ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR YAP...NGULU...ULITHI AND FAIS IN YAP STATE. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...INCLUDING TROPICAL STORM-FORCE WINDS OF 39 MPH OR MORE...ARE OCCURRING OR ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 1 PM GUAM LST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM 24W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 9.4 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 143.9 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 395 MILES EAST OF YAP 445 MILES EAST OF NGULU 295 MILES EAST OF ULITHI 230 MILES EAST OF FAIS TROPICAL STORM 24W IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 13 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 MPH. ...YAP AND NGULU... REVIEW YOUR DISASTER PREPAREDNESS PLAN AND CHECK YOUR EMERGENCY SUPPLIES OF FOOD AND WATER. SECURE OUTSIDE FURNITURE AND OTHER LOOSE OBJECTS ON YOUR PROPERTY. GATHER CONTAINERS FOR DRINKING WATER STORAGE. MOVE SMALL BOATS TO SAFE HAVEN. SMALL CRAFT REMAIN IN PORT. RESIDENTS SHOULD FOLLOW INSTRUCTIONS FROM THE LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICE. ...WIND INFORMATION... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE MONDAY MORNING IF TROPICAL STORM 24W FOLLOWS A MORE WESTWARD TRACK. NORTH WIND 15 TO 20 MPH TONIGHT SHIFTING NORTHWEST AND INCREASING TO 20 TO 25 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS POSSIBLE MONDAY. WEST WINDS 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH IN THE MORNING...SHIFTING SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. MONDAY NIGHT...SOUTH WIND 20 TO 25 MPH... DECREASING TO 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. ...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION... SURF WILL BE HAZARDOUS AT 11 TO 13 FEET...AND CONTINUE AT HAZARDOUS LEVELS THROUGH AT LEAST MONDAY. ...OTHER STORM EFFECTS... RAINFALL OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OR MORE IS POSSIBLE THROUGH MONDAY. ...ULITHI AND FAIS... REVIEW YOUR DISASTER PREPAREDNESS PLAN AND CHECK YOUR EMERGENCY SUPPLIES OF FOOD AND WATER. SECURE OUTSIDE FURNITURE AND OTHER LOOSE OBJECTS ON YOUR PROPERTY. GATHER CONTAINERS FOR DRINKING WATER STORAGE. MOVE SMALL BOATS TO SAFE HAVEN. SMALL CRAFT REMAIN IN PORT. RESIDENTS SHOULD FOLLOW INSTRUCTIONS FROM THE LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICE. ...WIND INFORMATION... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT. NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH EARLY TONIGHT. NORTH-NORTHEAST WINDS 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH LATE TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. WINDS BECOMING SOUTH EARLY MONDAY MORNING AT 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH...DECREASING TO 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH MONDAY AFTERNOON. ...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION... SURF WILL BE HAZARDOUS AT 12 TO 14 FEET...AND CONTINUE AT HAZARDOUS LEVELS THROUGH AT LEAST MONDAY. SOME COASTAL EROSION AND PROPERTY DAMAGE IS POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY AROUND HIGH TIDE. ...OTHER STORM EFFECTS... RAINFALL OF 4 TO 6 INCHES OR MORE IS POSSIBLE THROUGH MONDAY...RESULTING IN LOCAL FLOODING. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AT 9 PM GUAM LST OR SOONER IF NEEDED. $$ ZIOBRO ** WTNT80 EGRR 260512 *** MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 26.11.2006 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ANALYSED OR FORECAST TO DEVELOP IN THIS AREA IN THE NEXT THREE DAYS THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 260512