** WTSR20 WSSS 240600 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTPS01 NFFN 241200 *** STORM Warning 022 issued from RSMC NADI Nov 24/1311 UTC 2006 UTC. Tropical Cyclone YANI [987hPa] centre was re-located near 13.1 South 161.4 East at 241200 UTC. Position poor. Repeat position 13.1S 161.4E at 241200 UTC. Cyclone moving west-northwest at about 08 knots. Cyclone weakening rapidly. Expect sustained winds of 50 knots close to the centre decreasing to 35 knots in the next 12 hours. Expect winds over 47 knots within 20 miles of centre and over 33 knots within 100 miles of centre in the southeastern semicircle and within 80 miles of centre in the northwestern semicircle. Forecast position near 12.9S 161.1E at 250000 UTC and near 12.2S 161.9E at 251200 UTC. All vessels within 300 nautical miles of the centre are requested to send reports every three hours to RSMC NADI. VOS reporting ships use normal channels. Other vessels fax plus 679 6720190 or email naditcc at met dot gov dot fj. This warning cancels and replaces warning 021. ** WTPS01 NFFN 241200 *** STORM Warning 022 issued from RSMC NADI Nov 24/1311 UTC 2006 UTC. Tropical Cyclone YANI [987hPa] centre was re-located near 13.1 South 161.4 East at 241200 UTC. Position poor. Repeat position 13.1S 161.4E at 241200 UTC. Cyclone moving west-northwest at about 08 knots. Cyclone weakening rapidly. Expect sustained winds of 50 knots close to the centre decreasing to 35 knots in the next 12 hours. Expect winds over 47 knots within 20 miles of centre and over 33 knots within 100 miles of centre in the southeastern semicircle and within 80 miles of centre in the northwestern semicircle. Forecast position near 12.9S 161.1E at 250000 UTC and near 12.2S 161.9E at 251200 UTC. All vessels within 300 nautical miles of the centre are requested to send reports every three hours to RSMC NADI. VOS reporting ships use normal channels. Other vessels fax plus 679 6720190 or email naditcc at met dot gov dot fj. This warning cancels and replaces warning 021. ** WTPS11 NFFN 241200 *** Tropical Disturbance Advisory Number A12 issued from RSMC NADI Nov 24/1349 UTC 2006 UTC. Tropical Cyclone YANI [Category 2] 04F [987hPa] centre was re-located near 13.1S 161.4E at 241200 UTC. Position fair based on HRES MTSAT EIR imagery with animation, SSMI pass and extrapolation. Cyclone moving west-northwest about 08 knots. Maximum 10-minute average winds estimated at 50 knots decreasing to 35 knots in the next 12 hours. Winds above 47 knots within 20 miles of centre, and winds above 33 knots within 100 miles of centre in the southeastern semicircle and within 80 miles of centre in the northwestern semicircle. Cyclone rapidly weakening under strengthening shear. LLCC is detached about 60 miles to the northwest of the nearest DG shade. Convection has increased to southeast of low level centre with fair to good outflow associated with it. Dvorak based on Shear pattern with DT yielding 2.0 MET=3.0 PAT =2.0. Final T =2.0, thus T2.0/3.0/W1.5/24hrs. Steering is from a subtropical ridge pushing from the southwest. Global models generally disagree however climate and persistence have the system undergoing a small loop in the next 24 to 36 hours while weakening. FORECAST: 12hrs valid 250000UTC near 15.3S 162.8E slow moving with 35kt close to centre. 24hrs valid 251200UTC near 16.2S 162.5E slow moving with 25kt close to centre. OUTLOOK: 36hrs valid 260000UTC near 17.1S 161.9E mov S at 03t with 20kt close to centre. 48hrs valid 261200UTC near 17.9S 160.6E mov SSW at 07kt with 20kt close to centre. This will be the final Tropical Disturbance Advisory on TC YANI. ** WTPS11 NFFN 241200 *** Tropical Disturbance Advisory Number A12 issued from RSMC NADI Nov 24/1349 UTC 2006 UTC. Tropical Cyclone YANI [Category 2] 04F [987hPa] centre was re-located near 13.1S 161.4E at 241200 UTC. Position fair based on HRES MTSAT EIR imagery with animation, SSMI pass and extrapolation. Cyclone moving west-northwest about 08 knots. Maximum 10-minute average winds estimated at 50 knots decreasing to 35 knots in the next 12 hours. Winds above 47 knots within 20 miles of centre, and winds above 33 knots within 100 miles of centre in the southeastern semicircle and within 80 miles of centre in the northwestern semicircle. Cyclone rapidly weakening under strengthening shear. LLCC is detached about 60 miles to the northwest of the nearest DG shade. Convection has increased to southeast of low level centre with fair to good outflow associated with it. Dvorak based on Shear pattern with DT yielding 2.0 MET=3.0 PAT =2.0. Final T =2.0, thus T2.0/3.0/W1.5/24hrs. Steering is from a subtropical ridge pushing from the southwest. Global models generally disagree however climate and persistence have the system undergoing a small loop in the next 24 to 36 hours while weakening. FORECAST: 12hrs valid 250000UTC near 15.3S 162.8E slow moving with 35kt close to centre. 24hrs valid 251200UTC near 16.2S 162.5E slow moving with 25kt close to centre. OUTLOOK: 36hrs valid 260000UTC near 17.1S 161.9E mov S at 03t with 20kt close to centre. 48hrs valid 261200UTC near 17.9S 160.6E mov SSW at 07kt with 20kt close to centre. This will be the final Tropical Disturbance Advisory on TC YANI. ** WTPS31 PGTW 241500 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02P (YANI) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 241200Z --- NEAR 13.6S 161.5E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 13.6S 161.5E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z --- 13.6S 160.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z --- 13.8S 159.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z --- 14.1S 158.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 241500Z POSITION NEAR 13.6S 161.1E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 02P (YANI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 260 NM SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF HONIARA, SOLOMON ISLANDS, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. RECENT ANIMATED INFRARED SATEL- LITE IMAGERY AND A 240906Z SSMI MICROWAVE PASS REVEAL THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) HAS BECOME SHEARED SIGNIFICANTLY FROM THE CONVECTION TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS MICROWAVE IMAGERY HAS INDICATED THAT THE LLCC HAS BEGUN TO TRACK WESTWARD WITHIN THE LOW TO MID LEVEL SYNOPTIC FLOW. BASED ON THIS SHEARING OF TC 02P, THE INTENSITY FORECAST HAS BEEN ADJUSTED TO TAKE INTO ACCOUNT THE GREATER INFLUENCE BY SHEAR OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN TC 02P WITH DISSIPATION EXPECTED AROUND TAU 36. THIS FORECAST IS BASED PRIMARILY ON PERSISTENCE OF THE SYSTEM OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS AS MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES A CONTINUED TRACK SOUTHWARD. IT APPEARS THAT THE MODELS ARE STEERING THE SYSTEM AT A HIGHER LEVEL BASED ON GREATER VERTICAL EX- TENT OF TC 02P THAN IS OBSERVED. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241200Z IS 19 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 250300Z AND 251500Z.// ** WTNC01 NWBB 241447 *** A: BULLETIN METEOROLOGIQUE SPECIAL MARINE NUMERO 013. B: AVIS DE TEMPETE REDIGE LE 24/11/06 A 14:30 UTC. C: A 12:00 UTC LE 24/11/06, DEPRESSION TROPICALE FORTE "YANI" : - CENTREE PAR 13,1 SUD 161,4 EST. POSITION DOUTEUSE. - PRESSION AU CENTRE ESTIMEE A 987 HPA. - DEPLACEMENT OUEST-NORD-OUEST 21 NOEUDS. D: VENTS MOYENS ESTIMES A 50 NOEUDS (RAFALES A 75 NOEUDS) DANS UN RAYON DE 15 NAUTIQUES AUTOUR DU CENTRE, MER TRES GROSSE. VENTS SUPERIEURS A 46 NOEUDS (RAFALES A 69 NOEUDS) DANS UN RAYON DE 20 NAUTIQUES AUTOUR DU CENTRE, MER TRES GROSSE. VENTS SUPERIEURS A 33 NOEUDS (RAFALES A 50 NOEUDS) DANS UN RAYON ENTRE 20 ET 100 NAUTIQUES DU CENTRE, MER GROSSE. E: "YANI" S'EST DESORGANISEE ET A ENCORE FAIBLI. ELLE A INCURVE SA TRAJECTOIRE VERS LE NORD NORD-OUEST ET SE DIRIGERA VERS L'OUEST DANS LES 24 HEURES A VENIR. F: POSITIONS PREVUES : LE 24/11/06 A 1800 UTC : 12,9 SUD 161,0 EST. LE 25/11/06 A 0000 UTC : 12,9 SUD 160,6 EST. LE 25/11/06 A 0600 UTC : 12,9 SUD 160,1 EST. LE 25/11/06 A 1200 UTC : 12,8 SUD 159,5 EST. LE 25/11/06 A 1800 UTC : 13,0 SUD 159,0 EST. PROCHAIN BULLETIN SPECIAL MARINE LE 24/11/06 A 21:00 UTC.= ** WTNC01 NWBB 241447 *** A: BULLETIN METEOROLOGIQUE SPECIAL MARINE NUMERO 013. B: AVIS DE TEMPETE REDIGE LE 24/11/06 A 14:30 UTC. C: A 12:00 UTC LE 24/11/06, DEPRESSION TROPICALE FORTE "YANI" : - CENTREE PAR 13,1 SUD 161,4 EST. POSITION DOUTEUSE. - PRESSION AU CENTRE ESTIMEE A 987 HPA. - DEPLACEMENT OUEST-NORD-OUEST 21 NOEUDS. D: VENTS MOYENS ESTIMES A 50 NOEUDS (RAFALES A 75 NOEUDS) DANS UN RAYON DE 15 NAUTIQUES AUTOUR DU CENTRE, MER TRES GROSSE. VENTS SUPERIEURS A 46 NOEUDS (RAFALES A 69 NOEUDS) DANS UN RAYON DE 20 NAUTIQUES AUTOUR DU CENTRE, MER TRES GROSSE. VENTS SUPERIEURS A 33 NOEUDS (RAFALES A 50 NOEUDS) DANS UN RAYON ENTRE 20 ET 100 NAUTIQUES DU CENTRE, MER GROSSE. E: "YANI" S'EST DESORGANISEE ET A ENCORE FAIBLI. ELLE A INCURVE SA TRAJECTOIRE VERS LE NORD NORD-OUEST ET SE DIRIGERA VERS L'OUEST DANS LES 24 HEURES A VENIR. F: POSITIONS PREVUES : LE 24/11/06 A 1800 UTC : 12,9 SUD 161,0 EST. LE 25/11/06 A 0000 UTC : 12,9 SUD 160,6 EST. LE 25/11/06 A 0600 UTC : 12,9 SUD 160,1 EST. LE 25/11/06 A 1200 UTC : 12,8 SUD 159,5 EST. LE 25/11/06 A 1800 UTC : 13,0 SUD 159,0 EST. PROCHAIN BULLETIN SPECIAL MARINE LE 24/11/06 A 21:00 UTC.= ** WTNC02 NWBB 241449 *** A: SPECIAL MARINE WEATHER ADVISORY NUMBER 013. B: STORM WARNING ISSUED THE 06/11/24 14:30 UTC. C: TROPICAL CYCLONE "YANI" LOCATED 13,1 S 161,4 E AT 241200. - POSITION POOR. - CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED TO BE ABOUT 987 HPA. - TROPICAL CYCLONE MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST 21 KT. D: EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 50 KT (GUSTS 75 KT) WITHIN 15 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTER. WINDS ABOVE UP TO 46 KT (GUSTS 69 KT) WITHIN 20 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTER. WINDS ABOVE UP TO 33 KT (GUSTS 50 KT) BETWEEN 20 AND 100 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTER. E: "YANI" DISORGANISED AND WEAKENED. IT RECURVED ITS TRACK TOWARD NORTH NORTH-WEST AND WILL MOVE WESTWARD IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. F: FORECAST : THE 06/11/24 1800 UTC : 12,9 S 161,0 E. THE 06/11/25 0000 UTC : 12,9 S 160,6 E. THE 06/11/25 0600 UTC : 12,9 S 160,1 E. THE 06/11/25 1200 UTC : 12,8 S 159,5 E. THE 06/11/25 1800 UTC : 13,0 S 159,0 E. NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED THE 242100 UTC.= ** WTNC02 NWBB 241449 *** A: SPECIAL MARINE WEATHER ADVISORY NUMBER 013. B: STORM WARNING ISSUED THE 06/11/24 14:30 UTC. C: TROPICAL CYCLONE "YANI" LOCATED 13,1 S 161,4 E AT 241200. - POSITION POOR. - CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED TO BE ABOUT 987 HPA. - TROPICAL CYCLONE MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST 21 KT. D: EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 50 KT (GUSTS 75 KT) WITHIN 15 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTER. WINDS ABOVE UP TO 46 KT (GUSTS 69 KT) WITHIN 20 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTER. WINDS ABOVE UP TO 33 KT (GUSTS 50 KT) BETWEEN 20 AND 100 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTER. E: "YANI" DISORGANISED AND WEAKENED. IT RECURVED ITS TRACK TOWARD NORTH NORTH-WEST AND WILL MOVE WESTWARD IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. F: FORECAST : THE 06/11/24 1800 UTC : 12,9 S 161,0 E. THE 06/11/25 0000 UTC : 12,9 S 160,6 E. THE 06/11/25 0600 UTC : 12,9 S 160,1 E. THE 06/11/25 1200 UTC : 12,8 S 159,5 E. THE 06/11/25 1800 UTC : 13,0 S 159,0 E. NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED THE 242100 UTC.= ** WTNT80 EGRR 241717 *** MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 24.11.2006 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ANALYSED OR FORECAST TO DEVELOP IN THIS AREA IN THE NEXT THREE DAYS THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 241717 ** WTPS01 NFFN 241500 *** GALE Warning 023 issued from RSMC NADI Nov 24/1740 UTC 2006 UTC. Tropical Cyclone YANI [995hPa] centre was located near 13.1 South 161.7 East at 241500 UTC. Position fair. Repeat position 13.1S 161.7E at 241500 UTC. Cyclone has become slow moving and continues to weaken rapidly. Expect sustained winds of 40 knots close to the centre decreasing to below gale force in the next 6 to 9 hours. Expect winds over 33 knots within 100 miles of centre in the southeastern semicircle and within 80 miles of centre in the northwestern semicircle. Forecast position near 13.3S 160.3E at 250300 UTC and near 13.9S 159.6E at 251500 UTC. All vessels within 300 nautical miles of the centre are requested to send reports every three hours to RSMC NADI. VOS reporting ships use normal channels. Other vessels fax plus 679 6720190 or email naditcc at met dot gov dot fj. This warning cancels and replaces warning 022. ** WTPS01 NFFN 241500 *** GALE Warning 023 issued from RSMC NADI Nov 24/1740 UTC 2006 UTC. Tropical Cyclone YANI [995hPa] centre was located near 13.1 South 161.7 East at 241500 UTC. Position fair. Repeat position 13.1S 161.7E at 241500 UTC. Cyclone has become slow moving and continues to weaken rapidly. Expect sustained winds of 40 knots close to the centre decreasing to below gale force in the next 6 to 9 hours. Expect winds over 33 knots within 100 miles of centre in the southeastern semicircle and within 80 miles of centre in the northwestern semicircle. Forecast position near 13.3S 160.3E at 250300 UTC and near 13.9S 159.6E at 251500 UTC. All vessels within 300 nautical miles of the centre are requested to send reports every three hours to RSMC NADI. VOS reporting ships use normal channels. Other vessels fax plus 679 6720190 or email naditcc at met dot gov dot fj. This warning cancels and replaces warning 022.