** WTSR20 WSSS 231800 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTPS11 NFFN 240000 *** Tropical Disturbance Advisory Number A10 issued from RSMC NADI Nov 24/0131 UTC 2006 UTC. Tropical Cyclone YANI [CAT 3] 04F [960hPa] centre was located near 14.2S 163.1E at 240000 UTC. Position good based on HRES MTSAT EIR/VIS imagery with animation. Cyclone moving south about 04 knots but expected to gradually turn south-southwest. Maximum 10-minute average winds estimated at 75 knots decreasing to 55 knots in the next 24 hours. Winds over 63 knots within 30 miles of centre, and winds above 47 knots within 50 miles of centre, and winds above 33 knots within 120 miles of centre in the southeastern semicircle and within 90 miles of centre in the northwestern semicircle. Cyclone rapidly weakening under strengthening shear. Eye no longer discernible on EIR but still evident on VIS. Convection warmed considerably past 4 hours. Outflow fair to south and restricted elsewhere. Dvorak based on Embedded centre pattern with LG surround yielding DT4.5. MET=3.0 and PAT =3.5. Final T =4.0, thus T4.0/5.0/W1.5/24hrs. A mid-level ridge to southeast is expected to steer Yani towards the south-southwest, into stronger shear and cooler SSTs. Global models generally agree on a south-southwest track. FORECAST: 12hrs valid 241200UTC near 15.1S 162.9E mov SSW at 04kt with 65kt close to centre. 24hrs valid 250000UTC near 15.9S 162.5E mov SSW at 04kt with 55kt close to centre. OUTLOOK: 36hrs valid 251200UTC near 16.7S 161.9E mov SSW at 05kt with 30kt close to centre. 48hrs valid 260000UTC near 17.3S 161.0E mov SSW at 05kt with 20kt close to centre. The next Tropical Disturbance Advisory on TC YANI will be issued around 240800 UTC. ** WTPS11 NFFN 240000 *** Tropical Disturbance Advisory Number A10 issued from RSMC NADI Nov 24/0131 UTC 2006 UTC. Tropical Cyclone YANI [CAT 3] 04F [960hPa] centre was located near 14.2S 163.1E at 240000 UTC. Position good based on HRES MTSAT EIR/VIS imagery with animation. Cyclone moving south about 04 knots but expected to gradually turn south-southwest. Maximum 10-minute average winds estimated at 75 knots decreasing to 55 knots in the next 24 hours. Winds over 63 knots within 30 miles of centre, and winds above 47 knots within 50 miles of centre, and winds above 33 knots within 120 miles of centre in the southeastern semicircle and within 90 miles of centre in the northwestern semicircle. Cyclone rapidly weakening under strengthening shear. Eye no longer discernible on EIR but still evident on VIS. Convection warmed considerably past 4 hours. Outflow fair to south and restricted elsewhere. Dvorak based on Embedded centre pattern with LG surround yielding DT4.5. MET=3.0 and PAT =3.5. Final T =4.0, thus T4.0/5.0/W1.5/24hrs. A mid-level ridge to southeast is expected to steer Yani towards the south-southwest, into stronger shear and cooler SSTs. Global models generally agree on a south-southwest track. FORECAST: 12hrs valid 241200UTC near 15.1S 162.9E mov SSW at 04kt with 65kt close to centre. 24hrs valid 250000UTC near 15.9S 162.5E mov SSW at 04kt with 55kt close to centre. OUTLOOK: 36hrs valid 251200UTC near 16.7S 161.9E mov SSW at 05kt with 30kt close to centre. 48hrs valid 260000UTC near 17.3S 161.0E mov SSW at 05kt with 20kt close to centre. The next Tropical Disturbance Advisory on TC YANI will be issued around 240800 UTC. ** WTPS31 PGTW 240300 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02P (YANI) WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 240000Z --- NEAR 14.2S 163.2E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 160 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 14.2S 163.2E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z --- 14.9S 163.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z --- 15.8S 163.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z --- 16.7S 162.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z --- 17.8S 162.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 240300Z POSITION NEAR 14.4S 163.2E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 02P (YANI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 340 NM SOUTH- EAST OF HONIARA, SOLOMON ISLANDS, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. RECENT ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL AND MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEAL A DECREASE IN DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS DUE TO THE COMBINED INFLUENCE OF INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MID TO UPPER TROPOSPHERIC WARMING AFTER SUNRISE. THE STORM IS TRACKING GENERALLY SOUTHWARD ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ANCHORED EAST OF THE SYSTEM. THE FORECAST CALLS FOR THE STORM TO MAINTAIN INTENSITY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS UNDER THE COMPETING INFLUENCES OF INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW. AFTER TAU 24, THE STORM IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AND FOLLOW THE LOW TO MID LEVEL SYNOPTIC FLOW TOWARD THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240000Z IS 23 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 241500Z AND 250300Z.// ** WTNC02 NWBB 222045 *** A: SPECIAL MARINE WEATHER ADVISORY NUMBER 001. B: STORM WARNING ISSUED THE 06/11/22 20:30 UTC. C: TROPICAL CYCLONE "YANI" LOCATED 12,8 S 162,9 E AT 221800. - POSITION FAIR. - CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED TO BE ABOUT 985 HPA. - TROPICAL CYCLONE MOVING EAST 05 KT. D: EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 50 KT (GUSTS 75 KT) WITHIN 35 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTER. WINDS ABOVE UP TO 46 KT (GUSTS 69 KT) WITHIN 35 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTER. WINDS ABOVE UP TO 33 KT (GUSTS 50 KT) BETWEEN 35 AND 120 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTER. E: "YANI" REINFORCED AND REACHED THE STORM FORCE EARLY THIS MORNING. IT WILL RECURVE ITS TRACK TOWARD SOUTH SOUTH-WEST IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. F: FORECAST : THE 06/11/23 0000 UTC : 12,7 S 162,6 E. THE 06/11/23 0600 UTC : 13,0 S 162,6 E. THE 06/11/23 1200 UTC : 13,4 S 162,4 E. THE 06/11/23 1800 UTC : 13,8 S 162,2 E. THE 06/11/24 0000 UTC : 14,1 S 161,9 E. NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED THE 230200 UTC.= ** WTNC02 NWBB 222045 *** A: SPECIAL MARINE WEATHER ADVISORY NUMBER 001. B: STORM WARNING ISSUED THE 06/11/22 20:30 UTC. C: TROPICAL CYCLONE "YANI" LOCATED 12,8 S 162,9 E AT 221800. - POSITION FAIR. - CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED TO BE ABOUT 985 HPA. - TROPICAL CYCLONE MOVING EAST 05 KT. D: EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 50 KT (GUSTS 75 KT) WITHIN 35 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTER. WINDS ABOVE UP TO 46 KT (GUSTS 69 KT) WITHIN 35 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTER. WINDS ABOVE UP TO 33 KT (GUSTS 50 KT) BETWEEN 35 AND 120 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTER. E: "YANI" REINFORCED AND REACHED THE STORM FORCE EARLY THIS MORNING. IT WILL RECURVE ITS TRACK TOWARD SOUTH SOUTH-WEST IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. F: FORECAST : THE 06/11/23 0000 UTC : 12,7 S 162,6 E. THE 06/11/23 0600 UTC : 13,0 S 162,6 E. THE 06/11/23 1200 UTC : 13,4 S 162,4 E. THE 06/11/23 1800 UTC : 13,8 S 162,2 E. THE 06/11/24 0000 UTC : 14,1 S 161,9 E. NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED THE 230200 UTC.= ** WTNT80 EGRR 240457 *** MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 24.11.2006 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ANALYSED OR FORECAST TO DEVELOP IN THIS AREA IN THE NEXT THREE DAYS THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 240457