** WTSR20 WSSS 211800 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTPS01 NFFN 220000 *** GALE Warning 011 issued from RSMC NADI Nov 22/0103 UTC 2006 UTC. Tropical Cyclone YANI [995hPa] centre was located near 12.3 South 162.5 East at 220000 UTC. Position fair. Repeat position 12.3S 162.5E at 220000 UTC. Cyclone moving southeast at about 04 knots but expected to gradually turn southwest. Cyclone intensifying. Expect sustained winds of 35 knots within 120 miles of centre in the southeastern semicircle and within 60 miles of centre in the northern semicircle, increasing to 45 knots in the next 12 to 24 hours. Forecast position near 13.2S 162.8E at 221200 UTC and near 14.0S 162.5E at 230000 UTC. All vessels within 300 nautical miles of the centre are requested to send reports every three hours to RSMC NADI. VOS reporting ships use normal channels. Other vessels fax plus 679 6720190 or email naditcc at met dot gov dot fj. This warning cancels and replaces warning 010. ** WTPS01 NFFN 220000 *** GALE Warning 011 issued from RSMC NADI Nov 22/0103 UTC 2006 UTC. Tropical Cyclone YANI [995hPa] centre was located near 12.3 South 162.5 East at 220000 UTC. Position fair. Repeat position 12.3S 162.5E at 220000 UTC. Cyclone moving southeast at about 04 knots but expected to gradually turn southwest. Cyclone intensifying. Expect sustained winds of 35 knots within 120 miles of centre in the southeastern semicircle and within 60 miles of centre in the northern semicircle, increasing to 45 knots in the next 12 to 24 hours. Forecast position near 13.2S 162.8E at 221200 UTC and near 14.0S 162.5E at 230000 UTC. All vessels within 300 nautical miles of the centre are requested to send reports every three hours to RSMC NADI. VOS reporting ships use normal channels. Other vessels fax plus 679 6720190 or email naditcc at met dot gov dot fj. This warning cancels and replaces warning 010. ** WTPS01 NFFN 220000 *** GALE Warning 011 issued from RSMC NADI Nov 22/0103 UTC 2006 UTC. Tropical Cyclone YANI [995hPa] centre was located near 12.3 South 162.5 East at 220000 UTC. Position fair. Repeat position 12.3S 162.5E at 220000 UTC. Cyclone moving southeast at about 04 knots but expected to gradually turn southwest. Cyclone intensifying. Expect sustained winds of 35 knots within 120 miles of centre in the southeastern semicircle and within 60 miles of centre in the northern semicircle, increasing to 45 knots in the next 12 to 24 hours. Forecast position near 13.2S 162.8E at 221200 UTC and near 14.0S 162.5E at 230000 UTC. All vessels within 300 nautical miles of the centre are requested to send reports every three hours to RSMC NADI. VOS reporting ships use normal channels. Other vessels fax plus 679 6720190 or email naditcc at met dot gov dot fj. This warning cancels and replaces warning 010. ** WTPS11 NFFN 220000 *** Tropical Disturbance Advisory Number A2 issued from RSMC NADI Nov 22/0214 UTC 2006 UTC. Tropical Cyclone YANI 04F [995hPa] centre was located near 12.3S 162.5E at 220000 UTC moving southeast about 04 knots. Position fair based on HRES MTSAT VIS and EIR imageries with animation. Maximum 10-minute average winds estimated at 35 knots within 120 miles of centre in the southern semicircle and within 60 miles of centre in the northern semicircle increasing to 45 knots in the next 12 to 24 hours. Organisation steadily increasing with primary band wrapping tightly around llcc. Convection increased spatially and tops have begun cooling again after a brief warming. Outflow good to south but restricted elsewhere. Dvorak based on curved band wrap of 0.6 on log10 spiral thus T3.0/3.0/D2.0/24hrs. Cyclone is located just south of a 250-hPa rige axis in a region of 5-10kt shear. SST around 28-29C. Global models struggling with Yani. Obtaining a sensible consensus impossible. System expected to move southeast further before turning southwest under a north to northeast steering regime in the next 24 hours. FORECAST: 12hrs valid 221200UTC near 13.2S 162.8E mov SSE at 04kt with 40kt close to centre. 24hrs valid 230000UTC near 14.5S 162.5E mov SSW at 04kt with 45kt close to centre. OUTLOOK: 36hrs valid 231200UTC near 14.3S 161.8E mov SW at 05kt with 50kt close to centre. 48hrs valid 240000UTC near 14.8S 161.0E mov SW at 05kt with 55kt close to centre. The next Tropical Disturbance Advisory on TC YANI will be issued around 220800 UTC. ** WTPS11 NFFN 220000 *** Tropical Disturbance Advisory Number A2 issued from RSMC NADI Nov 22/0214 UTC 2006 UTC. Tropical Cyclone YANI 04F [995hPa] centre was located near 12.3S 162.5E at 220000 UTC moving southeast about 04 knots. Position fair based on HRES MTSAT VIS and EIR imageries with animation. Maximum 10-minute average winds estimated at 35 knots within 120 miles of centre in the southern semicircle and within 60 miles of centre in the northern semicircle increasing to 45 knots in the next 12 to 24 hours. Organisation steadily increasing with primary band wrapping tightly around llcc. Convection increased spatially and tops have begun cooling again after a brief warming. Outflow good to south but restricted elsewhere. Dvorak based on curved band wrap of 0.6 on log10 spiral thus T3.0/3.0/D2.0/24hrs. Cyclone is located just south of a 250-hPa rige axis in a region of 5-10kt shear. SST around 28-29C. Global models struggling with Yani. Obtaining a sensible consensus impossible. System expected to move southeast further before turning southwest under a north to northeast steering regime in the next 24 hours. FORECAST: 12hrs valid 221200UTC near 13.2S 162.8E mov SSE at 04kt with 40kt close to centre. 24hrs valid 230000UTC near 14.5S 162.5E mov SSW at 04kt with 45kt close to centre. OUTLOOK: 36hrs valid 231200UTC near 14.3S 161.8E mov SW at 05kt with 50kt close to centre. 48hrs valid 240000UTC near 14.8S 161.0E mov SW at 05kt with 55kt close to centre. The next Tropical Disturbance Advisory on TC YANI will be issued around 220800 UTC. ** WTPS01 NFFN 220000 *** GALE Warning 011 issued from RSMC NADI Nov 22/0103 UTC 2006 UTC. Tropical Cyclone YANI [995hPa] centre was located near 12.3 South 162.5 East at 220000 UTC. Position fair. Repeat position 12.3S 162.5E at 220000 UTC. Cyclone moving southeast at about 04 knots but expected to gradually turn southwest. Cyclone intensifying. Expect sustained winds of 35 knots within 120 miles of centre in the southeastern semicircle and within 60 miles of centre in the northern semicircle, increasing to 45 knots in the next 12 to 24 hours. Forecast position near 13.2S 162.8E at 221200 UTC and near 14.0S 162.5E at 230000 UTC. All vessels within 300 nautical miles of the centre are requested to send reports every three hours to RSMC NADI. VOS reporting ships use normal channels. Other vessels fax plus 679 6720190 or email naditcc at met dot gov dot fj. This warning cancels and replaces warning 010. ** WTPS11 NFFN 220000 *** Tropical Disturbance Advisory Number A2 issued from RSMC NADI Nov 22/0214 UTC 2006 UTC. Tropical Cyclone YANI 04F [995hPa] centre was located near 12.3S 162.5E at 220000 UTC moving southeast about 04 knots. Position fair based on HRES MTSAT VIS and EIR imageries with animation. Maximum 10-minute average winds estimated at 35 knots within 120 miles of centre in the southern semicircle and within 60 miles of centre in the northern semicircle increasing to 45 knots in the next 12 to 24 hours. Organisation steadily increasing with primary band wrapping tightly around llcc. Convection increased spatially and tops have begun cooling again after a brief warming. Outflow good to south but restricted elsewhere. Dvorak based on curved band wrap of 0.6 on log10 spiral thus T3.0/3.0/D2.0/24hrs. Cyclone is located just south of a 250-hPa rige axis in a region of 5-10kt shear. SST around 28-29C. Global models struggling with Yani. Obtaining a sensible consensus impossible. System expected to move southeast further before turning southwest under a north to northeast steering regime in the next 24 hours. FORECAST: 12hrs valid 221200UTC near 13.2S 162.8E mov SSE at 04kt with 40kt close to centre. 24hrs valid 230000UTC near 14.5S 162.5E mov SSW at 04kt with 45kt close to centre. OUTLOOK: 36hrs valid 231200UTC near 14.3S 161.8E mov SW at 05kt with 50kt close to centre. 48hrs valid 240000UTC near 14.8S 161.0E mov SW at 05kt with 55kt close to centre. The next Tropical Disturbance Advisory on TC YANI will be issued around 220800 UTC. ** WTPS31 PGTW 220300 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/ PEARL HARBOR HI/211651ZNOV2006// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02P WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 220000Z --- NEAR 11.9S 162.4E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 115 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 11.9S 162.4E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z --- 12.0S 162.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z --- 12.3S 162.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z --- 12.8S 162.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z --- 13.6S 162.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 220300Z POSITION NEAR 11.9S 162.5E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 02P (NONAME), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 205 NM SOUTHEAST OF HONIARA, SOLOMON ISLANDS, HAS TRACKED EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. A 212101Z SSMI IMAGE INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM HAS CONTINUED TO CONSOLIDATE RAPIDLY OVER THE PAST 06-12 HOURS WITH DEEP CONVECTIVE CURVED BANDING. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED ON THE NORTHERN EDGE OF THIS BANDING. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND UPPER AIR ANALYSIS DEPICT VERY GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW ASSOCIATED WITH STRONG SUBTROPICAL WESTERLIES ENHANCED BY A MIDLATITUDE TROUGH SITUATED OVER THE CORAL SEA. TC 02P IS LOCATED WITHIN A WEAK STEERING ENVIRONMENT AND HAS BEEN GENERALLY QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. AS THE SYSTEM STRENGTHENS IT IS FORECAST TO TRACK SLOWLY SOUTHWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE, WHICH WILL STRENGTHEN EAST OF THE SYSTEM. AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 211651Z NOV 06 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS21 PGTW 211700). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220000Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 221500Z AND 230300Z.//