** WTSR20 WSSS 210600 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTIN20 DEMS 170650 *** TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK ------------------------ DEMS - RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI 21-11-2006 (.) TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR THE NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL AND ARABIAN SEA ) VALID FOR NEXT 24 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC (.) IN ASSOCIATION WITH LOW PRESSURE AREA OVER SOUTH EAST AND ADJOINING EAST CENTRAL ARABIAN SEA CONVECTIVE CLOUDS ARE SEEN OVER SOUTH EAST ARABIAN SEA AND OVER PARTS OF EAST CENTRAL ARABIAN SEA (.) CONVECTIVE CLOUDS ARE ALSO SEEN OVER COMMORIAN AND MALDIVES AREA AND OVER PARTS OF SOUTH BAY OF BENGAL(.) RIDGE LINE AT 200 HPA OVER THE INDIAN REGION PASSES THROUGH 10.0 DEG N (.) ** WTNT80 EGRR 211653 *** MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 21.11.2006 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SERGIO ANALYSED POSITION : 15.9N 109.0W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP212006 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 21.11.2006 15.9N 109.0W WEAK 00UTC 22.11.2006 16.7N 111.0W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 22.11.2006 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 211653 ** WTPS21 PGTW 211700 *** SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 211651Z NOV 06// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 170 NM RADIUS OF 12.8S 161.7E WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 211430Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 12.5S 162.0E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 221700Z. // SH, 92, 2006111706, , BEST, 0, 58S, 1766E, 20, 1004, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, SH, 92, 2006111712, , BEST, 0, 61S, 1745E, 20, 1004, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, SH, 92, 2006111718, , BEST, 0, 67S, 1722E, 20, 1004, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, SH, 92, 2006111800, , BEST, 0, 74S, 1702E, 20, 1004, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, SH, 92, 2006111806, , BEST, 0, 85S, 1680E, 20, 1004, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, SH, 92, 2006111812, , BEST, 0, 94S, 1669E, 20, 1004, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, SH, 92, 2006111818, , BEST, 0, 103S, 1656E, 20, 1004, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, SH, 92, 2006111900, , BEST, 0, 106S, 1651E, 20, 1004, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, SH, 92, 2006111906, , BEST, 0, 109S, 1645E, 20, 1004, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, SH, 92, 2006111912, , BEST, 0, 114S, 1633E, 20, 1004, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, SH, 92, 2006111918, , BEST, 0, 116S, 1624E, 20, 1004, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, SH, 92, 2006112000, , BEST, 0, 120S, 1616E, 20, 1004, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, SH, 92, 2006112006, , BEST, 0, 124S, 1610E, 20, 1004, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, SH, 92, 2006112012, , BEST, 0, 127S, 1608E, 20, 1004, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, SH, 92, 2006112018, , BEST, 0, 129S, 1610E, 20, 1004, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, SH, 92, 2006112100, , BEST, 0, 129S, 1614E, 20, 1004, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, SH, 92, 2006112106, , BEST, 0, 128S, 1617E, 20, 1004, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, SH, 92, 2006112112, , BEST, 0, 125S, 1620E, 20, 1003, DB, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1008, 170, 40, 0, 0, P, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S,