** WTPQ20 BABJ 131800 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS CHEBI 0621 (0620) INITIAL TIME 131800 UTC 00HR 16.8N 112.0E 994HPA 20M/S 30KTS 150KM P12HR NW 15KM/H P+24HR 17.8N 110.0E 996HPA 18M/S= ** WTJP21 RJTD 131800 *** WARNING 131800. WARNING VALID 141800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0620 CHEBI (0620) 1000 HPA AT 16.3N 112.0E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST SLOWLY. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 141800UTC AT 16.5N 109.6E WITH 80 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 1004 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 151800UTC AT 16.8N 107.8E WITH 150 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 1008 HPA. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 131800 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TS 0620 CHEBI (0620) ANALYSIS PSTN 131800UTC 16.3N 112.0E FAIR MOVE W SLOWLY PRES 1000HPA MXWD 035KT 30KT 80NM FORECAST 24HF 141800UTC 16.5N 109.6E 80NM 70% MOVE W SLOWLY PRES 1004HPA MXWD 035KT 48HF 151800UTC 16.8N 107.8E 150NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION = ** WTPQ20 BABJ 131900 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS CHEBI 0621 (0620) INITIAL TIME 131900 UTC 00HR 16.8N 111.9E 996HPA 18M/S 30KTS 150KM P12HR NW 10KM/H= ** WTKO20 RKSL 131800 *** KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 10 NAME TS 0620 CHEBI ANALYSIS POSITION 131800UTC 16.3N 112.0E MOVEMENT W 5KT PRES/VMAX 1000HPA 35KT FORECAST 24HR POSITION 141800UTC 17.1N 110.0E WITHIN 80NM PRES/VMAX 1004HPA 35KT 48HR POSITION 151800UTC 18.4N 108.4E WITHIN 0NM PRES 1004HPA KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION. ** WTSS20 VHHH 131345 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 131200 UTC, TROPICAL STORM CHEBI (0620) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE SIX POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (16.0 N) ONE ONE TWO POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (112.6 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 9 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 45 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 90 NAUTICAL MILES OVER NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 60 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 141200 UTC ONE SEVEN POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (17.0 N) ONE ZERO NINE POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (109.1 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 151200 UTC ONE EIGHT POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (18.1 N) ONE ZERO SIX POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (106.8 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 161200 UTC DISSIPATED OVER LAND. ** WTSS20 VHHH 131945 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 131800 UTC, TROPICAL STORM CHEBI (0620) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE SIX POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (16.2 N) ONE ONE ONE POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (111.9 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 9 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 35 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 60 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 141800 UTC ONE SEVEN POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (17.3 N) ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (108.5 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 151800 UTC ONE EIGHT POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (18.4 N) ONE ZERO SIX POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (106.2 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 161800 UTC DISSIPATED OVER LAND. ** WTSS20 VHHH 131945 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 131800 UTC, TROPICAL STORM CHEBI (0620) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE SIX POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (16.2 N) ONE ONE ONE POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (111.9 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 9 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 35 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 60 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 141800 UTC ONE SEVEN POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (17.3 N) ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (108.5 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 151800 UTC ONE EIGHT POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (18.4 N) ONE ZERO SIX POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (106.2 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 161800 UTC DISSIPATED OVER LAND. ** WTPQ20 BABJ 132000 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS CHEBI 0621 (0620) INITIAL TIME 132000 UTC 00HR 16.9N 111.8E 996HPA 18M/S 30KTS 150KM P12HR NNW 10KM/H= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 132100 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS CHEBI 0621 (0620) INITIAL TIME 132100 UTC 00HR 17.0N 111.7E 996HPA 18M/S 30KTS 150KM P12HR WNW 10KM/H P+24HR 17.9N 109.3E 1000HPA 15M/S= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 132100 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TS 0620 CHEBI (0620) ANALYSIS PSTN 132100UTC 16.3N 111.6E FAIR MOVE W SLOWLY PRES 1000HPA MXWD 035KT 30KT 80NM FORECAST 24HF 142100UTC 16.5N 109.0E 80NM 70% MOVE W 06KT PRES 1004HPA MXWD 035KT 45HF 151800UTC 16.8N 107.8E 150NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION = ** WTPQ30 RJTD 131800 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING REASONING NO.12 FOR TS 0620 CHEBI (0620) 5.REMARKS GUIDANCE FOR FORECAST BY NUMERICAL MODEL ON TS 0620 CHEBI (0620) AT 18 UTC IS VALID TILL 30 HOURS. THIS IS A SPECIAL ISSUE TO REPORT VALID PORTION OF RSMC GUIDANCE FOR FORECAST.= ** WTPN31 PGTW 132100 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 23W (CHEBI) WARNING NR 020 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 131800Z --- NEAR 16.7N 112.0E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.7N 112.0E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z --- 17.4N 111.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z --- 18.0N 110.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z --- 18.6N 109.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z --- 19.2N 108.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z --- 20.2N 108.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 132100Z POSITION NEAR 16.9N 111.7E. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 23W (CHEBI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 430 NM SOUTHEAST OF HANOI, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. TS 23W REMAINS UNDER MODERATE, SOUTHERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, WHICH IS SHEARING THE DEEP CONVECTION NORTHWARD. THE SYSTEM CENTER IS LOCATED SOUTH OF THIS FLARING CONVECTION. TS 23W WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY STEERED BY THE LOWER LEVEL EAST-SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW, CAUSING IT TO TRACK TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131800Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 140300Z, 140900Z, 141500Z AND 142100Z.// ** WTPQ20 BABJ 132200 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS CHEBI 0621 (0620) INITIAL TIME 132200 UTC 00HR 17.1N 111.6E 996HPA 18M/S 30KTS 150KM P12HR WNW 10KM/H= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 132300 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS CHEBI 0621 (0620) INITIAL TIME 132300 UTC 00HR 17.1N 111.5E 996HPA 18M/S 30KTS 150KM P12HR WNW 10KM/H= ** WTSS20 VHHH 132245 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 132100 UTC, TROPICAL DEPRESSION CHEBI (0620) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE SIX POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (16.3 N) ONE ONE ONE POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (111.5 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 8 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 30 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 45 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 142100 UTC ONE SIX POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (16.7 N) ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (108.5 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 152100 UTC DISSIPATED OVER LAND. ** WTSS20 VHHH 132245 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 132100 UTC, TROPICAL DEPRESSION CHEBI (0620) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE SIX POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (16.3 N) ONE ONE ONE POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (111.5 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 8 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 30 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 45 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 142100 UTC ONE SIX POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (16.7 N) ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (108.5 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 152100 UTC DISSIPATED OVER LAND.