** WTPH20 RPMM 121200 *** TTT STORM WARNING 17 (FINAL) AT 1200 12 NOVEMBER SEVERE TROPICAL STORM (CHEBI)(0620) WAS ESTIMATED BASED ON SATELLITE AND SURFACE DATA AT ONE FIVE POINT TWO NORTH ONE ONE FIVE POINT ZERO EAST FORECAST TO MOVE WEST AT ZERO EIGHT METERS PER SECOND ROUGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN TWO FIVE ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS FROM CENTER ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE NINE EIGHT FOUR HECTOPASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS TWO EIGHT METERS PER SECOND NEAR CENTER ONE THREE METERS PER SECOND WITHIN TWO FIVE ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS FROM CENTER FORECAST POSITION AT 131200 ONE FIVE POINT FOUR NORTH ONE ONE ONE POINT TWO EAST WITH THIS DEVELOPMENT THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS WEATHER DISTURBANCE FROM WEATHER MANILA PD WEATHER MANILA= ** WTJP21 RJTD 121800 *** WARNING 121800. WARNING VALID 131800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0620 CHEBI (0620) 990 HPA AT 15.2N 113.8E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 11 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 130 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 131800UTC AT 15.6N 110.2E WITH 80 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 992 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 141800UTC AT 16.4N 107.3E WITH 150 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 1000 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 151800UTC AT 17.2N 104.2E WITH 220 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 1004 HPA. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 121800 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME STS 0620 CHEBI (0620) ANALYSIS PSTN 121800UTC 15.2N 113.8E FAIR MOVE W 11KT PRES 990HPA MXWD 050KT 30KT 130NM FORECAST 24HF 131800UTC 15.6N 110.2E 80NM 70% MOVE W 08KT PRES 992HPA MXWD 045KT 48HF 141800UTC 16.4N 107.3E 150NM 70% MOVE W 07KT PRES 1000HPA MXWD 035KT 72HF 151800UTC 17.2N 104.2E 220NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION = ** WTPQ20 BABJ 121800 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST STS CHEBI 0621 (0620) INITIAL TIME 121800 UTC 00HR 15.3N 114.0E 980HPA 30M/S 30KTS 200KM 50KTS 60KM P12HR W 25KM/H P+24HR 15.9N 110.3E 988HPA 25M/S P+48HR 17.0N 108.1E 990HPA 23M/S P+72HR 18.5N 106.3E 996HPA 18M/S= ** WTKO20 RKSL 121800 *** KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 8 NAME STS 0620 CHEBI ANALYSIS POSITION 121800UTC 15.2N 113.8E MOVEMENT W 11KT PRES/VMAX 990HPA 49KT FORECAST 24HR POSITION 131800UTC 15.9N 110.3E WITHIN 80NM PRES/VMAX 992HPA 52KT 48HR POSITION 141800UTC 16.5N 107.5E WITHIN 135NM PRES/VMAX 995HPA 45KT 72HR POSITION 151800UTC 17.5N 104.5E WITHIN 0NM PRES 1000HPA KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION. ** WTSS20 VHHH 121945 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 121800 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM CHEBI (0620) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE FIVE POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (15.1 N) ONE ONE FOUR POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (114.0 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 9 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 55 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 150 NAUTICAL MILES OVER SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 120 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 131800 UTC ONE FIVE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (15.6 N) ONE ONE ZERO POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (110.4 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 141800 UTC ONE SIX POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (16.9 N) ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (107.9 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 151800 UTC ONE EIGHT POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (18.2 N) ONE ZERO SIX POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (106.1 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS. ** WTSS20 VHHH 121945 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 121800 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM CHEBI (0620) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE FIVE POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (15.1 N) ONE ONE FOUR POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (114.0 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 9 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 55 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 150 NAUTICAL MILES OVER SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 120 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 131800 UTC ONE FIVE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (15.6 N) ONE ONE ZERO POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (110.4 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 141800 UTC ONE SIX POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (16.9 N) ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (107.9 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 151800 UTC ONE EIGHT POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (18.2 N) ONE ZERO SIX POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (106.1 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS. ** WTPN31 PGTW 122100 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 23W (CHEBI) WARNING NR 016 DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON 23W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 121800Z --- NEAR 15.2N 114.2E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.2N 114.2E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z --- 15.6N 112.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z --- 16.3N 111.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z --- 16.9N 110.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z --- 17.8N 109.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z --- 19.0N 108.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 03 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z --- 20.1N 108.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 122100Z POSITION NEAR 15.3N 113.8E. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 23W (CHEBI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 590 NM SOUTHEAST OF HANOI, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121800Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 130300Z, 130900Z, 131500Z AND 132100Z.// ** WTPQ20 BABJ 122100 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST STS CHEBI 0621 (0620) INITIAL TIME 122100 UTC 00HR 15.3N 113.7E 985HPA 28M/S 30KTS 200KM 50KTS 50KM P12HR W 20KM/H P+24HR 16.0N 110.1E 990HPA 23M/S P+48HR 17.3N 107.9E 995HPA 20M/S P+72HR 18.6N 106.3E 1000HPA 16M/S= ** WTJP31 RJTD 122100 *** WARNING 122100. WARNING VALID 132100. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0620 CHEBI (0620) 990 HPA AT 15.2N 113.7E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 07 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 130 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 132100UTC AT 15.7N 109.7E WITH 80 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 994 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 122100 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME STS 0620 CHEBI (0620) ANALYSIS PSTN 122100UTC 15.2N 113.7E FAIR MOVE W 07KT PRES 990HPA MXWD 050KT 30KT 130NM FORECAST 24HF 132100UTC 15.7N 109.7E 80NM 70% MOVE W 08KT PRES 994HPA MXWD 045KT 45HF 141800UTC 16.4N 107.3E 150NM 70% MOVE W 07KT PRES 1000HPA MXWD 035KT 69HF 151800UTC 17.2N 104.2E 220NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION = ** WTSS20 VHHH 122245 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 122100 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM CHEBI (0620) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE FIVE POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (15.1 N) ONE ONE THREE POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (113.7 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 9 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 55 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES OVER NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 60 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 150 NAUTICAL MILES OVER NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 120 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 132100 UTC ONE FIVE POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (15.7 N) ONE ONE ZERO POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (110.1 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 142100 UTC ONE SEVEN POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (17.1 N) ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (107.7 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 152100 UTC ONE EIGHT POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (18.4 N) ONE ZERO FIVE POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (105.9 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS. ** WTSS20 VHHH 122245 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 122100 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM CHEBI (0620) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE FIVE POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (15.1 N) ONE ONE THREE POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (113.7 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 9 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 55 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES OVER NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 60 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 150 NAUTICAL MILES OVER NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 120 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 132100 UTC ONE FIVE POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (15.7 N) ONE ONE ZERO POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (110.1 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 142100 UTC ONE SEVEN POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (17.1 N) ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (107.7 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 152100 UTC ONE EIGHT POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (18.4 N) ONE ZERO FIVE POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (105.9 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.