** WTSR20 WSSS 071800 ***
NO STORM WARNING=


** WTPN21 PHNC 072330 ***
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 072330Z NOV 06//
RMKS/
1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN
160 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 11.5N 102.5W TO 14.6N 107.8W
WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY
ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME.
WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT
IMAGERY AT 071800Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED
NEAR 12.0N 103.4W. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS.
2. REMARKS: AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 12.0N 103.4W,
APPROXIMATELY 355 NM SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO, MEXICO. RECENT
MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 072102Z AMSU IMAGE REVEAL
PERSISTENT CONVECTION OVER A DEVELOPING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION
CENTER (LLCC). A 071303Z QUIKSCAT IMAGE AND RECENT SYNOPTIC SHIP
OBSERVATIONS REPORT SURFACE WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 25 KNOTS NEAR
THE LLCC. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES GOOD DIVERGENCE ALOFT AND
LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WIND SPEEDS ARE
ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED
TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD.
3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY
082330Z.//