** WTPQ20 BABJ 041800 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TD CIMARON 0620 (0619) INITIAL TIME 041800 UTC 00HR 15.7N 115.9E 998HPA 16M/S P12HR SW 5KM/H P+24HR 15.1N 114.9E 1002HPA 13M/S= ** WTJP21 RJTD 041800 *** WARNING 041800. WARNING VALID 051800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0619 CIMARON (0619) 996 HPA AT 15.7N 115.5E SOUTH CHINA SEA ALMOST STATIONARY. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 100 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 051800UTC AT 15.1N 114.8E WITH 80 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 996 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 061800UTC AT 14.8N 114.0E WITH 150 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 996 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 071800UTC AT 14.3N 113.0E WITH 220 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 1000 HPA. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 041800 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TS 0619 CIMARON (0619) ANALYSIS PSTN 041800UTC 15.7N 115.5E FAIR MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY PRES 996HPA MXWD 035KT 30KT 100NM FORECAST 24HF 051800UTC 15.1N 114.8E 80NM 70% MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY PRES 996HPA MXWD 035KT 48HF 061800UTC 14.8N 114.0E 150NM 70% MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY PRES 996HPA MXWD 035KT 72HF 071800UTC 14.3N 113.0E 220NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION = ** WTKO20 RKSL 041800 *** KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 18 NAME TS 0619 CIMARON ANALYSIS POSITION 041800UTC 15.7N 115.5E MOVEMENT S 4KT PRES/VMAX 996HPA 35KT FORECAST 24HR POSITION 051800UTC 14.9N 114.5E WITHIN 80NM PRES/VMAX 996HPA 35KT 48HR POSITION 061800UTC 14.5N 113.9E WITHIN 135NM PRES/VMAX 996HPA 35KT 72HR POSITION 071800UTC 14.1N 112.8E WITHIN 0NM PRES 996HPA KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION. ** WTSS20 VHHH 041945 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 041800 UTC, TROPICAL DEPRESSION CIMARON (0619) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE FIVE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (15.6 N) ONE ONE FIVE POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (115.6 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE SOUTHWEST OR SOUTH-SOUTHWEST SLOWLY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 30 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES OVER NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 120 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 051800 UTC ONE FOUR POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (14.3 N) ONE ONE FOUR POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (114.5 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 061800 UTC DISSIPATED OVER SEA. ** WTSS20 VHHH 041945 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 041800 UTC, TROPICAL DEPRESSION CIMARON (0619) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE FIVE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (15.6 N) ONE ONE FIVE POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (115.6 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE SOUTHWEST OR SOUTH-SOUTHWEST SLOWLY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 30 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES OVER NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 120 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 051800 UTC ONE FOUR POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (14.3 N) ONE ONE FOUR POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (114.5 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 061800 UTC DISSIPATED OVER SEA. ** WTPQ20 RJTD 042100 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TS 0619 CIMARON (0619) ANALYSIS PSTN 042100UTC 15.6N 115.3E FAIR MOVE WSW SLOWLY PRES 996HPA MXWD 035KT 30KT 100NM FORECAST 24HF 052100UTC 15.1N 114.6E 80NM 70% MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY PRES 996HPA MXWD 035KT 45HF 061800UTC 14.8N 114.0E 150NM 70% MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY PRES 996HPA MXWD 035KT 69HF 071800UTC 14.3N 113.0E 220NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION = ** WTSS20 VHHH 042245 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 042100 UTC, TROPICAL DEPRESSION CIMARON (0619) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE FIVE POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (15.4 N) ONE ONE FIVE POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (115.4 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE SOUTH OR SOUTH-SOUTHWEST SLOWLY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 30 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES OVER NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 120 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 052100 UTC ONE FOUR POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (14.2 N) ONE ONE THREE POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (113.8 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 062100 UTC DISSIPATED OVER SEA. ** WTSS20 VHHH 042245 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 042100 UTC, TROPICAL DEPRESSION CIMARON (0619) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE FIVE POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (15.4 N) ONE ONE FIVE POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (115.4 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE SOUTH OR SOUTH-SOUTHWEST SLOWLY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 30 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES OVER NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 120 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 052100 UTC ONE FOUR POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (14.2 N) ONE ONE THREE POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (113.8 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 062100 UTC DISSIPATED OVER SEA.