** WTSR20 WSSS 040600 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 041200 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TS 0619 CIMARON (0619) ANALYSIS PSTN 041200UTC 15.9N 115.8E FAIR MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY PRES 996HPA MXWD 035KT 30KT 100NM FORECAST 24HF 051200UTC 15.4N 115.2E 80NM 70% MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY PRES 996HPA MXWD 035KT 48HF 061200UTC 15.0N 114.3E 150NM 70% MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY PRES 996HPA MXWD 035KT 72HF 071200UTC 14.6N 113.5E 220NM 70% MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY PRES 996HPA MXWD 035KT = ** WTJP21 RJTD 041200 *** WARNING 041200. WARNING VALID 051200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0619 CIMARON (0619) 996 HPA AT 15.9N 115.8E NORTHERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA ALMOST STATIONARY. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 100 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 051200UTC AT 15.4N 115.2E WITH 80 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 996 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 061200UTC AT 15.0N 114.3E WITH 150 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 996 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 071200UTC AT 14.6N 113.5E WITH 220 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 996 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 041200 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TD CIMARON 0620 (0619) INITIAL TIME 041200 UTC 00HR 15.8N 115.9E 998HPA 16M/S P12HR SW 5KM/H P+24HR 15.3N 114.9E 1002HPA 13M/S= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 041200 CCA *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TD CIMARON 0620 (0619) INITIAL TIME 041200 UTC 00HR 15.8N 115.9E 998HPA 16M/S P12HR SW 5KM/H P+24HR 15.3N 114.9E 1002HPA 13M/S= ** WTSS20 VHHH 041345 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 041200 UTC, TROPICAL DEPRESSION CIMARON (0619) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE FIVE POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (15.7 N) ONE ONE FIVE POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (115.7 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE SOUTHWEST OR SOUTH-SOUTHWEST SLOWLY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 30 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES OVER NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 120 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 051200 UTC ONE FOUR POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (14.6 N) ONE ONE FOUR POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (114.9 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 061200 UTC DISSIPATED OVER SEA. ** WTSS20 VHHH 041345 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 041200 UTC, TROPICAL DEPRESSION CIMARON (0619) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE FIVE POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (15.7 N) ONE ONE FIVE POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (115.7 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE SOUTHWEST OR SOUTH-SOUTHWEST SLOWLY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 30 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES OVER NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 120 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 051200 UTC ONE FOUR POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (14.6 N) ONE ONE FOUR POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (114.9 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 061200 UTC DISSIPATED OVER SEA. ** WTPQ20 RJTD 041500 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TS 0619 CIMARON (0619) ANALYSIS PSTN 041500UTC 15.8N 115.6E FAIR MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY PRES 996HPA MXWD 035KT 30KT 100NM FORECAST 24HF 051500UTC 15.3N 115.1E 80NM 70% MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY PRES 996HPA MXWD 035KT 45HF 061200UTC 15.0N 114.3E 150NM 70% MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY PRES 996HPA MXWD 035KT 69HF 071200UTC 14.6N 113.5E 220NM 70% MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY PRES 996HPA MXWD 035KT = ** WTPQ20 RJTD 041500 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TS 0619 CIMARON (0619) ANALYSIS PSTN 041500UTC 15.8N 115.6E FAIR MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY PRES 996HPA MXWD 035KT 30KT 100NM FORECAST 24HF 051500UTC 15.3N 115.1E 80NM 70% MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY PRES 996HPA MXWD 035KT 45HF 061200UTC 15.0N 114.3E 150NM 70% MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY PRES 996HPA MXWD 035KT 69HF 071200UTC 14.6N 113.5E 220NM 70% MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY PRES 996HPA MXWD 035KT = ** WTSS20 VHHH 041645 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 041500 UTC, TROPICAL DEPRESSION CIMARON (0619) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE FIVE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (15.6 N) ONE ONE FIVE POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (115.7 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE SOUTHWEST OR SOUTH-SOUTHWEST SLOWLY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 30 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES OVER NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 120 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 051500 UTC ONE FOUR POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (14.4 N) ONE ONE FOUR POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (114.7 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 061500 UTC DISSIPATED OVER SEA. ** WTSS20 VHHH 041645 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 041500 UTC, TROPICAL DEPRESSION CIMARON (0619) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE FIVE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (15.6 N) ONE ONE FIVE POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (115.7 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE SOUTHWEST OR SOUTH-SOUTHWEST SLOWLY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 30 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES OVER NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 120 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 051500 UTC ONE FOUR POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (14.4 N) ONE ONE FOUR POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (114.7 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 061500 UTC DISSIPATED OVER SEA. ** WTNT80 EGRR 041729 *** MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 04.11.2006 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ANALYSED OR FORECAST TO DEVELOP IN THIS AREA IN THE NEXT THREE DAYS THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 041729