** WTPQ20 BABJ 031800 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS CIMARON 0620 (0619) INITIAL TIME 031800 UTC 00HR 16.8N 116.1E 990HPA 20M/S 30KTS 250KM P12HR SW 10KM/H P+24HR 16.0N 114.9E 998HPA 16M/S= ** WTJP21 RJTD 031800 *** WARNING 031800. WARNING VALID 041800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0619 CIMARON (0619) DOWNGRADED FROM SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 990 HPA AT 16.7N 115.9E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING SOUTHWEST SLOWLY. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 041800UTC AT 16.2N 115.1E WITH 80 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 051800UTC AT 15.9N 114.4E WITH 150 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 061800UTC AT 15.7N 113.7E WITH 220 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 031800 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TS 0619 CIMARON (0619) DOWNGRADED FROM STS ANALYSIS PSTN 031800UTC 16.7N 115.9E FAIR MOVE SW SLOWLY PRES 990HPA MXWD 045KT 30KT 180NM NORTHEAST 150NM SOUTHWEST FORECAST 24HF 041800UTC 16.2N 115.1E 80NM 70% MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY PRES 990HPA MXWD 045KT 48HF 051800UTC 15.9N 114.4E 150NM 70% MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY PRES 985HPA MXWD 050KT 72HF 061800UTC 15.7N 113.7E 220NM 70% MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY PRES 985HPA MXWD 050KT = ** WTKO20 RKSL 031800 *** KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 16 NAME STS 0619 CIMARON ANALYSIS POSITION 031800UTC 16.7N 115.9E MOVEMENT SW 5KT PRES/VMAX 990HPA 49KT FORECAST 24HR POSITION 041800UTC 16.0N 115.0E WITHIN 80NM PRES/VMAX 990HPA 49KT 48HR POSITION 051800UTC 15.1N 113.8E WITHIN 135NM PRES/VMAX 994HPA 41KT 72HR POSITION 061800UTC 14.1N 112.2E WITHIN 215NM PRES/VMAX 996HPA 35KT KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION. ** WTPQ20 BABJ 031900 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS CIMARON 0620 (0619) INITIAL TIME 031900 UTC 00HR 16.8N 116.0E 990HPA 20M/S 30KTS 250KM P12HR SW 10KM/H= ** WTSS20 VHHH 031945 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 031800 UTC, TROPICAL STORM CIMARON (0619) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 992 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE SIX POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (16.8 N) ONE ONE SIX POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (116.0 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE SOUTHWEST OR SOUTH-SOUTHWEST AT ABOUT 5 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 40 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES OVER NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 120 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 041800 UTC ONE FIVE POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (15.4 N) ONE ONE FOUR POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (114.4 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 051800 UTC ONE FOUR POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (14.1 N) ONE ONE TWO POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (112.7 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 061800 UTC DISSIPATED OVER SEA. ** WTSS20 VHHH 031945 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 031800 UTC, TROPICAL STORM CIMARON (0619) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 992 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE SIX POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (16.8 N) ONE ONE SIX POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (116.0 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE SOUTHWEST OR SOUTH-SOUTHWEST AT ABOUT 5 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 40 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES OVER NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 120 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 041800 UTC ONE FIVE POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (15.4 N) ONE ONE FOUR POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (114.4 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 051800 UTC ONE FOUR POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (14.1 N) ONE ONE TWO POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (112.7 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 061800 UTC DISSIPATED OVER SEA. ** WTPN31 PGTW 032100 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W (CIMARON) WARNING NR 033 DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 22W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 031800Z --- NEAR 16.8N 116.1E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 16.8N 116.1E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z --- 16.5N 116.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z --- 16.2N 115.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 032100Z POSITION NEAR 16.7N 116.1E. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 22W (CIMARON), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 350 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG, HAS REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031800Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 040300Z, 040900Z AND 041500Z.// ** WTPQ20 BABJ 032000 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS CIMARON 0620 (0619) INITIAL TIME 032000 UTC 00HR 16.8N 116.0E 990HPA 20M/S 30KTS 250KM P12HR SW 10KM/H= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 032100 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS CIMARON 0620 (0619) INITIAL TIME 032100 UTC 00HR 16.6N 115.8E 990HPA 20M/S 30KTS 250KM P12HR SW 10KM/H P+24HR 16.0N 114.7E 998HPA 16M/S= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 032100 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TS 0619 CIMARON (0619) ANALYSIS PSTN 032100UTC 16.5N 115.8E FAIR MOVE SW SLOWLY PRES 990HPA MXWD 045KT 30KT 180NM NORTHEAST 150NM SOUTHWEST FORECAST 24HF 042100UTC 16.1N 114.9E 80NM 70% MOVE WSW SLOWLY PRES 990HPA MXWD 045KT 45HF 051800UTC 15.9N 114.4E 150NM 70% MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY PRES 985HPA MXWD 050KT 69HF 061800UTC 15.7N 113.7E 220NM 70% MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY PRES 985HPA MXWD 050KT = ** WTPQ20 BABJ 032200 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS CIMARON 0620 (0619) INITIAL TIME 032200 UTC 00HR 16.6N 115.8E 990HPA 20M/S 30KTS 250KM P12HR SW 10KM/H= ** WTSS20 VHHH 032245 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 032100 UTC, TROPICAL STORM CIMARON (0619) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 992 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE SIX POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (16.6 N) ONE ONE FIVE POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (115.9 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE SOUTHWEST OR SOUTH-SOUTHWEST AT ABOUT 5 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 40 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES OVER NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 120 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 042100 UTC ONE FIVE POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (15.3 N) ONE ONE FOUR POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (114.4 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 052100 UTC ONE THREE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (13.8 N) ONE ONE THREE POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (113.2 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 062100 UTC DISSIPATED OVER SEA. ** WTSS20 VHHH 032245 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 032100 UTC, TROPICAL STORM CIMARON (0619) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 992 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE SIX POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (16.6 N) ONE ONE FIVE POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (115.9 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE SOUTHWEST OR SOUTH-SOUTHWEST AT ABOUT 5 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 40 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES OVER NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 120 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 042100 UTC ONE FIVE POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (15.3 N) ONE ONE FOUR POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (114.4 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 052100 UTC ONE THREE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (13.8 N) ONE ONE THREE POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (113.2 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 062100 UTC DISSIPATED OVER SEA. ** WTPQ20 BABJ 032300 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS CIMARON 0620 (0619) INITIAL TIME 032300 UTC 00HR 16.6N 115.7E 995HPA 18M/S 30KTS 200KM P12HR SW 10KM/H=