** WTJP21 RJTD 021800 *** WARNING 021800. WARNING VALID 031800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0619 CIMARON (0619) 975 HPA AT 18.6N 116.5E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING SOUTH SLOWLY. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 35 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 031800UTC AT 17.8N 115.6E WITH 80 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 041800UTC AT 17.0N 114.5E WITH 150 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 051800UTC AT 16.1N 113.5E WITH 220 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 994 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 021800 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME STS 0619 CIMARON (0619) ANALYSIS PSTN 021800UTC 18.6N 116.5E GOOD MOVE S SLOWLY PRES 975HPA MXWD 055KT 50KT 35NM 30KT 180NM NORTH 150NM SOUTH FORECAST 24HF 031800UTC 17.8N 115.6E 80NM 70% MOVE SW SLOWLY PRES 985HPA MXWD 050KT 48HF 041800UTC 17.0N 114.5E 150NM 70% MOVE SW SLOWLY PRES 990HPA MXWD 045KT 72HF 051800UTC 16.1N 113.5E 220NM 70% MOVE SW SLOWLY PRES 994HPA MXWD 040KT = ** WTPQ20 BABJ 021800 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST STS CIMARON 0620 (0619) INITIAL TIME 021800 UTC 00HR 18.4N 116.4E 975HPA 30M/S 30KTS 250KM 50KTS 80KM P12HR SSW 10KM/H P+24HR 17.0N 115.4E 975HPA 30M/S P+48HR 16.1N 113.9E 990HPA 20M/S P+72HR 14.8N 112.2E 995HPA 15M/S= ** WTNT80 EGRR 021859 *** MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 02.11.2006 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ANALYSED OR FORECAST TO DEVELOP IN THIS AREA IN THE NEXT THREE DAYS THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 021859 ** WTKO20 RKSL 021800 *** KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 14 NAME STS 0619 CIMARON ANALYSIS POSITION 021800UTC 18.6N 116.5E MOVEMENT S 4KT PRES/VMAX 975HPA 56KT FORECAST 24HR POSITION 031800UTC 17.7N 115.8E WITHIN 80NM PRES/VMAX 985HPA 49KT 48HR POSITION 041800UTC 17.0N 114.7E WITHIN 135NM PRES/VMAX 990HPA 45KT 72HR POSITION 051800UTC 16.3N 113.5E WITHIN 215NM PRES/VMAX 994HPA 41KT KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION. ** WTPQ20 BABJ 021900 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST STS CIMARON 0620 (0619) INITIAL TIME 021900 UTC 00HR 18.4N 116.4E 975HPA 30M/S 30KTS 250KM 50KTS 80KM P12HR SSW 10KM/H= ** WTSS20 VHHH 021945 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 021800 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM CIMARON (0619) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE EIGHT POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (18.6 N) ONE ONE SIX POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (116.5 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE SOUTHWEST SLOWLY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 55 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 031800 UTC ONE SEVEN POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (17.6 N) ONE ONE FIVE POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (115.8 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 041800 UTC ONE SIX POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (16.6 N) ONE ONE FOUR POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (114.4 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 051800 UTC ONE FIVE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (15.8 N) ONE ONE THREE POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (113.0 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS. ** WTSS20 VHHH 021945 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 021800 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM CIMARON (0619) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE EIGHT POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (18.6 N) ONE ONE SIX POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (116.5 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE SOUTHWEST SLOWLY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 55 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 031800 UTC ONE SEVEN POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (17.6 N) ONE ONE FIVE POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (115.8 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 041800 UTC ONE SIX POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (16.6 N) ONE ONE FOUR POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (114.4 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 051800 UTC ONE FIVE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (15.8 N) ONE ONE THREE POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (113.0 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS. ** WTPN31 PGTW 022100 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 22W (CIMARON) WARNING NR 029 DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON 22W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 021800Z --- NEAR 18.1N 116.2E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 215 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 18.1N 116.2E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z --- 17.6N 115.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z --- 17.2N 115.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z --- 16.9N 115.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z --- 16.4N 115.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 022100Z POSITION NEAR 18.0N 116.1E. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 22W (CIMARON), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 280 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT TS 22W IS WEAKENING RAPIDLY DUE TO ENTRAINMENT OF DRY, COOL AIR AS WELL AS WEAKENING OUTFLOW ALOFT. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY CONFIRMS THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER HAS DECOUPLED FROM THE REMAINING DEEP CONVECTION AND IS TRACKING SLOWLY SOUTHWESTWARD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 021800Z IS 27 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 030300Z, 030900Z, 031500Z AND 032100Z.// ** WTPQ20 BABJ 022000 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST STS CIMARON 0620 (0619) INITIAL TIME 022000 UTC 00HR 18.3N 116.4E 980HPA 28M/S 30KTS 250KM 50KTS 70KM P12HR SSW 10KM/H= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 022100 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST STS CIMARON 0620 (0619) INITIAL TIME 022100 UTC 00HR 18.1N 116.4E 980HPA 28M/S 30KTS 250KM 50KTS 70KM P12HR SSW 10KM/H P+24HR 16.6N 115.2E 975HPA 30M/S P+48HR 15.8N 113.1E 990HPA 20M/S P+72HR 15.0N 111.6E 995HPA 15M/S= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 022100 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST STS CIMARON 0620 (0619) INITIAL TIME 022100 UTC 00HR 18.1N 116.4E 980HPA 28M/S 30KTS 250KM 50KTS 70KM P12HR SSW 10KM/H P+24HR 16.6N 115.2E 975HPA 30M/S P+48HR 15.8N 113.1E 990HPA 20M/S P+72HR 15.0N 111.6E 995HPA 15M/S= ** WTJP31 RJTD 022100 *** WARNING 022100. WARNING VALID 032100. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0619 CIMARON (0619) 975 HPA AT 18.1N 116.6E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING SOUTH 08 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 35 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 032100UTC AT 17.1N 115.4E WITH 80 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 022100 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME STS 0619 CIMARON (0619) ANALYSIS PSTN 022100UTC 18.1N 116.6E FAIR MOVE S 08KT PRES 975HPA MXWD 055KT 50KT 35NM 30KT 180NM NORTH 150NM SOUTH FORECAST 24HF 032100UTC 17.1N 115.4E 80NM 70% MOVE SW SLOWLY PRES 985HPA MXWD 050KT 45HF 041800UTC 17.0N 114.5E 150NM 70% MOVE SW SLOWLY PRES 990HPA MXWD 045KT 69HF 051800UTC 16.1N 113.5E 220NM 70% MOVE SW SLOWLY PRES 994HPA MXWD 040KT = ** WTPQ20 BABJ 022200 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST STS CIMARON 0620 (0619) INITIAL TIME 022200 UTC 00HR 18.0N 116.5E 980HPA 28M/S 30KTS 250KM 50KTS 70KM P12HR SSW 10KM/H= ** WTSS20 VHHH 022245 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 022100 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM CIMARON (0619) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE EIGHT POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (18.2 N) ONE ONE SIX POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (116.5 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE SOUTHWEST SLOWLY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 55 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 032100 UTC ONE SEVEN POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (17.0 N) ONE ONE FIVE POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (115.3 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 042100 UTC ONE SIX POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (16.0 N) ONE ONE FOUR POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (114.0 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 052100 UTC ONE FIVE POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (15.1 N) ONE ONE TWO POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (112.6 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS. ** WTSS20 VHHH 022245 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 022100 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM CIMARON (0619) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE EIGHT POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (18.2 N) ONE ONE SIX POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (116.5 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE SOUTHWEST SLOWLY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 55 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 032100 UTC ONE SEVEN POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (17.0 N) ONE ONE FIVE POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (115.3 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 042100 UTC ONE SIX POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (16.0 N) ONE ONE FOUR POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (114.0 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 052100 UTC ONE FIVE POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (15.1 N) ONE ONE TWO POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (112.6 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS. ** WTPQ20 BABJ 022300 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST STS CIMARON 0620 (0619) INITIAL TIME 022300 UTC 00HR 17.8N 116.6E 980HPA 28M/S 30KTS 250KM 50KTS 70KM P12HR S 15KM/H=