** WTSR20 WSSS 020600 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTSS20 VHHH 021045 CCA *** CORRECTION TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 020900 UTC, TYPHOON CIMARON (0619) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE NINE POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (19.1 N) ONE ONE SIX POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (116.7 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE SLOWLY AND CONTINUE TO LINGER IN THE NORTHERN PART OF THE SOUTH CHINA SEA FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 75 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 210 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 030900 UTC ONE EIGHT POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (18.9 N) ONE ONE SIX POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (116.6 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 70 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 040900 UTC ONE EIGHT POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (18.7 N) ONE ONE FIVE POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (115.5 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 050900 UTC ONE EIGHT POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (18.5 N) ONE ONE FOUR POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (114.5 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS. ** WTPQ20 BABJ 021200 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY CIMARON 0620 (0619) INITIAL TIME 021200 UTC 00HR 19.1N 116.6E 970HPA 33M/S 30KTS 300KM 50KTS 80KM P12HR ALMOST STATIONARY P+24HR 19.2N 116.4E 975HPA 30M/S P+48HR 19.3N 116.0E 990HPA 20M/S P+72HR 19.4N 115.5E 995HPA 15M/S= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 021200 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0619 CIMARON (0619) ANALYSIS PSTN 021200UTC 19.0N 116.6E GOOD MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY PRES 965HPA MXWD 065KT 50KT 45NM 30KT 180NM NORTH 150NM SOUTH FORECAST 24HF 031200UTC 18.8N 116.2E 80NM 70% MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY PRES 975HPA MXWD 060KT 48HF 041200UTC 18.5N 115.7E 150NM 70% MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY PRES 980HPA MXWD 055KT 72HF 051200UTC 18.1N 114.9E 220NM 70% MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY PRES 985HPA MXWD 055KT = ** WTJP21 RJTD 021200 *** WARNING 021200. WARNING VALID 031200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0619 CIMARON (0619) 965 HPA AT 19.0N 116.6E SOUTH CHINA SEA ALMOST STATIONARY. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 45 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 031200UTC AT 18.8N 116.2E WITH 80 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 041200UTC AT 18.5N 115.7E WITH 150 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 051200UTC AT 18.1N 114.9E WITH 220 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 021300 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY CIMARON 0620 (0619) INITIAL TIME 021300 UTC 00HR 19.1N 116.6E 970HPA 33M/S 30KTS 300KM 50KTS 80KM P12HR ALMOST STATIONARY= ** WTSS20 VHHH 021345 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 021200 UTC, TYPHOON CIMARON (0619) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 965 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE NINE POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (19.0 N) ONE ONE SIX POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (116.7 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE SLOWLY AND CONTINUE TO LINGER IN THE NORTHERN PART OF THE SOUTH CHINA SEA FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 70 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 031200 UTC ONE EIGHT POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (18.9 N) ONE ONE SIX POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (116.5 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 041200 UTC ONE EIGHT POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (18.7 N) ONE ONE FIVE POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (115.4 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 051200 UTC ONE EIGHT POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (18.5 N) ONE ONE FOUR POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (114.4 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS. ** WTSS20 VHHH 021345 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 021200 UTC, TYPHOON CIMARON (0619) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 965 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE NINE POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (19.0 N) ONE ONE SIX POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (116.7 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE SLOWLY AND CONTINUE TO LINGER IN THE NORTHERN PART OF THE SOUTH CHINA SEA FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 70 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 031200 UTC ONE EIGHT POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (18.9 N) ONE ONE SIX POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (116.5 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 041200 UTC ONE EIGHT POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (18.7 N) ONE ONE FIVE POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (115.4 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 051200 UTC ONE EIGHT POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (18.5 N) ONE ONE FOUR POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (114.4 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS. ** WTPN31 PGTW 021500 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 22W (CIMARON) WARNING NR 028 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 021200Z --- NEAR 18.7N 116.5E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 205 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 18.7N 116.5E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z --- 18.4N 116.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z --- 18.0N 116.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z --- 17.7N 115.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 02 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z --- 17.4N 115.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z --- 16.8N 114.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 021500Z POSITION NEAR 18.6N 116.5E. TYPHOON (TY) 22W (CIMARON), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 250 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. CONVECTION HAS DIMINSHED SIGNIFICANTLY OVER THE LAST 24 HOURS, WITH ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY REVEALING ONLY A SMALL AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION IN THE NORTHWESTERN QUADRANT OF THE STORM CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 021200Z IS 27 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 022100Z, 030300Z, 030900Z AND 031500Z.// ** WTPQ20 BABJ 021400 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY CIMARON 0620 (0619) INITIAL TIME 021400 UTC 00HR 19.1N 116.5E 970HPA 33M/S 30KTS 300KM 50KTS 80KM P12HR ALMOST STATIONARY= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 021400 CCA *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY CIMARON 0620 (0619) INITIAL TIME 021400 UTC 00HR 19.1N 116.5E 970HPA 33M/S 30KTS 300KM 50KTS 80KM P12HR ALMOST STATIONARY= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 021500 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY CIMARON 0620 (0619) INITIAL TIME 021500 UTC 00HR 19.1N 116.5E 970HPA 33M/S 30KTS 300KM 50KTS 80KM P12HR ALMOST STATIONARY= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 021500 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME STS 0619 CIMARON (0619) DOWNGRADED FROM TY ANALYSIS PSTN 021500UTC 18.9N 116.6E GOOD MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY PRES 970HPA MXWD 060KT 50KT 40NM 30KT 180NM NORTH 150NM SOUTH FORECAST 24HF 031500UTC 18.6N 116.1E 80NM 70% MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY PRES 980HPA MXWD 055KT 45HF 041200UTC 18.5N 115.7E 150NM 70% MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY PRES 980HPA MXWD 055KT 69HF 051200UTC 18.1N 114.9E 220NM 70% MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY PRES 985HPA MXWD 055KT = ** WTJP31 RJTD 021500 *** WARNING 021500. WARNING VALID 031500. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0619 CIMARON (0619) DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON 970 HPA AT 18.9N 116.6E SOUTH CHINA SEA ALMOST STATIONARY. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 40 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 031500UTC AT 18.6N 116.1E WITH 80 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 021600 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST STS CIMARON 0620 (0619) INITIAL TIME 021600 UTC 00HR 19.0N 116.6E 975HPA 30M/S 30KTS 250KM 50KTS 80KM P12HR ALMOST STATIONARY= ** WTSS20 VHHH 021645 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING TYPHOON CIMARON (0619) HAS WEAKENED INTO A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 975 HECTOPASCALS. AT 021500 UTC, IT WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE EIGHT POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (18.9 N) ONE ONE SIX POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (116.6 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE SLOWLY AND CONTINUE TO LINGER IN THE NORTHERN PART OF THE SOUTH CHINA SEA FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 60 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 031500 UTC ONE EIGHT POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (18.7 N) ONE ONE SIX POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (116.3 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 041500 UTC ONE EIGHT POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (18.4 N) ONE ONE FIVE POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (115.4 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 051500 UTC ONE EIGHT POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (18.1 N) ONE ONE FOUR POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (114.2 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS. ** WTSS20 VHHH 021645 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING TYPHOON CIMARON (0619) HAS WEAKENED INTO A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 975 HECTOPASCALS. AT 021500 UTC, IT WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE EIGHT POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (18.9 N) ONE ONE SIX POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (116.6 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE SLOWLY AND CONTINUE TO LINGER IN THE NORTHERN PART OF THE SOUTH CHINA SEA FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 60 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 031500 UTC ONE EIGHT POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (18.7 N) ONE ONE SIX POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (116.3 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 041500 UTC ONE EIGHT POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (18.4 N) ONE ONE FIVE POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (115.4 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 051500 UTC ONE EIGHT POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (18.1 N) ONE ONE FOUR POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (114.2 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS. ** WTPQ20 BABJ 021700 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST STS CIMARON 0620 (0619) INITIAL TIME 021700 UTC 00HR 19.0N 116.6E 975HPA 30M/S 30KTS 250KM 50KTS 80KM P12HR ALMOST STATIONARY=