** WTPQ20 RJTD 300600 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0619 CIMARON (0619) ANALYSIS PSTN 300600UTC 17.1N 118.8E GOOD MOVE W 10KT PRES 950HPA MXWD 080KT 50KT 50NM 30KT 150NM FORECAST 24HF 310600UTC 17.0N 116.0E 80NM 70% MOVE W 06KT PRES 940HPA MXWD 090KT 48HF 010600UTC 16.9N 113.5E 150NM 70% MOVE W SLOWLY PRES 950HPA MXWD 080KT 72HF 020600UTC 17.0N 111.0E 220NM 70% MOVE W SLOWLY PRES 960HPA MXWD 075KT = ** WTJP21 RJTD 300600 *** WARNING 300600. WARNING VALID 310600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0619 CIMARON (0619) 950 HPA AT 17.1N 118.8E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 10 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 310600UTC AT 17.0N 116.0E WITH 80 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 940 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 010600UTC AT 16.9N 113.5E WITH 150 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 020600UTC AT 17.0N 111.0E WITH 220 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 300600 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST STY CIMARON 0620 (0619) INITIAL TIME 300600 UTC 00HR 17.1N 119.0E 950HPA 45M/S 30KTS 350KM 50KTS 130KM P12HR WNW 15KM/H P+24HR 17.2N 115.7E 940HPA 50M/S P+48HR 17.0N 113.1E 935HPA 50M/S P+72HR 16.6N 110.9E 955HPA 40M/S= ** WTPQ30 RJTD 300000 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING REASONING NO. 7 FOR TY 0619 CIMARON (0619) 1.GENERAL COMMENTS REASONING OF PROGNOSIS THIS TIME IS SIMILAR TO PREVIOUS ONE. POSITION FORECAST IS MAINLY BASED ON NWP AND PERSISTENCY. 2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION NOTHING PARTICULAR TO EXPLAIN. 3.MOTION FORECAST POSITION ACCURACY AT 300000 UTC IS GOOD. TY WILL DECELERATE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TY WILL MOVE WEST FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. 4.INTENSITY FORECAST TY WILL KEEP PRESENT INTENSITY FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FI-NUMBER WILL BE 5.5 AFTER 24 HOURS.= ** WTKO20 RKSL 300600 *** KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 7 NAME TY 0619 CIMARON ANALYSIS POSITION 300600UTC 17.1N 118.8E MOVEMENT W 10KT PRES/VMAX 950HPA 80KT FORECAST 24HR POSITION 310600UTC 17.1N 115.7E WITHIN 80NM PRES/VMAX 940HPA 87KT 48HR POSITION 010600UTC 16.9N 113.2E WITHIN 135NM PRES/VMAX 950HPA 80KT 72HR POSITION 020600UTC 16.7N 111.0E WITHIN 215NM PRES/VMAX 960HPA 72KT KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION. ** WTPQ30 RJTD 300600 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING REASONING NO. 8 FOR TY 0619 CIMARON (0619) 1.GENERAL COMMENTS REASONING OF PROGNOSIS THIS TIME IS SIMILAR TO PREVIOUS ONE. POSITION FORECAST IS MAINLY BASED ON NWP AND PERSISTENCY. 2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION NOTHING PARTICULAR TO EXPLAIN. 3.MOTION FORECAST POSITION ACCURACY AT 300600 UTC IS GOOD. TY WILL DECELERATE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TY WILL MOVE WEST FOR THE NEXT 72 HOURS. 4.INTENSITY FORECAST TY WILL KEEP PRESENT INTENSITY FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FI-NUMBER WILL BE 5.5 AFTER 24 HOURS.= ** WTSS20 VHHH 300745 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 300600 UTC, TYPHOON CIMARON (0619) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 955 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE SIX POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (16.9 N) ONE ONE EIGHT POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (118.8 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 8 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 80 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 240 NAUTICAL MILES OVER NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 150 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 310600 UTC ONE SIX POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (16.7 N) ONE ONE FIVE POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (115.6 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 85 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 010600 UTC ONE FIVE POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (15.9 N) ONE ONE THREE POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (113.3 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 85 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 020600 UTC ONE FIVE POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (15.4 N) ONE ONE ONE POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (111.7 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 90 KNOTS. ** WTSS20 VHHH 300745 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 300600 UTC, TYPHOON CIMARON (0619) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 955 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE SIX POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (16.9 N) ONE ONE EIGHT POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (118.8 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 8 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 80 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 240 NAUTICAL MILES OVER NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 150 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 310600 UTC ONE SIX POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (16.7 N) ONE ONE FIVE POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (115.6 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 85 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 010600 UTC ONE FIVE POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (15.9 N) ONE ONE THREE POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (113.3 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 85 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 020600 UTC ONE FIVE POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (15.4 N) ONE ONE ONE POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (111.7 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 90 KNOTS. ** WTPN31 PGTW 300900 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 22W (CIMARON) WARNING NR 015 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 300600Z --- NEAR 17.0N 118.8E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 17.0N 118.8E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z --- 17.1N 117.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z --- 17.1N 115.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z --- 17.0N 114.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z --- 16.9N 112.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z --- 16.3N 109.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 06 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z --- 15.6N 107.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z --- 15.1N 106.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 300900Z POSITION NEAR 17.0N 118.3E. TYPHOON (TY) 22W (CIMARON), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 195 NM NORTHWEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300600Z IS 28 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 301500Z, 302100Z, 310300Z AND 310900Z.// ** WTIN01 DEMS 300900 *** SHIPPING BULLETIN FOR MET. AREA VIII (N) NORTH OF EQUATOR VALID FOR 24 HRS. FROM 2006 10 30 0900 UTC : 30 OCT 2006 PART-I: THE CYCLONIC STORM (OGNI) REMINED PRACTICALLY STATIONARY AND NOW LIES CENTERED AT 0300 UTC OF TODAY 30TH OCT 2006 NEAR LAT.15.6 N AND LONG. 80.3 DEG. E CLOSE TO ONGOLE (.) IT IS LIKELY TO CROSS SOUTH ANDHRA PRADESH COAST BETWEEN ONGOLE AND MACHILIPATTNAM BY NOON AND MOVE FURTHER NORTHERLY DIRECTION AND WEAKEN GRADUALLY (.) PART-II: THE TROUGH OF LOW AT SEA LEVEL OFF KERALA KARNATKA COASTS HAS BECOME LESS MARKED (.) WEATHER SEASONAL OVER REST MET. AREA VIII(N)(.) PART-III : FORECAST ARB-A1 ARABIAN SEA EQUATOR TO 15 DEG. N. WEST OF 80 DEG. E. I) WIND:-NE 10/15 KTS BEC CYCLONIC TO THE SOUTH OF 09 DEG N (.) II) WEATHER:- FAIRLY WIDE SPREAD RA/TS TO THE NORTH OF 05 DEG N AND E OF 70 DEG E (.) REST AREA SCATTERED RA/TS (.) III) VISIBILITY:- POOR IN RA/TS (.) IV) STATE OF SEA :- SLIGHT (.) ARB-A2 ARABIAN SEA NORTH OF 15 DEG.N. I) WIND:- MAINLY NE-LY 10/15 KTS (.) II) WEATHER:- ISOLATED RA/TS (.) III)VISIBILITY:- POOR IN RAIN (.) IV) STATE OF SEA:- SLIGHT (.) BOB-A3 BAY OF BENGAL EQUATOR TO 10 DEG. N. EAST OF 80 DEG.E. I)WIND :- E/SE 15/20 KTS (.) II) WEATHER :- WIDE SPREAD RA/TS (.) III) VISIBILITY:- POOR IN RA/TS (.) IV) STATE OF SEA:- SLIGHT TO MODERATE (.) BOB-A4 BAY OF BENGAL NORTH OF 10 DEG. N I) WIND:- NE-LY 25/35 KTS BEC CYCLONIC AROUND THE CENTRE 15.6 N / 80.3 E (.) II)WEATHER:- SCATTERED EXCEPT WIDESPREAD RA/TS OFF THE COAST (.) III) VISIBILITY:- POOR IN RAIN (.) IV) STATE OF SEA:- VERY ROUGH TO HIGH (.) ISSUED BY INDIA METEOROLOGICAL DEPARTMENT ** WTPH RPLL 300600 *** TTT TYPHOON WARNING 14 AT 0600 30 OCTOBER TYPHOON ( CIMARON ) (0619) WAS LOCATED BY RADAR, S ATELLITE AND SURFACE DATA AT ONE SEVEN POINT ZERO NORTH ONE ONE EIGHT POINT NINE EAST FORECAST TO MOVE WEST AT ZERO FOUR METERS PER SECOND ROUGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN THREE ZERO ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS FROM CENTER ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE NINESEVEN SIX HECTOPASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS THREE THREE METERS PER SECOND NEAR CENTER TWO FIVE METERS PER SECOND WITHIN ONE FIVE ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS ONE THREE METERS PER SECOND WITHIN THREE ZERO ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS FROM CENTER FORECAST POSTIONS AT 310600 ONE SIX POINT SIX NORTH ONE ONE FIVE POINT FOUR EAST AND AT 010600 ONE FIVE POINT FIVE NORTH ONE ONE THREE POINT ONE EAST ALL SHIPS WITHIN TYPHOON AREA ARE REQUESTED TO SEND THREE HOURLY EATHR REPORTS TO WEATHER MANILA PD WEATHER MANILA ** WTPQ20 BABJ 300900 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST STY CIMARON 0620 (0619) INITIAL TIME 300900 UTC 00HR 17.1N 118.7E 950HPA 45M/S 30KTS 350KM 50KTS 130KM P12HR WNW 15KM/H P+24HR 17.1N 115.0E 940HPA 50M/S P+48HR 16.9N 112.2E 935HPA 50M/S P+72HR 16.3N 109.8E 955HPA 40M/S= ** WTJP31 RJTD 300900 *** WARNING 300900. WARNING VALID 310900. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0619 CIMARON (0619) 950 HPA AT 17.1N 118.7E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 06 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 310900UTC AT 17.1N 115.8E WITH 80 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 940 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 300900 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0619 CIMARON (0619) ANALYSIS PSTN 300900UTC 17.1N 118.7E FAIR MOVE W 06KT PRES 950HPA MXWD 080KT 50KT 50NM 30KT 150NM FORECAST 24HF 310900UTC 17.1N 115.8E 80NM 70% MOVE W 06KT PRES 940HPA MXWD 090KT 45HF 010600UTC 16.9N 113.5E 150NM 70% MOVE W SLOWLY PRES 950HPA MXWD 080KT 69HF 020600UTC 17.0N 111.0E 220NM 70% MOVE W SLOWLY PRES 960HPA MXWD 075KT = ** WTSS20 VHHH 301045 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 300900 UTC, TYPHOON CIMARON (0619) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 955 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE SIX POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (16.9 N) ONE ONE EIGHT POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (118.7 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 8 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 80 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES OVER NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 120 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 310900 UTC ONE SIX POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (16.7 N) ONE ONE FIVE POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (115.4 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 85 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 010900 UTC ONE SIX POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (16.0 N) ONE ONE THREE POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (113.1 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 85 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 020900 UTC ONE FIVE POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (15.4 N) ONE ONE ONE POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (111.4 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 85 KNOTS. ** WTSS20 VHHH 301045 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 300900 UTC, TYPHOON CIMARON (0619) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 955 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE SIX POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (16.9 N) ONE ONE EIGHT POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (118.7 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 8 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 80 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES OVER NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 120 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 310900 UTC ONE SIX POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (16.7 N) ONE ONE FIVE POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (115.4 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 85 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 010900 UTC ONE SIX POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (16.0 N) ONE ONE THREE POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (113.1 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 85 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 020900 UTC ONE FIVE POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (15.4 N) ONE ONE ONE POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (111.4 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 85 KNOTS.