** WTPN31 PHNC 260400 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17E (PAUL) WARNING NR 021 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 260000Z --- NEAR 24.5N 108.2W MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 350 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 24.5N 108.2W --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z --- 25.8N 108.0W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 260400Z POSITION NEAR 24.9N 108.1W. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260000Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 261000Z.// ** WTIN20 DEMS 260632 *** TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK ------------------------ DEMS - RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI 26-10-2006 (.) TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR THE NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL AND ARABIAN SEA ) VALID FOR NEXT 24 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC (.) CONVECTIVE CLOUDS ARE SEEN OVER SOUTH-WEST AND ADJOINING WEST-CENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL, SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA AND PARTS OF SOUTH EAST ARABIAN SEA (.) RIDGE LINE AT 200 HPA RUNS ALONG 12.0 DEG.NORTH OVER THE INDIAN REGION (.) ** WTPZ22 KNHC 260834 *** TCMEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION PAUL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP172006 0900 UTC THU OCT 26 2006 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.2N 107.8W AT 26/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 20 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.2N 107.8W AT 26/0900Z AT 26/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.0N 108.0W FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 26.2N 107.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z...DISSIPATED THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM $$ FORECASTER MAINELLI ** WTPZ42 KNHC 260837 *** TCDEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION PAUL DISCUSSION NUMBER 22 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP172006 200 AM PDT THU OCT 26 2006 PAUL MADE LANDFALL NEAR LA REFORMA MEXICO AROUND 0500 UTC...AND THE TROPICAL CYCLONE IS NOW DISSIPATING OVER LAND. SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS PAUL AS A SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS DEVOID OF ANY DEEP CONVECTION. THE SURFACE CIRCULATION WILL CONTINUE TO BE DISRUPTED BY THE HIGH TERRAIN OF WESTERN MEXICO AND SHOULD DISSIPATE LATER TODAY. HOWEVER...THE REMNANTS OF PAUL COULD STILL POSE A RAINFALL THREAT OVER PORTIONS OF WESTERN MEXICO DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 020/7...AND A NORTH-NORTHEAST MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE UNTIL DISSIPATION. THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ON PAUL. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 26/0900Z 25.2N 107.8W 25 KT 12HR VT 26/1800Z 26.2N 107.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 24HR VT 27/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ FORECASTER MAINELLI ** WTPZ32 KNHC 260838 *** TCPEP2 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION PAUL ADVISORY NUMBER 22 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP172006 200 AM PDT THU OCT 26 2006 ...PAUL NOW INLAND AND DISSIPATING OVER WESTERN MEXICO... AT 200 AM PDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION PAUL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.8 WEST OR ABOUT 85 MILES...140 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF LOS MOCHIS MEXICO. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. PAUL IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE LATER TODAY. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES. PAUL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE SIERRA MADRE OCCIDENTAL. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. REPEATING THE 200 AM PDT POSITION...25.2 N...107.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB. THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. $$ FORECASTER MAINELLI ** WTPN31 PHNC 261000 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17E (PAUL) WARNING NR 022 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 260600Z --- NEAR 25.0N 108.0W MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 022 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 25.0N 108.0W --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z --- 26.2N 107.5W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 261000Z POSITION NEAR 25.5N 107.7W. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MON- ITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260600Z IS 11 FEET.//