** WTSR20 WSSS 190600 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTIO22 FMEE 191211 *** SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 19/10/2006 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 002/01 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: THURSDAY 19/10/2006 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 1 1004 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 2.8S / 59.5E (TWO DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY NINE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST ) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: EAST 4 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 180 NM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT AND MODERATE SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, LOCALLY REACHING 30 KT IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR UP TO 90 NM FROM THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/10/20 AT 00 UTC: 3.1S / 60.0E, MAX WIND = 20 KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. 24H, VALID 2006/10/20 AT 12 UTC: 3.4S / 60.3E, MAX WIND = 20 KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. OTHER INFORMATIONS: CLUSTERS ASSOCIATED TO THE SYSTEM ARE NOT ORGANIZED AND ARE SPATIALLY VERY FLUCTUATING. STRONGER WINDS EXTEND IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR. THE SYSTEM INTENSITY DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF REGULAR WARNINGS.= ** WTIO21 FMEE 191211 *** METEO-FRANCE/CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 19/10/2006 A 1200 UTC. NUMERO: 002/01 (SUD-OUEST DE L'OCEAN INDIEN) VITESSES DU VENT MOYEN SUR 10 MINUTES EN NOEUDS (KT) (LES RAFALES SUR MER PEUVENT EXCEDER D'ENVIRON 40% LA VALEUR DU VENT MOYEN). PRESSION MINIMALE AU NIVEAU DE LA MER EN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (VALEUR INDICATIVE). AVERTISSEMENT DEBUT DE VALIDITE: JEUDI 19/10/2006 A 1200 UTC. PHENOMENE: PERTURBATION TROPICALE 1 1004 HPA POSITION: DANS UN RAYON DE 20 MN AUTOUR DU POINT 2.8S / 59.5E (DEUX DEGRES HUIT SUD ET CINQUANTE-NEUF DEGRES CINQ EST) A 1200 UTC DEPLACEMENT: EST 4 KT ZONES MENACEES: TEMPS A GRAINS DANS UN RAYON DE 50 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S ETENDANT JUSQU'A 180 MN DANS LE QUADRANT SUD-OUEST. CIRCULATION DEPRESSIONNAIRE 20/25 KT ET MER AGITEE DANS UN RAYON DE 60 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, ATTEIGNANT LOCALEMENT 30 KT DANS LE SECTEUR SUD JUSQUA 90 MN DU CENTRE. FORTES RAFALES SOUS GRAINS. PREVISIONS: POSITION ET INTENSITE PREVUES: A 12H POUR LE 20/10/2006 A 00 UTC: 3.1S / 60.0E, VENT MAX = 20 KT, PERTURB. TROPICALE. A 24H POUR LE 20/10/2006 A 12 UTC: 3.4S / 60.3E, VENT MAX = 20 KT, PERTURB. TROPICALE. INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES: LES MASSES NUAGEUSES ASSOCIEES AU SYSTEME DEPRESSIONNAIRE NE MONTRENT PAS D'ORGANISATION ET SONT TRES FLUCTUANTES. LES VENTS LES PLUS FORTS S'ETENDENT DANS LE SECTEUR SUD. L'INTENSITE DE CE SYSTEME NE JUSTIFIE PAS L'EMISSION DE BULLETINS REGULIERS.= ** WTIO22 FMEE 191211 *** SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 19/10/2006 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 002/01 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: THURSDAY 19/10/2006 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 1 1004 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 2.8S / 59.5E (TWO DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY NINE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST ) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: EAST 4 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 180 NM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT AND MODERATE SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, LOCALLY REACHING 30 KT IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR UP TO 90 NM FROM THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/10/20 AT 00 UTC: 3.1S / 60.0E, MAX WIND = 20 KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. 24H, VALID 2006/10/20 AT 12 UTC: 3.4S / 60.3E, MAX WIND = 20 KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. OTHER INFORMATIONS: CLUSTERS ASSOCIATED TO THE SYSTEM ARE NOT ORGANIZED AND ARE SPATIALLY VERY FLUCTUATING. STRONGER WINDS EXTEND IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR. THE SYSTEM INTENSITY DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF REGULAR WARNINGS.= ** WTIO22 FMEE 191211 *** SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 19/10/2006 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 002/01 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: THURSDAY 19/10/2006 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 1 1004 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 2.8S / 59.5E (TWO DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY NINE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST ) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: EAST 4 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 180 NM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT AND MODERATE SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, LOCALLY REACHING 30 KT IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR UP TO 90 NM FROM THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/10/20 AT 00 UTC: 3.1S / 60.0E, MAX WIND = 20 KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. 24H, VALID 2006/10/20 AT 12 UTC: 3.4S / 60.3E, MAX WIND = 20 KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. OTHER INFORMATIONS: CLUSTERS ASSOCIATED TO THE SYSTEM ARE NOT ORGANIZED AND ARE SPATIALLY VERY FLUCTUATING. STRONGER WINDS EXTEND IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR. THE SYSTEM INTENSITY DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF REGULAR WARNINGS. . ** WTIO21 FMEE 191211 *** METEO-FRANCE/CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 19/10/2006 A 1200 UTC. NUMERO: 002/01 (SUD-OUEST DE L'OCEAN INDIEN) VITESSES DU VENT MOYEN SUR 10 MINUTES EN NOEUDS (KT) (LES RAFALES SUR MER PEUVENT EXCEDER D'ENVIRON 40% LA VALEUR DU VENT MOYEN). PRESSION MINIMALE AU NIVEAU DE LA MER EN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (VALEUR INDICATIVE). AVERTISSEMENT DEBUT DE VALIDITE: JEUDI 19/10/2006 A 1200 UTC. PHENOMENE: PERTURBATION TROPICALE 1 1004 HPA POSITION: DANS UN RAYON DE 20 MN AUTOUR DU POINT 2.8S / 59.5E (DEUX DEGRES HUIT SUD ET CINQUANTE-NEUF DEGRES CINQ EST) A 1200 UTC DEPLACEMENT: EST 4 KT ZONES MENACEES: TEMPS A GRAINS DANS UN RAYON DE 50 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S ETENDANT JUSQU'A 180 MN DANS LE QUADRANT SUD-OUEST. CIRCULATION DEPRESSIONNAIRE 20/25 KT ET MER AGITEE DANS UN RAYON DE 60 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, ATTEIGNANT LOCALEMENT 30 KT DANS LE SECTEUR SUD JUSQUA 90 MN DU CENTRE. FORTES RAFALES SOUS GRAINS. PREVISIONS: POSITION ET INTENSITE PREVUES: A 12H POUR LE 20/10/2006 A 00 UTC: 3.1S / 60.0E, VENT MAX = 20 KT, PERTURB. TROPICALE. A 24H POUR LE 20/10/2006 A 12 UTC: 3.4S / 60.3E, VENT MAX = 20 KT, PERTURB. TROPICALE. INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES: LES MASSES NUAGEUSES ASSOCIEES AU SYSTEME DEPRESSIONNAIRE NE MONTRENT PAS D'ORGANISATION ET SONT TRES FLUCTUANTES. LES VENTS LES PLUS FORTS S'ETENDENT DANS LE SECTEUR SUD. L'INTENSITE DE CE SYSTEME NE JUSTIFIE PAS L'EMISSION DE BULLETINS REGULIERS. . ** WTIO30 FMEE 191218 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 2/1/20062007 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 1 2.A POSITION 2006/10/19 AT 1200 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 2.8S / 59.5E (TWO DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY NINE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST ) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 1.5/2.0 /W 0.5/6 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1004 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1010 HPA / 1100 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/10/20 00 UTC: 03.1S/60.0E, MAX WIND=020KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. 24H: 2006/10/20 12 UTC: 03.4S/60.3E, MAX WIND=020KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. 36H: 2006/10/21 00 UTC: 03.8S/60.5E, MAX WIND=020KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. 48H: 2006/10/21 12 UTC: 04.2S/60.2E, MAX WIND=020KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. 60H: 2006/10/22 00 UTC: 04.4S/59.8E, MAX WIND=020KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. 72H: 2006/10/22 12 UTC: 04.7S/59.3E, MAX WIND=020KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=1.5+, CI=2.0- LOW LEVEL CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION REMAINS WELL DEFINED. ASSOCIATED CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IS VERY FLUCTUATING AND VERTICAL EXTENSION IS MODERATE. NORTHEASTERLY WEAK WINDSHEAR, NEUTRAL UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE, NO EQUATORIAL INFLOW. WEAK POTENTIAL FOR INTENSIFICATION. SYSTEM INTENSITY DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF REGULAR WARNINGS.= ** WTIO30 FMEE 191218 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 2/1/20062007 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 1 2.A POSITION 2006/10/19 AT 1200 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 2.8S / 59.5E (TWO DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY NINE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST ) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 1.5/2.0 /W 0.5/6 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1004 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1010 HPA / 1100 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/10/20 00 UTC: 03.1S/60.0E, MAX WIND=020KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. 24H: 2006/10/20 12 UTC: 03.4S/60.3E, MAX WIND=020KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. 36H: 2006/10/21 00 UTC: 03.8S/60.5E, MAX WIND=020KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. 48H: 2006/10/21 12 UTC: 04.2S/60.2E, MAX WIND=020KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. 60H: 2006/10/22 00 UTC: 04.4S/59.8E, MAX WIND=020KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. 72H: 2006/10/22 12 UTC: 04.7S/59.3E, MAX WIND=020KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=1.5+, CI=2.0- LOW LEVEL CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION REMAINS WELL DEFINED. ASSOCIATED CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IS VERY FLUCTUATING AND VERTICAL EXTENSION IS MODERATE. NORTHEASTERLY WEAK WINDSHEAR, NEUTRAL UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE, NO EQUATORIAL INFLOW. WEAK POTENTIAL FOR INTENSIFICATION. SYSTEM INTENSITY DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF REGULAR WARNINGS.= ** WTIO30 FMEE 191218 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 2/1/20062007 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 1 2.A POSITION 2006/10/19 AT 1200 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 2.8S / 59.5E (TWO DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY NINE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST ) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 1.5/2.0 /W 0.5/6 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1004 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1010 HPA / 1100 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/10/20 00 UTC: 03.1S/60.0E, MAX WIND=020KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. 24H: 2006/10/20 12 UTC: 03.4S/60.3E, MAX WIND=020KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. 36H: 2006/10/21 00 UTC: 03.8S/60.5E, MAX WIND=020KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. 48H: 2006/10/21 12 UTC: 04.2S/60.2E, MAX WIND=020KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. 60H: 2006/10/22 00 UTC: 04.4S/59.8E, MAX WIND=020KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. 72H: 2006/10/22 12 UTC: 04.7S/59.3E, MAX WIND=020KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=1.5+, CI=2.0- LOW LEVEL CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION REMAINS WELL DEFINED. ASSOCIATED CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IS VERY FLUCTUATING AND VERTICAL EXTENSION IS MODERATE. NORTHEASTERLY WEAK WINDSHEAR, NEUTRAL UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE, NO EQUATORIAL INFLOW. WEAK POTENTIAL FOR INTENSIFICATION. SYSTEM INTENSITY DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF REGULAR WARNINGS. . ** WTIO31 FMEE 191218 *** CMRS / CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BULLETIN DE PREVISION CYCLONIQUE (SUD-OUEST OCEAN INDIEN) 0.A NUMERO DU BULLETIN : 2/1/20062007 1.A PERTURBATION TROPICALE 1 2.A POSITION A 1200 UTC LE 19/10/2006 : DANS UN RAYON DE 20 MN AUTOUR DU POINT 2.8S / 59.5E (DEUX DEGRES HUIT SUD ET CINQUANTE-NEUF DEGRES CINQ EST) 3.A ANALYSE DE DVORAK : 1.5/2.0 /W 0.5/6 H 4.A PRESSION AU CENTRE : 1004 HPA 5.A VENT MAX (MOYEN/10 MN) : 25 KT 6.A EXTENSION DES VENTS PAR QUADRANTS (KM): 7.A COTE/DIAM PREMIERE ISOBARE FERMEE: 1010 HPA / 1100 KM 8.A EXTENSION VERTICALE DE LA CIRCULATION CYCLONIQUE: MOYENNE 1.B PREVISIONS: 12H: 20/10/2006 00 UTC: 03.1S/60.0E, VENT MAX=020KT, PERTURB. TROPICALE. 24H: 20/10/2006 12 UTC: 03.4S/60.3E, VENT MAX=020KT, PERTURB. TROPICALE. 36H: 21/10/2006 00 UTC: 03.8S/60.5E, VENT MAX=020KT, PERTURB. TROPICALE. 48H: 21/10/2006 12 UTC: 04.2S/60.2E, VENT MAX=020KT, PERTURB. TROPICALE. 60H: 22/10/2006 00 UTC: 04.4S/59.8E, VENT MAX=020KT, PERTURB. TROPICALE. 72H: 22/10/2006 12 UTC: 04.7S/59.3E, VENT MAX=020KT, PERTURB. TROPICALE. 2.B COMMENTAIRES: T=1.5+, CI=2.0- LA CIRCULATION DE BASSES COUCHES RESTE BIEN DEFINIE. L'ACTIVITE CONVECTIVE EST TRES FLUCTUANTE ET D'UNE EXTENSION VERTICALE MODEREE. CISAILLEMENT FAIBLE DE NORD-EST, DIVERGENCE D'ALTITUDE NEUTRE, PAS D'ALIMENTATION EQUATORIALE. FAIBLE POTENTIEL D'INTENSIFICATION. L'INTENSITE DE CE SYSTEME NE JUSTIFIE PAS L'EMISSION DE BULLETINS REGULIERS.= ** WTXS21 PGTW 191330 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 180851ZOCT06// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/190851Z OCT 06// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS21 PGTW 190900)// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 180 NM RADIUS OF 2.8S 59.6E WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 191230Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 2.9S 59.6E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THIS SUPERSEDES REF A. THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 3.3S 59.0E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 2.9S 59.6E, APPROXIMATELY 905 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF MOGADISHU, SOMALIA. RECENT MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS PARTIALLY EXPOSED AND IS TRACKING SLOWLY NORTHEASTWARD. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES FAVORABLE OUTFLOW ALOFT AND LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 201330Z.// ** WTNT80 EGRR 191659 *** MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 19.10.2006 NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 36 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 36 : 13.3N 98.6W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 21.10.2006 13.3N 98.6W WEAK 12UTC 21.10.2006 13.5N 99.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 22.10.2006 14.3N 101.0W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 22.10.2006 15.5N 102.6W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 23.10.2006 17.4N 104.3W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 23.10.2006 18.2N 106.4W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 24.10.2006 19.2N 107.7W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 24.10.2006 20.3N 107.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 25.10.2006 20.9N 107.1W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 25.10.2006 21.9N 106.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 191659