** WTIN20 DEMS 160640 ***

            TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
     ------------------------
DEMS -RSMC TROPICAL  CYCLONES NEW DELHI 16-10-2006 (.) 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY 
OF BENGAL AND THE ARABIAN SEA ) VALID  FOR NEXT 24 HOURS 
ISSUED AT 0600 UTC (.) 

CONVECTIVE  CLOUDS ARE SEEN OVER PARTS OF SOUTH EAST BAY OF BENGAL
SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA AND PARTS OF SOUTH ARABIAN SEA (.)

RIDGE LINE AT 200 HPA  RUNS ALONG 6.5 DEG. NORTH OVER 
INDIAN REGION (.) 


MSG OVER ??????????
000
TTAAii DEMS 160640


** WTPQ20 RJTD 160600 ***
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME  STS 0618 SOULIK (0618)
ANALYSIS
PSTN  160600UTC 36.0N 152.6E FAIR
MOVE  NE 35KT
PRES  975HPA
MXWD  055KT
50KT  140NM SOUTHEAST 110NM NORTHWEST
30KT  280NM SOUTHEAST 180NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF  170600UTC 39.2N 170.8E 150NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


** WTJP21 RJTD 160600 ***
WARNING 160600.
WARNING VALID 170600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0618 SOULIK (0618) 975 HPA
AT 36.0N 152.6E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 35 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 140 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 110
MILES ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 280 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 180
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 161800UTC AT 39.0N 161.8E WITH 100 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
986 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 170600UTC AT 39.2N 170.8E WITH 150 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


** WTPQ30 RJTD 160600 ***

RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.16 FOR STS 0618 SOULIK (0618)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
  REASONING OF PROGNOSIS THIS TIME IS SIMILAR TO PREVIOUS ONE.
  POSITION FORECAST IS MAINLY BASED ON NWP AND PERSISTENCY.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
  NOTHING PARTICULAR TO EXPLAIN.
3.MOTION FORECAST
  POSITION ACCURACY AT 160600 UTC IS FAIR.
  STS WILL MOVE AT THE SAME SPEED FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS.
  STS WILL MOVE EAST-NORTHEAST FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
  STS WILL BE TRANSFORMED TO EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN 6 HOURS.=


** WTKO20 RKSL 160600 ***
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 14
NAME STS 0618 SOULIK
ANALYSIS
POSITION 160600UTC 36.0N 152.6E
MOVEMENT NE 35KT
PRES/VMAX 975HPA 54KT
FORECAST
24HR
POSITION 170600UTC 39.0N 171.0E WITHIN 0NM
PRES 990HPA
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.


** WTPQ20 RJTD 160900 ***
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME  STS 0618 SOULIK (0618)
ANALYSIS
PSTN  160900UTC 36.5N 154.7E FAIR
MOVE  ENE 40KT
PRES  975HPA
MXWD  055KT
50KT  140NM SOUTHEAST 110NM NORTHWEST
30KT  280NM SOUTHEAST 180NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF  170900UTC 39.4N 171.5E 150NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


** WTJP31 RJTD 160900 ***
WARNING 160900.
WARNING VALID 170900.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0618 SOULIK (0618) 975 HPA
AT 36.5N 154.7E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 40 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 140 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 110
MILES ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 280 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 180
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 162100UTC AT 39.2N 163.4E WITH 100 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
986 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 170900UTC AT 39.4N 171.5E WITH 150 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=