** WTPQ20 BABJ 131800 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY SOULIK 0619 (0618) INITIAL TIME 131800 UTC 00HR 24.0N 141.0E 960HPA 40M/S 30KTS 440KM 50KTS 130KM P12HR N 5KM/H P+24HR 25.2N 141.1E 950HPA 45M/S P+48HR 29.9N 144.5E 960HPA 40M/S P+72HR 36.1N 151.5E 970HPA 35M/S= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 131800 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0618 SOULIK (0618) ANALYSIS PSTN 131800UTC 24.0N 141.1E GOOD MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY PRES 960HPA MXWD 070KT 50KT 60NM 30KT 230NM FORECAST 24HF 141800UTC 24.9N 140.8E 90NM 70% MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY PRES 950HPA MXWD 080KT 48HF 151800UTC 28.9N 143.7E 160NM 70% MOVE NNE 11KT PRES 950HPA MXWD 080KT 72HF 161800UTC 34.5N 150.3E 290NM 70% MOVE NE 19KT PRES 965HPA MXWD 070KT = ** WTJP21 RJTD 131800 *** WARNING 131800. WARNING VALID 141800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0618 SOULIK (0618) 960 HPA AT 24.0N 141.1E SOUTHWEST OF CHICHIJIMA ALMOST STATIONARY. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 230 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 141800UTC AT 24.9N 140.8E WITH 90 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 151800UTC AT 28.9N 143.7E WITH 160 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 161800UTC AT 34.5N 150.3E WITH 290 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 131800 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY SOULIK 0619 (0618) INITIAL TIME 131800 UTC 00HR 24.0N 141.0E 960HPA 40M/S 30KTS 440KM 50KTS 130KM P12HR N 5KM/H P+24HR 25.2N 141.1E 950HPA 45M/S P+48HR 29.9N 144.5E 960HPA 40M/S P+72HR 36.1N 151.5E 970HPA 35M/S= ** WTKO20 RKSL 131800 *** KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 9 NAME TY 0618 SOULIK ANALYSIS POSITION 131800UTC 24.0N 141.1E MOVEMENT N 1KT PRES/VMAX 960HPA 72KT FORECAST 24HR POSITION 141800UTC 25.2N 141.1E WITHIN 80NM PRES/VMAX 950HPA 80KT 48HR POSITION 151800UTC 29.5N 144.3E WITHIN 135NM PRES/VMAX 955HPA 76KT 72HR POSITION 161800UTC 35.4N 151.5E WITHIN 215NM PRES/VMAX 965HPA 68KT KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION. ** WTPQ20 RJTD 131800 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0618 SOULIK (0618) ANALYSIS PSTN 131800UTC 24.0N 141.1E GOOD MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY PRES 960HPA MXWD 070KT 50KT 60NM 30KT 230NM FORECAST 24HF 141800UTC 24.9N 140.8E 90NM 70% MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY PRES 950HPA MXWD 080KT 48HF 151800UTC 28.9N 143.7E 160NM 70% MOVE NNE 11KT PRES 950HPA MXWD 080KT 72HF 161800UTC 34.5N 150.3E 290NM 70% MOVE NE 19KT PRES 965HPA MXWD 070KT = ** WTJP21 RJTD 131800 *** WARNING 131800. WARNING VALID 141800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0618 SOULIK (0618) 960 HPA AT 24.0N 141.1E SOUTHWEST OF CHICHIJIMA ALMOST STATIONARY. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 230 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 141800UTC AT 24.9N 140.8E WITH 90 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 151800UTC AT 28.9N 143.7E WITH 160 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 161800UTC AT 34.5N 150.3E WITH 290 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 131800 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY SOULIK 0619 (0618) INITIAL TIME 131800 UTC 00HR 24.0N 141.0E 960HPA 40M/S 30KTS 440KM 50KTS 130KM P12HR N 5KM/H P+24HR 25.2N 141.1E 950HPA 45M/S P+48HR 29.9N 144.5E 960HPA 40M/S P+72HR 36.1N 151.5E 970HPA 35M/S= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 131800 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0618 SOULIK (0618) ANALYSIS PSTN 131800UTC 24.0N 141.1E GOOD MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY PRES 960HPA MXWD 070KT 50KT 60NM 30KT 230NM FORECAST 24HF 141800UTC 24.9N 140.8E 90NM 70% MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY PRES 950HPA MXWD 080KT 48HF 151800UTC 28.9N 143.7E 160NM 70% MOVE NNE 11KT PRES 950HPA MXWD 080KT 72HF 161800UTC 34.5N 150.3E 290NM 70% MOVE NE 19KT PRES 965HPA MXWD 070KT = ** WTJP21 RJTD 131800 *** WARNING 131800. WARNING VALID 141800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0618 SOULIK (0618) 960 HPA AT 24.0N 141.1E SOUTHWEST OF CHICHIJIMA ALMOST STATIONARY. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 230 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 141800UTC AT 24.9N 140.8E WITH 90 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 151800UTC AT 28.9N 143.7E WITH 160 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 161800UTC AT 34.5N 150.3E WITH 290 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTKO20 RKSL 131800 *** KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 9 NAME TY 0618 SOULIK ANALYSIS POSITION 131800UTC 24.0N 141.1E MOVEMENT N 1KT PRES/VMAX 960HPA 72KT FORECAST 24HR POSITION 141800UTC 25.2N 141.1E WITHIN 80NM PRES/VMAX 950HPA 80KT 48HR POSITION 151800UTC 29.5N 144.3E WITHIN 135NM PRES/VMAX 955HPA 76KT 72HR POSITION 161800UTC 35.4N 151.5E WITHIN 215NM PRES/VMAX 965HPA 68KT KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION. ** WTPA35 PHFO 132051 *** TCPCP5 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-C ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP042006 1100 AM HST FRI OCT 13 2006 THE FOURTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION OF THE SEASON FORMS SOUTHWEST OF HAWAII AND SHOULD REMAIN WELL SOUTH OF THE STATE. AT 1100 AM HST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-C WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 166.1 WEST OR ABOUT 745 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE BEFORE A TURN MORE TO THE EAST LATER SATURDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES. REPEATING THE 1100 AM HST POSITION...13.9 N...166.1 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 PM HST. $$ FORECASTER NASH ** WTPA45 PHFO 132051 *** TCDCP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-C DISCUSSION NUMBER 1 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP042006 1100 AM HST FRI OCT 13 2006 THE AREA WE HAVE BEEN WATCHING WELL TO THE SOUTHWEST OF HAWAII FOR DAYS HAS FINALLY CONSOLIDATED AND DEVELOPED A WELL DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION AND PERSISTANT CONVECTION AND HAS BEEN DESIGNATED AS TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04-C. SATELLITE DVORAK FIXES FROM JTWC...SAB AND HFO ALL CAME IN AT A SOLID T2.0 OR ROUGHLY 30KTS. A WELL TIMED QUIKSCAT PASS THIS MORNING SHOWED SOME RAIN FLAGGED 35KT JUST NORTH OF THE CENETR...SO WILL START THE SYSTEM AS A 30KT DEPRESSION. THE SYSTEM HAS BEEN GIVING US FITS ALL WEEK AS IT HAS TAKEN ITS SLOW TIME TO DEVELOP...PROBABLY DUE TO NUMEROUS LOW LEVEL VORTICITY CENTERS WITHIN THE ITCZ...WHICH HAS BASICALLY BECOME AN EXTENSION OF THE WEST PACIFIC MONSOON TROUGH THE LAST COUPLE OF WEEKS. GLOBAL MODELS SINCE LAST WEEK WERE SHOWING A SYSTEM DEVELOPING INTO TROPICAL STORM AND HURRICANE STRENGTH...HOWEVER ONCE CONVECTION DID START TO DEVELOP ALL THE DYNAMIC MODELS BEGAN TO BACK WAY OFF ON ANY FUTURE DEVELOPMENT. THAT IS WHERE WE ARE NOW. GFDL RUNS SINCE WEDNESDAY DO NOTHING WITH THE SYSTEM...AND ALL DYNAMIC MODEL GUIDANCE AVAILABLE BASICALLY KEEP IT NEAR STATIONARY AND THEN KILL IT OFF. OBSERVATIONAL DATA OBVIOUSLY SUGGEST OTHERWISE...AND AS SUCH THIS IS A VERY LOW CONFIDENCE FORECAST. 04-C IS CURRENTLY EMBEDDED IN AN UNUSUAL SOUTHWEST TO WEST STEERING FLOW. GFS MODEL INDICATES THIS PATTERN WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS SO 04-C IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN WELL SOUTH OF HAWAII AS IT MOVES IN A VERY STRANGE DIRECTION...EASTWARD. WITH UPPER LEVEL WINDS EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS AN UPPER TROUGH DEVELOPS NEAR AND NORTHWEST OF HAWAII THIS WILL INCREASE SHEAR ACROSS THE SYSTEM. SO TOMORROW WE SHOULD FIRST SEE CONVECTION BEING DISPLACED MORE EAST OF THE CENTER AND THEN SHORTLY AFTER THAT EXPECT THE INCREASINGLY HOSTILE ENVIRONMENT TO CAUSE 04-C DISSIPATE INTO NOTHING BUT A LOW LEVEL SWIRL. UNDER THIS SCENARIO...DONT EXPECT 04-C TO GET ANY STRONGER. THE FORECAST IS FOR IT TO HAVE A SHORT LIFE AND BE GONE WITHIN 48 HOURS. HOWEVER THERE IS STILL UNCERTAINTY TO THE FORECAST. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THE SHARP TROUGH CURRENTLY NEAR 25N 170W DIGGING SOUTHEAST. IT CAN NOT BE COMPLETELY RULED OUT...ALTHOUGH CHANCES ARE QUITE LOW...THAT THE TROUGH MAY INITIALLY ASSIST IN CREATING AN UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW CHANNEL TO THE NORTH OF 04-C ALLOW IT TO FURTHER DEVELOP AND STRENGTHEN. IF THIS HAPPENS...04-C MAY ALSO TRACK A LITTLE FARTHER NORTH THAN THE CURRENT FORECAST HAS IT. NEEDLESS TO SAY THIS SYSTEM SHOULD BE CLOSELY MONITORED BY ALL FOLKS ACROSS HAWAII. REFER TO AREA FORECAST DISCUSSIONS FROM WFO HONOLULU...AFDHFO/FXHW60 PHFO...FOR MORE INFORMATION ON THE WEATHER THAT THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL BRING TO HAWAII AND ANY EXPECTED IMPACTS FROM THE REMNANTS OF 04-C. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 13/2100Z 13.9N 166.1W 30 KT 12HR VT 14/0600Z 14.6N 165.3W 30 KT 24HR VT 14/1800Z 15.4N 163.9W 30 KT 36HR VT 15/0600Z 16.1N 162.0W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 48HR VT 15/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ FORECASTER NASH ** WTPA25 PHFO 132051 *** TCMCP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-C FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP042006 2100 UTC FRI OCT 13 2006 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 166.1W AT 13/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 166.1W AT 13/2100Z AT 13/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 166.3W FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 14.6N 165.3W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 15.4N 163.9W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 16.1N 162.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.9N 166.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0300Z $$ FORECASTER NASH ** WTPN31 PGTW 132100 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 21W (SOULIK) WARNING NR 020 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 131800Z --- NEAR 24.1N 141.0E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 24.1N 141.0E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z --- 24.4N 140.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z --- 25.1N 141.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z --- 26.6N 141.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z --- 29.0N 143.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z --- 34.8N 150.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 24 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z --- 39.5N 161.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 132100Z POSITION NEAR 24.2N 141.0E. TYPHOON (TY) 21W (SOULIK), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 40 NM SOUTH- SOUTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, HAS REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131800Z IS 37 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 140300Z, 140900Z, 141500Z AND 142100Z.// ** WTPQ20 RJTD 132100 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0618 SOULIK (0618) ANALYSIS PSTN 132100UTC 24.1N 141.2E GOOD MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY PRES 960HPA MXWD 070KT 50KT 60NM 30KT 230NM FORECAST 24HF 142100UTC 25.1N 140.9E 90NM 70% MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY PRES 950HPA MXWD 080KT 45HF 151800UTC 28.9N 143.7E 160NM 70% MOVE NNE 11KT PRES 950HPA MXWD 080KT 69HF 161800UTC 34.5N 150.3E 290NM 70% MOVE NE 19KT PRES 965HPA MXWD 070KT = ** WTJP31 RJTD 132100 *** WARNING 132100. WARNING VALID 142100. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0618 SOULIK (0618) 960 HPA AT 24.1N 141.2E SOUTHWEST OF CHICHIJIMA ALMOST STATIONARY. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 230 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 142100UTC AT 25.1N 140.9E WITH 90 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPN31 PHNC 132200 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04C WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 131800Z --- NEAR 13.7N 166.3W MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 13.9N 166.1W --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z --- 14.6N 165.3W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z --- 15.4N 163.9W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z --- 16.1N 162.0W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 132200Z POSITION NEAR 14.1N 165.8W. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131800Z IS 10 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 140400Z, 141000Z, 141600Z AND 142200Z.//