** WTSR20 WSSS 051800 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 060000 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS BEBINCA 0617 (0616) INITIAL TIME 060000 UTC 00HR 29.2N 138.6E 993HPA 18M/S 30KTS 560KM P12HR ENE 30KM/H P+24HR 32.1N 144.0E 998HPA 16M/S= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 060000 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS RUMBIA 0618 (0617) INITIAL TIME 060000 UTC 00HR 26.7N 151.8E 993HPA 18M/S 30KTS 470KM P12HR N 25KM/H P+24HR 32.6N 151.8E 998HPA 16M/S= ** WTPQ21 RJTD 060000 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TD DOWNGRADED FROM TS 0616 BEBINCA (0616) ANALYSIS PSTN 060000UTC 29N 139E MOVE NNE 15KT PRES 986HPA = ** WTPQ20 RJTD 060000 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TS 0617 RUMBIA (0617) ANALYSIS PSTN 060000UTC 26.7N 151.8E FAIR MOVE N 15KT PRES 990HPA MXWD 040KT 30KT 240NM NORTHEAST 200NM SOUTHWEST FORECAST 24HF 070000UTC 33.0N 149.1E 100NM 70% MOVE NNW 16KT PRES 992HPA MXWD 040KT 48HF 080000UTC 38.4N 154.5E 170NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW = ** WTJP21 RJTD 060000 *** WARNING 060000. WARNING VALID 070000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0617 RUMBIA (0617) 990 HPA AT 26.7N 151.8E NORTHWEST OF MINAMITORISIMA MOVING NORTH 15 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 070000UTC AT 33.0N 149.1E WITH 100 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 992 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 080000UTC AT 38.4N 154.5E WITH 170 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 992 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTKO20 RKSL 060000 *** KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 8 NAME TD 0616 BEBINCA ANALYSIS POSITION 060000UTC 29.0N 139.0E MOVEMENT NNE 15KT PRES 990HPA KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION. ** WTPN31 PGTW 060300 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/PEARL HARBOR HI/051352OCT2006// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W (BEBINCA) WARNING NR 019 DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 19W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 060000Z --- NEAR 28.8N 138.2E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 28.8N 138.2E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z --- 30.7N 140.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z --- 32.6N 143.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 060300Z POSITION NEAR 29.3N 138.8E. ROPICAL STORM (TS) 19W (BEBINCA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 300 NM NORTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060000Z IS 14 FEET. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W (RUMBIA) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// ** WTPN32 PGTW 060300 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/PEARL HARBOR HI/051351OCT2006// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W (RUMBIA) WARNING NR 006 DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 20W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 060000Z --- NEAR 26.6N 151.5E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 18 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 26.6N 151.5E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z --- 30.5N 151.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 000 DEG/ 23 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z --- 35.1N 151.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 060300Z POSITION NEAR 27.6N 151.5E. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 20W (RUMBIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 560 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF IWO JIMA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 18 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060000Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W (BEBINCA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// ** WTPN31 PGTW 060300 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/PEARL HARBOR HI/051352OCT2006// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W (BEBINCA) WARNING NR 019 DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 19W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 060000Z --- NEAR 28.8N 138.2E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 28.8N 138.2E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z --- 30.7N 140.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z --- 32.6N 143.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 060300Z POSITION NEAR 29.3N 138.8E. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 19W (BEBINCA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 300 NM NORTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060000Z IS 14 FEET. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W (RUMBIA) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// ** WTPN32 PGTW 060300 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/PEARL HARBOR HI/051351OCT2006// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W (RUMBIA) WARNING NR 006 DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 20W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 060000Z --- NEAR 26.6N 151.5E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 18 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 26.6N 151.5E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z --- 30.5N 151.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 000 DEG/ 23 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z --- 35.1N 151.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 060300Z POSITION NEAR 27.6N 151.5E. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 20W (RUMBIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 560 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF IWO JIMA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 18 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060000Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W (BEBINCA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// ** WTPQ30 RJTD 060000 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING REASONING NO. 6 FOR TS 0617 RUMBIA (0617) 1.GENERAL COMMENTS REASONING OF PROGNOSIS THIS TIME IS SIMILAR TO PREVIOUS ONE. POSITION FORECAST IS MAINLY BASED ON NWP AND PERSISTENCY. 2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION NOTHING PARTICULAR TO EXPLAIN. 3.MOTION FORECAST POSITION ACCURACY AT 060000 UTC IS FAIR. TS WILL MOVE AT THE SAME SPEED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TS WILL RECURVE WITHIN 48 HOURS FROM 060000 UTC. TS WILL MOVE NORTH-NORTHEAST FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS THEN MOVE GRADUALLY TO NORTH-NORTHEAST. 4.INTENSITY FORECAST TS WILL KEEP PRESENT INTENSITY FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FI-NUMBER WILL BE 2.5 AFTER 24 HOURS.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 060300 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TS 0617 RUMBIA (0617) ANALYSIS PSTN 060300UTC 28.3N 151.1E FAIR MOVE N 15KT PRES 990HPA MXWD 040KT 30KT 240NM NORTHEAST 200NM SOUTHWEST FORECAST 24HF 070300UTC 34.4N 148.9E 100NM 70% MOVE NNW 15KT PRES 992HPA MXWD 040KT 45HF 080000UTC 38.4N 154.5E 170NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW = ** WTPN32 PGTW 060300 COR *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/PEARL HARBOR HI/060351OCT2006// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W (RUMBIA) WARNING NR 006A CORRECTED DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 20W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 060000Z --- NEAR 26.6N 151.5E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 18 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 26.6N 151.5E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z --- 30.5N 151.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 000 DEG/ 23 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z --- 35.1N 151.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 060300Z POSITION NEAR 27.6N 151.5E. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 20W (RUMBIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 560 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF IWO JIMA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 18 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY CLEAR- LY INDICATES THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS NOW FULLY EXPOSED AND RAPIDLY DETEREORATING. THE SYSTEM WILL BE FULLY DISIPPATED BY TAU 12. WINDS AND SEAS ASSOCIATED WITH GRADIENT FLOW STILL REPRESENT A HAZARD TO MARITIME ASSETS. ADVISORIES FOR HIGH WIND AND SEAS WILL CONTINUE TO BE ISSUED BY NAVAL MARITIME FORECAST CENTER, PEARL HARBOR HAWAII THE SYSTEM HAS ACCELERATED NORTHWARD AND IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060000Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W (BEBINCA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX HOURLY UPDATES. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: ADDED WORDING IN RE- MARKS SECTION. ** WTPQ20 BABJ 060000 CCA *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS BEBINCA 0617 (0616) INITIAL TIME 060000 UTC 00HR 29.2N 138.6E 984HPA 20M/S 30KTS 560KM P12HR ENE 30KM/H= ** WTPN31 PGTW 060300 COR *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/PEARL HARBOR HI/060352OCT2006// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W (BEBINCA) WARNING NR 019A CORRECTED DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 19W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 060000Z --- NEAR 28.8N 138.2E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 28.8N 138.2E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z --- 30.7N 140.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z --- 32.6N 143.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 060300Z POSITION NEAR 29.3N 138.8E. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 19W (BEBINCA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 300 NM NORTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MICROWAVE AND MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICATE THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS NOW FULLY EXPOSED WITH COLD DRY AIR WRAPPING IN FROM THE NORTH AND WEST. THE CURRENT FORECAST IS FOR TD 19W TO DISSIPATE AS A TROPICAL SYSTEM BY TAU 12. IT SHOULD BE NOTED HOW- EVER THAT WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH GRADIENT FLOW AND A DEVELOPING EXTRATROP- ICAL LOW ARE STILL STRONG AND PRESENT HAZARDS TO MARITIME ASSETS. AD- VISORIES FOR HIGH WINDS AND SEAS WILL CONTINUE TO BE ISSUED BY NAVAL MAR- ITIME FORECAST CENTER, PEARL HARBOR HAWAII. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060000Z IS 14 FEET. REFER TO TROPICAL DE- PRESSION 20W (RUMBIA) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: ADDED WORDING TO REMARKS SECTION.// ** WTNT80 EGRR 060514 *** MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 06.10.2006 NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 60 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 60 : 11.4N 111.2W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 08.10.2006 11.4N 111.2W WEAK 00UTC 09.10.2006 11.0N 114.6W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 09.10.2006 11.1N 114.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.10.2006 11.4N 116.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.10.2006 15.3N 125.3W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 11.10.2006 15.6N 125.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.10.2006 11.4N 132.1W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 12.10.2006 11.5N 131.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 48 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 48 : 9.2N 135.2W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 08.10.2006 9.2N 135.2W WEAK 12UTC 08.10.2006 9.5N 135.3W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 09.10.2006 9.9N 135.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.10.2006 9.5N 134.7W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 10.10.2006 10.2N 134.2W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 10.10.2006 10.4N 133.4W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 11.10.2006 11.1N 132.9W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.10.2006 11.4N 132.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 12.10.2006 11.8N 131.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 24 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 24 : 9.8N 126.8W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 07.10.2006 10.1N 123.0W WEAK 12UTC 07.10.2006 11.0N 126.0W WEAK INTENSIFYIN SLIGHTLY 00UTC 08.10.2006 9.8N 126.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.10.2006 11.4N 125.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.10.2006 13.4N 125.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.10.2006 14.1N 126.2W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 10.10.2006 14.9N 125.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.10.2006 15.3N 125.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.10.2006 15.6N 125.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.10.2006 15.6N 125.3W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 12.10.2006 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 72 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 72 : 8.4N 151.0W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 09.10.2006 8.4N 151.0W WEAK 12UTC 09.10.2006 8.1N 151.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.10.2006 8.8N 150.5W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 10.10.2006 9.5N 150.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.10.2006 9.6N 150.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.10.2006 9.6N 150.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 12.10.2006 10.3N 151.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 060514