** WTPQ20 BABJ 051800 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS BEBINCA 0617 (0616) INITIAL TIME 051800 UTC 00HR 27.3N 136.3E 992HPA 20M/S 30KTS 560KM P12HR NNE 20KM/H P+24HR 31.0N 139.0E 985HPA 25M/S P+48HR 37.0N 143.0E 985HPA 25M/S P+72HR 43.0N 148.0E 990HPA 23M/S= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 051800 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS RUMBIA 0618 (0617) INITIAL TIME 051800 UTC 00HR 24.6N 151.8E 993HPA 18M/S 30KTS 470KM P12HR N 15KM/H P+24HR 27.8N 151.8E 993HPA 18M/S P+48HR 33.0N 154.0E 996HPA 16M/S= ** WTPQ21 RJTD 051800 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TS 0616 BEBINCA (0616) ANALYSIS PSTN 051800UTC 27.5N 138.0E POOR MOVE ENE 15KT PRES 990HPA MXWD 040KT 30KT 280NM NORTHEAST 250NM SOUTHWEST FORECAST 24HF 061800UTC 30.4N 143.0E 100NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION = ** WTJP22 RJTD 051800 *** WARNING 051800. WARNING VALID 061800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0616 BEBINCA (0616) 990 HPA AT 27.5N 138.0E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 280 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 250 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 060600UTC AT 29.1N 140.5E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 994 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 061800UTC AT 30.4N 143.0E WITH 100 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 998 HPA. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTKO20 RKSL 051800 *** KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 7 NAME TS 0616 BEBINCA ANALYSIS POSITION 051800UTC 27.5N 138.0E MOVEMENT E 20KT PRES/VMAX 990HPA 41KT FORECAST 24HR POSITION 061800UTC 30.7N 143.5E WITHIN 0NM PRES 995HPA KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION. ** WTPQ20 BABJ 051800 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS BEBINCA 0617 (0616) INITIAL TIME 051800 UTC 00HR 27.3N 136.3E 992HPA 20M/S 30KTS 560KM P12HR NNE 20KM/H P+24HR 31.0N 139.0E 985HPA 25M/S P+48HR 37.0N 143.0E 985HPA 25M/S P+72HR 43.0N 148.0E 990HPA 23M/S= ** WTJP21 RJTD 051800 *** WARNING 051800. WARNING VALID 061800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0617 RUMBIA (0617) 985 HPA AT 24.6N 151.4E WEST OF MINAMITORISIMA MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 11 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 270 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 230 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 061800UTC AT 31.8N 150.0E WITH 100 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 992 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 071800UTC AT 38.4N 154.5E WITH 170 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 992 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 051800 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TS 0617 RUMBIA (0617) ANALYSIS PSTN 051800UTC 24.6N 151.4E FAIR MOVE NNW 11KT PRES 985HPA MXWD 045KT 30KT 270NM NORTHEAST 230NM SOUTHWEST FORECAST 24HF 061800UTC 31.8N 150.0E 100NM 70% MOVE N 18KT PRES 992HPA MXWD 040KT 48HF 071800UTC 38.4N 154.5E 170NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW = ** WTPQ20 BABJ 051800 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS RUMBIA 0618 (0617) INITIAL TIME 051800 UTC 00HR 24.6N 151.8E 993HPA 18M/S 30KTS 470KM P12HR N 15KM/H P+24HR 27.8N 151.8E 993HPA 18M/S P+48HR 33.0N 154.0E 996HPA 16M/S= ** WTKO20 RKSL 051800 *** KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 6 NAME TS 0617 RUMBIA ANALYSIS POSITION 051800UTC 24.6N 151.4E MOVEMENT NNW 10KT PRES/VMAX 985HPA 45KT FORECAST 24HR POSITION 061800UTC 30.6N 150.0E WITHIN 160NM PRES/VMAX 992HPA 37KT 48HR POSITION 071800UTC 36.6N 153.9E WITHIN 0NM PRES 995HPA KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION. ** WTPN31 PGTW 052100 *** 1. TROPICAL STORM 19W (BEBINCA) WARNING NR 018 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 051800Z --- NEAR 26.5N 136.8E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 065 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 26.5N 136.8E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z --- 27.5N 138.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z --- 28.9N 140.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z --- 30.6N 142.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 052100Z POSITION NEAR 26.8N 137.3E. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 19W (BEBINCA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 270 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. A 051024Z SSMI PASS AND A 050754Z QUIKSCAT IMAGE INDICATED THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER HAD DECOUPLED FROM THE DEEP CONVECTION THAT WAS PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NORTH OF THE CENTER. A 051716Z AMSU PASS FURTHER INDICATED THIS TREND AND VERIFIED THE CURRENT SYSTEM POSITION AS WELL AS SIGNIFICANT DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT NORTHWEST OF THE SYSTEM. SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS REVEALS A WEAK EXTRATROPICAL LOW (NORTH OF TS 19W) NEAR 34.0N 132.0E DEVELOPING ON THE FRONTAL SYSTEM SOUTH OF HONSHU. THE CURRENT FORECAST IS FOR TS 19W TO DISSIPATE NEAR TAU 36 WITH THE REMNANT LOW PRESSURE AREA ABSORBED INTO THE STRENGTHENING EXTRATROPICAL LOW AFTER DISSIPATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051800Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 060300Z, 060900Z, 061500Z AND 062100Z. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 20W (RUMBIA) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #0001 ** WTPN32 PGTW 052100 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/PEARL HARBOR HI/051351OCT2006// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 20W (RUMBIA) WARNING NR 005 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 051800Z --- NEAR 24.4N 151.4E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 24.4N 151.4E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z --- 26.8N 150.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z --- 30.7N 150.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 26 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z --- 35.8N 151.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 052100Z POSITION NEAR 25.0N 151.3E. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 20W (RUMBIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 550 NM EAST OF IWO JIMA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 051637Z TRMM TMI PASS CLEARLY INDICATE THAT THE LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER HAS DECOUPLED FROM THE DEEP CONVECTION, WHICH IS SHEARED 120 NM SOUTH OF THE CENTER. THE SYSTEM HAS ACCELERATED NORTHWARD AND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ACCELERATING UNDER ENHANCED FLOW BETWEEN THE DEVELOPING EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM OVER HONSHU AND THE HIGH SITUATED NORTHEAST OF TS 20W. TS 20W WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS IT ENCOUNTERS STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WILL DISSIPATE BY TAU 36. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051800Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 060300Z, 060900Z, 061500Z AND 062100Z. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 19W (BEBINCA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// ** WTPQ32 PGUM 052118 *** TCPPQ2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM RUMBIA (20W) ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 800 AM GUAM LST FRI OCT 6 2006 ...TROPICAL STORM RUMBIA MOVING NORTH-NORTHWEST... NO WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT. AT 7 AM GUAM LST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM RUMBIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.0 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 151.3 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 560 MILES NORTHEAST OF AGRIHAN 770 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF SAIPAN AND 905 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF GUAM. TROPICAL STORM RUMBIA IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 9 MPH. RUMBIA WILL CONTINUE MOVING IN THIS GENERAL DIRECTION WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 50 MPH. RUMBIA IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEAR THIS INTENSITY DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUT AS FAR AS 270 MILES FROM THE CENTER. REPEATING THE 7 AM POSITION...25.0 DEGREES NORTH AND 151.3 DEGREES EAST...MOVING NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 5 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 50 MPH. THIS WILL BE THE LAST ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ON TROPICAL STORM RUMBIA. $$ MUSONDA ** WTPQ21 RJTD 052100 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TS 0616 BEBINCA (0616) ANALYSIS PSTN 052100UTC 28.2N 138.2E POOR MOVE NE 15KT PRES 990HPA MXWD 035KT 30KT 280NM NORTHEAST 250NM SOUTHWEST FORECAST 24HF 062100UTC 31.1N 143.8E 100NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION = ** WTPQ20 RJTD 052100 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TS 0617 RUMBIA (0617) ANALYSIS PSTN 052100UTC 25.3N 151.5E FAIR MOVE NNW 09KT PRES 985HPA MXWD 045KT 30KT 270NM NORTHEAST 230NM SOUTHWEST FORECAST 24HF 062100UTC 31.8N 149.6E 100NM 70% MOVE NNW 16KT PRES 992HPA MXWD 040KT 45HF 071800UTC 38.4N 154.5E 170NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =