** WTPQ21 RJTD 021200 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TD ANALYSIS PSTN 021200UTC 15.0N 130.0E POOR MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY PRES 994HPA MXWD 030KT FORECAST 24HF 031200UTC 16.7N 130.0E 150NM 70% MOVE N SLOWLY PRES 990HPA MXWD 040KT = ** WTPQ31 PGUM 021415 CCA *** TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W ADVISORY NUMBER 4...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 1215 AM GUAM LST TUE OCT 3 2006 CORRECTED MAXIMUM WINDS ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W SLOWLY MOVING WEST... NO WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT. AT 7 PM GUAM LST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.5 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 130.9 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 550 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF KOROR 595 MILES NORTHWEST OF YAP 930 MILES WEST OF GUAM 990 MILES WEST OF SAIPAN. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W IS SLOWLY MOVING WEST AT 6 MPH. OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W IS EXPECTED TO TURN NORTH WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 MPH. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AND BECOME A TROPICAL STORM OVERNIGHT. REPEATING THE 7 PM POSITION...14.5 DEGREES NORTH AND 130.9 DEGREES EAST...MOVING WEST AT 6 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 35 MPH. THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 2 AM GUAM LST TUESDAY. $$ AHN ** WTNT24 KNHC 021443 *** TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM ISAAC FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092006 1500 UTC MON OCT 02 2006 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE AVALON PENINSULA IN SOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE BURIN PENINSULA AND BONAVISTA PENINSULA IN SOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 44.3N 55.0W AT 02/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 30 DEGREES AT 36 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT.......225NE 250SE 75SW 75NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 275SE 150SW 75NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 44.3N 55.0W AT 02/1500Z AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 42.5N 56.3W FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 49.0N 51.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 75NE 50SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...250NE 200SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 52.0N 47.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 0NW. 34 KT...250NE 200SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z...MERGED WITH EXTRATROPICAL LOW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 44.3N 55.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN/PASCH ** WTNT34 KNHC 021443 *** TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ISAAC ADVISORY NUMBER 20 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092006 1100 AM AST MON OCT 02 2006 ...ISAAC WEAKENS...STILL HEADING FOR SOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE AVALON PENINSULA IN SOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE BURIN PENINSULA AND BONAVISTA PENINSULA IN SOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 1100 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 44.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 55.0 WEST OR ABOUT 190 MILES...305 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND. ISAAC IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 41 MPH...67 KM/HR... AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER WILL PASS NEAR OR OVER SOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND LATER TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ISAAC IS LOSING TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS AND IS EXPECTED TO BECOME AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW LATER TODAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 290 MILES...465 KM MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND TODAY. REPEATING THE 1100 AM AST POSITION...44.3 N...55.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 41 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 200 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 PM AST. $$ FORECASTER BROWN/PASCH ** WTNT44 KNHC 021444 *** TCDAT4 TROPICAL STORM ISAAC DISCUSSION NUMBER 20 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092006 1100 AM EDT MON OCT 02 2006 SOUTHWESTERLY SHEAR AND COOL SSTS HAVE TAKEN THEIR TOLL ON ISAAC THIS MORNING. THE CENTER OF ISAAC IS VERY DIFFICULT TO LOCATE IN VISIBLE IMAGERY AND BUOYS OVER THE CANADIAN MARITIMES HAVE NOT BEEN MUCH HELP THUS FAR. THE INITIAL INTENSITY WILL BE SET AT 50 KT AND THIS COULD BE A LITTLE GENEROUS GIVEN THE CURRENT OBSERVATIONS. ISAAC IS CONTINUING TO ACCELERATE NORTHEASTWARD AND THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 030/36. ALL OF THE AVAILABLE GUIDANCE SLOWS ISAAC CONSIDERABLY IN THE NEXT 12 HOURS...POSSIBLY DUE TO THE INTERACTION WITH THE ADJACENT EXTRATROPICAL LOW. IN DEFERENCE TO THE CURRENT ACCELERATION...THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS FASTER THAN THE GUIDANCE AND INDICATES THAT ISAAC WILL BE PASSING NEAR OF OVER SOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND LATER TODAY. ISAAC IS QUICKLY LOSING TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS AND IS FORECAST TO MERGE WITH AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. THE GFS... UKMET...AND ECMWF ALL AGREE ON THIS SCENARIO AND SO DOES THE NHC FORECAST. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 02/1500Z 44.3N 55.0W 50 KT 12HR VT 03/0000Z 49.0N 51.0W 60 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 24HR VT 03/1200Z 52.0N 47.0W 55 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 36HR VT 04/0000Z...MERGED WITH EXTRATROPICAL LOW $$ FORECASTER BROWN/PASCH ** WTCN31 CWHX 021450 *** SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN ISSUED BY THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTRE OF ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 11:50 AM ADT MONDAY 2 OCTOBER 2006. --------------------------------------------------------------------- TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR: ST. JOHN'S AND VICINITY AVALON PENINSULA NORTH AVALON PENINSULA SOUTH. TROPICAL STORM-FORCE WINDS NEAR 70 KM/H WITH GUSTS TO 110 KM/H ARE NOW EXPECTED OVER THE ABOVE REGIONS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM ISAAC CROSS THE AVALON PENINSULA. ISAAC IS A VERY SMALL STORM AND ITS EFFECTS MAY NOT BE FELT ACROSS THE ENTIRE AVALON. --------------------------------------------------------------------- ==DISCUSSION== ISAAC HAS WEAKENED FROM A HURRICANE TO A TROPICAL STORM THIS MORNING. THE TROPICAL STORM CONTINUES RACING TOWARDS NEWFOUNDLAND AND SHOULD CROSS THE AVALON PENINSULA THIS AFTERNOON. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST FORECASTS FOR FURTHER DETAILS. NOTE..HURRICANE INFORMATION STATEMENTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE WOCN31 CWHX BULLETIN. END/PJB ** WTPH20 RPMM 021500 *** T T T GALE WARNING 06 AT 1200 02 OCTOBER TROPICAL STORM WAS ESTIMATED BASED ON SATELLITE AND SURFACE DATA AT ONE FIVE POINT ONE NORTH ONE TWO EIGHT POINT EIGHT EAST FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWEST AT ZERO THREE METERS PER SECOND ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN TWO FIVE ZERO KILOMETERS RADIUS FROM CENTER ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE NINE NINE ONE HECTOPASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS TWO THREE METERS PER SECOND NEAR CENTER ONE THREE METERS PER SECOND WITHIN TWO FIVE ZERO KILOMETERS RADIUS FROM CENTER FORECAST POSITIONS AT 031200 ONE FIVE POINT FIVE NORTH ONE TWO SIX POINT THREE EAST AT 041200 ONE FIVE POINT EIGHT NORTH ONE TWO THREE POINT EIGHT EAST AND AT 051200 ONE SIX POINT ONE NORTH ONE TWO ONE POINT ONE EAST ALL SHIPS WITHIN STORM AREA ARE REQUESTED TO SEND THREE HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS TO WEATHER MANILA PD WEATHER MANILA= ** WTPH RPLL 031500 *** TTT GALE WARNING 06 AT 1200 02 OCTOBER TROPICAL STORM WAS ESTIMATED BASED ON SATELLITE AND SURFACE DATA AT 15.1N 128.8E FORECAST TO MOVE WEST NORTHWEST AT 03MPS ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 250KMS RADIUS FROM CENTER ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE 991 HECTOPASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS 23MPS NEAR CENTER FORECAST POSITIONS AT 031200 15.5N 126.3E AT 041200 15.8N 123.8E AND AT 051200 16.1N 121.1E ALL SHIPS WITHIN STORM AREA ARE REQUESTED TO SEND THREE HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS TO WEATHER MANILA PD= ** WTPQ31 PGUM 021524 *** TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 200 AM GUAM LST TUE OCT 3 2006 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W SLOWLY MOVING NORTHWEST... NO WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT. AT 1 AM GUAM LST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.8 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 130.8 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 570 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF KOROR 615 MILES NORTHWEST OF YAP 940 MILES WEST OF GUAM 995 MILES WEST OF SAIPAN. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W IS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 5 MPH. OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W IS EXPECTED TO TURN NORTH WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 MPH. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AND BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY. REPEATING THE 1 AM POSITION...14.8 DEGREES NORTH AND 130.8 DEGREES EAST...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 5 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 35 MPH. THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 8 AM GUAM LST. $$ MUSONDA ** WTPQ21 RJTD 021500 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TD ANALYSIS PSTN 021500UTC 15.0N 130.0E POOR MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY PRES 994HPA MXWD 030KT FORECAST 24HF 031500UTC 17.0N 130.1E 150NM 70% MOVE N SLOWLY PRES 990HPA MXWD 040KT = ** WTPH20 RPMM 021500 *** T T T GALE WARNING 06 AT 1200 02 OCTOBER TROPICAL STORM WAS ESTIMATED BASED ON SATELLITE AND SURFACE DATA AT ONE FIVE POINT ONE NORTH ONE TWO EIGHT POINT EIGHT EAST FORECAST TO MOVE WEST NORTHWEST AT ZERO THREE METERS PER SECOND ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN TWO FIVE ZERO KILOMETERS RADIUS FROM CENTER ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE NINE NINE ONE HECTOPASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS TWO THREE METERS PER SECOND NEAR CENTER ONE THREE METERS PER SECOND WITHIN TWO FIVE ZERO KILOMETERS RADIUS FROM CENTER FORECAST POSITIONS AT 031200 ONE FIVE POINT FIVE NORTH ONE TWO SIX POINT THREE EAST AT 041200 ONE FIVE POINT EIGHT NORTH ONE TWO THREE POINT EIGHT EAST AND AT 051200 ONE SIX POINT ONE NORTH ONE TWO ONE POINT ONE EAST ALL SHIPS WITHIN STORM AREA ARE REQUESTED TO SEND THREE HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS TO WEATHER MANILA PD WEATHER MANILA= ** WTNT80 EGRR 021713 *** MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 02.10.2006 TROPICAL STORM ISAAC ANALYSED POSITION : 44.1N 55.6W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL092006 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 02.10.2006 44.1N 55.6W WEAK 00UTC 03.10.2006 46.2N 60.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 03.10.2006 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 021713 ** WTCA44 TJSJ 021741 *** TCPSP4 BOLETIN TORMENTA TROPICAL ISAAC ADVERTENCIA NUMERO 20 NWS TCP/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL AL092006 1100 AM AST LUNES 2 DE OCTUBRE DE 2006 ...ISAAC SE DEBILITA...SE MANTIENE EN DIRECCION HACIA EL SURESTE DE NEWFOUNLAND... UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL PERMANECE EN EFECTO PARA LA PENINSULA DE AVALON EN EL SURESTE DE NEWFOUNDLAND. UNA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL PERMANECE EN EFECTO PARA LA PENISULA DE BURIN Y LA PENINSULA DE BONAVISTA EN EL SURESTE DE NEWFOUNLAND. PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA PARA SU AREA...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS PARA AREAS TERRESTRES...FAVOR DE MANTENERSE ATENTO A LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU OFICINA DE METEOROLOGIA LOCAL. A LAS 1100 AM AST...1500Z...EL CENTRO DE LA TORMENTA TROPICAL ISAAC ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 44.3 NORTE...LONGITUD 55.0 OESTE O COMO A 190 MILLAS...305 KILOMETROS...AL SUR-SUROESTE DE CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND. ISAAC SE ESTA MOVIENDO HACIA EL NORTE-NORESTE A CERCA DE 41 MPH...67 KM/HR...Y SE ESPERA QUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO GENERAL CONTINUE DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. CON ESTA TRAYECTORIA EL CENTRO PASARA CERCA O SOBRE EL SURESTE DE NEWFOUNLAND MAS TARDE HOY. LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN EN CERCA DE 60 MPH...95 KILOMETROS POR HORA CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. ALGUN DEBILITAMIENTO SE PRONOSTICA DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. ISAAC ESTA PERDIENDO LAS CARACTERISTICAS TROPICALES Y SE ESPERA QUE SE TORNE EXTRATROPICAL MAS TARDE HOY. LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 290 MILLAS...465 KM MAYORMENTE AL ESTE DEL CENTRO. LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 994 MILIBARAS...29.35 PULGADAS. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LAS 1100 AM AST...44.3 NORTE...55.0 OESTE. MOVIMIENTO HACIA...EL NORTE-NORESTE A CERCA DE 41 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...60 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...994 MILIBARAS. UNA ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA SERA EMITIDA POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES A LAS 200 PM AST SEGUIDA POR LA PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA A LAS 500 PM. $$ PRONOSTICADOR BROWN/PASCH ** WTNT34 KNHC 021756 *** TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ISAAC INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 20A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092006 200 PM AST MON OCT 02 2006 ...ISAAC APPROACHING SOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE AVALON PENINSULA IN SOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND. ENVIRONMENT CANADA HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE BURIN PENINSULA AND THE BONAVISTA PENINSULA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 200 PM AST...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 45.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 53.5 WEST OR ABOUT 120 MILES...190 KM...SOUTH OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND. ISAAC IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR... AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER WILL PASS NEAR SOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND LATER THIS AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A CANADIAN BUOY REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 51 MPH...83 KM/HR WITH A PEAK WIND GUST TO 65 MPH...104 KM/HR...AS THE CENTER PASSED NEARBY. ISAAC IS LOSING TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS AND IS EXPECTED TO BECOME AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE LATER TODAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 290 MILES...465 KM MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 992 MB...29.29 INCHES. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND TODAY. REPEATING THE 200 PM AST POSITION...45.0 N...53.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 40 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 PM AST. $$ FORECASTER BROWN/PASCH