** WTSR20 WSSS 291800 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 300000 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST SUPER TY XANGSANE 0616 (0615) INITIAL TIME 300000 UTC 00HR 15.6N 112.5E 930HPA 55M/S 30KTS 400KM 50KTS 200KM P12HR W 15KM/H P+24HR 15.5N 108.3E 970HPA 35M/S P+48HR 15.0N 104.6E 998HPA 16M/S= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 300000 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0615 XANGSANE (0615) ANALYSIS PSTN 300000UTC 15.6N 112.5E GOOD MOVE W 10KT PRES 950HPA MXWD 085KT 50KT 70NM 30KT 230NM FORECAST 24HF 010000UTC 15.6N 108.5E 80NM 70% MOVE W 09KT PRES 970HPA MXWD 070KT 48HF 020000UTC 15.0N 105.0E 150NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION = ** WTJP21 RJTD 300000 *** WARNING 300000. WARNING VALID 010000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0615 XANGSANE (0615) 950 HPA AT 15.6N 112.5E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 10 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 230 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 010000UTC AT 15.6N 108.5E WITH 80 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 020000UTC AT 15.0N 105.0E WITH 150 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 1000 HPA. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ30 RJTD 300000 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING REASONING NO. 9 FOR TY 0615 XANGSANE (0615) 1.GENERAL COMMENTS REASONING OF PROGNOSIS THIS TIME IS SIMILAR TO PREVIOUS ONE. POSITION FORECAST IS MAINLY BASED ON NWP AND PERSISTENCY. 2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION NOTHING PARTICULAR TO EXPLAIN. 3.MOTION FORECAST POSITION ACCURACY AT 300000 UTC IS GOOD. TY WILL MOVE AT THE SAME SPEED FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS. TY WILL MOVE WEST FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 4.INTENSITY FORECAST TY WILL KEEP PRESENT INTENSITY FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FI-NUMBER WILL BE 5.0 AFTER 24 HOURS. ** WTSS20 VHHH 300145 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 300000 UTC, TYPHOON XANGSANE (0615) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 930 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE FIVE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (15.6 N) ONE ONE TWO POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (112.5 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 11 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 100 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 180 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 330 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 010000 UTC ONE FIVE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (15.6 N) ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (108.0 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 80 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 020000 UTC ONE FIVE POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (15.3 N) ONE ZERO THREE POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (103.7 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 030000 UTC DISSIPATED OVER LAND. ** WTSS20 VHHH 300145 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 300000 UTC, TYPHOON XANGSANE (0615) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 930 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE FIVE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (15.6 N) ONE ONE TWO POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (112.5 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 11 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 100 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 180 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 330 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 010000 UTC ONE FIVE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (15.6 N) ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (108.0 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 80 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 020000 UTC ONE FIVE POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (15.3 N) ONE ZERO THREE POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (103.7 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 030000 UTC DISSIPATED OVER LAND. ** WTTH20 VTBB 300000 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAMETYPHOON ANALYSIS PSTN 300000UTC 15.5N 112.4E MOVEW 10 KTS PRES950HPA MXWD085KT FORECAST 24HF010000UTC 15.5N 108.0E MOVEW 10 KTS PRES970 HPA MXWD070 KT 48HF020000UTC 15.0N 103.0E MOVEWSW 11KT PRES984 HPA MXWD55 KT ** WTPN31 PGTW 300300 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 18W (XANGSANE) WARNING NR 019 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 300000Z --- NEAR 15.5N 112.3E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.5N 112.3E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z --- 15.4N 110.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z --- 15.2N 108.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z --- 14.9N 107.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 300300Z POSITION NEAR 15.5N 111.8E. TYPHOON (TY) 18W (XANGSANE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 280 NM EAST OF HUE, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300000Z IS 25 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300900Z, 301500Z, 302100Z AND 010300Z.// ** WTNT24 KNHC 300232 *** TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM ISAAC FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092006 0300 UTC SAT SEP 30 2006 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.1N 57.4W AT 30/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 0SW 40NW. 34 KT.......100NE 90SE 60SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..125NE 150SE 60SW 100NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.1N 57.4W AT 30/0300Z AT 30/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.9N 57.1W FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 30.5N 58.4W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 90SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 31.5N 59.7W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 45NE 45SE 35SW 45NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 33.5N 61.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 35NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 45NE 45SE 35SW 45NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 36.5N 61.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 75SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 46.0N 55.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 45SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 90SW 125NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 51.0N 45.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z...ABSORBED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.1N 57.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0900Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA ** WTNT44 KNHC 300232 *** TCDAT4 TROPICAL STORM ISAAC DISCUSSION NUMBER 10 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092006 1100 PM EDT FRI SEP 29 2006 THE SHAPE OF THE CLOUD PATTERN HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED AND MORE TYPICAL OF A TROPICAL STORM. I DID NOT MAKE ISAAC A HURRICANE BECAUSE THE CONVECTION SURROUNDING THE CENTER IS NOT VERY STRONG AT THE TIME OF THIS ADVISORY...BUT I WAS VERY TEMPTED. A QUIKSCAT PASS OVER THE CYCLONE SHOWED A FEW VECTORS OF 60 KNOTS JUST TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER. HOWEVER...I AM NOT SURE IF THESE VECTOR ARE REPRESENTATIVE OR NOT OF THE INTENSITY OF ISAAC...SINCE THERE IS ALWAYS A LOT OF GOOD DEBATE ABOUT THE SUBJECT AMONG THE QUIKSCAT EXPERTS. HOWEVER...THESE WINDS ARE ONLY 5 KNOTS ABOVE THE DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES...AND I AM NOT GOING TO ARGUE OVER 5 KNOTS. SO LET'S USE THE VECTORS AND INCREASE THE WINDS TO 60 KNOTS. UNANIMOUSLY...ALL INTENSITY MODELS BRING ISAAC TO HURRICANE STATUS BEFORE THE SHEAR INCREASES AND THE OCEAN COOLS...AND SO DOES THE OFFICIAL FORECAST. ISSAC SHOULD BECOME EXTRATROPICAL IN 3 DAYS AND BECOME ABSORBED BY A LARGER FRONTAL SYSTEM IN 5 DAYS OR EARLIER. ISAAC IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST ABOUT 7 KNOTS BUT IS ALREADY REACHING THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AND THE SOUTHERLY FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH A STRONG MID-LATITUDE TROUGH. THIS PATTERN SHOULD STEER ISAAC NORTHWARD AND PASS WELL EAST OF BERMUDA IN THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. IT SHOULD THEN TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST WITH INCREASING FORWARD SPEED. ISAAC IS EXPECTED TO BE AN EXTRATROPICAL STORM WHILE APPROACHING SOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND IN ABOUT 3 DAYS. THIS IS CONSISTENT WITH TRACK GUIDANCE WHICH IN FACT HAS SHIFTED TO THE LEFT A LITTLE BIT...AND THE MAIN ENVELOPE IS OVER EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND AND ADJACENT WATERS. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 30/0300Z 30.1N 57.4W 60 KT 12HR VT 30/1200Z 30.5N 58.4W 65 KT 24HR VT 01/0000Z 31.5N 59.7W 65 KT 36HR VT 01/1200Z 33.5N 61.0W 65 KT 48HR VT 02/0000Z 36.5N 61.0W 60 KT 72HR VT 03/0000Z 46.0N 55.0W 55 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 96HR VT 04/0000Z 51.0N 45.0W 45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 120HR VT 05/0000Z...ABSORBED BY A FRONTAL SYSTEM $$ FORECASTER AVILA ** WTNT34 KNHC 300232 *** TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ISAAC ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092006 1100 PM AST FRI SEP 29 2006 ...ISAAC NEARING HURRICANE STRENGTH...EXPECTED TO PASS WELL EAST OF BERMUDA... AT 1100 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 57.4 WEST OR ABOUT 465 MILES...745 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA. ISAAC IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR... AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON SATURDAY WITH A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTHWEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ISSAC COULD BECOME A HURRICANE ON SATURDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 995 MB...29.38 INCHES. REPEATING THE 1100 PM AST POSITION...30.1 N...57.4 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 AM AST. $$ FORECASTER AVILA ** WTCA44 TJSJ 300257 *** TCPSP4 BOLETIN TORMENTA TROPICAL ISAAC ADVERTENCIA NUMERO 10 NWS TCP/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL AL042006 1100 PM EDT VIERNES 29 DE AGOSTO DE 2006 ...ISAAC SE ACERCA A FUERZA HURACANADA...SE ESPERA QUE PASE BIEN AL ESTE DE BERMUDA... A LAS 1100 PM AST...0300Z...EL CENTRO DE LA TORMENTA TROPICAL ISAAC ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 30.1 NORTE...LONGITUD 57.4 OESTE O COMO A 465 MILLAS... 745 KILOMETROS...AL ESTE-SURESTE DE BERMUDA. ISAAC SE ESTA MOVIENDO HACIA EL OESTE-NOROESTE A CERCA DE 8 MPH Y SE ESPERA CONTINUE EN ESTE MOVIMIENTO GENERAL EL SABADO CON UN GIRO GRADUAL HACIA EL NOROESTE. LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS HAN AUMENTANDO HASTA CERCA DE 70 MPH...110 KILOMETROS CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. ISSAC PODRIAN TORNARSE EN HURACAN EL SABADO. LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HASTA 115 MILLAS...185 KM DEL CENTRO. LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 995 MILIBARAS...29.38 PULGADAS. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LAS 1100 PM AST...30.1 NORTE...57.4 OESTE. MOVIMIENTO HACIA...EL OESTE-NOROESTE A CERCA DE 8 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...70 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...995 MILIBARAS. LA PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA SERA EMITIDA POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES A LAS 500 AM AST. $$ PRONOSTICADOR AVILA ** WTPQ20 BABJ 300300 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST SUPER TY XANGSANE 0616 (0615) INITIAL TIME 300300 UTC 00HR 15.6N 111.9E 930HPA 55M/S 30KTS 400KM 50KTS 200KM P12HR W 20KM/H= ** WTJP31 RJTD 300300 *** WARNING 300300. WARNING VALID 010300. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0615 XANGSANE (0615) 950 HPA AT 15.6N 111.9E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 09 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 230 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 010300UTC AT 15.5N 107.9E WITH 80 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 300300 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0615 XANGSANE (0615) ANALYSIS PSTN 300300UTC 15.6N 111.9E GOOD MOVE W 09KT PRES 950HPA MXWD 085KT 50KT 70NM 30KT 230NM FORECAST 24HF 010300UTC 15.5N 107.9E 80NM 70% MOVE W 09KT PRES 975HPA MXWD 060KT 45HF 020000UTC 15.0N 105.0E 150NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION = ** WTPQ20 BABJ 300400 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST SUPER TY XANGSANE 0616 (0615) INITIAL TIME 300400 UTC 00HR 15.6N 111.7E 930HPA 55M/S 30KTS 400KM 50KTS 200KM P12HR W 20KM/H= ** WTSS20 VHHH 300445 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 300300 UTC, TYPHOON XANGSANE (0615) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 930 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE FIVE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (15.6 N) ONE ONE TWO POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (112.0 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 11 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 100 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 180 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 300 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 010300 UTC ONE FIVE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (15.6 N) ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (107.7 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 70 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 020300 UTC DISSIPATED OVER LAND. ** WTSS20 VHHH 300445 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 300300 UTC, TYPHOON XANGSANE (0615) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 930 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE FIVE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (15.6 N) ONE ONE TWO POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (112.0 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 11 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 100 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 180 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 300 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 010300 UTC ONE FIVE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (15.6 N) ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (107.7 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 70 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 020300 UTC DISSIPATED OVER LAND. ** WTPQ20 BABJ 300500 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST SUPER TY XANGSANE 0616 (0615) INITIAL TIME 300500 UTC 00HR 15.6N 111.6E 930HPA 55M/S 30KTS 400KM 50KTS 200KM P12HR W 20KM/H=