** WTPQ20 RJTD 291800 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0615 XANGSANE (0615) ANALYSIS PSTN 291800UTC 15.6N 113.3E GOOD MOVE W 11KT PRES 950HPA MXWD 085KT 50KT 70NM 30KT 230NM FORECAST 24HF 301800UTC 15.8N 109.9E 80NM 70% MOVE W 08KT PRES 965HPA MXWD 075KT 48HF 011800UTC 15.3N 105.8E 150NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION = ** WTJP21 RJTD 291800 *** WARNING 291800. WARNING VALID 301800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0615 XANGSANE (0615) 950 HPA AT 15.6N 113.3E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 11 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 230 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 301800UTC AT 15.8N 109.9E WITH 80 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 011800UTC AT 15.3N 105.8E WITH 150 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 998 HPA. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 291800 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST STY XANGSANE 0616 (0615) INITIAL TIME 291800 UTC 00HR 15.6N 113.3E 940HPA 50M/S 30KTS 360KM 50KTS 200KM P12HR W 20KM/H P+24HR 15.5N 108.8E 945HPA 45M/S P+48HR 14.6N 104.9E 990HPA 20M/S= ** WTKO20 RKSL 291800 *** KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 9 NAME TY 0615 XANGSANE ANALYSIS POSITION 291800UTC 15.6N 113.3E MOVEMENT W 13KT PRES/VMAX 950HPA 84KT FORECAST 24HR POSITION 301800UTC 15.5N 109.6E WITHIN 80NM PRES/VMAX 965HPA 72KT 48HR POSITION 011800UTC 15.1N 105.7E WITHIN 0NM PRES 995HPA KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION. ** WTSS20 VHHH 291945 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 291800 UTC, TYPHOON XANGSANE (0615) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 945 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE FIVE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (15.6 N) ONE ONE THREE POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (113.3 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 11 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 90 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 210 NAUTICAL MILES OVER NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 180 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 300 NAUTICAL MILES OVER NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 240 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 301800 UTC ONE FIVE POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (15.7 N) ONE ZERO NINE POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (109.1 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 90 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 011800 UTC ONE FIVE POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (15.4 N) ONE ZERO FIVE POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (105.1 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 021800 UTC DISSIPATED OVER LAND. ** WTSS20 VHHH 291945 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 291800 UTC, TYPHOON XANGSANE (0615) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 945 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE FIVE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (15.6 N) ONE ONE THREE POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (113.3 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 11 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 90 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 210 NAUTICAL MILES OVER NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 180 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 300 NAUTICAL MILES OVER NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 240 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 301800 UTC ONE FIVE POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (15.7 N) ONE ZERO NINE POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (109.1 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 90 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 011800 UTC ONE FIVE POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (15.4 N) ONE ZERO FIVE POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (105.1 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 021800 UTC DISSIPATED OVER LAND. ** WTNT44 KNHC 292029 *** TCDAT4 TROPICAL STORM ISAAC DISCUSSION NUMBER 9 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092006 500 PM EDT FRI SEP 29 2006 CONVECTION HAS BEEN INTENSIFYING AND ATTEMPTING TO FORM A RING AROUND THE CENTER OF ISAAC. IN ADDITION THE OUTFLOW HAS BEEN EXPANDING AND BECOMING MORE SYMMETRIC. THESE ARE ALL SIGNS OF AN INTENSIFYING SYSTEM. DVORAK T-NUMBERS HAVE INCREASED MARKEDLY... AND SINCE AN EARLIER QUIKSCAT PASS SUPPORTED WINDS OF 40-45 KT TWELVE HOURS AGO... THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS RAISED TO 50 KT. ISAAC IS LEAVING THE COOLER WATERS PREVIOUSLY UPWELLED BY GORDON AND HELENE AND MOVING INTO WARMER SSTS. IN ADDITION... THE DRY AIR IN THE MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVELS NEAR THE SYSTEM'S CORE HAS BEEN REDUCED AND THERE IS LITTLE SHEAR APPARENT ON SATELLITE IMAGES. THESE FACTORS SUPPORT INTENSIFICATION FOR THE NEXT 36 HOURS OR SO. THUS THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS RAISED FROM THE PREVIOUS ONE AND SHOWS ISAAC BECOMING A HURRICANE. THE FORECAST IS HIGHER THAN THE PREVIOUS ONE AND IN BEST AGREEMENT WITH A BLEND OF THE SHIPS/FSSE. THE INITIAL MOTION IS VIRTUALLY UNCHANGED FROM EARLIER AND IS ABOUT 295/6. MIDDLE-LEVEL RIDGING OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC SHOULD BE THE PRIMARY STEERING MECHANISM FOR THE NEXT ONE OR TWO DAYS... SENDING THE STORM ON A WEST-NORTHWEST TO NORTHWESTWARD HEADING. THEREAFTER ISSAC WILL REACH THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE AND LIKELY ACCELERATE TO THE NORTH IN FRONT OF A MASSIVE TROUGH FORECAST TO PROGRESS EASTWARD ACROSS THE WESTERN ATLANTIC. THE UKMET HAS SHIFTED ITS TRACK WESTWARD FROM EARLIER BUT IS STILL ON THE EASTERN SIDE OF THE MODEL ENVELOPE. OTHER MODELS ARE MOSTLY UNCHANGED OR SLIGHTLY FARTHER WEST OF THE PREVIOUS GUIDANCE. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS NUDGED WESTWARD BUT STILL LIES JUST EAST OF THE MODEL CONSENSUS. GLOBAL MODELS SUGGEST THAT ISAAC WILL BECOME RAPIDLY EXTRATROPICAL BETWEEN 48 AND 72 HOURS FOLLOWED BY ABSORPTION INTO A LARGER EXTRATROPICAL LOW IN 4 TO 5 DAYS. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 29/2100Z 29.7N 56.8W 50 KT 12HR VT 30/0600Z 30.1N 57.8W 55 KT 24HR VT 30/1800Z 31.1N 59.1W 60 KT 36HR VT 01/0600Z 32.5N 60.3W 65 KT 48HR VT 01/1800Z 34.7N 61.0W 60 KT 72HR VT 02/1800Z 43.5N 57.0W 55 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 96HR VT 03/1800Z 50.0N 48.0W 50 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 120HR VT 04/1800Z...ABSORBED $$ FORECASTER BLAKE/STEWART ** WTNT24 KNHC 292030 *** TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM ISAAC FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092006 2100 UTC FRI SEP 29 2006 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.7N 56.8W AT 29/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 0SW 40NW. 34 KT.......100NE 90SE 60SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..125NE 150SE 60SW 100NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.7N 56.8W AT 29/2100Z AT 29/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.6N 56.6W FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 30.1N 57.8W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 90SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 31.1N 59.1W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 45NE 45SE 35SW 45NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 75SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 32.5N 60.3W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 35NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 45NE 45SE 35SW 45NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 75SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 34.7N 61.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 75SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 43.5N 57.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 45SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 90SW 125NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 50.0N 48.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z...ABSORBED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.7N 56.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE/STEWART ** WTNT34 KNHC 292030 *** TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ISAAC ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092006 500 PM EDT FRI SEP 29 2006 ...ISAAC INTENSIFYING OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC OCEAN... AT 500 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WAS LOCATED BY SATELLITE IMAGERY NEAR LATITUDE 29.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 56.8 WEST OR ABOUT 505 MILES...815 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA. ISAAC IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR... AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS... AND ISAAC COULD BECOME A HURRICANE OVER THE WEEKEND. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. REPEATING THE 500 PM EDT POSITION...29.7 N...56.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 1100 PM EDT. $$ FORECASTER BLAKE/STEWART ** WTPN31 PGTW 292100 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 18W (XANGSANE) WARNING NR 018 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 291800Z --- NEAR 15.5N 113.2E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.5N 113.2E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z --- 15.5N 110.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z --- 15.3N 109.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z --- 14.9N 107.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 292100Z POSITION NEAR 15.5N 112.6E. TYPHOON (TY) 18W (XANGSANE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 330 NM EAST OF HUE, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291800Z IS 25 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300300Z, 300900Z, 301500Z AND 302100Z.// ** WTCA44 TJSJ 292038 *** TCPSP4 BOLETIN TORMENTA TROPICAL ISAAC ADVERTENCIA NUMERO 9 NWS TCP/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL AL042006 500 PM EDT VIERNES 29 DE AGOSTO DE 2006 ...ISAAC INTENSIFICANDOSE SOBRE EL OCEANO ATLANTICO CENTRAL... A LAS 500 PM AST...2100Z...EL CENTRO DE LA TORMENTA TROPICAL ISAAC ESTABA LOCALIZADO DE ACUERDO CON LAS IMAGENES DEL SATELITE CERCA DE LA LATITUD 29.7 NORTE...LONGITUD 56.8 OESTE O COMO A 505 MILLAS... 815 KILOMETROS...AL ESTE-SURESTE DE BERMUDA. ISAAC SE ESTA MOVIENDO HACIA EL OESTE-NOROESTE A CERCA DE 7 MPH Y SE ESPERA CONTINUE EN ESTE MOVIMIENTO GENERAL CON UN AUMENTO EN SU VELOCIDAD DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS HAN AUMENTANDO HASTA CERCA DE EN CERCA DE 60 MPH...95 KILOMETROS POR HORA. SE PRONOSTICA ALGUN FORTALECIMIENTO ADICIONAL DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24HORAS...E ISAAC PODRIAN TORNARSE EN HURACAN DURANTE EL FIN DE SEMANA. LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HASTA 115 MILLAS...185 KM DEL CENTRO. LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 1000 MILIBARAS...29.53 PULGADAS. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LAS 500 PM AST...29.7 NORTE...56.8 OESTE. MOVIMIENTO HACIA...EL OESTE NOROESTE A CERCA DE 7 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...60 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1000 MILIBARAS. LA PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA SERA EMITIDA POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES A LAS 1100 PM EDT. $$ PRONOSTICADOR BLAKE/STEWART ** WTPQ20 BABJ 292100 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST SUPER TY XANGSANE 0616 (0615) INITIAL TIME 292100 UTC 00HR 15.6N 112.9E 930HPA 55M/S 30KTS 400KM 50KTS 200KM P12HR W 20KM/H P+24HR 15.6N 108.4E 960HPA 40M/S P+48HR 15.2N 104.8E 995HPA 20M/S= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 292100 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0615 XANGSANE (0615) ANALYSIS PSTN 292100UTC 15.6N 112.8E GOOD MOVE W 10KT PRES 950HPA MXWD 085KT 50KT 70NM 30KT 230NM FORECAST 24HF 302100UTC 15.6N 109.1E 80NM 70% MOVE W 08KT PRES 965HPA MXWD 075KT 45HF 011800UTC 15.3N 105.8E 150NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION = ** WTJP31 RJTD 292100 *** WARNING 292100. WARNING VALID 302100. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0615 XANGSANE (0615) 950 HPA AT 15.6N 112.8E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 10 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 230 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 302100UTC AT 15.6N 109.1E WITH 80 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTSS20 VHHH 292245 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 292100 UTC, TYPHOON XANGSANE (0615) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 940 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE FIVE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (15.6 N) ONE ONE TWO POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (112.8 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 11 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 95 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 210 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 300 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 302100 UTC ONE FIVE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (15.6 N) ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (108.5 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 85 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 012100 UTC ONE FIVE POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (15.2 N) ONE ZERO FOUR POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (104.3 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 85 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 022100 UTC DISSIPATED OVER LAND. ** WTSS20 VHHH 292245 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 292100 UTC, TYPHOON XANGSANE (0615) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 940 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE FIVE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (15.6 N) ONE ONE TWO POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (112.8 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 11 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 95 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 210 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 300 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 302100 UTC ONE FIVE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (15.6 N) ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (108.5 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 85 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 012100 UTC ONE FIVE POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (15.2 N) ONE ZERO FOUR POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (104.3 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 85 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 022100 UTC DISSIPATED OVER LAND. ** WTSS20 VHHH 292245 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 292100 UTC, TYPHOON XANGSANE (0615) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 940 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE FIVE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (15.6 N) ONE ONE TWO POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (112.8 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 11 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 95 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 210 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 300 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 302100 UTC ONE FIVE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (15.6 N) ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (108.5 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 85 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 012100 UTC ONE FIVE POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (15.2 N) ONE ZERO FOUR POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (104.3 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 85 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 022100 UTC DISSIPATED OVER LAND. ** WTSS20 VHHH 292245 CCA *** CORRECTION TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 292100 UTC, TYPHOON XANGSANE (0615) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 940 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE FIVE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (15.6 N) ONE ONE TWO POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (112.8 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 11 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 95 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 210 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 300 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 302100 UTC ONE FIVE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (15.6 N) ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (108.5 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 85 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 012100 UTC ONE FIVE POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (15.2 N) ONE ZERO FOUR POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (104.3 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 022100 UTC DISSIPATED OVER LAND. ** WTSS20 VHHH 292245 CCA *** CORRECTION TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 292100 UTC, TYPHOON XANGSANE (0615) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 940 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE FIVE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (15.6 N) ONE ONE TWO POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (112.8 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 11 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 95 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 210 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 300 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 302100 UTC ONE FIVE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (15.6 N) ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (108.5 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 85 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 012100 UTC ONE FIVE POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (15.2 N) ONE ZERO FOUR POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (104.3 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 022100 UTC DISSIPATED OVER LAND.