** WTPQ20 BABJ 290600 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST STY XANGSANE 0616 (0615) INITIAL TIME 290600 UTC 00HR 15.6N 115.7E 950HPA 45M/S 30KTS 350KM 50KTS 160KM P12HR WNW 25KM/H P+24HR 16.1N 111.1E 940HPA 50M/S P+48HR 15.9N 107.3E 960HPA 40M/S P+72HR 15.3N 104.0E 996HPA 18M/S= ** WTJP21 RJTD 290600 *** WARNING 290600. WARNING VALID 300600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0615 XANGSANE (0615) 955 HPA AT 15.6N 115.7E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 13 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 75 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 300600UTC AT 15.8N 111.7E WITH 80 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 010600UTC AT 16.0N 107.9E WITH 150 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 020600UTC AT 15.4N 105.2E WITH 220 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 1002 HPA. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 290600 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0615 XANGSANE (0615) ANALYSIS PSTN 290600UTC 15.6N 115.7E FAIR MOVE WNW 13KT PRES 955HPA MXWD 080KT 50KT 75NM 30KT 150NM FORECAST 24HF 300600UTC 15.8N 111.7E 80NM 70% MOVE W 09KT PRES 950HPA MXWD 085KT 48HF 010600UTC 16.0N 107.9E 150NM 70% MOVE W 08KT PRES 970HPA MXWD 065KT 72HF 020600UTC 15.4N 105.2E 220NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION = ** WTKO20 RKSL 290600 *** KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 8 NAME TY 0615 XANGSANE ANALYSIS POSITION 290600UTC 15.6N 115.7E MOVEMENT WNW 13KT PRES/VMAX 955HPA 80KT FORECAST 24HR POSITION 300600UTC 16.0N 111.4E WITHIN 80NM PRES/VMAX 950HPA 84KT 48HR POSITION 010600UTC 15.7N 107.9E WITHIN 135NM PRES/VMAX 970HPA 64KT 72HR POSITION 020600UTC 15.0N 104.6E WITHIN 0NM PRES 995HPA KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION. ** WTPQ30 RJTD 290600 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING REASONING NO. 8 FOR TY 0615 XANGSANE (0615) 1.GENERAL COMMENTS REASONING OF PROGNOSIS THIS TIME IS SIMILAR TO PREVIOUS ONE. POSITION FORECAST IS MAINLY BASED ON NWP AND PERSISTENCY. 2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION NOTHING PARTICULAR TO EXPLAIN. 3.MOTION FORECAST POSITION ACCURACY AT 290600 UTC IS FAIR. TY WILL MOVE AT THE SAME SPEED FOR THE NEXT 72 HOURS. TY WILL MOVE WEST FOR THE NEXT 72 HOURS. 4.INTENSITY FORECAST TY WILL KEEP PRESENT INTENSITY FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FI-NUMBER WILL BE 5.5 AFTER 24 HOURS.= ** WTIN20 DEMS 290720 *** TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK ------------------------ DEMS - RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI 29-09-2006 (.) TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR THE NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL AND ARABIAN SEA ) VALID FOR NEXT 24 HOURS ISSUED AT 0300 UTC (.) A DEPRESSION OVER NORTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL MOVED WESTWARDS AND LAY CENTRED AT 0300 UTC OF TODAY, THE 29TH SEPTEMBER 2006 NEAR LAT.19.0 DEG N AND LONG.86.0 DEG E,ABOUT 125 KMS EASTSOUTHEAST OF GOPALPUR. SYSTEM IS LIKELY TO MOVE IN A WEST-NORTHWESTERLY DIRECTION AND CROSS ORISSA COAST NEAR GOPALPUR AROUND NOON OF TODAY. SQUALLY WINDS WITH SPEED REACHING 50-60 KMPH ARE ALSO LIKELY ALONG AND OFF WEST BENGAL, ORISSA AND NORTH ANDHRA PRADESH COASTS DURING NEXT 24 HRS. THE SEA CONDITION WILL BE ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH ALONG AND OFF WEST BENGAL, ORISSA AND NORTH ANDHRA PRADESH COASTS. THE FISHERMEN ARE ADVISED NOT TO VENTURE INTO SEA. SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS CONVECTIVE CLOUDS OVER WEST CENTRAL BAY AND ADJOINING NORTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE DEPRESSION (.) RIDGE LINE AT 200 HPA RUNS ALONG 23.0 DEG. NORTH OVER INDIAN REGION. MSG. ENDS= ** WTSS20 VHHH 290745 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 290600 UTC, TYPHOON XANGSANE (0615) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE FIVE POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (15.5 N) ONE ONE FIVE POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (115.7 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 75 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 210 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 300600 UTC ONE FIVE POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (15.7 N) ONE ONE ONE POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (111.8 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 80 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 010600 UTC ONE FIVE POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (15.7 N) ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (107.8 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 020600 UTC DISSIPATED OVER LAND. ** WTSS20 VHHH 290745 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 290600 UTC, TYPHOON XANGSANE (0615) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE FIVE POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (15.5 N) ONE ONE FIVE POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (115.7 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 75 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 210 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 300600 UTC ONE FIVE POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (15.7 N) ONE ONE ONE POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (111.8 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 80 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 010600 UTC ONE FIVE POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (15.7 N) ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (107.8 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 020600 UTC DISSIPATED OVER LAND. ** WTNT24 KNHC 290831 *** TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM ISAAC FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092006 0900 UTC FRI SEP 29 2006 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.2N 55.6W AT 29/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT.......120NE 120SE 45SW 75NW. 12 FT SEAS..125NE 150SE 60SW 100NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.2N 55.6W AT 29/0900Z AT 29/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.0N 55.3W FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 29.7N 56.4W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 45SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 30.5N 57.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 45SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 31.5N 59.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 33.2N 60.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 39.5N 60.0W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 60SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 46.5N 51.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 49.0N 40.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.2N 55.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN ** WTNT34 KNHC 290831 *** TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ISAAC ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092006 500 AM AST FRI SEP 29 2006 ...ISAAC SOMEWHAT FARTHER TO THE WEST WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH... AT 500 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 55.6 WEST OR ABOUT 585 MILES...945 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA. ISAAC IS MOVING ERRATICALLY TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH... 7 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SLOW STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES. REPEATING THE 500 AM AST POSITION...29.2 N...55.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 1100 AM AST. $$ FORECASTER BEVEN ** WTPH20 RPMM 290600 *** TTT TYPHOON WARNING 18(FINAL) AT 0600 29 SEPTEMBER TYPHOON (XANGSANE) (0615) WAS LOOCATED BASED ON SATELLITE AND SURFACE DATA AT ONE FIVE POINT SIX NORTH ONE ONE FIVE POINT SEVEN EAST MOVING WEST NORTHWEST AT ZERO SIX METERS PER SECOND ROUGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN THREE ZERO ZERO KILOMETERS RADIUS FROM CENTER ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE NINE SIX SEVEN HECTOPASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS THREE NINE METERS PER SECOND NEAR CENTER TWO FIVE METERS PER SECOND WITHIN ONE FIVE ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS FROM CENTER ONE THREE METERS PER SECOND WITHIN THREE ZERO ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS FROM CENTER FORECAST POSITIONS AT 300600 ONE SEVEN POINT SEVEN NORTH ONE ONE ONE POINT ZERO EAST ALL SHIPS WITHIN TYPHOON AREA ARE REQUESTED TO SEND THREE HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS TO WEATHER MANILA PD WEATHER MANILA= ** WTNT44 KNHC 290843 *** TCDAT4 TROPICAL STORM ISAAC DISCUSSION NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092006 500 AM AST FRI SEP 29 2006 ISAAC IS SENDING MIXED STRUCTURAL SIGNALS THIS MORNING. THE CONVECTION HAS BECOME MORE CONSOLIDATED AROUND THE CENTER... SUGGESTING THAT THE VERTICAL SHEAR IS DECREASING. ON THE OTHER HAND...THAT CONVECTION IS VERY WEAK...WITH ONLY A FEW TOPS COLDER -50C. THIS SUGGESTS THAT THE ONGOING INTERACTION WITH A NEARBY UPPER-LEVEL LOW HAS HAD AN IMPACT...AND THAT ISAAC MAY HAVE SOME SUBTROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS. SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES REMAIN 35 KT FROM ALL AGENCIES...ALTHOUGH THE DVORAK DATA-T NUMBERS REMAIN LESS THAN THAT. THE INITIAL INTENSITY REMAINS 40 KT...AND THIS COULD BE A LITTLE GENEROUS. ISAAC HAS TURNED TOWARD THE LEFT OVER THE PAST 6-12 HR. THE INITIAL MOTION IS A RATHER UNCERTAIN 305/4...AND OVER THE PAST 3-6 HR THE CYCLONE SEEMS TO BE MOVING ALMOST DUE WEST. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES A LARGE MID/UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE BUILDING NORTH OF ISAAC IN RESPONSE TO AN UPSTREAM DEEP-LAYER TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. THIS RIDGE IS LIKELY RESPONSIBLE FOR THE LEFT TURN. THE U. S. TROUGH IS FORECAST TO MOVE EASTWARD...WITH AN ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW FORMING OFF THE U. S. EAST COAST IN 48-72 HR. THIS DEVELOPMENT SHOULD TURN ISAAC NORTHWARD. AFTER 72 HR...THERE IS SOME MODEL DIVERGENCE. THE UKMET...NOGAPS...AND CANADIAN MOVE ISAAC NORTHEASTWARD IN ADVANCE OF THE NEW LOW...WHILE THE GFS AND ECMWF MERGE ISSAC WITH THE NEW LOW AND BRING THE CENTER NEAR EASTERN NOVA SCOTIA IN ABOUT 96 HR. FOR NOW...THE NEW FORECAST TRACK WILL RETAIN THE NORTHEASTWARD MOTION AFTER 72 HR SEEN IN THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. THE NEW TRACK IS SHIFTED TO THE LEFT OF THE PREVIOUS FORECAST...AND AN ADDITIONAL SHIFT TO THE LEFT MAY BE NECESSARY LATER TODAY IF THE CURRENT WESTWARD TURN CONTINUES. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS SOMEWHAT PROBLEMATIC. ISSAC SHOULD BE IN A LIGHT TO MODERATE VERTICAL SHEAR ENVIRONMENT FOR 36-48 HR...AND THE NEW FORECAST TRACK TAKES THE SYSTEM OVER SOMEWHAT WARMER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES THAN SEEN EARLIER. NEGATIVE FACTORS INCLUDE THE CURRENT WEAK CONVECTION AND DRY AIR SEEN IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY NEAR AND SOUTH OF THE CYCLONE. THE GFDL RESPONDS TO THESE FACTORS BY FORECAST ISAAC TO BECOME A HURRICANE IN 72 HR. THE FSU SUPERENSEMBLE FORECASTS IT TO 48 KT IN 48 HR AND 61 KT IN 84 HR...WHILE THE SHIPS MODEL FORECASTS 44 KT IN 48 HR AND 55 KT IN 96 HR. GIVEN THE CURRENT CONVECTIVE TRENDS...THE NEW INTENSITY FORECAST WILL CHANGE LITTLE FROM THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY...CALLING FOR GRADUAL STRENGTHENING DURING THE NEXT 36 HR. AFTER THAT... INTERACTION WITH THE APPROACHING DEEP-LAYER TROUGH SHOULD STOP INTENSIFICATION AND LEAD TO EVENTUAL EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 29/0900Z 29.2N 55.6W 40 KT 12HR VT 29/1800Z 29.7N 56.4W 40 KT 24HR VT 30/0600Z 30.5N 57.7W 45 KT 36HR VT 30/1800Z 31.5N 59.0W 50 KT 48HR VT 01/0600Z 33.2N 60.0W 50 KT 72HR VT 02/0600Z 39.5N 60.0W 50 KT...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL 96HR VT 03/0600Z 46.5N 51.0W 50 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 120HR VT 04/0600Z 49.0N 40.0W 50 KT...EXTRATROPICAL $$ FORECASTER BEVEN ** WTPQ20 BABJ 290900 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST STY XANGSANE 0616 (0615) INITIAL TIME 290900 UTC 00HR 15.8N 115.2E 950HPA 45M/S 30KTS 350KM 50KTS 160KM P12HR WNW 25KM/H P+24HR 16.1N 111.0E 940HPA 50M/S P+48HR 16.0N 107.3E 975HPA 33M/S P+72HR 15.5N 104.6E 1000HPA 15M/S= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 290900 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0615 XANGSANE (0615) ANALYSIS PSTN 290900UTC 15.7N 114.9E FAIR MOVE WNW 15KT PRES 955HPA MXWD 080KT 50KT 60NM 30KT 150NM FORECAST 24HF 300900UTC 15.8N 111.2E 80NM 70% MOVE W 08KT PRES 950HPA MXWD 085KT 45HF 010600UTC 16.0N 107.9E 150NM 70% MOVE W 08KT PRES 970HPA MXWD 065KT 69HF 020600UTC 15.4N 105.2E 220NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION = ** WTJP31 RJTD 290900 *** WARNING 290900. WARNING VALID 300900. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0615 XANGSANE (0615) 955 HPA AT 15.7N 114.9E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 15 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 300900UTC AT 15.8N 111.2E WITH 80 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPH RPMM 290600 *** TTT TYPHOON WARNING 17 ( FINAL) AT 0600 29 SEPTEMBER TYPHOON ( ZANGSANE)( 0615) WAS LOCATED BASED ON SATELLITE AND SURFACE DATA AT ONE FIVE POINT SIX NORTH ONE ONE FIVE POINT SEVEN EAST MOVING WEST NORTHWEST AT ZERO SIX METERS PER SECOND ROUGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN THREE ZERO ZERO KILOMETERS RADIUS FROM CENTER ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE NINE SIX SEVEN HECTOPASCAL MAXIMUM WINDS THREE NINE METERS PER SECOND NEAR CENTER TWO FIVE METER PER SECOND WITHIN ONE FIVE ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS FROM CENTER ONE THREE METERS PER SECOND WITHIN THREE ZERO ZERO KILOMETERS RADIUS FROM CENTER ONE THREE METERS PER SECOND WITHIN THREE ZERO ZERO KILOMETERS RADIUS FROM CENTER FORECAST POSITIONS AT 300600 ONE SEVEN POINT SEVEN NORTH ONE ONE ONE POINT ZERO EAST ALL SHIPS WITHIN TYPHOON AREA ARE REQUESTED TO SEND THREE HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS TO WEATHER MANNILA WEATHER MANILA ** WTSS20 VHHH 291045 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 290900 UTC, TYPHOON XANGSANE (0615) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 955 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE FIVE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (15.6 N) ONE ONE FOUR POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (114.9 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 80 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 180 NAUTICAL MILES OVER NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 120 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 210 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 300900 UTC ONE FIVE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (15.6 N) ONE ONE ONE POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (111.1 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 85 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 010900 UTC ONE FIVE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (15.6 N) ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (107.1 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 020900 UTC DISSIPATED OVER LAND. ** WTSS20 VHHH 291045 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 290900 UTC, TYPHOON XANGSANE (0615) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 955 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE FIVE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (15.6 N) ONE ONE FOUR POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (114.9 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 80 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 180 NAUTICAL MILES OVER NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 120 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 210 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 300900 UTC ONE FIVE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (15.6 N) ONE ONE ONE POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (111.1 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 85 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 010900 UTC ONE FIVE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (15.6 N) ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (107.1 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 020900 UTC DISSIPATED OVER LAND. ** WTSS20 VHHH 291045 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 290900 UTC, TYPHOON XANGSANE (0615) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 955 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE FIVE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (15.6 N) ONE ONE FOUR POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (114.9 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 80 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 180 NAUTICAL MILES OVER NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 120 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 210 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 300900 UTC ONE FIVE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (15.6 N) ONE ONE ONE POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (111.1 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 85 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 010900 UTC ONE FIVE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (15.6 N) ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (107.1 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 020900 UTC DISSIPATED OVER LAND.