** WTIN20 DEMS 270628 *** TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK ------------------------ DEMS - RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI 27-09-2006 (.) TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR THE NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL AND ARABIAN SEA ) VALID FOR NEXT 24 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC (.) CONVECTIVE CLOUDS ARE SEEN OVER EAST BAY OF BENGAL,ANDAMAN SEA AND EAST CENTRAL ARABIAN SEA (.) RIDGE LINE AT 200 HPA RUNS ALONG 23 DEG. NORTH OVER THE INDIAN REGION (.) ** WTPQ20 BABJ 270600 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST STY XANGSANE 0616 (0615) INITIAL TIME 270600 UTC 00HR 12.9N 124.6E 940HPA 50M/S 30KTS 350KM 50KTS 150KM P12HR WNW 15KM/H P+24HR 14.4N 122.0E 930HPA 55M/S P+48HR 15.6N 118.1E 940HPA 50M/S P+72HR 16.2N 113.9E 930HPA 55M/S= ** WTJP21 RJTD 270600 *** WARNING 270600. WARNING VALID 280600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0615 XANGSANE (0615) 940 HPA AT 12.9N 124.6E PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 09 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 75 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 200 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 160 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 280600UTC AT 14.4N 121.4E WITH 80 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 940 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 290600UTC AT 15.6N 117.2E WITH 150 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 940 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 300600UTC AT 16.1N 113.1E WITH 220 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 935 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 270600 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0615 XANGSANE (0615) ANALYSIS PSTN 270600UTC 12.9N 124.6E GOOD MOVE WNW 09KT PRES 940HPA MXWD 090KT 50KT 75NM 30KT 200NM SOUTHEAST 160NM NORTHWEST FORECAST 24HF 280600UTC 14.4N 121.4E 80NM 70% MOVE WNW 08KT PRES 940HPA MXWD 085KT 48HF 290600UTC 15.6N 117.2E 150NM 70% MOVE W 10KT PRES 940HPA MXWD 085KT 72HF 300600UTC 16.1N 113.1E 220NM 70% MOVE W 09KT PRES 935HPA MXWD 090KT = ** WTKO20 RKSL 270600 *** KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 4 NAME TY 0615 XANGSANE ANALYSIS POSITION 270600UTC 12.9N 124.6E MOVEMENT WNW 9KT PRES/VMAX 940HPA 86KT FORECAST 24HR POSITION 280600UTC 14.4N 121.6E WITHIN 80NM PRES/VMAX 940HPA 86KT 48HR POSITION 290600UTC 15.5N 117.5E WITHIN 135NM PRES/VMAX 940HPA 86KT 72HR POSITION 300600UTC 15.9N 113.4E WITHIN 215NM PRES/VMAX 935HPA 89KT KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION. ** WTPQ20 VHHH 270745 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 270600 UTC, TYPHOON XANGSANE (0615) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE TWO POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (12.9 N) ONE TWO FOUR POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (124.6 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST OR NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 8 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 70 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 150 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 210 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 280600 UTC ONE FOUR POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (14.5 N) ONE TWO ONE POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (121.9 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 70 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 290600 UTC ONE FIVE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (15.8 N) ONE ONE SEVEN POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (117.1 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 75 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 300600 UTC ONE FIVE POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (15.7 N) ONE ONE THREE POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (113.5 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 80 KNOTS. ** WTPQ30 RJTD 270600 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING REASONING NO. 4 FOR TY 0615 XANGSANE (0615) 1.GENERAL COMMENTS REASONING OF PROGNOSIS THIS TIME IS SIMILAR TO PREVIOUS ONE. POSITION FORECAST IS MAINLY BASED ON NWP AND PERSISTENCY. 2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION NOTHING PARTICULAR TO EXPLAIN. 3.MOTION FORECAST POSITION ACCURACY AT 270600 UTC IS GOOD. TY WILL MOVE AT THE SAME SPEED FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS. TY WILL MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 4.INTENSITY FORECAST TY WILL KEEP PRESENT INTENSITY FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FI-NUMBER WILL BE 6.5 AFTER 24 HOURS.= ** WTPN31 PGTW 270900 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 18W (XANGSANE) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 270600Z --- NEAR 12.9N 124.6E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 12.9N 124.6E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z --- 13.5N 123.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z --- 14.2N 121.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z --- 14.9N 120.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z --- 15.5N 117.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z --- 16.1N 114.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 11 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z --- 15.8N 109.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z --- 15.0N 106.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 270900Z POSITION NEAR 13.1N 124.2E. TYPHOON (TY) 18W (XANGSANE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 230 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270600Z IS 30 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 271500Z, 272100Z, 280300Z AND 280900Z.// ** WTPA34 PHFO 270845 *** TCPCP4 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-C ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP032006 1100 PM HST TUE SEP 26 2006 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-C IS DISSIPATING... AT 1100 PM HST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-C WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 179.9 WEST OR ABOUT 1590 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU...OAHU AND ABOUT 770 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF JOHNSTON ISLAND. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE DEPRESSION WILL DISSIPATE IN THE NEXT 6 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES. REPEATING THE 1100 PM HST POSITION...12.0 N...179.9 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB. THIS WILL BE THE FINAL ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER. $$ FORECASTER DONALDSON ** WTPA24 PHFO 270847 *** TCMCP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-C FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP032006 0900 UTC WED SEP 27 2006 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 179.9W AT 27/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 179.9W AT 27/0900Z AT 27/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.9N 179.5W FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ FORECASTER DONALDSON ** WTPA44 PHFO 270859 *** TCDCP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-C DISCUSSION NUMBER 3 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP032006 1100 PM HST TUE SEP 26 2006 SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THREE-C TO BE WEAK AND POORLY ORGANIZED. AS MIGHT BE EXPECTED WITH SUCH A WEAK SYSTEM...THERE WAS QUITE A SPREAD IN THE SATELLITE FIX LOCATIONS. CI NUMBERS WERE 1.5 TO 2.0. VISIBLE IMAGERY FROM MODIS...GOES 11 AND MTSAT SHOWED A SMALL LOW CLOUD SPIRAL ON THE NORTHWEST SIDE OF THREE-C MOVING WEST AROUND 10 KT. I BELIEVE THIS SPIRAL MARKED THE LOW LEVEL CENTER. WHILE THERE APPEARED TO BE A WEAK LOW LEVEL CENTER...AT LEAST UP THROUGH 27/0400 UTC...IT IS NOT CLEAR IF THERE WAS ACTUALLY A CLOSED SURFACE CIRCULATION. A 27/0812 UTC QUIKSCAT PASS...JUST IN...SHOWED NO CLOSED CIRCULATION. GIVEN THE LACK OF CONVINCING EVIDENCE OF A CLOSED CIRCULATION WE HAVE DECIDED TO KILL THREE-C NOW. EVEN IF THERE WERE STILL A CLOSED CIRCULATION...DRY MID-LEVEL AIR AND INCREASING SHEAR ARE CREATING A HOSTILE ENVIRONMENT THAT WOULD QUICKLY DESTROY ANY REMAINING CIRCULATION. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 27/0900Z 12.0N 179.9W 25 KT 12HR VT 27/1800Z ...DISSIPATED $$ FORECASTER DONALDSON ** WTPH RPLL 270600 *** TTT TYPHOON WARNING 10 AT 0600 27 SEPTEMBER (XANGSANE) (0615) WAS LOCATED BY RADAR SATELLITE AND SURFACE DATA AT ONE TWO POINT EIGHT NORTH ONE TWO FOUR POINT FIVE EAST MOVING WEST NORTHWEST AT ZERO THREE METERS PER SECOND ROUGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN TWO FIVE ZERO KILOMETERS RADIUS FROM CENTER ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE NINE SEVEN TWO HECTOPASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS THREE SIX METERS PER SECOND NEAR CENTER TWO FIVE METERS PER SECOND WITHIN ONE ZERO ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS FROM CENTER ONE THREE METERS PER SECOND WITHIN TWO FIVE ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS FROM CENTER FORECAST POSITIONS AT 280600 ONE FOUR POINT FOUR NORTH ONE TWO TWO POINT ZERO EAST AT 290600 ONE FIVE POINT FOUR NORTH ONE ONE NINE POINT TWO EAST AND AT 300600 ONE SIX POINT ZERO NORTH ONE ONE FIVE POINT THREE EAST ALL SHIPS WITHIN TYPHOON AREA ARE REQUESTED TO SEND THREE HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS TO WEATHER MANILA PD ** WTJP31 RJTD 270900 *** WARNING 270900. WARNING VALID 280900. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0615 XANGSANE (0615) 940 HPA AT 13.1N 124.2E PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 09 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 75 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 200 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 160 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 280900UTC AT 14.9N 120.7E WITH 80 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 940 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 270900 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0615 XANGSANE (0615) ANALYSIS PSTN 270900UTC 13.1N 124.2E GOOD MOVE WNW 09KT PRES 940HPA MXWD 090KT 50KT 75NM 30KT 200NM SOUTHEAST 160NM NORTHWEST FORECAST 24HF 280900UTC 14.9N 120.7E 80NM 70% MOVE WNW 09KT PRES 940HPA MXWD 085KT 45HF 290600UTC 15.6N 117.2E 150NM 70% MOVE W 10KT PRES 940HPA MXWD 085KT 69HF 300600UTC 16.1N 113.1E 220NM 70% MOVE W 09KT PRES 935HPA MXWD 090KT = ** WTPN31 PHNC 271000 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03C WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 270600Z --- NEAR 11.9N 179.5W MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 11.9N 179.5W --- REMARKS: 271000Z POSITION NEAR 12.0N 179.9W. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270600Z IS 10 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 271600Z, 272200Z, 280400Z AND 281000Z.// ** WTPH20 RPMM 270600 *** TTT TYPHOON WARNING 10 AT 0600 27 SEPTEMBER TYPHOON (XANGSANE) {0615} WAS LOCATED BY RADAR SATELLITE AND SURFACE DATA AT ONE TWO POINT EIGHT NORTH ONE TWO FOUR POINT FIVE EAST MOVING WEST NORTHWEST AT ZERO THREE METERS PER SECOND ROUGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN TWO FIVE ZERO KILOMETERS RADIUS FROM CENTER ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE NINE SEVEN TWO HECTOPASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS THREE SIX METERS PER SECOND NEAR CENTER TWO FIVE METERS PER SECOND WITHIN ONE ZERO ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS FROM CENTER ONE THREE METERS PER SECOND WITHIN TWO FIVE ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS FROM CENTER FORECAST POSITIONS AT 280600 ONE FOUR POINT FOUR NORTH ONE TWO TWO POINT ZERO EAST AT 290600 ONE FIVE POINT FOUR NORTH ONE ONE NINE POINT TWO EAST AND AT 300600 ONE SIX POINT ZERO NORTH ONE ONE FIVE POINT THREE EAST ALL SHIPS WITHIN TYPHOON AREA ARE REQUESTED TO SEND THREE HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS TO WEATHER MANILA PD WEATHER MANILA = ** WTPN32 PHNC 271000 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03C WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 270600Z --- NEAR 11.9N 179.5W MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 11.9N 179.5W --- REMARKS: 271000Z POSITION NEAR 12.0S 179.9W. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270600Z IS 10 FEET.// ** WTPQ20 VHHH 271045 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 270900 UTC, TYPHOON XANGSANE (0615) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 965 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE THREE POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (13.1 N) ONE TWO FOUR POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (124.1 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 9 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 75 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 150 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 210 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 280900 UTC ONE FOUR POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (14.9 N) ONE TWO ZERO POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (120.9 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 75 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 290900 UTC ONE FIVE POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (15.9 N) ONE ONE SIX POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (116.4 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 80 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 300900 UTC ONE FIVE POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (15.5 N) ONE ONE THREE POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (113.1 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 80 KNOTS.